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joemoni, I find I am 75% accurate with technical analysis on pennies. I can anticipate the top (barring some explosive news blowing through a resistance top) and use buy signals at the bottom. I also use bashers sometimes as buy signals; no trouble ignoring that loud noise and interference (a sign of maturity I reckon)<ggg> Trading the range can be very profitable (too much emotion with many penny traders); my secret, take the emotion out, watch a ballgame, pop a cold one.........
Ben
Beware of “Strong Buy Recommendations” for OTCBB Stocks
SANTA MARIA, CA (OTCBB NEWSWIRE), September 7, 2001-- Stock research firms, investor relations firms, investment bankers, “analysts,” etc. often put out email blasts and/or “news” into the investment community about certain stocks. Investors need to be very leery about this kind of information. The fact is there is no official following by analysts for OTCBB stocks on Wall Street. Wall Street analysts typically stay away from low priced, speculative issues like a vast majority of those found on the OTCBB and The Pink Sheets. That is why you almost never read about these stocks in places like the Wall Street Journal, Investors Business Daily, CNBC, Bloomberg, and others. The real experts know that these tiny companies typically have little or no fundamental value and that the stocks do not behave like their counterparts on the larger exchanges. This makes professional analyst coverage extremely difficult if not impossible.
In desperation of poor market conditions these days many firms will release news or psuedo news in the form of a “Strong Buy Recommendation.” We have received dozens of these over the past several months. It gets a little old quite frankly. We received one this morning for a .70 stock. Here is some of the language that is used:
“Today's market has left investors chewing on their fingernails in fear. But you could be one of the lucky ones...the champion investor who everybody envies: we'll let you in on a little secret, which will make you a very substantial profit…In our opinion, this represents a tremendous investment opportunity since there is a very high demand…This company is extremely undervalued and based on EPS projections a price target of $6.00 can be reached in the near future…This company is extremely undervalued and based on EPS projections a price target of $6.00 can be reached in the near future.”
Particularly noteworthy of the one we received today is the fact that the disclaimer (the legal disclosure requirements that the SEC requires by firms promoting stocks) leaves out critical information that investors should know. Like how much was the firm paid? If it wasn’t paid then how much stock does the firm own and at what price did it purchase those shares? For such strong language as “Strong Buy Recommendation” don’t investors need to know this information?
Protect yourself. Ask the tough questions. Call the promoter and call the company and get the questions answered. It could mean all the difference in the world between winning and losing on the OTCBB.
Ben
Universal Express --USXP-- Engages Rubenstein Associates as P.R. Counsel
FRIDAY , SEPTEMBER 07, 2001 11:34 AM
NEW YORK, Sep 7, 2001 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Universal Express, Inc. (OTC BB:USXP) today announced that it has engaged Rubenstein Associates, Inc. as its public relations agency.
The company said the New York-based firm would provide a variety of external communications services, including media relations, public disclosure and strategic public relations counsel.
"As we continue to pursue a wide range of activities and to grow our company, Rubenstein Associates will help us get the word out to the business and financial community" said Richard Altomare, Chief Executive Officer of Universal Express. "This will be particularly important as we embark on a number of new strategic initiatives over the next six months or so."
Founded in 1954, Rubenstein Associates is one of the best known and largest independent public relation's agencies in the world.
Universal (USXP) operates several other subsidiaries in logistics (Luggage Express(TM)) and International shipping (WorldPost). Its association of private postal stores (PBC) provides various support services and numerous other programs to its members.
Visit Universal Express and its subsidiaries on the web at http://www.usxp.com.
Safe Harbor Statement under the Private securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: The statements contained herein which are not historical are forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, certain delays beyond the company's control with respect to market acceptance of new technologies or products delays in testing and evaluation of products, and other risks detailed from time to time in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
CONTACT: Rubenstein Associates, Inc., New York
Marcia Horowitz, 212/843-8014
URL: http://www.businesswire.com
Today's News On The Net - Business Wire's full file on the Internet
with Hyperlinks to your home page.
Copyright (C) 2001 Business Wire. All rights reserved.
