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Any reason for the big preferred dump on FNMAS this morning?
Almost double the daily volume just in the morning hour and down about 4% on the day so far.
Senator Corker on Markup Schedule
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Here's the snippet from the email he sent (doesn't say much)
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Housing Finance Reform Markup Scheduled
Senator Corker issued the following statement Friday after Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Johnson (D-S.D.) and Ranking Member Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) announced the committee will markup the Housing Finance Reform and Taxpayer Protection Act (S.1217), a bipartisan bill written last year by Corker and Senator Mark Warner (D-Va.) and cosponsored by a bipartisan group of 10 senators, on Tuesday, April 29, 2014 at 10:00 A.M.
“After a dozen hearings on housing finance reform and S.1217, the committee is well prepared to act, and I look forward to a successful markup at the end of April. It's time for Congress to move forward on modernizing our housing finance system to protect the American taxpayer from any more bailouts. I appreciate Chairman Johnson and Ranking Member Crapo's strong commitment to this important issue,” said Corker.
In June 2013, Corker and Warner introduced S.1217 to strengthen America’s housing finance system by replacing government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with a privately capitalized system that preserves market liquidity and protects taxpayers from future economic downturns.
In 2008, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were taken into government conservatorship and given a $188 billion capital injection from taxpayers to stay afloat. As a result of this bailout, the private market has almost completely disappeared, and so nearly every loan made in America today comes with a full government guarantee. Despite this unsustainable situation, there still has been no real reform to our housing finance system since the financial crisis.
JOHNSON, CRAPO ANNOUNCE HOUSING FINANCE REFORM MARKUP
http://www.banking.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Newsroom.PressReleases&ContentRecord_id=5d5038ce-bf7d-9158-d23e-d0a8353219d9&Region_id=&Issue_id=
March 28, 2014
Washington, DC – Today, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Johnson (D-SD) and Ranking Member Mike Crapo (R-ID) announced the Committee will markup bipartisan housing finance reform on Tuesday, April 29, 2014 at 10:00 A.M.
“After canvassing other Members of the Committee, we plan to schedule a markup of our bipartisan housing finance reform proposal on Tuesday, April 29th,” said Chairman Johnson. “From the start, Members of the Committee have been extremely engaged on the issue and have demonstrated a sincere interest in advancing reform in a bipartisan manner. I look forward to a thoughtful debate in Committee as we seek to move reform one step closer to the finish line.”
“It is critical that we vote on reforming our broken housing system,” Ranking Member Crapo said. “We have produced a strong, bipartisan product, and I look forward to working with my colleagues to move this legislation forward and end the five year-plus status quo.”
Earlier this month, Chairman Johnson and Ranking Member Crapo unveiled a bipartisan housing finance reform proposal that used Senator Corker and Warner’s bill (S.1217) as the framework. Chairman Johnson and Ranking Member Crapo’s proposal is designed to protect taxpayers from bearing the cost of a housing downturn; promote stable, liquid, and efficient mortgage markets for single-family and multifamily housing; ensure that affordable, 30-year, fixed-rate, prepayable mortgages continue to be available, and that affordability remains an important consideration; provide equal access for lenders of all sizes to the secondary market; facilitate broad availability of mortgage credit for eligible borrowers in all areas and for single family and multifamily housing types.
The legislative text can be found here, the section-by-section of the legislation can be found here, and a detailed summary can be found here.
Chairman Hensarling Welcomes Announcement by Senators Johnson and Crapo
Don't know if this was posted or not already but this could be a sign that they got the blessing they needed from the house republicans on this bill.
WASHINGTON – Chairman Jeb Hensarling (R-TX) of the House Financial Services Committee, which passed the PATH Act in July 2013, released the following statement today regarding the announcement from Senator Tim Johnson (D-SD) and Senator Mike Crapo (R-ID) about their housing finance reform efforts:
“As someone who has worked for years on the complicated and contentious issue of housing finance reform, I salute Senator Johnson and Senator Crapo for working hard and producing a reform plan because the status quo is unacceptable. I look forward to seeing the details of the senators’ plan and welcome this long-awaited development. Still, I fear the window of opportunity to pass sustainable housing finance reform during this Congress is rapidly closing.
“Based on published reports, their plan features several common sense provisions including a common securitization platform utility and preserving secondary market access for small lenders. These principles are also found in the PATH Act.
