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LP has consistently refused to surrender. 1944 101st Airborne was surrounded by German Troops and refused to surrender. at Bastogne Belgium. The 101st held out even out of ammunition until they were relieved by the 4th Armored Division. Bravery matters. NWBO has a brave an seasoned CEO. NWBO will do this thing. LP will not give up or sell out for cheap.
I get it. Some of us are gobbling shares at this price some are trading. NWBO is undeveloped real estate with all permits in place or soon to be granted. Get on board or get out of the way.
A brave man can live to regret such a post. Hopefully bravery will lead to a retraction. Clearly the post is off base. May the force of ......lead to retraction.
NWBO!
NWBO will be a Blue Sky Tornado not matter what the twisted little twerp AF says. Perfect timing for TLD as the entire stock market is entering a huge relief rally that started this afternoon with the Fed Open Market Commitee announcing the rate hike. Clear sailing until the the weeks before the next FOMC meeting. Timing could not be better market wise for May TLD release. The entire market will likely surge for weeks. Putin might make a speech May 9th declaring Victory to the Russian people saying he cleared the Nazis from Ukraine so bringing his Special Operation to a close and having a Victory parade celebrating another Victory over the "Nazis" on the anniversary of the first.
Then during a massive stock rally on May 10th NWBO announces TLD. Boom Blue Sky Tornado NWBO doubles or triples the very first day.
One can not truly appreciate pleasure and joy until one has experienced pain and grief. As the ones who fight on through extreme difficulty are the ones that feel the most elation when sweet Victory is finally achieved. Way to fight Barnstomer and the many other long time longs who stuck in there through the thick and thin.
It is good to be on the right side history with the ones who brought forth NWBOs gift to humanity. May all of highest and most noble of your dreams, all of you good people, as yours are the dreams that bring light and beauty to the World.
Fortune be with you all. Godspeed to NWBO and to the People of Ukraine as they struggle though grief and pain. to restore light and freedom to their Nation.
My their eventual Victory be sweet as their Victory will be a Great Victory for Peace and Freedom for the Entire World.
Save your response to my earlier question with an analysis if this attempt at breaking $$1.49 fails and if it pulls back.
I agree. If NWBO does not break through the resistance cap @ $1.49 on this test in my experience it is most likely to blast through $1.49 on the third test after a pull back. It that your experience as well?
As in a rodeo the way to win the trophy buckle is to hold all the through to the end of the ride. From the introduction of the iPhone in 2007 to $1 trillion market cap was approx 11 years in August 2018. 3.5 years later Apple market cap is $2.5 Trillion. For large holders of NWBO if it hits on several indications those large shareholders NEVER have to sell any stock ever to spend their riches. Simply move to to a holding trust at a firm like Morgan Stanley and borrow cash against the large balance therefore no taxes invest the borrowed funds in bonds and blue chip dividend stocks and pay taxes on the dividends as the wealth grows and continues for generations.
Will DC-Vax be to Cancer as iPhone is to communications? If it is not ones stake will still have value and we will still be fine. But what if it is? Who would like to be the person that sold their Apple stock in 2016 with a modest gain? Or relieved that they were back to even? I have lost $100s of thousands on paper only to hold for years to make a 100% gain then lose several millions by selling to for only 100-300% gains to early because it was "the prudent" thing to do.
If NWBO was not a complete game changer this Stock would not have so many shrill constant naysayers of all stripes aligned against NWBO.
Who would actually bet against NWBO long term? NO ONE! The only ones that will end up betting against NWBO long term are those longs that sell to early with only a 500% gain.
There are many posers that try to cap NWBO at $20-25 mill market cap. Make your own target and then when earnings are stable and support for stock price is supported by growing earnings spend the dividends if no dividends borrow against the stock or sell small amounts.
Not advice. Just been there done that.
No one is betting against NWBO term just short term to create negative sentiment against an unbelievable great risk/reward ratio.
For these types of investments one must set their sights on the far horizin. Welcome to the rodeo the bumps will be sever and the ride will seem to last forever. Hold for the trophy buckle.
If that is the case then there should be a day coming soon where you will be up over a million$.
NWBO just hit 10 day average volume in first 37 minutes of trading today. W/o could see more than 5 million shares with a 40-50% rise. Looks like whispers on WALL STREET.
It looks like the massive volume is coming from hitting big offers to sell at the ask instead of laying large bids to buy at the bid. Slapping ASK this morning. Panic buying could denote short covering.
So no halt on individual OTC stocks but whole OTC market can be halted.
Classic Cup with Handle breakout on completion on VOLUME.
