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TGB is primed
It's a profitable, producing copper and gold stock, and the story and numbers show me it's undervalued by 50-100 percent.
Better, chart shows it's about to finally shake off the automatic even-dollar ($3) sellers in the next few days and then run hard toward $4+, IMO.
Nice board as always, Peter. My fave of all on IHub.
And shocking to see the demise of BRVO; I remember riding it from .18 to a buck a few years ago. Based on the startup of sales of their Milky Way and Three Musketeer Slammers flavored drinks. Very delicious they were, but maybe because of the fitness movement they never really caught on.
gold prices
I appreciate what you mean about bullion prices causing gold stocks to rise with the tide, but I think what's driving the CUSIF move in particular is the start of production on 25K ounces of gold in 2007 with OS count at only 70 million, it's a $1 stock in the making.
Same sudden "way undervalued" recognition has been driving WITM upward I believe, as it used to be strictly regarded as a smalltime gold play but then had its CEO come out and state that their recent merger transformed them into a company worth "$5.83 per share." By rights WITMs run should have been over already, but it looks like it may run more still next week! I am only a holder of CUSIF right now.
Peter, CUSIF has started to move
But personally won't even think of selling until it's well north of .50.
Congrats on APYM and
ETLT and an impressive list of winners lately. Good luck to us both on cusif, my biggest holding right now.
Peter, WITM and ETLT,
both poised, hard to say which one will explode past $1 first, I'm guessing, WITM
In CUSIF at .25
Convinced this will be a doubler soon.
CEO stated have begun production of 25,000 ounces of gold per year, with 65M shares outstanding. Conservatively, .12 net income per share, = CUSIF share price of $1.50 by year's end.
Insider sale
I realize that the director who sold half all his shares in the company in the past week is 77 years old, but talk about killing the momentum of a stock.
Apparently his son is supposed to be a wizard stock picker, which makes it even worse.
Who could have seen that coming? Can't catch a break with any of my picks lately it seems.
PUDC a puzzler
I looked back at the pr.s for the past couple of months. There was one that said they have had no significant problems with finances or revenue outlook to explain the dropoff in stock price.
Press release today basically states they will be generating
$29 million in net income in 2007. With 81 million shares outstanding that's about 35 cents per share net income. Yet the stock is acting hard pressed to ride and stay above the $1.15 level despite today's extra heavy volume. Hmmmmmmmm...
I'm in at 1.10,. Figuring it ought to fight it's way back to $1.50 at least.
Last post "three days ago" ?! C'mon, people!
post some messages. Get a little excited. Can't you feel it? $2 is just around the corner. Today's zero cheap shares available after record volume last week proves it -- this one's ticking!
Tick, tick, tick... BOOM!
And yeah, I'm saying it breaks big manana (actually today) Feb. 13.
I'll amend my post from yesterday
about being "two buys away from $1.20" to we are just two DAYS away from $1.20 and higher price levels starting Tuesday. The chart is looking very solid and predictable at this point.
I direct your attention specifically to the candle chart posted above this message in the IBox. Look at the long candle jump up last week followed by a short red candle, two subsequent short white candles and then another long white... I submit that we are in a continuation of this very same candlestick pattern: long white, short red,two short whites, and the POP.
Monday will be the second short white, followed by Tuesday's pop, which could well be a HUGE breakout volume and price day methinks, $1.50 plus.
SSKILLZ, I could see that
happening Monday, but only briefly, which will prove the strength of CHBD at the current price. I see it less as shaking and more as tree "strengthening" going on right here. Cheap shares are very difficult to come by now as more people have seen CHBD percolating with new unusually higher trading volume, and that naturally leads them to check and find that the company's annual net income is actually .15 per share. So the true forward-looking PE is about 7.5, basic math.
This is AT LEAST a buck-fifty stock next week, on its way higher.
Looking at the chart
It appears that CHBD is doing the 1-2-3-4 day cha-cha, by holding firm at this level with the next likely pop in share price coming Tuesday.
This is a $2-plus stock, fair market value.
Just two buys away from $1.20
Shares are being tightly held today. Buyers lurking. That's my sense of the day's trading. Looking at level two, it appears if someone takes out the 5,000 shares at $1.15 and $1.16 we're off to the $1.20s and seriously running.