“The PATH Act builds the sustainable housing finance system that America needs to have a healthy economy. It ends the broken Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac model that was at the epicenter of the financial crisis and ends government’s control of the housing finance market. So I am skeptical of any approach that does not end the permanent government guarantee in the secondary mortgage market. Such an approach could very well perpetuate the cycle of boom, bust and bailout we tragically just witnessed.
“Since we cannot have true sustainable housing finance reform without FHA reform, the PATH Act also includes needed FHA reforms. Therefore, I am also skeptical of any housing finance reform plan that fails to include FHA reform. Without the FHA reforms found in the PATH Act, all you’re probably doing is simply squeezing one side of a balloon only to have it bulge out on another.
“From the beginning of this debate, I have said I am willing to listen to and negotiate in good faith with anyone who produces a plan, so I look forward to seeing the senators’ plan and how we can advance sustainable housing finance reform.”
The bill has nothing to do with the lawsuits directly. The lawsuits are about past misdoings by the government.
It all comes down to Jeb Hensarling.
Look to see how he responds to this. How he goes is how the House GSE Committee goes. I believe they can get the Senate to pass this. The president is already on board.
If Hensarling rejects this (ie- House republicans don't care for the bill) I think it would be DOA immediately.
NEWS: Johnson-Crapo Announced
http://www.crapo.senate.gov/media/newsreleases/release_full.cfm?id=350500
Washington, DC – Today, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Johnson (D-SD) and Ranking Member Mike Crapo (R-ID) announced that they have reached an agreement on a housing finance reform proposal. Last fall, the Senate Banking Committee hosted an in-depth series of hearings exploring essential elements necessary for reform and over the past few months they have been negotiating and drafting the reform proposal. The bipartisan agreement includes measures from Committee Members on both sides of the aisle, the Administration and stakeholders. Chairman Johnson and Ranking Member Crapo are putting finishing touches on draft legislative text that they plan to release publicly in the coming days, and they plan to hold a markup in the coming weeks.
“There is near unanimous agreement that our current housing finance system is not sustainable in the long-term and reform is necessary to help strengthen and stabilize the economy. This bipartisan effort will provide the market the certainty it needs, while preserving fair and affordable housing throughout the country,” said Chairman Johnson. “Ranking Member Crapo has been a great partner to work with from the start, and I appreciate all of the important contributions Members of the Committee made to this effort. Specifically, I want the thank Senators Warner and Corker for providing us a strong framework to build on. I look forward to moving this effort through committee once Members have had a chance to review our forthcoming legislation.”
“This agreement moves us closer to ending the five-year status quo and beginning the wind down of Fannie and Freddie while protecting taxpayers with strong private capital, building the components for a stable secondary market and avoiding repeating the mistakes of the past,” Crapo said. “Government control of Fannie and Freddie with no private capital to protect taxpayers against losses is unacceptable. Chairman Johnson and a bipartisan coalition of Senators deserve a tremendous amount of credit for making the hard decisions that will move us toward a stronger housing system that provides a balance between providing broad access to mortgages while protecting taxpayers from losses.”
Chairman Johnson and Ranking Member Crapo agree that the status quo in which Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac remain in conservatorship is not a viable option for our nation’s housing finance system. To move forward, the following principles need to be reflected in any housing finance reform legislation:
Protect taxpayers from bearing the cost of a housing downturn.
Promote stable, liquid, and efficient mortgage markets for single-family and multifamily housing.
Ensure that affordable, 30-year, fixed-rate, prepayable mortgages continue to be available, and that affordability remains an important consideration.
Provide equal access for lenders of all sizes to the secondary market.
Facilitate broad availability of mortgage credit for all eligible borrowers in all areas and for single family and multifamily housing types.
Details of the Agreement on Housing Finance Reform
Outlined below are some of the details of the agreement that Chairman Johnson and Ranking Member Crapo have reached that will form the basis of a bipartisan housing finance reform text:
Start with S.1217 as the base text and generally maintain its overall architecture.
Wind down and eliminate Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Promote a smooth and stable transition from the old system to the new system by providing specific benchmarks and timelines to guide Federal Mortgage Insurance Corporation (FMIC) and market participants.
Transfer appropriate functions to the modernized, streamlined and accountable FMIC, modeled in part after the FDIC including its regulatory authority.
Mandate 10 percent private capital, up front, and create a mortgage insurance fund for the system to protect taxpayers against future bailouts.
Create a member-owned securitization platform that will issue a single, standardized FMIC-wrapped security, and permit private label securities to be issued in a manner that encourages standardization and improved market liquidity.
