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Wow.. Thanks for sharing your post..since it is unlikely that most of us would get such a long message from Dr. P... Or any message for that matter.
I don't really understand your post. Also, how is it positive for cydy?
We see them giving the company away at .50 cents a share to fund trials and we fatigue ourselves trying to figure out why...when pro140 has so much promise.
I bought a few more thousand shares at .495. Because I can't know what will happen with PR timing and a NASDAQ listing. I buy because I think the MKT CAP is to low. I buy because who knows how many bio companies out there want a super safe CCR5 blocker for things we can't even know about...and pro 140 drops hiv viral loads in one week!
I see the .50 cents buys only lasting awhile... And they are only here because of the weird world of bio tech startup.
I have always wondered why cydy has not partnered. Before I had the suspicion that Dr. P did not want to make any deals at all.. But now?.. .. Maybe everyone just wants to see more trial results so they can better guess the value of the company.
Personally I think results will be stellar.
I read the article...I won't claim to understand it, but it is clear that CCR5 density and viral load are correlated...higher denisity, higher viral load.
Now I am going to make up a theory that will probably make some people cringe as I have no proof at all.
The 50 people in our combo study that have not responded well to HAART might have much higher CCR5 density than average population since that makes it harder to control the virus.
It also makes it a little harder for pro 140 to cover them all, and therefore increased dosage might help a lot.
So my point is ...whatever percentage success rate we get from the combo trial at 8-12 weeks "say 70%" we can expect a higher percentage success rate in the mono trial since I believe the mono trial comes from the "regular population" and there for will have lower average density CCR5 and therefore make pro 140 even more effective.
My guess at best.
I think the increased dosage of prob 140 came about because some people have way more CCR5 receptor points on their cells than others... So they wanted more coverage with the increased dose.
So if the dosage was increased to meet the 70% efficacy in the mono trial because it might have been falling short..... Then cydy management knows exactly how well the mono trial is going?... Its not a blind study?
Ok. But if inter mono data is strong and therefore this play over soon.. Why RS and uplist?
I think interm mono data will be strong.. As in stonger than phase 2 trial do to better screening and increased dosage.
We have no leverage or bargaining power?
Or bargaining power is a drug that works in combination with other drugs or as a stand alone treatment for hiv SAFELY. And pro 140 most likely is good for other uses
And or leverage is any other company that might want it.
Or leverage is a drug that will take market share away from other drugs.
Thanks for that info.
Cannibalize Yourself
(Before Someone Else Does)
Quote from Steve Jobs... Which i think he borrowed from someone else.
I think 90% of the people here think that cydy mgmt. has lowered the warrant exercise price, and is doing small capital raises for the sol reason of getting to positive combo data. Then once recieving the data they will do a large capital raise.
Tony... Tell me thats not the plan.. That is the worst plan ever, and it wouldnt even work. No hot shot investor is going to see the data and buy 100,000 shares knowing they are going to get dilluted back to the stone age a week latter.
There has is be something bigger and better than that. Like... Positive data from combo... and big pharma partners up... throws down some cash and walks this baby to the finish line.
If all this ongoing show is just to raise money at a little higher price it will fail badly.
Wow pearsby... Great info. Thanks. I have lowball bids in on cydy at .49 and .50... Might have raise them with combo filled. And mono on track.
I wonder how long they have had the 50 for combo..??
Chump was definitely right about them having that number.
You are so right. I had fears about amzn when it was 10 dollars a share lol.. Look how that worked out... Sometimes we know the future, but we stop ourselves through phantom fears and temparary setbacks. We know pro 140 can drop hiv down to extremely low levels,.. But after some trial delays we practicly throw in the towel lol...
I once read s study that showed how biased humans are to the "optimistic" side. But whenever i read one of your posts i remember there is a balance in nature... Hahaha.
Good point on the impulse people may have to sell above .50 I will put in bids for .52 and .50... People with warrants may bite if we put enough hooks in the water.
Well... .54 is not my average. I still have shares I bought at .77 that I kept.
It is average down time for me... Even though I do not average down as a strategy...I simply believe under .55 is a great price at this time in cydy history.
There are a couple people on this board with low .60's averages I believe.
What is your honest opinion when 50 people who have hiv spreading through a portion of the CCR5 receptor get injected with pro 140 ... Which is very effective at blocking that exact site on CCR5. I predict massive VL drop and that 44-45 out of 50 feel better than they have in a very long time. Pro 140 is a super safe silver bullet. For this problem.
Then look at the SP.....so steady... Even constant small dilution doesn't change it anymore... As if the "floor is in".
And look at those raises.... As if they are diluting as little as possible to cross a finish line into the living arms of their suitor or partner. Lol
I can't contain how bullish I am on this stock right now. In the past I have been so upset with mgmt timelines that I sold... 3 times lol... But i always came back...
I am convinced that these 50 very sick people in our combo trial are finally going to get the straightforward "no side effects" treatment that they need to stop hiv in its tracks.. And I think it will get ALOT! of attention!
I haven't bought more shares in over a year.... But yesterday I started buying again.. 10000 at .54... And I will continue to buy.