The volume continues to be good
Indicating a lot more interest in CHBD as a stock to be traded than anytime in the past year.
The short-term downside risk at this price is only about five to 10 percent. The upside gain potential on the other hand is a doubling of your investment.
Reminds me of DKAM in early December at this point. If we can close green or near to green by even a penny, $1.19, $1.20 in the next day or two, this is going to look like a VERY solid play to technical traders.
Kenneth Cole Productions
While we're all waiting patiently for the share price of CHBD to continue climbing to fairer market value (only a matter of time, too), I thought I'd paste this interesting info tidbit about the primary revenue generator for CHBD these days, excerpted from the business section of the St. Petersburg times:
www.sptimes.com/2007/01/16/Business/Retail_s_future_is_in.shtml
Ever wonder why Kenneth Cole Productions Inc. has such an unusual name? The namesake and shoe designer wanted to make a splash on the cheap when he first tried to sell his shoes to retailers 20 years ago. So he borrowed a 40-foot trailer as a showroom he would park on a busy New York street for three days. Getting a parking permit required approval from a variety of utilities, but instant approval could be had for film production. "I changed the company name the next day and said we were filming the birth of a new fashion company," Cole said. "We set up klieg lights, sold 40,000 pairs of shoes and kept film in the camera most of the time."
* * *
Price target
Mike, I hope this post doesn't violate the spirit of what you have made a very respectable, no-hype board, but I would like to see how many others feel similar to me about the short term target here.
It seems to me that basic math and growing earnings per share momentum means this stock deserves to be trading at least at a price to earnings ratio of 15.
Looking forward, if they post .03 per share in what is traditionally their "worst" quarter, then, conservatively, it appears they are going to pull 4 cents per share net income in each of the other three quarters, for an annual sum net income of: .15.
Fifteen multiplied by 15 = $2.25.
A conservative short-term price target would be $2.10, no?
Looks like the market reacted
to the press release, announcing that ARSC is on the verge of commercially producing hydrogen for $2 per the equivalent of a gallon of gasoline by saying, "Oh, really? Bull****." With today's opening gap down which I don't understand either. So I'm just holding, waiting for the chart momentum players to exit and logic to retake hold. Dull day.
Perhaps Mr. Neukomm
or whoever from the company is presenting on Saturday will be able to convince the audience that ARSC has in fact achieved a breakthrough in low-cost hydrogen production technology.
According to the press release about the SCIA conference, "Streaming videos of the CEO's and management speaking about their company's new developments and plans will be on demand online by Tuesday."
It would also be appreciated if someone could post a summary over the weekend of what ARSC's spokesperson had to say, in advance of the streaming video posting.
Here it is
www.industryweek.com/ReadArticle.aspx?ArticleID=13509&SectionID=2
I just googled the word "hydrogen" under the Google category "news." There seems to be new hydrogen related articles being posted hourly around the world.
The question for us of course is will ARSC be tapping into this burgeoning market. If the statements made in recent interviews hold true --
"ARSC CEO Frank Neukomm revealed that the company's subsidiary Hydra Fuel Cell Corp. was successfully upgrading an experimental method of producing hydrogen originally developed at a U.S. university.
Ben Schafer, CTO of Hydra Fuel Cell Corp., speaking on The Bill Chippas Show, (www.billchippasshow.com) said that currently the cost of producing a kilogram of hydrogen was around $7 to $8. Using this new technology, the cost of producing hydrogen could drop below $2 per kg, which is the DOE threshold to make hydrogen competitive with established energy sources.
Bob Farr, President and COO of ARSC, stated, "We expect the ability to produce hydrogen on demand using this technology will be a much bigger business for us than the fuel cell business." --
then this stock will continue to be a huge winner.
It's the new variation of "The Graduate" scene
where someone whispers to Dustin Hoffman's charcater that the future is in "plastics." The new word appears to be "hydrogen."
---------------------------------------------
Hybrids, Hydrogen Fuel Cells Top Choices For Car Buyers
More than 40% of global consumers would purchase cars with these technologies.