-0-
KEYWORD: NEW YORK
INDUSTRY KEYWORD: TRANSPORTATION
SOURCE:
Universal
Express
Ben
Joemo, you might also be able to put the pot smokers in there too, unless that's a given with the hippie cult <gggg>. Could we have let our imagination go a little too far with this board?
Ben
King Resources Announces Start of Gas Well Re-Completion Program
TUESDAY , JULY 24, 2001 11:03 AM
GULFPORT, Miss., Jul 24, 2001 /PRNewswire via COMTEX/ -- King Resources Inc., (OTC Bulletin Board: KING.OB) www.kingresources.com , announced today that a KEY ENERGY work-over rig arrived on location yesterday on the Hawkins Ranch in Matagorda County, Texas to begin the re-completion of five wells in which KING has a carried interest. The last full month of production in January, 2001 for these wells was 72.036 million cubic feet of gas. When the rework is completed, those flow rates are expected to improve.
KEY's crew is preparing locations and roads for two new wells in which KING will have a carried twenty-five percent working interest. These wells will be drilled as soon as a drilling rig moves onto location and are expected to be completed and double production prior to the anticipated higher gas prices for the forthcoming winter.
This press release contains forward-looking statements, such as future development activity. KING notes that there are a variety of factors that could cause the actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results expressed.
Ben
King Resources Announces Start of Gas Well Re-Completion Program
TUESDAY , JULY 24, 2001 11:03 AM
GULFPORT, Miss., Jul 24, 2001 /PRNewswire via COMTEX/ -- King Resources Inc., (OTC Bulletin Board: KING.OB) www.kingresources.com , announced today that a KEY ENERGY work-over rig arrived on location yesterday on the Hawkins Ranch in Matagorda County, Texas to begin the re-completion of five wells in which KING has a carried interest. The last full month of production in January, 2001 for these wells was 72.036 million cubic feet of gas. When the rework is completed, those flow rates are expected to improve.
KEY's crew is preparing locations and roads for two new wells in which KING will have a carried twenty-five percent working interest. These wells will be drilled as soon as a drilling rig moves onto location and are expected to be completed and double production prior to the anticipated higher gas prices for the forthcoming winter.
This press release contains forward-looking statements, such as future development activity. KING notes that there are a variety of factors that could cause the actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results expressed.
Ben
thanks for that summary, am watching LFZA for a dip to a penny, and may play some on spec
Ben
heres one that has pulled back to a nice level
BTX
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=btx&d=t
also URMD may be worthwhile
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=urmd.ob&d=t
Ben
is that an alphabetic listing <gg>, but ABRG still inching up on low volume
Ben
CHES up 48% on one million volume, lets see what today is about
Ben
hope you did not pull CHAG from your watchlist and have you been watching CHES <gg>, and it was my mistake, CHAG only dipped to 6 cents, not 5 cents<gg>
Ben
will ABRG be making a move soon, been consolidating in low .03s for awhile?
Ben
catching this one under .10 would be juicy, and we know it can move fast
Southern States Power Co. Generators Installed And Ready For Backup Standby Power Project
SATURDAY , JULY 21, 2001 01:56 PM
ONTARIO, Calif., Jul 21, 2001 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Southern States Power Company, Inc. (OTCBB:SSPC) announced Saturday that the three 2-megawatt generators that are capable of delivering a total of 6 megawatts of biofueled standby backup electrical power to the University of California Riverside are in place, and have successfully completed start-up and testing procedures. The testing of these units has proven their capability to provide power for the University of California, Riverside, and their ability to feed energy to the Riverside power grid. Control of the project has been transferred to Riverside Public Utilities, who will operate the site.
The generators were installed by the firm of Henkels and McCoy, a nationwide electrical contractor, in conjunction with Southern States Power Company. Start-up and testing procedures were completed by Cummins/Onan factory authorized personnel. Cummins technicians were flown to the site to program the computerized utility paralleling system, one of only six in the world that utilize this advanced technology.
"Southern States Power Company is please to help usher a new era in power generation integrating the use of alternative, renewable, clean-burning fuels," commented Harrison A. McCoy III, executive vice president of SSPC. "Approximately 5,000 gallons of the company's OXyG 100% Biodiesel is on hand to fuel this project, and Southern States Power Company's own tanker truck is on 24-hour standby for delivery of additional fuel as needed."
