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Rough sailing for ARRY since the $13 mark just a short while ago, no doubt.
ARRY sure has a lot going for it, so wouldn't sweat it just yet, as it is heavily institutionally owned and the BO chances sure seem legit, just not necessarily going to be the crazy BO premium sometimes bantered on these boards. But there is definitely lots more upside based on pipeline and the recent call supported all this...
But need a catalyst here to reverse this trend - at some point may add some shares, but patience may be the preferred strategy here
This pullback sure seems to have some legs, impressive and powerful - to think the SP was $13 + just a few days ago
tempting to add, but going to be patient and hold off on adding any shares
$8's probably won't happen, but will let the dust settle here some and look to add in low $10 or high $9's range
Looks like you will get your wish on the $10's here fairly soon, the question is how much lower from there ?
Figured this was bound to happen to a stock that went up three-fold in 6 months or so, but how much will it give back ?
Still has alot going for it, but is the downside greater than the upside at this point ?
you sure about that ?
What are the chances another buyer steps in ? The premium sure seems darn good at this point all things considered, but if Takeda is willing to pony up $5.2B, maybe that was a good enough deal where ARIA draws some more bids ?
ARIA steady and consistent as down about 13 - 14 of the last 20 trading days.
What's impressive is that it hasn't taken a significant dump on any given day as it just bleeds away roughly 2% - 4% on a fairly consistent day to day basis.
Maybe this bodes well for the $41 Buyout talk that we see on this board - hope that day comes soon.
It seems that all the so-called supported catalysts are ALL priced in at this $12 level, so bail now and buy back in Q1 of 2017 in the $8 - $9 range for the BO premium of $13, maybe $14.
ARIA might bust down through $10 and lower by year-end, just wait for the IBB to have a rough day and BAM.....
Headed to $10 and probably lower
Yup, $10 just around the corner.
Bail as fast as you can at this $12 level and buy back if you still believe in and around $10ish.
Good luck
wow, $9 seems kind of harsh, but the trend is down from here, that much seems certain and not sure what would change that at this point
$41 certainly fantasy land
Nope not selling, but trading ARIA sure seems like the way to go, but as they say hindsight is 20/20.
Best not to look at it day to day, sometimes easier said then done.
Maybe, hopefully...
New trend in for ARIA here lately, down when IBB down, down when IBB flat and down when IBB is up. Just a matter of what % down ARIA is daily as of late.
ARIA headed back to $8's and probably lower - not a whole lot to get excited about here.....
If Brig is the real deal, then this can be a BO opportunity in the $8 - $10 range, but it is headed down from this bloated level....
You paint a very grim picture, but I suppose the truth hurts some.
ARIA wants to go down more and not sure where the bottom is, but this $8 - $9 level does seem awfully high all of a sudden and 32M shorts tend to agree.
The best is hearing how folks on this board got out at $14.34 (the absolute 52 week high!!) and now are looking to re-enter in the $5 and $6 range, good for them as they either got the proverbial horseshoe working for them or a full of beans.
I agree with heading to the $6 level, probably even lower.
Roughly 5% per day down should get to $6 soon enough, maybe 8 - 10 more trading days.
GILD may have paid $11B for Pharmasett back in the day, but they were a company of 80 employees and I don't think their revenues were $40B - did you mean $40M ?
Moon, never insinuated that was your target, just saw a post that said buyout in $11 - $14 range now, which seems to be about 60% - 80% lower than the buyout range that was being touted on this board just a few weeks ago.
Let's face it, it's not a question of how the ARIA SP will perform in a given day, it's more of how bad will the decrease be, and the answer is usually between 3% - 7% on any given day and there is ZIPPO indication that will change any time soon.
GLTA
That's kind of funny - just 2 weeks ago the buyout range was $25 - $40 and now it's $11 - $14.
Unfortunately, give it a few more days or weeks and the buyout range will be $6 - $9.
Seems like this is more than a bernie tweet issue - oh well, it was fun for a little while....
At some point, this death spiral should stop and the SP should start to rebound based on company fundamentals.
Still more carnage to come though as the story will continue to get regurgitated each and every day until the cheaters decide to shift gears.
You have to admit that this has been one heinous attack on what seems to be an undeserving company, but execution was and continues to be simply superb by these corrupt folks - very impressive indeed !!
Agreed, complete 180 here on ARIA where it was just 2 weeks ago hitting on all cylinders, top buyout target in all BIO/Pharma and on and on.....
Just points to the absolute crookedness and corrupt nature of the market, simply not a fair game. You just need to hope you are on the right side with the cheaters and then bail before the cheaters shift gears...
Next week could be a whole lot different if the cheaters shift gears, so stay tuned....
BS, AF, media, you name it, they are all out to get ARIA for some reason.
The most recent article today with the familiar regurgitated bernie news tweet compares ARIA to Turing Pharma who raised the price of a drug 5,500% just 1 month after it acquired the company who produced that drug - that comparison seems like a stretch to ARIA whose has spent billions in R & D to only lose billions in developing life saving drugs.....
I suppose ARIA was an easy target....$800M in market cap and counting
To think that someone on a message board is providing critical business strategy to a publicly traded company sounds kind of silly in and of itself. If there were any truth to that, then any company engaged in that kind of management belongs in front of a congressional hearing...
