Digging Deeper
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
wage growth with productivity falling is not good for companies. They will, and are cutting back. look at the linkedin guidance.
you really believe 4.9%???
I have some ocean front property in AR I'd like to discuss with you.
they are defending 1,900 on the S&P to the death. Let's hope we close below 1,900 on the s&p. lunch time should tell us who's winning.
just got back from vegas.
better odds here and they don't feed you drinks while you wager!
thinking the same here.
don't think the market will jump because they think no more rate hikes. think thats baked in already.
good luck to all.
SHOW ME THE MONEY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
they were saying it was a big short squeeze on oil the other day, which would imply it should drop a bit once thats cleared out. doubt we'll get much shorting again though.
Employment Situation
Released On 2/5/2016 8:30:00 AM For Jan, 2016
Prior Consensus Consensus Range Actual
Nonfarm Payrolls - M/M change 292,000 188,000 170,000 to 215,000 151,000
Unemployment Rate - Level 5.0 % 5.0 % 4.9 % to 5.0 % 4.9 %
Private Payrolls - M/M change 275,000 180,000 160,000 to 206,000
Participation Rate - level 62.6 %
Average Hourly Earnings - M/M change 0.0 % 0.3 % 0.2 % to 0.4 %
Av Workweek - All Employees 34.5 hrs 34.5 hrs 34.4 hrs to 34.5 hrs
Recent History Of This Indicator
told you guys, as a headhunter, I have seen 1st hand companies getting tepid on hiring.
We can't forget North Korea could launch as early as Sunday night. along with the terrorist concerns on superbowl weekend. The market might be fearlful of going long over this weekend. then theres the jobs report in 5 minutes.
LinkedIn Corporation is reporting for the quarter ending December 31, 2015. The internet services company's consensus earnings per share forecast from the 5 analysts that follow the stock is $0.00. This value represents a 100.00% decrease compared to the same quarter last year. LNKD missed the consensus earnings per share in the 1st calendar quarter of 2015 by -500%. Zacks Investment Research reports that the 2015 Price to Earnings ratio for LNKD is -546.43 vs. an industry ratio of -20.80.
more evidence employment is tightening
I dont think employment will turn just yet....at least not to the extent the can't blame something..
but within 3 month's unemployment will undeniably rise.
the market is going to soar in the next 30 minutes
they'll probably stretch it out for the next POTUS to deal with and save Obuma's legacy.
it really is tracking oil
lol
just look if oil is up market is up lol someone else mentioned UWTI, which I now have on my watch list. when it goes south the mkt goes south and vise versa.
Factory Orders
Released On 2/4/2016 10:00:00 AM For Dec, 2015
Prior Consensus Consensus Range Actual
Factory Orders - M/M change -0.2 % -2.8 % -3.7 % to 0.2 % -2.9 %
Recent History Of This Indicator
Pulled down by weak exports and weak demand for energy equipment, the factory sector has been a weak link in the economy. And factory orders are expected to fall sharply in December with the Econoday consensus calling for minus 2.8 percent. This report in November was decidedly weak, reversing strength in October and including important setbacks for capital goods.
Definition
Factory orders represent the dollar level of new orders for both durable and nondurable goods. This report gives more complete information than the advance durable goods report which is released one or two weeks earlier in the month.
IF not for the short sqeeze and rise in oil the market SHOULD be tanking. should be anyways, but I'm sure they'll translate this to no rate hike and perhaps more QE.
Jobless Claims
Released On 2/4/2016 8:30:00 AM For wk1/30, 2016
Prior Consensus Consensus Range Actual
New Claims - Level 278 K 280 K 274 K to 290 K 285 K
4-week Moving Average - Level 283.00 K 284.75 K
New Claims - Change -16 K 8 K
Highlights
Jobless claims continue to trend higher in a negative indication for the labor market. Initial claims rose 8,000 in the January 30 week to 285,000 which is 5,000 above the Econoday consensus. The 4-week average is up 2,000 to 284,750 which is about 5,000 higher than a month ago.
