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Looks like that homerun has turned into a strikeout! Once the share price went below $5.00, folks really started to jump ship. Well, at least I got out in the $5.00 range. At this point, I wouldn't be surprised to see the price back below $3.00. I have yet to see a reverse split work out for shareholders. What was the board thinking? Who in their right mind would buy a stock for $6.00 when the EPS is $.06? This isn't 1999. Oh wait a minute, the share price plummeted back then also. Poor decisions by management I guess.
Things are getting interesting. With the share price getting closer to $4.99 per share, CTCH's options are staring to run out. The insiders are going to have to keep the price above $5.00 or fund investors are going to lose interest. The only other options are to look for partners ie, buyout, or let the price drop and file authorization for more shares. Which may have been the intention all along. Remember, we are not board members, just peon investors. Let's see if CTCH(D) can step up to the plate and hit a homerun. JMHO
News Release looks positive for 2008. I still would like to know who's buying though...other than insiders.
At this point, I think I'll hold on too. I'm curious to see what is going to happen after the split though. I can say this, someone is keeping our heads above the $2.00 mark. Is it an optimistic insider, is it an early 2008 post split fund manager, I don't know. I think that the best thing one can hope for as a recent buyer though is for a buyout or a small profit in the near future. At $6.00 plus a share (A/O January), you'd have to have some pretty good EPS, along with other numbers, to move much higher. Oh well, what do I know Remember, this is just my humble opinion. M~
Well, it's going to be interesting to see how the next few weeks play-out. At this moment (12-17-07), a 1 for 3 R/S will only give us a share price of $6.00, that doesn't give us a lot of room for error. It also looks like a few of the shareholders have dumped their shares today. Are they the smart ones or the not so smart ones? We'll see! I hope CTHC...I'm sorry, CTCHD, has some good news to keep our heads above water or else we'll have another board meeting soon. M~
Well now we know why there was a surge in volume last week. Hopefully this isn't a case of buy on the rumor, sell on the news. I think these two recent PRs should help solidify our place in 'e-mail defense technology', especially with the announcement of a big name like CHKP. Now if we could just get CHKP to acknowledge us in one of their PR's. M~
Did anyone else get anything in the mail, or was it just me? These next couple of months should be interesting. M~
Okay, how are you guys going to vote?
Yeah, that was weird this morning. Maybe someone knows something about the near future. Remember, we're getting close to the time where the 'powers that be' will vote on the R/S. We'll have to wait and see what the next couple of days bring. If the increase in volume continues, I'd watch this thing with a raise eyebrow.
Lots of volume today. As a matter of fact, the most we've had since mid August. I think that's typical after a good run up prior to earnings. Hopefully we've gotten rid of the swing traders and the other profit takers. All in all, we've held up pretty well so far, considering what has happened to the rest of the market. Lots of volume is a good thing in this case, unfortunately, you can't beat the market makers (computers)when it comes to the share price. Hopefully we can stay above $2.00. The good news is, that with all of this volume, the float is tightening up. M~
I pretty much concur with your thoughts. Looking back on one of the P.R.s (Sept or Oct, I'll have to find it), one of the board members purchased a nice amount of shares in the open market ("for investment purposes"). This, to me, is a good sign and shows faith in the company. I don't think he wants a 5% premium on a company that he thinks is worth a lot more. JMHO M~
Midastouch017, did you listen to the C.C.? If so, what do you think about the company's response to whether or not they were looking to be bought out. From a shareholder perspective, over the next few months, it might not be a bad idea. Especially if there was a nice premium. If they keep releasing P.R.s and exposing their good products to the investment community, it could happen (This is just my opinion of course). M~
I agree in that a rev. split doesn't usually spell good news, especially for the investor who purchased prior to the split. Looking at the share price at this moment, a r/s would move us over $7.00 per share. It would also lower the number of shares O/S, and float. Depending on the revenue generated, it would change our EPS number also. If the timing is right, and maybe it will be considering that they plan on doing this in the 1st qtr. of next year after 4th qtr. and 2007 earnings, the pps could hold steady above $5.00. Again, I'm not real optimistic as a shareholder, but, I'm not an insider. I don't know what's cookin' for 2008, CTCH could release numbers and potential partners that will make the street jump all over this stock. We shall see! JMO~
Did any one listen to the conf. call? One of the things that I do remember being mentioned, is that the board expects an EPS for the fourth qtr. to be $.04. I think that's pretty optimistic and courageous on CTCH's part. $.04 per share would be a good thing.
