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I agree, and the last hour of trading will be telling. Short-timers and day traders won't sit over the weekend. If this is a REAL pre-news move, there will be more buying and it will hold in the .24-.25 range. IMO.
I don't remember, but Biggers's were exercisable at .35. And, many previously awarded warrants are at higher prices so i believe we won't see conversion selling in any massive way, it will be staggered over time and some may hold until all news is out. IMO
In addition to those comments, i do not believe the company could legally and ethically enter into a buyout at a negotiated price if top line data is pending. they would have to release that first, IMO. The market would show what the "value" is of the data. If it is a home run, there would be serious consequences to locking in a lower shareholder value ahead of important data, IMO.
I believe the post-2PM trading into the close will tell the story. If we retest the morning high and close at, near or above it on strong afternoon buying then I would be inclined to believe there is a strong likelihood of positive news coming early next week. If volume dries up or fades and the price drops into the close....not so much.
Last time we saw over 3.5 million traded in one day was July 2nd, and that was the last time we were above .25.......a strong close will confirm the move. And, positive move will blow us up to new recent highs, IMO. Unfortunately I think that is only .39, LOL.
Unbelievable how this gets slammed every time it pops. Are there really that many people trading for a penny?
over a quarter million shares at the open and can't get through .22, very telling IMO. MM's still trying to keep PPS down.
Early ask was at .225 but since dropped back to .215. It's going to be a battle through .22 but if there is buying volume the next few days we may get there. And, if so, I think it would mean that there is confidence in a REAL news event, positive, that is...IMO
doubtful. Bigger's $5 million is not enough use the word significant, IMO.
I think Bigger knows. It makes sense to me now that he doubled down to help get to the next deal, and was likely privileged to that information through an NDA in order to give him confidence in the plan and timing. IMO. I am not excited yet but close....
buying coming into the stock slowly on the SEC filing. If we break .22 there is upside....IMO
We should know something significant in five days or less!
"Northwest Biotherapeutics, Inc. (the Company) is unable to complete the Form 10-Q on time because it is in late stage parallel negotiations with different unrelated third parties in regard to substantial alternative potential financings, and the Company anticipates the accounting and disclosure could be impacted by the completion of this process. Nevertheless, the Company believes it will file the Form 10-Q within five calendar days of the date of this filing."
If the information flow continues and ends in a few weeks with data lock/topline then i would agree, stock goes over $1. We need a coordinated and consistent info flow. Financing, check. White paper, check. Liau presentation and SNO news, Check? Then the whopper, data release.....
I like that. He didn't give any material info away but it certainly sounds like he is giving a clue. and, if that was the info he was given prior to investing more money, it would be news soon....
That would mean September of 2015...38 months ago.
Ok, thanks, i put my sell orders in...starting at $4.95/share.
that is what a communicative CEO would have said but LP is not that CEO. So, this is in no way changes the company line of NO info is all we get until data release, IMO. She is consistent, i'll give her that. If we got anything other than a lock/topline PR to accompany the funding announcement the PPS would have been crushed, IMO. One piece of the puzzle we all expected is now done. Next is data news, IMO. Hopefully before year end.
These financings don't happen overnight, they have obviously been working on it for a bit. I am hoping this was the first of several announcements coming in the next few weeks. Maybe a PR about the SNO conference this weekend with Liau, then a data lock/topline announcement. I don't believe you do a small, $5 million financing to kick the can down the road unless you feel you can get to warrant conversion money before the $5 million runs dry. And, their average burn rate is almost $5 million per quarter, so I am anticipating news sooner rather than later.
Maybe they are loading up at these levels waiting for a breakout, technical or otherwise. IMO there are a lot of other risk/reward scenarios out there without the uncertainty/baggage of NWBO. Especially if you are trying to trade large volumes for a penny.
It is my opinion that the volume and price swings today are directly related to ClayTrader emerging again. I believe he has a following when he makes recommendations. Traders make short term money on a penny stocks, i don't do it but others do. Still just waiting for NEWS!
I am personally hoping for Wednesday the 14th, before the conference starts. If they are truly scrubbing post 36 months, it would be the best time to get the most out of the news. It would be the buzz of the conference and allow Liau to speak about some of the data points. If not Wednesday, definitely nothing until after Thanksgiving IMO.