I do not think short sellers can hope to regroup on a halt as I believe there are no trade breaker switches on the OTC.
2 million shares CYDY traded 1st 30 minutes up 14%. This is the real deal. Today could be an all day run up another 40%. Already almost 1/2 of yesterday volume has already traded.
The real company the will go bankrupt is Humanagen. unfortunately because Lenz has value.
2heremunker down. Pre Planed stock accumulation. Patence is the best factor to accumulate for these story stocks. CYDY Stock hAS MOST OF THE RISK wrung out alof it. I assess a market cap as 3 billion just as it sits in degraded humility . 10 bagger. from here. Could happen at any day .
I look to buy 100k or more. Shares over the next 90 days. Eighteenth months from now now CYDY c a n blow up 10x to 20 x
That is correct Sir. The United States still has the highest birthrate of any developed country and is in a large part due to immigrants that have risked everything to come here seeking the American Dream. In doing so they continue to give life and energy to their adopted country the USA.
NWBO is like these immigrated families.
The American dream of medical innovation improving the health of citizens has lost its way. BP has captured the FDA to pursue profits above all else.
Breakthroughs such as is pursued by NWBO are subjected to outrageous opposition as it upsets the status quo of Profits first.
NWBO management stated that they do not intent to sell shares until after TLD did they not? March 31st was deadline for many millions of warrants to expire if not exercised. Many millions were exercised after the last Quarlerly report one would therefore deduce. So it should be fairly obvious that NWBO has an infusion of cash from warrant exercise but not enough to put off TLD for too long.
Bottom line NWBO has cash to last till TLD and TLD should come soon.
If there are 43 million shares held short there may be a floor some where. Those that are short will buy all that is being offered to sell to buy to cover to take the profits to free up cash for the next short or long idea. If the price stabilizes in the 0.30s it might trade sideways and recover somewhat throughout the day and. finish in the 0.40s. That might lead to a slow recovery over the next few weeks as the sellers are done and short sellers buy to cover to take take their profits and redeploy that capital elsewhere if it is perceived that no more bad news for a while.
China is inextricably in decline. It is not really showing yet same as in took a long time to show up in Japan a generation ago Japan was 2nd to the USA and a juggernaut looking like Japan would be the world leading economy just like many people mispercieve China will continue to grow. But it is impossible for China to avoid the same decline that happened to Japan and for the same reason. China is greying just like what happened to Japan. China accelerated their eventual decline with the one child one family strickly enforced policy, forced abortions etc. Economics suicide, communist central planning at its worst The growth of GDP the growth of economies depends one one factor more than any other. Birth rate. There is not much that can be done as China is ethnocentric and do not want immigrants and even Burmese are not interest to immigrate to China they want to emigrate to Thailand.
The USA on the other hand has a fairly high birthrate and together with the UK is the most desired country in the world to emigrate to. It takes many generations for this most important to the economic growth of an economy demograpic to change. China growth will slow and might face any even more rapid decline than what most seen in Japan. And it was self inflicted by frankly stupid CCP central planning of interfering in the most basic of human freedoms. Those freedoms to have the family one wants.
USA is a young country and is made strong by the strength of American families and of immigrants who come to the USA and create strong families. The United States will continue to be the strongest economy and country for at least another 250 years as long as we continue to support American families and the families of worthy immigrants that bring their hopes and dreams to our shores. UK will remain strong as well as they share the basic family friendly values as the USA and have an even greater welcoming attitude towards immigrants as USA.
Russia already pathetically weak for a country with rich natural resources a very large land mass and well educated populace faces a near term catastrophic failure of its economy due to a blood thirsty dictator.
Countries with a young population, high birth rate in Asia are in a good position to take up some slack of manufacturing migrating out of China. Vietnam young country and a fair amount of freedom under a hands off lassie-fair Marxist government. Nike other shoes and clothing are manufactured there. Nearly impossible to be invaded especially by China because of mountains and one of the world's largest standing Armys. Maylasia young country high tech manufacturing, Intel has factories there. Thailand has manufacturing GM other other autos and auto parts. A young country and the least densely populated country in all of Asia. But has 60 million people same as France and land same size as France.
Singapore the original Asian Tiger. Worlds second largest port and most important sea lanes. The largest annual US Military joint exercise with Korea Thailand Japan and Australia "Cobra Gold" practice Inchon type amphibious landings from the Indian Ocean/Andaman Sea in Southern Thailand evidencing resolve to protect Singapore from falling to an invading army (China) through Myanmar (Burma) hence Southern Thailand down the Malaysian Peninsula to Singapore the ultimate Domino of SE Asia. The Pentagon justification for the Vietnam War was to make a stand to prevent losing the "Domino" Singapore critical to Naval Operations and world shipping in the entire Pacific Theatre to Soviet backed forces.