SSPC recently announced that through its distributor, General Petroleum, it is regularly providing fuel to the city of Claremont, Calif., in addition to previously announced clients in Arizona.
The Company
The primary focus of Southern States Power Company, Inc. is to develop, produce and distribute alternative fuels, particularly its OXyG Biodiesel, for use by consumers and commercial businesses. While the demand for alternative fuels is great, there are few producers ready to meet the growing need.
There are nearly 27 billion gallons of diesel consumed annually in the United States alone, and an additional volume is consumed internationally. It is the goal of the United States Department of Energy that 30% of petroleum based motor fuel be replaced by alternative fuels by the year 2010. Federal and state fleets are mandated to use up to 75% domestically produced alternative fuels. President George W. Bush's recently released National Energy Policy emphasized the growing role that biodiesel will play in the nation's energy future.
Southern States Power is poised to capture a significant portion of the rapidly expanding biodiesel market through an aggressive marketing plan as well as contacts in government, business and industry. An alliance with soybean farmers in Iowa will supply the company with as much as 270 million gallons of feedstock for use in production of its OXyG Biodiesel. Tightening clean air standards and growing fossil fuel costs are forcing private commercial fleets to look toward alternative fuel products. Major biodiesel initiatives have been passed in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Nevada, Delaware and Iowa. More information can be found at the company's website: www.sspowerco.com.
Safe Harbor
This news release may contain forward-looking statements, which are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties, including the timely development and market acceptance of products and technologies and other factors described in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The actual results may differ materially from any forward-looking statements due to such risk and uncertainties. The company undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements in order to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this release.
CONTACT: Southern States Power Company, Inc.
Mark Taylor, 909/476-3575 (Investor Relations)
ir@sspowerco.com
pr@sspowercom.com
URL: http://www.businesswire.com
Today's News On The Net - Business Wire's full file on the Internet
with Hyperlinks to your home page.
Copyright (C) 2001 Business Wire. All rights reserved.
-0-
KEYWORD: CALIFORNIA ARIZONA
INDUSTRY KEYWORD: AUTOMOTIVE
ENERGY
OIL/GAS
UTILITIES
Ben
nice low float, bounced hard off .03 this week, do you see upward movement before closer to mid Aug?
Ben
been following IBIZ, I hope it breaks out and up, but have a hunch we may see it drop to .015 or so before moving back up. I hope I'm wrong <g>
some links I found
IBIZ DD Links:
Business Description
IBIZ Technology Corp., through its wholly owned subsidiary INVNSYS Technology Corporation, designs, manufactures and distributes desktop computers, monitors, transactional printers, financial application keyboards, numeric keypads and related products. INVNSYS also provides network integration services, digital subscriber line high speed Internet connection services, business-to-business sale of software and a co-location computer data and server facility. INVNSYS also provides repair services and sells maintenance contracts. INVNSYS operates a service center in Phoenix, Arizona.
Expanded Business Description
http://yahoo.marketguide.com/mgi/busidesc.asp?rt=busidesc&rn=A24FC
Significant Developments
http://yahoo.marketguide.com/mgi/signdevt.asp?rt=signdevt&rn=A24FC
General Information and Share Information
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/i/IBIZ.ob.html
Basic Company Profile
http://www.knobias.com/individual/research/basicprofile.htm?ticker=IBIZ&coid=1194371378
BigCharts Interactive Chart
http://www.bigcharts.com/intchart/frames/frames.asp?symb=IBIZ&time=8&freq=1
SEC Filings
http://www.nasdaq.com/asp/quotes_sec.asp?symbol=IBIZ&selected=IBIZ
Recent Press Releases
http://biz.yahoo.com/n/i/IBIZ.ob.html
Company Webpage
http://www.ibizcorp.com/
Executive Biographies
http://yahoo.marketguide.com/mgi/biograph.asp?rt=biograph&rn=A24FC
Insider Trade Data
http://biz.yahoo.com/t/i/IBIZ.html
Catalysts
http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/research/wizards/srwcatalysts.asp?Symbol=IBIZ
Historical Quotes
http://host.wallstreetcity.com/wsc2/Historical_Quotes.html?Button=NEW+REQUEST&template=hisquote.....