This 1 for 3 rev. split has me a little nervous though. If the split does occur, CTCH will almost mirror another company out of Israel, ClickSoftware Technologies (CKSW). Makes you wonder. JMHO~
Here we go..... Two press releases. Earnings are out, but the company is alluding to a one for three reverse stock split. What do you folks think about that? I think that if the institutional investors jump on board, it could be a good thing. If CTCH continues with good P.R.s, with some well known business partners and can keep that share price 3x what it is currently, we have a chance. If not, well! JMHO~
This 'PANDA' company seems to be a pretty big player in the anti-spam/antivirus arena. Hopefully we'll hear some good potential revenue numbers on Nov. 1st, or soon after. Perhaps that's what's been driving the pps up over the last couple of weeks. A while back, there were rumors about CTCH signing a deal with a company who's name begins with the letter 'C'. If that deal goes through, we'll be looking pretty darn good! Better jump on board, this train is about to leave the station. M~
Okay, here we go again, earnings results week. I think we'll have a good idea where we stand by Friday. We could see some volatility this week with the anticipation of earnings along with the Fed. possibly adjusting rates. I hope there is more enthusiasm this qtr. than there was last qtr. Maybe they'll announce some more contracts with big name companies. We shall see. M~
Humm, somebody likes this stock. During the intraday (10-25-07), we've just equaled our 52 week high. Could it be the Panda deal? Could it be good news pending on our third qtr. report? Could it be another big name licensing deal? Could it be insiders accumulating prior to great news? Or, could it simply be that we're a diamond in the rough and people are starting to notice us now? It would be great if it were all of the above. JMHO M~
Looks like something is going on, we're approaching pps numbers of July. Buy on the rumor sell on the news? I hope there's good news on the horizon. M~
DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
Israeli investor Aviv Raiz on Thursday reported holding a 20.9% stake in Commtouch Software Ltd. (CTCH), according to a Schedule 13D filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Raiz beneficially owns about 15.94 million shares of Commtouch Software, a Santa Clara, Calif.-based provider of e-mail and other messaging services.
Raiz said he acquired the shares for investment purposes.
Commtouch's shares were trading Thursday morning at $1.96 each.
-Brian Coyle, Dow Jones Newswires;
Let's see if his speech has any impact on the volume over the next few days.
I think you're right elis 2000. Looks like Mr. Ron Ela's message may have opened a few eyes and ears as to what we have here (assuming that he actually did speak). It looks like we're getting back to pre-hype share price numbers of early July. I'm curious to see what the next few trading days hold for us. M~
Wow, looking at the graph over the last two days, it looks like the MMs have a lot of shares to sell @ $2.05, the line on the graph seems to be flat for 10's of thousands of shares on both days. That's okay, they'll run out of their stash soon. M~
Looks like we had a nice pop today on the news. As always, there will be some pullback. Also notice that the float is tighter now though, a half mil. shares traded and a 10% spike. One of the other things I'm looking forward to is for CTCH to upgrade their RPD product to include other ways of protecting from the terrors of the internet. If you notice, in a lot of cases, CTCH's product is used in conjunction with other products, this implies that we have work to do and room to grow. Is this what is meant by, 'Commtouch Anticipates Entrance to Web Security Market in 2008'? We'll have to wait and see. MDLAND~
Commtouch press release. See website for details.
http://www.commtouch.com/Site/News_Events/pr_content.asp?news_id=925&cat_id=1
Things that make you go humm! It seems to me, and I could easily be wrong, the chart on this stock for the last few days seems to subtly follow the two main indicies, especially today (Tuesday). It looks as though the pps took a dip about an hour and a half before the mkt closed today which makes you wonder if a margin call played a part on in today's charting. Not necessarily with CTCH, but with some other stock that took an unexpected dip. Just a thought since nothing else exciting is going on right now. MDLAND~
Well here we are, the end of another trading week, what a ride. The indicies have taken a beating and we've taken somewhat of a hit also. I know expectations were higher, but all in all, I think we've faired well. I know, some of you were expecting a PPS of $2.35 a share. Well, right now we just don't have the eyes and ears of the street, not to mention the lack of good volume. The day that we had the most volume and volatility was the day of the news. As I mentioned before, some buy before the news, in anticipation of a spike the day of the news, for a quick profit. Others have held on to their shares for months thinking that this was the best day to sell for profit. When they didn't get the results that they expected, the jumped ship not wanting to wait another three, six, or even twelve months with their money potentially being tied up. Right now, I think that we should be near the $2.00 mark after the dust settles, depending on whether or not there's news in the near future. Can't wait for next week....or can I? JMHO
Rally Cry, you're going to have to be patient with this stock. Remember, everybody invests differently. We all knew earnings were coming out on Aug. 1st. Some traders buy on the rumor and sell on the news. Some buy and sell based on a P.R. Some traders/investors would consider today's selling of a possible 2-bagger a win-fall. It just depends on when you got in and how much profit you want to take before you get out. Remember too, it's not like we made $.15 per diluted share either. Right now investing in this stock is a package deal. If you want large earnings P/S or a lower P/E, then you would be paying $25.00 P/S for this stock. If you want a stock that has great potential for the future, then you pay $1.92 per share ($1.96 after hours) and hope that the fundamentals look better down the road. Except for that one hit early Aug 1st, I think we did well, all things considered. This is what we like to call a shake. Most of the traders will be gone after Friday for the foreseeable future. Also, you have to realize that the float is much tighter now. According to my one source, after hours trading of 200 shrs. moved us up $.04. I think we are pretty much where we should be given everything that has happened recently. As was alluded to in the conf. call, some of the volatility over the last few weeks was due to the Postini deal. I'll continue to hold my shares. JMHO M~
Hang on Rally Cry!