Establish a mutual cooperative jointly owned by small lenders to ensure institutions of all sizes have direct access to the secondary market so community banks and credit unions are not at the mercy of their larger competitors when Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are dissolved. The small lender mutual cooperative would provide a cash window for individual eligible loans, and small lenders could retain servicing rights.
Provide clear rules of the road for servicers that choose to participate in the FMIC system.
Maintain a vibrant multifamily market by building upon successful risk-sharing mechanisms and products and providing access to a broad range of markets.
Require strong underwriting standards that mirror the definition of “qualified mortgage”, and set down payment requirement at 5 percent (with a short phase-in) except for first-time homebuyers at 3.5 percent.
Facilitate the broad availability of credit for eligible single-family and multifamily borrowers, monitor consumer and market access to credit, and provide market based incentives and transparency to serve underserved areas.
Eliminate affordable housing goals and establish transparent and accountable housing-related funds that would focus on ensuring there is sufficient decent housing available. The funds are NOT paid for with tax dollars, but through a small FMIC user fee (10 basis points) that only those who choose to use the system pay.
Allow current conforming loan limits to be maintained so that mortgage credit continues to be available in high cost areas.
Maintain broad liquidity in the To-Be-Announced (TBA) market and direct FMIC to take into account the impact of new products on the TBA market.
Yellen's GSE Reform comment?
Hey guys! It's been a while since I've posted. Hope everyone is doing well :) Sounds like a lot of future millionaires still hanging out on this board.
Yellen mentioned in her testimony today that Congress needs to act on GSE reform and we've been waiting on Johnson Crapo forever now with no action. It's been 'imminently upcoming' for at least 2 months now.
Corker tweeted this today:
#FED Chair Yellen today urged Congress to address #GSEreform. Corker & @MarkWarner have a plan to do just that: https://bit.ly/CorkerWarner
Obviously Corker-Warner is dead but I'm still wondering about Johnson-Crapo. Has anybody heard anything? They haven't had a GSE-relevant hearing in the Senate Banking committee this year and I haven't heard anything out of Hensarling either.
Does anybody know what was said at the bipartisan policy center conference today?
Crapo and Johnson were both supposed to be speaking.
Does that have anything to do with today's reversal?
One last correction for the people new to the stock and doing research.
When I said there was no real time-table there technically is a "goal" to release a bill before the end of the year. This was confirmed many times by Senators Corker and Warner once they realized their bill was in the toilet, but Johnson and Crapo haven't said ANYTHING that I know of one way or another. Based on how useless the questioning is I can't even guess if they're any further along toward that goal or not. Each week they parade in a few people that come in and read a piece of paper they wrote and provide no valuable input IMO.
There have been 1 or 2 weekly meetings every week for the past several months barring any recesses or government shutdowns so I'm keeping an eye out to see if anything gets scheduled for next week.
Have a good night all!
haha. If anyone can do it, it's our Senate ;)
Government's Motion to dismiss text if anyone is interested:
https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&pid=forums&srcid=MDUxNDQwNjExMTIwMzQzNjc3NDIBMTE1MzU0ODM3ODc3NzE4NjA1NjEBbjRNcTlvVzV5SHNKATQBAXYy
I'm not hosting it, found it on twitter.
"I made it to our last hearing. At least to this point right?"
That was the exact quote. He did kinda retract with the second part of his statement, but I'm not sure. I'll let you guys know how the hearing goes.
Crapo: "Final Hearing" Comment
Senator Crapo just made a slip in his statement that the hearing going on now is the "final hearing".
There's nothing scheduled next week and the remainder of the meetings this week are unrelated to GSE reform.
This could be the start to Johnson-Crapo.
Jim Millstein sold his preferreds per the hearing today.
Senator Corker was grilling him on his pro F&F stance saying for the record that he would "benefit" personally if F&F were released and made private. He corrected him saying that he sold out of his preferreds.
I'd be curious as to why he did it - but it's most likely so he didn't seem like a pumper going around trying to push his stock.
WOW! All the way back! I thought the news wasn't that great today. Incredible.
Looks like Mel Watt will be confirmed. Senate changed the filibuster rules just now.
Got what backwards? I was posting the headline that flashed on Marketwatch.com. I'm not sure what you mean.
I didn't hear any live announcement or anything like that. What happened?
Senate session today is a real snooze-fest so far. Committee is in recess for a vote on the floor, should return shortly.