Compiled By Adrienne Selko
Jan. 31, 2007 -- Hybrids have the most fans among car purchasers in the U.S (50.9%) and France (46.9%) according to a survey released Jan. 30 by PULS, a German-based international market research firm. German car buyers chose diesel engines (18.4%) as the cars of the future.
More than 3,500 people who recently purchased a new car or planned to buy one were interviewed for the survey. Overall, hybrids were the car of choice (42.7%) followed by hydrogen fuel cell powered cars (41.9%.)
A smaller number of car buyers, 38.1%, perceive the future to be driven by fuel types derived from plants.
Opinions about diesel and petrol engines were surprising, according to the firm, with only 11.5% of those interviewed consider these traditional engine types to be future oriented.
Looking at the Chinese market, 50% of purchasers prefer hydrogen fuel cell compared to 5.2% who chose diesel engines.
In India, 37.6% of respondents said they believe the engine of the future will be fueled with natural gas, while 36.5% picked biological fuel types derived from plants.
"These survey results clearly show that even in emerging markets, one cannot hope to succeed in these countries with conventional petrol and diesel technology," said Dr. Konrad Wessner, owner and general manager of PULS.
Hydrogen in the news
Is it only because I'm a holder of ARSC stock and thus more aware of news with the word "hydrogen" in it... Or have there actually been a lot of mentions of hydrogen in the news lately?
The buzz from stories like this one should draw more people to hydrogen stocks into next week, next month, no?
---------------------------------------------
Congressmen announce fuel cell bill
02 February 2007
Author:
Provider: Adfero
Four US congressmen have introduced bipartisan legislation that they hope will promote the widespread adoption of hydrogen fuel cell technology.
Republicans Zach Wamp and Lee Terry and Democrats Mike Doyle and Albert Russell Wynn yesterday introduced the proposed Hydrogen Fuel Cell Commercialisation Act, which includes plans to extend the current 30 per cent tax credit on fuel cells and introduce further tax credits for hydrogen fuel.
The legislation would see the federal tax credit on fuel cell equipment extended to 2013 in order to encourage both businesses and consumers to invest in fuel cell technology, and provide a 30 per cent tax break on hydrogen fuel too.
Announcing the new bill, Congressman Doyle said that development of fuel cell power was an aim for both Republican and Democrat parties.
"Hydrogen fuel cell technology holds tremendous potential for allowing Americans to be more responsible stewards of our environment," he said at a press conference.
"It also offers us a way to reduce our dependence on oil from violent and politically unstable parts of the world by providing a reliable, affordable alternative to the internal combustion engine."
Mr Doyle added that the tax relief plans were about creating demand to enable fuel cell companies to develop and grow.
"These tax credits would develop enough private-sector demand for fuel cell technology to become an economically viable alternative for electricity generation," he said.
Congressman Terry added that tax credits would allow further deployment of fuel cells in a variety of industry sectors, including transport, military, and for back-up power applications.
Would be great if we could feed the
key info about Hydra Fuel -- that the company has developed a process to make hydrogen fuel for $2 for the equivalent of a gallon of gasoline -- into the hands of the 2008 presidential candidates.
Since I am in the New Hampshire media, I plan to do just that.
One of the candidates (who are ALL touting the need for alt fuels these days) could pay a visit to Beaverton OR. It would become national news and would really make this stock rocket.
A good day today. It looks like that gap down from Tuesday's close of .084 is about to get solidly filled after the open tomorrow, followed by predictable flipping by some of the smart buyers who bought today and yesterday at .07, followed by a resumption of the uptrend next week.
Innershare and ARSC, is anyone else feeling
very encouraged by ARSC's apparent decision to protect the integrity of their outstanding shares and float by hiring this InnerShare company (ARSC press release Dec. 19)?
Sample from InnerShare's website:
"OUR SERVICES » Understand
Knowing who its active shareholders are and the effect they could have on stock price presents a significant opportunity to protect your company. Information, such as the percentage of retail and institutional shareholders and other stockholder demographics, gives you (the public company) the strategic information necessary to make the best decisions, track the effects of those decisions and deliver the most effective IR strategy possible.