Continuing claims, in lagging data for the January 23 week, fell 18,000 to 2.255 million but the 4-week average is up for the 4th week in a row, 5,000 higher to 2.253 million which is more than 30,000 above the month-ago comparison.
The rise in initial claims points to a rise in layoffs while the upward trend in continuing claims points to longer times looking for work. But today's data, where sample weeks fall outside the sample week for the monthly employment data, won't affect expectations for tomorrow's big report, one which is expected to show less strength in the labor market. There are no special factors in today's report.
The jobs are starting to turn south as I thought.
Challenger Job-Cut Report
Released On 2/4/2016 7:30:00 AM For Jan, 2016
Prior Actual
Announced Layoffs - Level 23,622 75,114
ouch
could be the jobs # is going to disappoint and the fed wanted to prop the market up! either way, to steal from a yahoo poster
"Please... call it what it is... blatant and ARTIFICIAL manipulation on the part of the Fed "primary dealers" to support the markets using phony "hypothecated" excess reserves created entirely out of thin air by the Fed. Unsupported markets do not behave this way. Prior to QE we rarely saw these magical V reversals (certainly not in the absence of a fundamental catalyst)."
short squeeze?????
PPT moving in early today, let's see if they blow their wad too soon. close should be interesting
congrats on the $$. I'm holding though. I'm in the headhunting biz, and I the jobs number will start to fall soon IMO. Probably not tomorrows jobless claims, but I think the factory orders at 10am will be ugly and mute any BS jobs number they put out. Intl trade comes out with employment situation report on Friday as well. could be some muted days....we'll see.
s&P down 25....finally the market seperating from oil to some extent.
off to the races! ISM Non-Mfg Index
Released On 2/3/2016 10:00:00 AM For Jan, 2016
Prior Consensus Consensus Range Actual
Composite Index - Level 55.3 55.5 53.0 to 56.5 53.5
anyone have experience with technitrader?
nice video here and looking into their training.
TVIX and UVXY trade almost identically. is there any advantage to going with UVXY
I think one is an ETF and one is ETN, but correct me if I am wrong
TVIX and UVXY trade almost identically. is there any advantage to going with UVXY
I think one is an ETF and one is ETN, but correct me if I am wrong
I hope it gets ugly tomorrow for obvious reasons....
Tomorrow we have:
MBA Mortgage Applications
7:00 AM ET
ADP Employment Report
8:15 AM ET
Gallup U.S. Job Creation Index
8:30 AM ET
PMI Services Index
9:45 AM ET
ISM Non-Mfg Index
10:00 AM ET
and which one of these numbers tomorrow is going to blow the doors off?????
Thursday we have factory orders and jobless claims
Friday employment situation and Intl trade.
employment might be ok numbers, but their BS and low wage jobs. the market knows this.
thank you. very, very interesting. I'll have to finish this later and dig a lot deeper.
There's an investment office in my building that has a lot of folks in oil. wish you well on your trades too.
without risk there is no reward. just don't tell the wife hehe
just shy of that doh!
I must have a higher risk tolerance, cause I be pushin in all my chips and chewing my nails till I make some money.
who knows anymore. I'm still holding at a loss right now...grrrrr
yahoo and fisher blew quite a wad yesterday with all their pumps. we'll see what the news has left in them to keep pumping.
whoever wrote that was clearly high on coke!
isn't this the right shoulder of a head and shoulders pattern on the S&P that started back in August. If so, that would indicate a sharp turn down soon or around 1950 on the top side. NO?????
Top News from yahoo
BofA: Oil crash is kicking off the largest wealth transfer in history
Pickens: Oil already bottomed—here's what's next
Rate hike? Not until 2017, says market
the pump is in full effect and we are still negative. guess China, Oil and us manufacturing still have some effect on the market
so, the pumper comes on at 1pm. question is will the market like the pump or view it as a sign of weakness.
If he brings lube and a towel the market usually takes it positive.
so, I guess you bought late Friday?
I would, but I loaded the boat at 9. and will hold till the right shoulder on the S&P gives way in the near future.