Active Market Makers
http://www.otcbb.com/asp/tradeact_mml.asp?searchby=i&searchfor=IBIZ&x=20&y=6
Market Maker Activity
http://www.otcbb.com/asp/tradeact_mv.asp?SearchBy=i&Issue=IBIZ&SortBy=v&month=10-1-2000&....
OTCBB Level 2 Quotes
http://www.otcbb.com/asp/mp_quotes.asp?Sort=4&Quotes=IBIZ
BarCharts Signals
http://quotes.barchart.com/texpert.asp?sym=IBIZ
Stockscores.com Rating
http://www.stockscores.com/index.asp
OTCBB Most Active List
http://quotes.freerealtime.com/dl/frt/stats?exch=D&stat=0
Technical Analysis Education
http://www.stockcharts.com/education/index.html
http://www.e-analytics.com/techdir.htm
http://www.chartpatterns.com
http://www.clearstation.com/education/cover.shtml
http://www.litwick.com
http://www.investormall.com/compleat/averages.htm
Charting Webpages
http://www.bigcharts.com
http://www.prophetcharts.com
http://www.stockcharts.com
SEC Complaint Link
http://www.sec.gov/enforce/comctr.htm
Ben
plug in momentum to chart, appears HDWR may be losing some steam, can it break through resistance at 15. might not this run
Ben
might want to check out CHES, up 37% Friday. also think RHAT may see low 2.00 and CHAG may see .05 in the next few weeks
CHESTER HOLDINGS LTD - Acquisition
Vancouver, BC, Jun 26, 2001 (Market News Publishing via COMTEX) -- CHESTER HOLDINGS, Ltd. that it has entered into an agreement to acquire all of the issued and outstanding stock of Red Mountain Energy, Inc.
Located in Scottsdale, AZ, Red Mountain Energy, Inc. is involved in the exploration for and production of Coalbed Methane in the western United States and Canada.
The Agreement calls for Chester to issue Convertible Preferred stock to Red Mountain in exchange for all of the issued and outstanding shares of Red Mountain. The management of Red Mountain Energy, with many years of experience in the "CBM" industry, intends to assume management responsibility for the combined company. Michael O'Shea, President of Chester Holdings, Ltd. will continue as a Board member.
Michael O'Shea, President of Chester, commented, "This acquisition should finally allow a management team the opportunity to reorganize Chester and allow it to move forward as an operating entity. Red Mountain Energy is a well-funded exploration company with an experienced management team and I look forward to working with them. Also, this acquisition, and the resulting new management and Board, will not effect the current agreement in place between Chester and Probity International concerning the licensing of the Probity Gradient in China."
The management of Red Mountain Energy, Inc. will shortly announce its plans concerning Chester as well as a new shareholder information network.
"Safe Harbor" Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Act of 1995; to the extent that this press release makes statements about the future, such statements are forward looking and subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, the inability to meet all of the required reporting requirements. These risks could effect the ability of the Company to complete acquisition and successfully reorganize and resume operations as stated in any forward looking statements by, or on behalf of the Company. There is no assurance that the Company will be able to achieve any of its intended objectives.
CONTACT: TEL: 864/962-8638 Chester Holdings, Simpsonville
Michael O'Shea
MarketbyFax(tm) - To get the NEWS as it happens, call (604) 689-3041.
(C) 2001 Market News Publishing Inc.
-0-
KEYWORD: Vancouver, BC
Ben
The Neptune Society Releases First Quarter Numbers
Wow! What A Great Quarter For NTUN!
There are great opportunities for investors in a lean and mean market environment and The Neptune Society (OTC BB: NTUN) story surpasses all standards.
The company is only now beginning to realize the strength of its brand name and the positive results its management decisions have brought about over the past two years. The eagerly awaited, quarterly report that was just issued far exceeded our expectations and we are truly excited and proud to bring this stock to your attention.
Gaining market share, streamlining operations to peak capacity of production, and a sales and marketing strategy that is paying off with record response rates and contracts signed, has made the Neptune Society the absolute leader in their niche -- the only publicly traded company that deals solely in cremation.