All this ARIA action the last couple of months is simply market crookedness - all this previous hype with ARIA hitting on all cylinders, top buyout candidate and run up to $14 was all set up and then once the crooks made their $ on that, it was time for the same crooks to cash in again on the downside and ARIA was taken down with the BS tweet, the AF attacks, demand letters, etc.
The little guy can't win - in the end, ARIA has the goods with BRIG, so the $14 level and above, with buyout premium, should come back some day, just will take some time and let's see how low these crooks want to take ARIA down here....
Suntrust reaffirms their $22 target :
ARIAD weakness creates buying opportunity, says SunTrustSunTrust analyst Yatin Suneja says that ARIAD's stock has been weak following media reports and a letter from Congress regarding the prices of the company's Iclusig drug. But the analyst says that the company has a "highly innovative pipeline addressing significant unmet needs in subsets of cancer patients," Suneja reiterates a $22 price target and Buy rating on the stock.
Hope ARIA puts tool bernie in his place as that would be classic !
Problem is, damage is done and and there is zippo accountability and downfall for tool bernie and staff even when ARIA presents a good defense, which they will....
Who knows, maybe the combination of all this press coupled with ARIA truly having the upcoming "goods" in BRIG, etc will catapult ARIA to those deserved crazy levels that folks talk about on this board...could happen !
Maybe tool bernie will be a blessing in the end !
Can't fight city hall as they say.......
ARIA can and will point to the fact they have incurred massive losses over they years trying to bring live-saving drugs to market and they will have a great credible defense and response - but the damage is done...
ARIA down 30% or so thanks to tool bernie and after ARIA mounts a credible response, you think tool bernie will retract his tweets and accusations and say, oops sorry, this company is actually doing good things here, lol.....
Tool bernie wins and looks like a champ to his supporters and gains more along the way, sad but true.
Yep, no doubt, even if there were interested parties in ARIA, they are now running away as fast as they can.....
Bernie determined to take ARIA down and will do whatever it takes....
Last friday's tweet was regurgitated by different news outlets every single day until today, so you figure, about time, maybe we get a flat or slightly up day....then BAM, bernie strikes again...
Now this news will hit for the next 4 - 5 days, same story, but different news outlet and different twist......
Bernie and his corrupt cronies making a killing - nicely done Tool !!
Let's see how low tool bernie can take ARIA ??
Wow, have to give credit were credit is due. That was simply superb execution on the part of tool bernie and his staff, not to mention all the corrupt bernie cronies who cashed in accordingly, as that 1 slanderous and irresponsible tweet has served to wipe out boatloads of market cap for an undeserving company - $600M and counting.....
Maybe a silver lining here is that maybe those companies who were interested in ARIA will take a closer look now with this deflated SP....can only hope.
nice job bernie, well done !
Interesting in that the most recent analyst report that shows a $22 target was omitted like you say, which you would think would be the most relevant since it is current.
Also interesting to lead with a 4 month old analyst report with the $8 - $9 target per share, keep in mind ARIA was trading at $6ish back at that time.
Seems odd......
Agree in that ARIA should have not been singled out by tool bernie and his staff...... ARIA has never turned a profit and has in fact amassed significant losses over the years as they have spent billions developing drugs in hopes of saving lifes, etc, etc. Yep, just a little bit of reasonable homework would have prevented said tool and his staff from improperly slandering ARIA, but too late, as damage is done.
I don't think tool bernie and his staff are going to come out with a tweet that says, sorry, was in fact wrong about ARIA and sorry about the $400M + market cap hit - nope, zippo accountability with any and all political posturing and bantering as they don't give a rats behind and will do and say anything to sway support and garner votes, just an absolute joke !
ARIA probably in can't win situation thanks to tool bernie just spouting crap and BS he know ZIPPO about. Just jumping on pharma bash bandwagon to draw votes/supporters, typical political BS is all it is. But tool bernie did serve to wipe out about $400M in market cap, nicely done...
Greed might be an appropriate accusation if a company ever turned a profit, which I don't believe ARIA has ever done and in fact, has posted almost $1 Billion in losses the past 3 years or so, but I don't think tool bernie has ever nor could ever read a financial statement.
So go ahead ARIA and other pharma/bio companies, go ahead and invest billions in trying to develop a drug to battle cancer, but don't you dare try to make even $1 on anything you do - seems kind of silly.
Sadly though, there is typically zippo accountability or consequences for these politicians and all their corruptness
Can only hope that someone step up and make an offer, otherwise with BIO simply being out of favor, the slam dunk pres win for the Hill coming soon to theaters and the nice run up that ARIA has already had, easy to imagine a continued downtrend from here for ARIA - probably some decent opportunity to add at these lower levels for the true believers.
Well, it busted through $13 like a hot knife through butter. Looks like $12 level to be tested soon here.....
This sell off the last 2 days seems different than the action the last 6 weeks where ARIA battled back on its nice run up to the $13/$14 level......this is like a slow painful death as it simply keeps dropping, roughly $.05 every 15 minutes or so, very consistent
You called it, pretty impressive, nicely done.
So $12ish is your re-entry or do you wait for it to go even lower ?