Some people invest for the long haul, some for the short haul. I think that if you hang in there, you will be rewarded in the long run. Expectations and or anticipation can be high on earnings day, some would rather take profits now as opposed to waiting for another 3 months or longer. Who knows, today's sellers may have gotten in at $.85 and figure it's time to take profits. Everyone invests differently. I think we'll bounce back nicely. JMO
July 31, 2007
Well well well, looks like we made it up to earnings results without ending the days prior below $2.00, that would be a good thing. Did we get some help, I don't know. Nevertheless, here we are, the day before. I have a feeling that the results given on August 1st, will dictate, to a certain extent, who will invest in CTCH over the next few months. Ideally, we'd like to get noticed by the street, which would perhaps include some institutional investors. We have some great and unique products on the table, and I have a feeling that a few investors are sitting on the sidelines waiting for the results for Q2, and predictions for the rest of the year (of course no one can really predict the future). I, like you, am curious to see what the next few months hold for CTCH's future. Conference call anyone? MDLAND~
Looks like we made it through the toughest day of the week prior to earnings. With the major indices dropping 1.5%, we were very fortunate to stay flat for the day. I think we may have gotten some help in that last hour by investors realizing that this is one of the last chances to get in, or perhaps even by CTCH. Whatever the case my be, we're safe for now. M~
Friday (pre-market)
These next few trading days are going to be crucial for us. With the Dow dropping 300+ points yesterday and today being Friday, I think this is where we test CTCH's mettle. Most profit takers usually take their profits at the end of the trading week unless there's great news during the day. Again, if we can keep good volume and maintain the PPS today (Friday) and Monday, I think we will have weathered the storm. Hopefully the next two trading days will portend Wednesday's results. If we see rising volume and/or PPS increase, ....well, I'll let you make your own decision. M~
Wow, close to the $2.00 mark. Looks like we barely kept our heads above the $2.00 mark....for now at least. I think we're back to where the investors are now interested in buying CTCH. Looks like we had a little extra volume too today. I think the traders of three weeks ago decided to call it even and get out, the people that look at technical analysis decided that this is a good entry point. I wouldn't be surprised if CommTouch took it upon themselves to by back some shares to keep the price above $2.00. After all, it wouldn't look good on earnings day if the PPS has dropped below the $2.00 mark in the past week. This is all speculation on my part of course.
Anyone else out there in IHUB-LAND? Or,am I the only investor here? M~
Geez, it looks like only two or three of us even own this stock. Oh well, hopefully that will change next week. As I alluded to in one of my earlier posts, it looks like we may settle down to around $2.00. Hopefully we can get some support there for one more week. Looking at the charts, it seems as though that's where we were before the Motley Fool/IBD hype. After the first week of July, the short term traders jumped on board. I hope that since that time, there has been some accumulation to the point that now the float is tighter than it was then, which will give us a better chance to attract investors when the PPS starts to move. MDLAND~
The good news is that even though the volume is relatively low, the price is relatively flat. Most likely, someone is accumulating, probably on a limit or GTC order. If you notice the trading patterns, you'll see that the float is starting to tighten up too. I've seen the PPS move one or two cents on small lots of trades. That is good news for those who are already in. The not so good news is that as of this moment, not too many traders are following this stock. What we need is credible analysts or firms to give us the "thumbs up". A few news write ups wouldn't hurt either. I think next week will be our make or break week. JMHO MDLAND~
Thanks midastouch017.
Looks like we'll probably settle near the $2.00 mark until the release of Q2 results next week. Hopfully, if the results are satisfactory, we can get on the radar of institutional investors. I must admit though, the reason I got into this company was not only do I feel that the fundamentals are good, but also because of the fact that it is a possible take-over target. JMO MDLAND~
I think this week will be important for us. Will we settle back down to $2.00, or will we shake out the short term traders, dip and then contiune to rise. If we can maintain a decent PPS, maybe after the next quarterly we'll get the attention of the institutional investors as did CKSW. That's when the ride will get fun. MDLAND~