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Since we got nothing new at the World Vaccine Conference, it appears the team is sticking to the all-at-once release of info. That would certainly drop a bomb on shorts if the data is as good as it appears or even gotten better. IMO, if they have all their plans ready, announcing topline would then have to include the SAP updates and approx date for unblinding. No abstract it appears, so no leaks or PR's until ASCO. Difficult to figure the share price direction until then.
Update on DCVAX at industry theater. 4 months past ASM. Still another cryptic title but good nonetheless. Wish it wasn't a Sunday afternoon presentation so there could be a PR before or after market hours.
Replying to Scotty RE: Love that show...and I suggested Groundhog Day (the movie), which reminds me of this stock. Wake up every day and see the same thing over and over again. Lather, rinse, repeat, no news, stock drops on diappointment again.
Wow, thanks for sharing. I am confused though, I thought we were way below 100 still alive? Is that even possible? Do you recall her exact language?
I am familiar with the definition of insanity.
No. He cannot say anything to me that isn't PR'd. Waste of conversation and his time, which I believe should be spent knocking on doors on Wall Street explaining where NWBO is, what the potential is, and how much money they can make if they get in now and help crush the 100M naked shorts that the company believes are out there. Creating an email list of already-believers and patting longs on the head to reassure them that he's getting ready to get ready is a waste of time, IMO.
NO doubt I have been one who believed that the conference today would be the start of the better news flow from LP. The "we can tell our story better" in 3-4 months is essentially upon us as well. Instead they carry on as usual. Although the last info was excitingly clear: "Multiple, multi-month processes, some overlap, some independent, need approvals, revisions, changes, 4 countries, 80 sites, data lock, unblinding." But we will hire a guy to reach out and confirm the above is taking place. LOL, it's maddening.
95000 shares traded so far. What happens at 1PM with nothing new from LP?
Understood. However, ten years and 50 conferences later I think most people know by know, especially all BP. I would assume they are equally skeptical each time LP shows up with nothing new. Positive Phase 3 results also bring all the awareness we should need.
When did you join in? March? Stick around for three or four years then let's see how snarky you'll be.
Groundhog Day?
Hope you are right but I'm not getting my hopes up.
Aaaah, until you learn that from NWBO, a month or two always means a month or two....I've been here way too long to believe in their "timeframes".
Yeah, I am not expecting anything. I just want to know if we will get any type of transcript so we can forensically dissect her cryptic musings as usual. A lot of build up for a multi-event week (today, tomorrow, ASCO theater) and looks like zero again. Frustrating.
Will we even get any video or transcript of what LP says today? Seems too late to do a PR prior to talk so now I am not expecting anything, which is disappointing. Also brings me back to my question yesterday....why be there to say nothing? LP sets everyone up to expect silence so when she decides to speak, we expect something. Or, at least I do. To show up at this conference after SNO and the ASM and say nothing new is going to be a negative to the PPS, IMO. I would rather her cancel and say I am too close to being able to say more so I'll wait.
Agreed. And, unlike some who believe November SNO, I think that is too long to wait. I think the expectation has been set from SNO and ASM. And, although it may not be "normal" to announce in summer, just because they may miss ASCO by a bit, I believe they will announce as soon as they can regardless of time of year.
If the SAP is not filed yet, we are way behind. I thought that was the first thing that gets done? I thought that process started in November last year? DI should not say anything like that to anyone individually without a PR.
Wow, it would be amazing if the numbers end up like that. Looks to me that if you make it 48 months you are very likely to make it for a lot longer as the curve pretty much flattens out.
They are certainly holding the price here so, have at it! I am stuck on 412,000 shares for now. At this point I actually hope I am too late to buy more next month....
I have been in this camp for a while but most other posters, as you have seen, reject the idea. I believe a concerted effort of positive news from tomorrow through ASCO (assuming NWBO is planning on an announcement there) makes sense to start getting press coverage. Others here believe that negatively effects FDA process of approval. I just think if they are careful, and discuss timelines and #alive, etc., they are within the bounds of public disclosure, not hype.
Newsworthy events tomorrow and then Wed at UCLA, approaching month 3 of "we can start to tell our story better in 3-4 months," should know about anything filed with ASCO next week....and stock is in a narrow range that pops once over .30 again. Fib retracement (61.8%) and Nov/Dec resistance....any news should break us out, IMO.
Hmmmm. I hope LP's focus hasn't already shifted.
thanks for the correction.
I believe LP is slated to speak at 12:40 PM this Wednesday at World Vaccine Conference.
I am putting odds at 80% that we get a PR tomorrow or Wednesday morning. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me that LP can show up at the Vaccine conference and say nothing new. What would be the point? The scientific world knows about DCVAX. They were updated again at SNO, they saw the peer reviewed journal article last year. Anyone who cares is waiting for the announcement of the trial end and to see data. Just talking about the science again, even with cryptic info (or a slip) by LP won't be enough. So, I believe either we see a PR maybe with an updated timeline or she cancels or has someone else show in her place.
If the share price rises enough I believe they have to cover. The open short positions (naked or not) are on someone's books. If the PPS goes to $2, for example, any short positions would have a serious negative margin effect, resulting in a call or automatic buy-in if they vacate those accounts. Broker dealers will not allow themselves to be left holding the bag for the loss...unless, of course, they are short in their own accounts.
This type of article/quote is the type of thing I think NWBO should repackage and PR. "Top Brain tumor doctor cites the promise of DCVAX-L therapy" add some color (SNO/journal article reference, #alive?, process of ending trial and releasing results), insert the quote, then push to newswire.
That's a great article. Nice mention but I wish that was national news.
I agree with most on this board that we will not likely hear anything new from LP unless we get a PR prior to the Vaccine conference talk. I would be all for a PR and some new information. It would confirm a plan to lead up to data lock, topline, etc...maybe at ASCO. If not, I think it will be a rehash of already public info and about the potential of the science...a nothing sandwich, if you will.
Thanks and same to you. I'm sure it is no different/easier with other terminal diseases, but GBM prognosis leaves you particularly helpless, IMO.
yes, I was thinking the same thing. Maybe delayed filing of 10-K drops you to pink, as you are not current, then you refile to be moved back?
Maybe it has something to do with what another poster mentioned regarding the OTC Pink designation. Maybe moving to OTCQB or OTCQX.....not a huge move, but also not negative.
Hmmm, GGB, can you find out if it is the annual compliance certification filing or something different?
Unbelievable. And, Hopefully there are a lot more like her! I would imagine all patients with success like hers would be telling the world about their DCVAX story, just to help others and get the word out. Two reasons they cannot?
1. They don't know if they were in the placebo group or treatment group? Even though everyone knows this is a 16 month death sentence 99% of the time.
2. Do patients have to sign a confidentiality or non-disclosure to be part of the trial?
The Tags on LL's test tubes in the Spectrum video show DCVAX-L and have a date on the bottom saying 4/21/15, I believe. Would that mean the patient is four years into treatment?
I have a screen captures showing DCVAX on the tags of those test tubes but I cannot post a photo either?
Thank you. And when you are directly impacted you end up meeting others who have had similar losses. That's why I'm rooting for NWBO.
I grew up in Western NY and played a lot of hockey in Quebec, a lot of losses, lol. I'm not here to earn anyone's trust, however. I think it is difficult to assess behind aliases and a message board. FWIW, I have never shorted an OTC stock, nevermind this one. I have, as an investment hedging strategy used shorting and put options in my portfolio of regularly traded stocks. The only reason I am long NWBO is because I found this stock as I was losing my brother to GBM and feel I am helping the company survive and get to their promising results.
I actually voted positively for ALL