If anybody wants to watch:
http://www.banking.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Hearings.Hearing&Hearing_ID=6d5a0150-3df0-4a8d-8151-47ffb84a7580
Fannie, Freddie shares drop after Sperling says private recapitalization is a no-go
http://blogs.marketwatch.com/capitolreport/2013/11/21/fannie-freddie-shares-drop-after-u-s-says-private-recapitalization-is-a-no-go/?mod=MW_home_latest_news
Two days of Senate Banking meetings upcoming.
November 21st Housing Finance Reform: Powers and Structure of a Strong Regulator
538 Dirksen Senate Office Building
10:00 AM - 12:00 PM
November 22nd Housing Finance Reform: Developing a Plan for a Smooth Transition
538 Dirksen Senate Office Building
10:00 AM - 12:00 PM
Gonna Finish at HOD :)
I'm seriously considering it now. This is freaking me out. I was projecting the preferreds to rocket out on the news and the common to lag.
Shows you how much I know.
Like you mentioned - they've been surging the last few days when the commons hadn't. Methinks they may have gotten the pitch a little early and we're just catching up?
Maybe this isn't news to them.
Commons have been on a rocket ship the last two days.
I don't know why preferreds would rotate into the commons (the release specifically names them) but I guess that's what its looking like.
:( Preferreds are tanking now
You think so MB? It's just so weird to me.
I know the short action on FNMA is obviously higher and so covering makes for a good portion of some of our rises but this is just weird.
Take a look at the FNMAS chart if you haven't already. Volume isn't terrible on it either (3,831,924 as of now)
Nope. Just Affordable Care Act.
Something is going on with preferreds
FNMAS down all day from the Gap up. Almost even now.
In the very same day she writes the following two articles:
Hedge funds eye Fannie and Freddie
Congress looks to future without Fannie and Freddie
Look at the author: Gina Chon!
That's the same person who wrote the fake article about Waters that I brought up earlier in the day.
This site is unreal.
FT.com: Congress looks to future without Fannie and Freddie?????
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/3d24bade-4b84-11e3-8203-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2kZ1URuN9
This site is such a scam. In the morning they promote the stock, after hours they bash it. The stock looks like it's running but watch any flip positions carefully. Last time we were setup in this range they dumped it down to the $1.80's.
I don't think the board is checking references or doing their due diligence here.
FT.com is the same site that posted that fake rumor a month or two back that Waters was about to release her bill and it also would wind down F&F. That caused a short dip at that time, fizzled out, and proved false.
Is this a legitimate site? Does anybody have any confirmation of the hedge fund rumor from any other site that isn't simply referring back to FT.com?
Check out these Official Freddie & Fannie videos if you haven't already:
Freddie
Very excited for tomorrow!
Yes today didn't go as we all expected but at least we got a solid hour in there to fill gaps & end the day up green on pretty good 1hr of volume. I think a lot of people have no idea FNMA even traded today (thinking the OTC would be closed all day).
The senate hearing today was actually INTERESTING. There were a lot of deficiencies brought out about the senate GSE proposals. The low-income housing advocates don't feel like Corker-Warner satisfies their needs. This could really lead to some interesting press releases from social groups.
There's a lot of financial news out there and it's ALL positive. Every index was red today = more possible free money for F&F tomorrow.
Fannie was so strong, FMCC took the DTA, tomorrow is a short covering day, Fridays are always good to us. I see great things coming for us :)
I'm seeing volume on the bid & ask, still nothing moving though
HERE WE GO~!
Taxpayers almost whole F&F Bailout
On the front page of Marketwatch
http://blogs.marketwatch.com/capitolreport/2013/11/07/taxpayers-almost-whole-on-fannie-freddie-bailout/?mod=MW_home_latest_news
(don't know if this was posted already)
Yes I'm hearing 12PM Eastern as well all over twitter - but take that with a grain of salt because the 'predictions' have been coming every hour and some are even predicting down all day.
As far as I can tell, no official prediction from OCTMarket.
To be perfectly honest with you if I even had a guess as to what is going on (beyond what they're telling us) I'd be talking out of my ass.
I have no clue nor have I ever seen this happen before. We do get trading halts on the big boards sometimes but they resolve themselves very quickly.
I just feel like FNMA & FMCC are extremely important to us and this board in particular so some of us tend to think of the OTC world as the F&F world, when in fact this very issue is causing tons of other traders to think the same things about their own stocks.
Shorts are shaking in their boots!
Can you imagine - the great news that comes out and now they have to sit for who knows how many hours longer while the OTC is down wondering what type of ding they're gonna take.
Remember - the suffering goes both ways.