Indonesia and Philippines have young populations and there is a high level of education in Phillipines but both are plagued by natural disasters but not more than China. Those countries are mostly unfazed by typhoons but Companies are cautious to build factories there.
All of these young countries have healthy birthrates and value strong families. They will grow.
Families are the basic unit of the strength of a nation and its economy. More than demographics is the sentiments of young citizens feeling they have freedoms to follow their hopes and dreams of having a family of their own. Learning of trades and getting education to have job get married buy a house cars furniture have children of their own. These are the things that drive growth of the economy. A government must support this cycle in fact it is the reason for the Government to exist. The Goverments of China and Russia fail their families so they are doomed to fail. First their economies then eventually those Goverments.
I am glad that NWBO chose the United Kingdom as their secondary operations country in fact it may be their primary at this point. A would like to see NWBO redomiclile to Ireland as many US companies have done for tax purposes.
I agree. Thank you for the nuanced insights of this post. This is why NWBO is playing it safe and waiting for the external controls in cancer trials Regulations of FDA policy to firm up in my opinion.
Yes twenty TLDs in twenty different registrational trials for twenty different cancers.
Sir when I first invested in Gilead the stock was about $9.00 in 1998. What the split abducted chart says it was $0.79.
It was a slow slog for years. Arrowhead and Anavex blew up 5x and 25x in 18 months.
I was not an Amgen on investor but that chart is instructive.
There can be a long slow gradual rise to the market cap revaluation phase.
I pointed out the 18 months of ARWR from $13 to $70 on no approval to AVXL investors when AVXL was $1.26. Eighteen months later Anavex spiked to $30 35c on no appovall or even phase 3 results when Denali spiked. Now AVXL is $12. 10x
wHen I was buying AVXL at $1.26 to $3 I evaluated current true market cap value based on comparables and potential at 1.5 billion when it was 200 million..
I was correct and we had the "MARKET RECOGNITION" event. Where AVXL stock shot up 15x in just a few weeks. I contend that this is relevant to NWBO as Anavex was second only to NWBO to the amount of negative manufactured social media and I hub negative posting against these companies.
Recent comparables of M&A activity in cancer space places CURRENT VSLUE OF NWBO close to or above $30 billion just noe before TLD or RA approval. If no partnership that would fall to $15 to 25 billion after approval based on execution risks.
The long term looks good for 5 years but hard to project beyond. The option and warrants might be a valuable contingent stop hostal.Regulation buy o ut bid.
This is my opinion but I believe the three main risks. are mitigated. 1 Over valued currently 2 Regulatory risk. As determined by trial results and RA proclivities.
3. Adoption risk- Journal Publication might lead to adoption by Doctors and payers.
I do see Corp governance risk togethet with option and warrants overland which may take 3 to 5 years to work off.
I believe what Gary is referring to as laws are CFR. Federal Regulations promulgated by jurisdiction and power granted by laws enacted by Congress granting authority to Federal Agencies to set those regulations.
Congress set the policy with statutes those statutes enable the various Federal Agencies to set Regulations which the Agencies of the Executive Branch uses to put into action the MANDATES of the Statutes enacted by Congress. Same at State level. Federal Regulations have the power of law based on the enabling Statutes granting the power of the Agencies to promulgate those regulations.
Short answer is that an Agency which is an arm of the Executive branch can set regulations and amend regulations all within the scope of the LAW which is the Federal Statute passed by Congress directing the Agency to effect action.
So can Agencies break or bend those Regulations they themselves set?
No. Industry needs to rely on stable Regulations as published.
Industry can not be held liable as long as the are in compliance with the current regulations.
So the question resolves can the Executive Agency be to forced to enforce the Agency Regulations in specific instances?
All that has to be done by the Agency is issue an update to Regulations that covers the specific instance. Clearly within the power granted by stature so YES they have wide ministerial powöer to amend the regulations as they see fit.
The Agency can not fine for actions not prohibited by current regulations but if the Agency wants to modify those actions prospectively they just need to amend the regulations. No statute required.
This is how the FDA works. These regulations are in flux. The best example is the vaping industry where they are micro managing down to the regulations of the flavors of the vape.
Also there is wide discretion on how to enforce current regulations in specific instances as in recalls of OTC products with levels of carcinogens.