Read On. We’re Confident You’ll Agree.
Recent Highlights
For the last 5 days, made a new high in stock price 5 times
From 6/8 at $2.15 a share, the stock made a 20-day run to $6.20 on 6/26
Relisted to the OTC BB from the Pink Sheets and will be applying for a senior exchange listing
Analyst coverage initiated by Banyan Capital Markets
Multex Market Guide establishes ProVestor company report 6/23
Quarterly Highlights
1) Gross Profit Margin ratio 10% higher than industry average
2) Most recent quarter revenue growth up 67% over the same period prior year
3) First quarter EBITDA increased 37% over same period prior year
4) Pre-Need contracts up 78%
Symbolic of management efficiency, all major categories of Neptune’s Operating
Statement improved as a percentage of revenue for the quarter ended 03/31/01.
Revenues Increased 68%
And As A Percentage Of Revenues...
Management and finance fees decreased
Direct cost and expenses decreased
Gross profit increased
General and administrative expenses decreased
Amortization and depreciation expense decreased
Professional fees decreased
Total general administrative expenses decreased
Interest expense decreased
We anticipate the Neptune Society’s quarterly achievements in financial ratios
and valuations will continue to improve in the next quarter and the Company
will increase asset recognition, increase revenues, and reduce costs.
HOT OFF THE PRESS !!!
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
THE NEPTUNE SOCIETY ANNOUNCES FIRST QUARTER RESULTS
Burbank, CA., June 27, 2001 – The Neptune Society, Inc., (OTC BB: NTUN) one of the country’s largest publicly traded cremation specialists, announced its significant strategic accomplishments and financial results of operations during the three months ended March 31, 2001.
On June 1, 2001, the staff of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) came to a position of no further comment with respect to Neptune Society’s Registration Statement Form 10 filed with the SEC to register its common stock under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, completing an extensive and expensive 18-month process. During the process, with guidance from the staff of the SEC, Neptune Society developed its accounting policies related to recognition of pre-need merchandise revenue prior to the provision of cremation services. Subsequently, Neptune Society implemented changes to its pre need sales programs that will allow it to recognize pre-need merchandise revenues at the point-of-sale in certain states on a going forward basis.
Also with guidance from the staff of the SEC, Neptune Society adopted new accounting policies, which resulted in the deferral of pre-need merchandise revenues in the amounts of $1.6 million and $4.3 million during the first quarter and the year ended December 31, 2000, respectively. Under United States generally accepted accounting principles, these deferrals are not recognized in the revenues of Neptune Society. During the first quarter ended March 31, 2001, Neptune Society recognized revenues of $2.7 million.
Approximately two and one half years ago, Neptune Society acquired a group of closely-held corporations and limited partnerships loosely connected with virtually no standardized policies and procedures for financial and managerial information reporting. In 2000, Neptune Society invested heavily to substantially retool these operations for the purposes of realizing operating efficiencies. Neptune Society has attracted talented management personnel, expanded its telemarketing operations, updated and expanded its accounting and management information systems (including networking office locations together), made two strategic acquisitions, opened two new offices and implemented the infrastructure and quality controls necessary to support future growth and expansion.
In the first quarter of 2001, Neptune Society began to realize positive results from the changes to its business infrastructure and the addition of new offices. Neptune Society’s first quarter operations generated positive cash flows, after taking into consideration certain prepaid expenses and certain payments related to fiscal year 2000, which caused cash flows related to operating activities to decrease. In addition, Neptune Society incurred $176,000 in professional fees, primarily related to the registration of its common stock under the Securities Exchange Act to qualify its shares for listing on the NASD over-the-counter bulletin board and, in the future, a listing on a major exchange. The costs incurred for professional fees are anticipated to begin to trend downward toward the end of the second quarter.