InnerShare can show you how much of your stock is owned by the Non-Objecting Beneficial Owners (NOBO), Objecting Beneficial Owners (OBO) and Regular Beneficial Owners (RBO) shareholder segments. InnerShare can also track named shareholders or groups and provide detailed investigative services to help discover and explain areas of interest or concern.
In view of recent high profile court cases that exposed inappropriate trading behavior, shareholders and regulatory authorities are more sensitive to the financial transparency of corporate entities than ever before. InnerShare services provide corporate executives with the visibility and understanding of their shareholders, to better protect everyone's investment, and to ensure that corporate information is effectively communicated.
Who owns your company?
For a sample report, click here."
I LIKE, I LIKE I LIKE !!!!
Lowman, good post
and that HMGP chart is impressive. Looking at it closely, I think if ARSC is going to behave similarly from here on (and I believe it will), today ARSC is probably in the HMGP uptrend-but-stalled-momentarily stretch that occurred during three "red" days from Dec. 11.
Looks like maybe slow going and a buying opportunity for the next day and a half or so with ARSC... off to work for me, checking back later on.
Ovidius, nice work
Thank you! I wasn't even aware that such a site existed. Fascinating stuff! The more I look into this company, the more legit it appears. The audio from the recent interview stated flatly there are 100 million shares outstanding (no stratified classes of stock or "preferential" shares), millions of them held by insiders, including most prominently the CEO Frank Neukomm. He said the float is 60 million. If Mr. Neukomm he can make the hydrogen manufacture a reality, (and it very much appears that hyrdastax is the real deal) this company's stock wil run to $1 and higher and the Mr. Neukomm stands to make $10 million (at $1 per share) to $20 million (at $2 pps or more). Talk about incentive!!!
Really, click on the names of the principals of tis company, check out how many shares they own and recognize they haven't parted with a single one!
NEUKOMM FRANK R
5,987,270 DIRECT
3,599,509 INDIRECT
------------
9,586,779 TOTAL
DAVIS EDWARD 7,921,312 25-Aug-06
GRACE JOE 3,778,571 28 Oct-05
FARR ROBERT 2,544,706 25-Aug-06
TWEDT JAMES 2,379,662 26-Sep-06
That's about 30 million shares right there, and that's not all the insiders, just the largest holders.
Some here have posted that it will take further news to make this stock run higher. I would argue that the prospects are looking so good that this could run on the anticipation alone for another month or two... until and unless something occurs to pop the balloon. The only thing keeping this stock back from a huge run is awareness in the larger investing community due to what currently is a possible lack of understanding among the investment community as a whole about the potential of hyrdogen fuel. The website which Ovidius has posted touches upon the huge upside this company has in sight.
I got in at 8 cents and it's a no-brainer hold from here no matter happens in the immediate short-term this week. People will be selling into the dip, sure, but the potential is absolutely explosive -- just the way I like my penny stocks! No way I am getting out for a while.
I sold my DKAM way too early a few weeks back. Let's see if I can hang onto this baby past the inevitable doubling and tripling from this level.
GLTA
Are you going to bash this on every retracement all the way to $1? Here's what you said just before the run to .099
"Posted by: copleybmt
Date:1/24/2007 11:54:34 AM
Post #of 1520
This will go down again until another more concrete PR is released too fluffy! I do like the potential but the price will look better at .03!
The "news" is already out on this company. retracements yes, in an upward trend. Crashes, no.
Congrats on CHMD Peter
I cannot remember my last four bagger, forget five. CHMD doesnt look like it may quit until after the open tomorrow, but that was still an awesome play by you.
I thought you might find it entertaining that a devoted penny player like myself would find a breakout with a New York Stock Exchange equity, but I got into ERI today after reading their latest press releases. And studying the chart, of course. Hoping for a mere 50 percent gain on it.
ETLT, net income:.20; PPS: .62 Run's begun
looking for price target $1.50 - $2 in January.
Reminds me very much of SUWN last year this time. Also, like SUWN, a Chinese company with big revenue, undiscovered by larger market before now.
This appears to have net income of .20
per share annually forward-looking... and it's only priced at 60 cents or so. What's the catch? Is it just a matter of getting discovered by the market and going on a run? Shouldn't that have happened by now?