HOW IS THIS FDA REGULATORY POWET CURRENTLY AFFECT NWBO?
SUPER POSITIVE AS DR PAZDUR SIGNALED IN THE ANNALS OF ONCOLOGY
THE FDA SEEMS TO SIGNAL THAT POLICIES AND REGULATIONS WILL BE AMENDED TO GREEN LIGHT DCVax.
Gary you make the best arguments and always have solid inputs based on experience.Your post exemplifies the wisdom of first picking the right stocks and holding forever.
1947 Proctor & Gamble
1976 Boeing & NIKE ( Boeing 99 cents goes public and quickly becomes the DOW Bellweather)
1990 Amgen
1995 Microsoft Intel Amat Dell
1999 Gilead
2014 Anavex (bashed 2nd only to NWBO) Arrowhead ( traded from $2 to $70 plus in just a few years)
2015 -2016 Tesla trading in the $40s and shorted like no other now $1091.84
2017 Nivida- $17.64. Oct 28 2016 now 4.5 years later $282
2022 Northwest Bio -shorted and bashed like no other-hold for 20 plus years!
If one thing sticks out is that to recognize the gains one should have confidence after proper DD and hold for a minimum of 5 years.
Hold NWBO for thirty years. Amgen trade for $0.76 on June 1 1990. Amgen price one year later $2.46 on June 7 1991 big gain but relax and hold Amgen August 14 1998 $8.70 market beating but not spectacular yet. Opps hockey stick! Amgen Feb 25 2000 $73.56. Eleven years sideways I hope ones were not jaded of being rich on Amgen because Amgen March 25 2011 at $53.15 jumped to $165.31 just 3 years later on Novemer 28 2014. One would have done very well to hold currently Amgen $270.47.
So my goal is to accumulate as many NWBO at this price in $0.70s and hold forever. ( and a few other under radar bios [microRNA] in other than Cancer indications because NWBO is THE Cancer play)
One must have forward vision. The same illogical argument as yours was repeated against many battleground stocks until they exploded in price before any approvals whatsoever and even before a Phase 3 readout. Arrowhead, Anavex, Alnylam. Those are just a few of the ones begin that begin with a "A". And of course the original AMGEN.
By the way number and persistentcy of the naysayers such as AF, Citron and legions of naysayer posters against Anavex Life Sciences has been second only to NWBO. As a seven year veteran of investing in the Anavex battle ground stock as well as long term GILD and the DNDN saga in 2008. One thing stands out. To be successful the low current price of the stocks one has conviction means only it might be a time to accumulate over a long period and not try to time events or the market. Buy when it looks cheap but use restraint not to go all in at once. Five year holding period is a minimum.
I am with Gary on this one. The value of companies are valued in market cap not stock price. $100 per share is reachable with 5 for 1 reverse split and immediate surprise up list. It has been done before in a different and resulted in 350% price rise in a few weeks. ( Anavex October 2015 surprise up list to NASDAQ from OTC- a reverse split and up list same day) Then the burned short sellers took revenge for four years. But that same company ballooned 25x four years later in 18 months from Dec 2018 from $1.26 to $30 in a spike of a few weeks mostly on price explosions on no news. So yes can reach $100 post split ..$20 split adjusted but need an up list. I favor NYSE-Amex and a listing on London Stock Exchange. Better yet re- domicile in Ireland with primary listing in London and secuondary on AMEX. Look at the history of other Biotechs that had their growth phases in the last 20 years. GILD had a greatly expanded market cap but it was not from the organic approval of Viread but after the acquisition of Pharmasett and the market cap grew spectacularly yet slowly but surely.
I appreciate your enthusiasm. Stranger things than what you postulated have happened. NWBO could spike as high as $100 could spike as high as $100 but likely would retrace to $20-45. Anavex trades on the $12 handle now and the $30 spike did not even hold for two days.
Since the USOI makes money to pay the dividend by selling the front month covered call on USO at 6% above current price when they roll it from prior month USOI does best in a stable price environment. If USO rises faster than that 6% the theoretical covered call is exercised so the USO has to be repurchased before the next month covered call can be sold to generate the next months dividend. So stable oil price will net the most dividends. The covered call sells off any rise in USO over 6% each month.
As long as NWBO is on the OTC Institutional interest and participation will be low. No index funds no pension funds. Just a few hedge funds. Some of these might be packaged vehicles to allow short sellers to participate on the long side in heavily shorted stocks thereby hedging against short positions without having to cover the short positions. Nearly 100% of short positions in NWBO as determined by deductive reasoning are held by hedge or family funds in accounts of more than $25 million as only way to effectively short penny stocks is not to be subject of $2.50 per share cash or marginable securities ( and penny stocks are not marginable ) per short share. These funds are not concentrated in just a few short positions but as many stocks as possible to take advantage of numerical averages of Penny Stock failures and not have returns on the basket of short positions unduly impacted by the spectacular success of a few of the companies held short in the short basket.