Management believes that other indicators of growth and progress of Neptune Society’s performance include transaction volume and non-refundable sales (sales for which the customer has no refund or cancellation rights even though these sales may not be recognizable as revenue under the new accounting policies and US GAAP). Below are selected financial and operational results for the quarter ended March 31, 2001 compared to the same period in the prior year:
Pre-need contract sales volume up 76%
Total transaction volume up 58%
Revenues up 68%
Non-refundable sales (non-US GAAP) up 67%
Gross profit up 100%
Gross profit % up 17%
Earnings & deferred earnings before interest,
taxes, depreciation and amortization (non-US GAAP) up $796,099
While other major death-care industry companies reported declining transaction volumes and top line revenues during the first quarter compared to the same period in 2000 due in part to declining mortality rates, Neptune Society experienced increased transaction volume across all product lines. Pre-need contract sales volume increased 76 percent overall, with existing offices accounting for 41 percent of the overall increase. At-need case volume increased 46 percent over the same period last year, with existing offices accounting for 13 percent of the overall growth.
Revenues were $2.7 million for the for the three month period ended March 31, 2001 compared to $1.6 million for the same period in 2000. Non-refundable sales were $4.2 million for the three month period ended March 31, 2001 compared to $2.5 million for the same period in 2000. Non-refundable sales increased 67 percent due to increased at-need and pre-need activity, change in product mix (from installment sales to paid-in-full sales) and the introduction of a new travel assurance product offering. The introduction of the Neptune Society Worldwide Travel Assurance Plan, a new product offering, contributed $295,000 to the increase in non-refundable sales and revenues during the first quarter of 2001.
Gross profits doubled from $.65 million for the first quarter of 2000 to $1.3 million during for the same period in 2001. Gross profit percentage increased 17 percent due to the increased volume of activity and the resulting revenues, which covered certain fixed costs related to cremation and telemarketing operations.
Earnings and deferred earnings (deferred revenues and costs, net) before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization are representative of the Company’s operating performance if no revenues or costs had been deferred. This non-US GAAP metric was $387,000, up $796,099 in the first quarter of 2001 versus the same period in 2000.
Management believes that the Neptune Society is well positioned for growth in each of its core product lines: Pre-Need contract sales and at-need case deposition. Neptune Society has consolidated a group of companies into a strategically focused public company serving the cremation segment of the death care industry. Neptune Society’s goal in 2001 is to continue to integrate its product offerings, achieve higher organic and expansion growth, maintain positive cash flows and maximize the value that management believes to be inherent in Neptune Society for the benefit of its shareholders.
The Neptune Society’s complete Form 10 and Form 10Q for the quarter ending March 31, 2001 is available for viewing at www.neptunesociety.com or the Securities Exchange Commission website at www.sec.gov.
RODNEY M. BAGLEY
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
NEPTUNE SOCIETY INC.
About The Neptune Society
Headquartered in Burbank, CA., The Neptune Society Inc. is one of North America’s largest cremation specialists, and is the only publicly traded company dealing solely in cremation services. The Neptune Society, operating for nearly three decades with locations in California, Florida, New York, Washington, Iowa, Oregon and Arizona has provided thousands of cremation services and currently has close to 60,000 active contracts and nearly $40 million in trust in its unique Pre-Need program. The Neptune Society’s goal is to provide a simple, dignified and economic alternative to the traditional funeral burial service system.
Disclaimer: This press release may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Readers/Investors are cautioned that the forward- looking statements are inherently uncertain, including statements related to the Company’s business strategy and future plans, continuing trends related to results of operations, success of acquisitions and expansion efforts, its ability to integrate its current business strategies into its existing operations, its ability to successfully financing to satisfy its obligations under promissory notes due during 2001, regulatory or economic changes affecting the death care industry, and the Company’s expectations for future success. Actual performance and results of operations may differ materially from those projected or suggested. The forward-looking statements contained herein represent the Company’s judgment as of the date of this release, and the Company cautions the reader not to place undue reliance on such statements. These forward-looking statements should not be reprinted, reiterated nor considered an inducement for investment.
Ben
A Guide to Protective Stop Losses
By Paul Lange, Moderator of Pristine's Educational Trading Room,
and Private Mentor in Pristine's Private Mentorship Program
Protective stop losses. You have read about them. You have been lectured to about them. You still don't use them properly. What do you do? The purpose of this article is to go into more detail. More than just to say you must use them. I will try to explain why you may not use them properly, and to give helpful suggestions of new ways to begin using them properly.