It appears on the surface that it ought to be more fairly priced at $2 per share. Does it really take waiting until the next quarterly statement to trigger the run? There was nothing wrong with the last quarterly statement... credibility issues?
I posted this same query on Raging Bull. Curious if anyone has a theory or two about apparent huge undervaluing of this company...
Got ya Pastor Bob, I actually
dropped out of CGLD after looking moe closely at their financing. They seem to be selling huge chunks of chares for .30 cents with no restrictions on how long the buyers have to sell the shares on the open market and I think that's holding the PPS down and may continue to do so for a while longer.
I am in CPHI and ETLT now instead.
Peter, good luck to us... did you
... read the 10qsb that came out after Tuesday's close? Is there anything to e learned from it? It's seems to be a very thorough corporate accounting and reassuring from a transparency viewpoint at least.
Hellooooo out there... gold = $620 OZ
Capital Gold Corp has projected 2007 production of 45,000 ounces.
That's $27,900,000. Round it off to $28 million. Divide that in half for mining costs, wholesale price etc.
$14 million net income.
Divided by 133 M shares outstanding = .105 cents per share net income.
At a PE of 15, that's $1.55 per share!
Think CGLD is headed to 50 cents by New Year's? I do.
I see $1.20 by Feb. 1
CGLD about to go
Becomes a gold producer in a couple of months
CGLD on the verge, it becomes a gold producer
as of next month, I believe. Legit company. Check website. Chart was a flat line at 32. for months so break is obvious.
More Apprentice speculation
From TVenvy.com:
"Tuesday, October 10, 2006
Trump Vodka—So Smooth.
Related: Apprentice, The - Donald, NBC, Prime Time, Reality, News
As if Trump water were not a strange enough branding opportunity, Donald Trump has now turned to alcohol. Introducing Trump Vodka—now we wait and see how it will tie in to an upcoming challenge on The Apprentice. Before that happens though, the first case will be delivered to a red carpet affair at Kennedy Airport in New York, complete with porters in tuxedos. Ironically enough, Trump doesn’t drink alcohol… is it just me, or does Trump seem bored? Eh, nothing else to do, so why not slap my name on vodka? Patrick Kenny of Drinks America Holdings Limited (huh?) said “there’s nobody who markets better in the luxury category than Donald Trump.” What next? Luxury Trump Toilet Tissue? Ah, don’t you just love luxury products? The going price for a one-liter bottle of Trump Vodka is $30. Look for it in liquor stores everywhere. "
CNN, check out this amazing stock market and vodka-related CNN transcript excerpt from Trump's Larry King interview in October...
--------------------------------------
KING: We're back with Donald Trump. Let's get another question from -- we sent our crew out, as we said, out on the streets the other day. Here's another one for Donald.
(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)
UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: What would he invest in in the stock market now?
(END VIDEO CLIP)
TRUMP: Well, the stock market is a very tricky game and I have always said and will say it again, I love real estate. But when you have people like a Terry Lundgren at Federated who has done, as you know, a fantastic job with Macy's and Bloomingdales and everything else or Jeff Immelt at General Electric. I think their stock is probably low.
It's probably going to go up. I invest in people. I think Immelt is good. I think Terry Lundgren is great. You see some of the people at the Wall Street firms like Bear Stearns, I think that you invest, if you're going to invest in it, you have to look at the people running the company. But I like real estate better.
KING: But real estate can go down, can't it?
TRUMP: Everything can go down but with real estate you have something. It's tangible. It's not a stock certificate that's painted green and you say, oh, gee, what happened? I've just seen it too much in life. I've seen friends get wiped out. They put all their money into a stock and they get wiped out.
I like real estate.
KING: Trump Vodka?
TRUMP: Well, what's happened ...
KING: You don't drink.
TRUMP: I don't drink and I don't really -- I'm not a big proponent of people that do drink. I've seen people that drink -- I've seen people, highly respected people, people such as yourself, but I've seen highly respected people -- and I'm just saying, they were very successful like you are.
And then you see them being carried out of an office, they're totally bombed, and you totally lose respect for them. So I don't -- I'm not a proponent of drinking. But what happens is because of my success and because of the success I've had in real estate and everything else and probably also because of "The Apprentice," so many people have come to me with different things.