Since September 20th we have been range bound between .19 and .22. Most notable is the fact that when the price tries to push higher at .21, endless shares appear on the ask to hold it down. I don't subscribe to Scotty's theory, but I do not believe in coincidence and I do believe the MM's are actively holding it here. it is one of those frustrations that tie into the whole picture. LP could blow the lid off the price and get warrant money pouring in if she were to do three or four PR's with guidance and info, IMO. 30+ million shares on the upside in one day would get any shorts and unwanted MM's out of the way.
It is frustrating, no more so than for patients waiting for new ways to fight brain cancer. That's my thought when I get concerned about an investment opportunity. I have a lot less risk than those folks battling this awful disease. That said, LP has become the Rube Goldberg of clinical trials and corporate governance, IMO.
If LP is not aware of the angst (mildest term I could think of) that longs are feeling after being starved of information for 6 months then she is far more tone-deaf than anyone here can even imagine. I am sure they are aware and I am also sure that one of two things will emerge: Hugely positive news and topline release or small financing with little-to-no additional info. The latter would be disastrous for PPS (lol) and likely eliminate ANY chance of future financing from outside the company moving forward.
It's likely just down. These days you don't need to take a site offline to make updates. They are done behind the scenes and pushed live instantly. I don't think it means anything. Next week, to me, seems to be a potential news week. SNO, 10-Q, passing the 36 month mark.....if all those things do not warrant some news individually or all together by NWBO I will shocked. And, that is difficult to do given the lack of communication to date.
Doc, so wouldn’t this be something that NWBO has to talk to and explain in a PR? If it were simply another investment by a fund controlled by LP that is one thing. But if they are interrelated or close in any way, this would be a reportable event. I just don’t get it.
No, I just want the news. The price will take care of itself either way. i happen to be one who believes it will be good news. Even so, there will be some who will call it bad news no matter what the top line says. I am willing to take the risk. I equate it to standing at the blackjack table with a max bet and two kings showing. the dealer has a king showing and won't flip his next card!!!
I usually see press releases around 6pm, so if nothing soon, they won’t say anything tomorrow and get lost in the election nonsense...unless it is bad news. In which case, Tuesday news would be bad news...
Well, in that case, if I were LP and LL was going to tout something other than DCVax in less than two weeks I would jump the shark. Announce top line and take your chances. I get the long tail assertion but time is money and there is none, and nowhere to get more with the lack of info. And time will allow others to compete. NWBO has to announce something “imminently” or the last few supporters will move on, IMO (and I am one of them).
Wouldn’t this abstract with Liau and DCVax mentioned be PR-worthy? Shouldn’t NWBO Be talking about what they can regarding this trial and the phase 3?
Many new hypotheses on LP, new company IPO (which as an investment fund is what they do, invest). Interesting that it is in a similar field, however doesn't surprise me LP was approached by another startup with technology she understands. I don;t see a correlation between the two at this point. Back to bottom line: WHEN will we see the data lock and topline?
Are we 100% sure the DC vaccine they are referencing is NWBO's DCVAX?
Aaaah, there we go. A nice lower opening trade, all is right with the world....and the SILENCE from NWBO.
I am sure it is nothing.
pretty sure I would have received a notification of such but I pay for advanced quoting. PLEASE be NEWS!
I see no bid/ask on etrade either, and usually do. It is strange but with this stock i don't believe it means anything until after 9:30.
I am inclined to believe we will get something this week or next. The company is running on fumes. Last 8-K was 6/28 for a measly $1 million. Followed by a required 10-Q on 8/14, and then on 9/13, an 8-K for the forced conversion of preferred. No new money in three full months, something has to give, IMO.
Wider than usual spreads today. Now a strong bid of 50k at .205 and not getting hit. Hmmm. God forbid we get news this week!
The reason for the long list of disqualifiers for this trial, like any other trial, is to put forth a group of similar disease from which to treat, thus any significant extension of life would be a breakthrough. IMO, the notion of selection being skewed in favor of treatable GBM is ridiculous....16 months, then death. Difficult to screen around that.
I agree with the concept that it was no longer a strategic asset. I believe LP has seen enough of the reality of the go-it-alone path. That may have been the original plan, but now i believe the plan is to get the phase 3 across the finish line with the opportunity to partner or sell.