Let's get a few facts out in the open first. Fact Number One: Most traders do not make it in the long term, especially those who do not get training. Fact Number Two: Most traders who fail do so because of not following their stops. Fact Number Three: Your goal is to get to the point where you follow stops like a reflex, just like you would jump out of the way of a speeding car. There is no in-between. Either you follow them or you don't. I am going to offer suggestions to get to this goal, but they are not substitutes for this goal. You must accept that you have a flaw and it needs to be fixed.
What is a stop loss? It is a line in the sand right? A spot that is chosen to represent the maximum loss on a trade? Well, not totally. Most people don't realize that the stop loss comes from the chart. Depending on the play, some may have tight stops, some may be wide. You really need to know the stop first, so you can play the right number of shares so that your maximum loss on a trade is within the limits you have set out in your trading plan (you do have a trading plan, right?). You can't change the stop, as that would violate the integrity of the play. You can adjust your share size to make the potential loss within your limits. You can pass on the play if it does not fit into your plan. You may not realize it, but this is the first step in following your stop. Have a trade and share size you can live with.
Consider trader Jane. Once upon a time she bought a stock as it broke out from an all-afternoon long base. Her stop was below the low of the base. The stock started up, and then pulled back to the base. Then below the base. Below the stop. In disbelief, Jane just froze. This was a perfect setup; it just can't fail! Now the stock really plummets. She can't sell now; obviously it can't go any lower. She doesn't want to sell at the low of the day. So she hangs on. The stock starts to come back. It rallies back to the base. Then back above. It turns out to be a big winner.
This is a problem for Jane. Oliver Velez in his book, "Tools and Tactics for the Master Day Trader," calls this "winning the wrong way." It does not matter how many times Jane now loses money by violating her stops. She will always remember this one winner. That is the way the mind works; it remembers what it wants. In the Educational Trading Room, we are big on teaching the tracking of trades, and printing charts and identifying mistakes. By doing this you would know that most of the time violating a stop results in more losses. Jane may go on violating stops because she only remembers that one time. The one time her loser became a winner.
How about trader John. Maybe you can relate to this. He goes long a stock. It never goes quite right. The futures start slipping. His stock hits his stop. He does not sell it because he feels he is an experienced trader and his stock deserves a "little more room." After all, his stock is holding up well; it is just the futures that have slipped. If they come back, surely his stock will do well. If he sells it now, it is likely to come shooting back and since he is in the trade, it is worth a "little more investment" to "give it a chance." Does this sound familiar? The stock does not come back much, and John starts looking at his stop. He realizes that his stop was awfully tight, and just a little bit lower is a major area of support. So he makes that his new stop. Of course, that stop comes close, and he now looks and realizes that the low of the day is not far below and that will be solid support. That will be the final stop.
Well of course, as that stop gets violated, John starts thinking that he can't sell it now. I can't get any lower and it is "due to bounce." Besides, the daily chart has support in this area. Finally, in some truly sad situations, John may start looking up the fundamentals of the company. He has taken a scalp off of a five-minute chart and now has an investment. How did this happen? Does any of this sound familiar? Looking back, that original stop was not such a bad idea.
So what do we do? First you have a trading plan. You have outlined how many shares you can trade with a stop loss at a certain point. This makes sure that you are trading with a share size that allows you to take a loss when needed.
Second, have your plan and all of your rules in writing. Very specific. Written as a promise to yourself. Your mind responds different to something you write. It does. You must write. Review your rules and keep a top 10 every week. If your rule is simply, "Always follow stops," but this is not working, try this.
1 I will sell all of my positions at my written stop loss every time.
2 If I am too foolish to do the above, I promise I will sell half my position.
3 I will then sell the back half of my position at the next support level that is violated.
4 If I am too foolish to do the above, I will sell the last half at the low of the day.
5 If I am too foolish to do the above, I will sell the last half at the end of the day.
6 If I am too foolish to do the above, I will quit trading.
By selling half it lets you get in the habit of doing what is right, while appeasing the terrible spot in your mind that does not want to be a loser. You will find it easier to sell half. Once you sell half, your mind will start thinking properly again. If you cannot get rid of the back half, you must sell by the end of the day. Never never hold a loser overnight. That is a career stopper.