We have at Macy's the most successful suits, the most successful new shirt, Philip Van Heusen did shirts and ties. It's the most successful launch that they've ever had. The Donald J. Trump collection at Macy's.
And a great company came to me in that world and they wanted to do a vodka. I'm giving the money to charity. Vodka, if it wasn't legal, that's one thing. If nobody drank, that's another thing. If they don't do me they'll probably go to Martha Stewart and then they'll fail.
KING: How do you know how good it is?
TRUMP: I have been told that it's a fantastic vodka. They've sold more -- this company has sold more in terms of the cases of vodka, they've sold more than they ever had in the history of the company. It launches, by the way, in two weeks. I'll send you a bottle.
KING: What is it called?
TRUMP: It's called Trump vodka.
KING: I have friends who will drink it.
TRUMP: So do I.
The Apprentice 6 -- vodka factor?
I was searching the Web for any clue that The Apprentice 6 cast might be given a vodka-related task. (I noticed the release of Trump Vodka to the California market was seemngly timed to coincide with the conclusion of filming of the show in Los Angeles... hmmm.) I know the show's participants are extremely tight-lipped about what went on during the tapings for contractual reasons, but I have to believe there was some involvement with the Trump Vodka product on what should be the highest-rated Apprentice season ever. The 90-minute premiere is Jan. 7 and this one's got a "Survivior" touch to it,: losing squads sleep in tents!" Check this out from Reality TV World gossip site:
"Each week's winning The Apprentice 6 team will 'earn the right to live like Trump' and reside in a luxurious mansion. In addition, whichever contestant was the winning team's project manager will not only get to continue to remain the team's project manager until they lose, but they'll also get to sit in on the losing team's boardroom session and help advise Trump on who he should fire. Meanwhile, in addition to having to attend a boardroom session in which Trump might fire one or more members of their team, each week's losing team will also have to deal with another big disadvantage -- rather than enjoying something similar to the more bare-bones communal "suite" Trump Tower accommodations enjoyed by the contestants of The Apprentice's previous editions, each week's losing The Apprentice 6 team will have to sleep in tents erected in the mansion's backyard and use outdoor showers and port-a-potties.
The cast is the usual collection of young entrepreneurs as well as Olympian Angela Ruggerio, who was cast via fan ballotting during the Winter Olympics."
---------------------------------------------
In any case, I believe just the possibility of Trump Vodka's involvement in The Apprentice 6 will help sustain DKAM's stock run into 2007!
Christmas sales numbers...
I expect a very positive upate in the not distant future on sales figures for December ....
People may be buying in bulk for the "transitional holiday" that hits around Dec. 31 also. Folks do a little extra drinking around that time, I hear.
Keep posting over the weekend. The Donald won't be happy until his IHub board is No. 1!
DKAM's Trump Vodka is like a blockbuster...
... movie that has yet to hit every theater where an eager audience awaits its opening.
I have heard mentioned that Trump V has yet to officially enter the Chicago, and similar sized markets, including in overseas locations where Trump name recognition is huge.
Nice price action today, especially for a Friday. I think we may be seeing the beginnings of a sustained run into the mid the $2s nxt week, a la SKNN's recent performance.
Also has been nice breakout action today for DKAM on the IHUB stock boards hot list. Keep those first person Trump vodka anecdotes and field reports coming please!
I'd like to add to the posts here
to increase DKAM's chances of getting to be the No. 1 IHUb board.
It would be great to see this stock continue to adddistribution areas internationally and locally week by week and build price per share to the Jones Soda level.
Why not?
It was interesting to watch Donald Trump on CNBC last night. He said sales of Trump Vodka are "through the roof." He is so right on the money with his comments including when he told the interviewer, Donnie Deutsch that he was losing his audience by overdoing it asking the lovey-dovey Daddy Trump questions -- I was thinking that about a minute before Trump said it out loud and Deutsch's response was -- No, you're wrong, the audience wants to hear this, and I'm thinking no, Trump is right, he's right 99 percnt of the time. It was also great how he dissected Mark Cuban for saying that the Trump brand was overextended and sugesting that some of Trump's branded items haven't done well. In fact "everything''s done well" the Donald pointed out.