In a case where a short position balloons in price computer algos of the short funds will cover go long and then re-short at peaks often repeated many times a day or even multiple times within each hour on Computer Driven High Frequency Trading. That is why the volumes on the parabola stocks are often times multiples of the entire issued shares of the spiking stock in a single day. I dare say that short funds equipped with HFT capabilities welcome these parabolas as they would make out like the bandits they are by HFTrading the stock that spike day. Decades ago when the regulation was enacted the $25 million to not be subjected to margin requirements was a fairly high bar meant to allow MM to function. Now it excludes only retail from "The Club".
Being a member of "The Club" and having HFTrading capabilities guarantees that the member will profit on short selling. This is especially true now when the club members can borrow unlimited amounts of shares to sell short from the Wire Houses ( the major broker dealers GS, MSSB, Citi etc. )that manufacture phantom shares to loan to the short funds for a fee. That capability is due to the Wire Houses jointly owning and controlling the largest stock clearing houses.
Total non-knowledgeable post. CYDY is on OTC not Nasdaq. At least know some bare basics. SMH!
Very bad optics. As is the Board and Management are communicating NWBO is all for our benefit and other large insiders who continually get more options and warrants in conjunction with also extending the expiration period. So they get a big benefit for accepting another benefit. No benefits for retail. Just more dilution and more risk.
Any short sale of a stock priced less than $2.50 is by definition high margin because one must hold cash or marginal securities of $2.50 per share shorted. OTC stocks and therefore NWBO have no marginal value so penny stocks are suicide to short unless one is exempt from margin requirements by having an account with a value of over $25 million in the account holding the shares short. Some of these short hedge funds got decimated shorting last year in the Reddit meme stock frenzy because due to lack of reporting requirements these funds had no idea how crowded the short trades in particular stocks had become. The redditors figured out how crowded the shorts were in a lot of these retail companies hurt by the pandemic lockdowns thatthe vulture hedge funds were targeting for greed and stuck back buy buying and holding shares then the Bigger types of hedge funds put the hurt on the short funds buy buying long call options that forced Options Market Makers to buy long common stock to hedge against against the long calls they sold to fill the orders of those buying the calls. That is the normal operations of the market in Options contracts. One has to understand when options are bought and sold the market maker in the options take the other side of the trade in 99.9% of all buys and sells of options and stay "con
vered" by balancing their books with common stock. Buy a call sell 100 common short. Sell a call buy 100 common long. Gamma squeezes happen when meme stocks have a lot of common being bought up and call bought at same time so market makers filling long call orders must buy common as well then those that were holding shares short now are forced to buy common tocover at ever higher prices and the cycle accelerates.
In effect this is a turbo charged inversion of what the Jeffery Epstein type short sellers have done for years shorting stocks and buying put options so options market makers have to short sell common as well to balance the put options they sold to the short seller hedge funds. The Market Makers in the Options market have to stay balanced with positions in common to offset the net options position one long one short. Same as the careful investor that sells cover calls or holds 100% of the cash to buy the stock on puts sold or calls bought. Short sellers have short stock and puts bought (short). True hedges are same as market maker or careful investor long options and short stock. Meme or extreme longs are long options and long the common stock therefore just like the reckless shorts force further common short sales by options MMs they force the options market makers to buy common along with them.
Sorry I went off on a tangent as the process that happened in the market in meme stocks is happening again.
NWBO does not have this problem but did before when NWBO was targeted by this type of abusive short selling when it traded on NASDAQ and might be one of reasons LP voluntarily switched to OTC where NO STOCKS have options.
Your idea after TLD would be more likely but for NWBO and Merck for a partnership it might be more advantageous to uplist prior to TLD for several reasons.
No personally I am not expecting any buyout before or after TLD. I expect a partnership which could happen as soon as tomorrow. The infusion of cash would result in a up list to major exchange. Personally I do not expect TLD until after up list.
Yes NWBO had the still blinded blended data to discuss which was big news and exciting!
Sucked into a black hole. ( Traded in a dark pool)
Hi ho hi ho it's off to work we go!
Is LP or is TLD Sleeping Beauty?
Some think the Prince that kisses Sleeping Beauty to wake her up is the CEO of Merck.
Crickets.