I "believe" they have the option to take a buyout after good results and I am glad there was no R/S.
Fantastic... This trial will be a slam dunk.. When they eventually get the ball down court.
Misiu...do any of the HAART drugs, that pro 140 is being mixed with, in this combo trail also target the blocking of the CCR5 receptor?
Thanks for the info... I will put my bid at .556 :). In all seriousness I am trying to be patient because every once in a while it drops under .55.. And I thought it would have already with these small raises the company keeps doing... What's holding the stock price up?... Just not enough sellers right now.
In the past charlie would give info. On how well he was doing on the mono treatment... I also remember a moving post on this board from someone directly connected to the phase 2 trial... But for many months i havent heard how the long time patients are doing.
Wish i knew.. I am dieing to double my position here.
If mono patients are fine... Then how could a combo trial patient not see benefit? I predict good ph 3 combo results and i am willing to bet on it.
Lots of insider buying today.
I have been an invester in arth since they were conducting human trials... It is painfully clear now that Norchi is not to be trusted at all. I am out. And i was a believer.
Shocking that the SP is not in the .30's. Anyone who thinks the fda gave norchi no time to answer questions.... "That he conviently wont tell us.".. Is fooling themselves.
I gave him a pass in europe even though that is where he did the human trial and i figured he knew the landscape... Shame on him.... But he fooled me twice!... So shame on me.
Amatuer is not trying to scare anyone... It is just that after a few years in otc stocks you learn to look at the information you have and then look for anything hidden that is wrong because 75 percent of the time time your most negative few of future SP will end up being the right one.
People who pump or are overly optimistic do more damage in my opinion.
I appreciate that he is looking for what might be wrong. Instead of just assuming that everything at arth is hunky-dory. I personally think everything is fine at Arth and I will buy more shares as soon as I get Out from under other investments.
You have so much in that post that I won't even try haha... But you reminded me about something. Charlie sheen sought out pro 140. And he bad mouthed current treatment harrt. For those on the board who think current treatment is so great and effective I wonder if they ignore all the improvements people claim to have with pro 140 over standard care.
As an example..Just because radiation kills cancer cells doesn't mean people and pharma are not looking for something better.
The idea that some companies who might want to break into current hiv care and that other companies won't even try to protect their turf is strange talk to me... Imagine you are the CEO of some company who wants to break into hiv care or protect their market share... What would you do? Nothing?.. Really?
I keep seeing posts that down play the combo trial, and it makes me wonder if I am missing something?... Isn't everyone who is getting treated for hiv today on some kind of combo of medications? If pro 140 is approved to be one of those how is that not huge? If it can replace one of the toxic medications how is that not huge? Why would anyone assume that big pharma would be so uninterested in our compo trial ?... Especialy when evidence to date shows that pro 140 works quite well by itself for many patients.
If they want to RS at this time in the company's history, it is probably a good sign, that good news is on the horizon and they want maximum benefit from it. This company isn't in its last gasp to raise funds before declining into the sunset.. they are on the cusp of a change for the better in hiv treatment.
I am thinking of opening a position here. Not much buying and selling going on though.
You mentioned that this company can move forward with minimal dilution?. I heard their CEO say the same thing in a podcast, but I don't remember if he mentioned how much money they are currently making?.. they want to up their production so fast that I have concerns that they are overly optimistic?.. I am looking for more info on this company. Any is welcome.
I like how you always try to keep it real, and not pump... but I am buying this week.. I sold everything at .87, but I am paranoid not to be in this stock now. If FDA gives arth approval I think $1.00 is an absolute minimum!
Love your post...I have been thinking about what you suggested the company do: license out the 200 different product applications, but I don't understand how they could do it?
Once ac5 is on the market its out there... For example: duck tape might have a 1000 different applications but you would not try to license them... How do you force someone to only use ac5 on their eye and not their lip.. For example. Maybe they could get away with internal end external paths, but anything more specific seems tough... Looking forward to your opinion. Thanks.
I don't think they are doing these small offerings so that after good results they can do an offering at a higher price.... I think they are just raising enough money till results are ready because they have some kind of partnership to announce that is dependent on good results.
I also just listened to It.
Biggest relief was that adjunct should be finished soon with results soon after.
Dr P. Implied that collaboration for graft vs host was likely... but did not indicate any such thing for hiv... I really hope cydy partners up for these phase 3 trials.
I remember when the data was released from the lab on the drying times and such on the prototype dryer..... wasn't there some follow up data that was supposed to be released?....I never saw it.
I tried buying at .41 and .45 but I was to late... working playes havoc with my trading.
I picked up some shares today in the .30s
So I am back in it. I am not a full believer yet, but its growing on me.
Yahoo finance has thct market cap at 2.22 million.
Who wrote 50 million?
http://bookstore.authorhouse.com/Products/SKU-000354253/LOST-IN-THE-USA.aspx
I didn't realize he was also an author... probably someone has pointed this out already.
It says in the book that his family fled after being cursed by a witchdoctor.
I don't follow HTGM. Do you know how long it took for them to get CE after applying?