All posts are for your entertainment only. Buy and sell at your own risk. In other words, I do my thing - you do your thing.
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TBLT nice move here, may get legs
Needs a 366+ push for legs.
Futures
Trying a bounce here. Stop at low for me
Ugly
Gaps after a previously established
Move in the direction of that move tend to be a reversal spot. Whereas a gap that takes place off a shorter time frame may continue in the direction of the gap. That’s my take on them. Historically markets didn’t gap around like this. So when we get 2-3,4 gaps in a row I think exhaustion for a temp move
Dollar pullin
Despite your annoyingness, you’ve had great calls over the longer trend and with conviction. But you can’t really have a conversation about it so there’s no point replying to your stuff
A deflationary cycle now would be the exact opposite of what everyone thought was about to happen, which is hilarious to me because “the crowd” always gets it wrong.
Most people here agree with you.. you’re just really annoying about it.
I don’t intend on bouncing anything until low 300s. 320 is a fib on SPY for me. Or we get some kind of capitulation or intraday reversal. Just blindly buying into red is a gamblers game
Oh my god… dollar spike even bigger now. That’s called desperation… lol
Dollar putting in new highs now.. sheesh wild
You think? I believe the dollar rally is deflationary for everything else.. and it’s effects will be felt for awhile. So even if the dollar pulls back it continues to weigh down on commodities and oil, etc
So far the dollar is pulling
The US Dollar rally had been years in the making while most people (and I do mean most) were calling for dollar crash. Now that it’s here it’s all everyone is talking about, and I’m looking at it thinking it’s closing in on a high soon. Maybe one more big push then pullback
Crypto seems to be holding well here
I dunno. If we go lower towards 350–320 it becomes bounce watch for me. Otherwise waiting for rally to sell
You have a lithium and miner list yet? Got 7 on mine.. figure there’s more out there especially otc
There may be down side coming but it’s still a sell the rally type of trade to me. If you’re short you stay short. If you’re not short you can join the crowd in buying short hedges. And the crowd always gets it right, right??? Lol
More than 33 million puts traded on Friday, the highest single day of put volume since data began to be collected roughly 30 years ago. pic.twitter.com/4TiWOukd22
— Barchart (@Barchart) September 24, 2022
Cathie Wood studied under Art Laffer. Anybody who thinks she’s stupid, because like literally every successful person involved in markets, has made mistakes, can not be taken seriously.
35% of the stock market is under $10
You think Cathie Wood is stupid? She was literally the only analyst calling for deflation throughout 2021
This is the first time the market has taken out a previous low, since 2009 bottom, with the exception of the Covid crash and interest rate scare in 2018. Definitely feels like sub 3000 on SPX coming. Under Covid lows wouldn’t surprise me but with how they move companies out of the indexes they can prop overall value. However a bear market’s a bear market
I don’t think they want to prop housing but housing is in a weird place. It’s grinding to a complete halt, unless policy makers can somehow incentivize builders, but that would take creative thinking and Theres a major lack of it here
Rising dollar, rising rates, earnings coming, market’s just getting started
Probably another 50% drop by the end of 2023. Some of us get it. I still have no reason to yell though. Are you going to be a buyer when the dust settles?
Took ADTX R/s bouncer
Well my logic here is Market sold off on higher than expected inflation, so market interest futures began pricing in 1% increase. If fed does .75 which I’m thinking they will, because they have no balls, market may rally off these levels still. I’m interested in 400 test for re-short
Yep. That’s why if I’m bearish a move and volatility is getting slaughtered I try not to rush in. Or may make some comments on it that go against what i was originally thinking
Vix works both ways. When it’s trading with some strength while market rallies you can find market tops. When the vix isn’t very strong while market sells, you might bear a relief rally
End of day rally
Update: it can’t. can’t trade stuff with unknown reasons
PBLA getting some vol here .72s if can hold
You might be better suited on the SPY board where it’s dedicated to options trading and with regular market discussion
ADTX bounce ww for me
Markets don’t crash without financials either. So it’s we’re at an odd place considering that markets crash after rate hikes. Maybe just needs more time. Still paint dry for me