In summary, have a trading plan. Define what you are allowed to lose on a trade. Define what your share size can be on a trade. We have sample trading plans that we use in the Educational Trading Room. Define what your goals are so your subconscious knows what being a loser is. If you are 3 for 7 in winning trades but you made money, are you a loser? Write your rules down and learn to follow them. Sell half for now if you can't sell it all. You must get to the point where stops are automatic and reflexive. Lastly, never, never take home a loser.
Ben
e-mail alert! couple weeks old though
Company Profile: Amgen, Inc. is a global biotechnology company that discovers, develops, manufactures and markets human therapeutics based on advances in cellular and molecular biology. The Company manufactures and markets four human therapeutic products, EPOGEN (Epoetin alfa), NEUPOGEN (Filgrastim), INFERGEN (Interferon alfacon-1) and STEMGEN (Ancestim). Amgen uses wholesale distributors of pharmaceutical products as the principal means of distributing the Company's products to clinics, hospitals and pharmacies. Trading Strategy: AMGN has consolidated sideways for a over a week. The price action preceding this pattern and yesterday was bullish which means that the odds of an upside breakout remain high. Yesterday’s decline showed weakness across many sectors and stocks. While the biotech index closed down AMGN did not, indicating relative strength. Tip: Breakouts of sideways consolidation patterns tend to resolve themselves in the direction of the price action that preceded the pattern. We’ll look to buy AMGN once it trades above $67.60 with our fixed stop $2.61 away. High Risk. Objective: Our objective will be $2.75 to $6.00 over the next several days. SPW Update: SFA gained $3.04 at high to meet objective Congrats. Have a great week!
Ben
hi bb, joined you on IDNW, financial picture looks good, but on RMOO, it does not look so good - you playing RMOO just for bounce? any other thoughts about RMOO
Ben
just want to say its fun here, I really enjoy following you here, and have made some money from your selections - cheers for the day
Ben
level 2 on BKTV and TDWV look pretty good, but I like the chart on TDWV a little better, that's the one I go with
http://askresearch.com/cgi-bin/chart?symbol=tdwv&exchange=USA&size=640x480&months=6+mont...
Ben
son of a guns raised the bid on DLNK as soon as I put my .17 bid in>>>>dogsters <g>
Ben
LRNN patched out this morning <ggg>, TLYX upticking also
Ben
ok, who got LRNN for scratch <ggg>, TLYX upticking also fyi
Ben
shac, Comanche's SEC filing sat above Imperial's when I went to look up Imperial, just thought that odd, perhaps the subsidiary connection was why
Ben
level 2 on LRNN looks like a humdinger <ggg>
Ben
vendit could tell us better but FLYR may have topped and take a short respite <g>
http://askresearch.com/cgi-bin/chart?symbol=flyr&exchange=USA&size=640x480&months=3+mont...
Ben
what do you know about Comanche
>>>not much
Ben
shac, are they tied to Comanche somehow - you know?
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/355356/000111186401000006/0001111864-01-000006-0001.txt
Ben
same feeling here, being accumulated, time will tell
Ben
LRNN under serious accumulation, charts lookin good also <g>
http://askresearch.com/cgi-bin/chart?symbol=lrnn&exchange=USA&size=640x480&months=6+mont...
Ben
just play TLYX, LRNN lookin pretty good, despite intraday pullback, may have a weener here <ggg>
http://askresearch.com/cgi-bin/chart?symbol=lrnn&exchange=USA&size=640x480&months=6+mont...
Ben
what a nice play Jenna, when I looked at STOR chart last week, saw some pullback coming though. we'll see
Ben
HCEN was screaming also, but I hesitate chasin em.
Ben
Take a look at TLYX, running on the news, maybe it will hold this time <g>
Ben
TDWV, looks like it's at bottom and I'll put some research effort into it and get back with you on my findings
yes Patsy, I would like to see what you find, I like the price now
Ben
LRNN a screamer
http://www.pinksheets.com/quote/quote.jsp?symbol=lrnn
Big Ben
you guys are getting some tough customers today, you need a bigbadben bouncer <ggg>
Big Ben