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we'll be back at .0038 momentarily. This volume and price action is great!
Nice steady climb is great for us... bulding a new base!
what have you been watching the last 2 weeks??? The stock is up over 200%... maybe it's just a little profit taking before we move up further???
going to be back on .0038 x .0039 shortly!!
We're going to get there... let's do it slowly though... it allows for a more stable base to keep us at this level permanently.
I say .0041 close for another nice 20% move today!
How are those feeling that were hoping to get this at .0025?? Like i said, it's not fun to chase
Wow!! they filled it perfect for me... got it all at .0035 on the flip up!! woo hoo.... I'm in for 1.25M shares!! wish I had bought them 2 weeks ago at .001 but still happy to be in!!
They're not filling my order!!!
Stock Order: SAVW-SAVWATT USA INC COM
Status Open
Symbol SAVW
Description SAVWATT USA INC COM
Action Buy
Quantity 630,000 Shares
Route NATIONAL FINANCIAL SERVICES L.L.C.
Order Type Limit at $0.0035
Time in Force Day
Conditions None
Trade Type Cash
Market Session Standard
Order Date 07/08/2011, 10:02:53 AM ET
Cancel Date
600k order coming in now!
and away she goes....
Going to be a lot of chasing this up after we turn green...
Anyone see that fake wall that just fell??? They had 6M shares at .0031 on the ask that just disappeared after a 200K buy
275M shares traded from 7/5 - 7/7 alone (most of those in the .003's)... going to be difficult to take us back to the .002's without a lot of selling pressure as I believe shares are starting to be accumulated in stronger hands...
Wouldn't hurt at all if there is a buyer of those 20M in the .004's.... would actually just help strengthen the price at a higher level.
Pedro, any idea on the number of shares outstanding? Just curious how high we can go.
Can't see ppl selling on a Friday when the company just released news this past monday (4th of July when market is closed). As we get closer to the end of the month it's only going to strengthen.
I only got into this today, but I for sure wouldn't ever say that being in the stock for a few weeks like you mentioned means that you know how the equity trades... good luck but I think your going to get caught chasing...
What are you going to do if it opens at .0040?? Then you're in chase mode.... may come back to bite you.
I'm gonna guess we push .90 today and $1 by early next week... maybe news early next week since we'll be past this July 7th date?? would be welcomed!
You can't compare variable costs of 5-9 years ago when the company was very early on in the process to what the variable costs would be today.... if companies weren't able to find efficiencies in 5-9 years their balance sheets would all look like the US Governments.
This is awesome! for those in particular concerned with expanding capacity just take a look at pg 23; it specifically says that "Cost of capacity expansion lower than typical vaccine or biologic"... should definitely help ease some concerns if you ask me.
agreed... I'm just trying to simplify for Dew
Dew, your mantra has been to focus on what you refer to as the inability for the company to ever turn a profit, but yet you provide absolutely no support/analysis to justify your position.
Ultimately, the LaViv procedural process is going to be a combination of both fixed and variable cost making up the combined cost of each procedure. Obviously, the variable costs are going to be roughly consistent per procedure regardless of the number of procedures (i.e. - labor/clinic/manufacturing costs of $x for each cell sample taken and developed for injection). The company would consider this as an estimated percentage cost when developing a pricing point for LaViv in the market; maybe 25% of the $2,000 cost of procedure - just a thought. The remaining fixed costs are going to be difficult to change because they would be made up of facility exp, depreciation exp, training exp, etc. However, what you don't seem to consider is that the total fixed costs are going to decrease significantly on a per procedure basis as the number of procedures increase which would in turn result in the long-term viability for the company.
Let me help you with the math:
5,000 procedures
$2,000 per procedure
25% variable cost per procedure
$20M in annual fixed costs (depreciation, facility, etc)
result - company records $10M in revenue and has expenses of $22.5M; company loses $12.5M
25,000 procedures
$2,000 per procedure
25% variable cost per procedure
$20M in annual fixed costs (depreciation, facility, etc)
result - company records $50M in revenue and has expenses of $32.5M; company net profit is $17.5M
Looks like buying and selling have both dried up... appears everyone wants to hear whats brewing behind the scenes that is going to take us up the next leg...
Think we could get a little run to end the day with a bit of buying on this light volume.... looks like everyone is on vaca today... think next week will be exciting!
Your guess that it's the preferreds and not the warrants converting... I'm just stating that it is converting which pushed the price down this week. It will snap back above $1 as soon as the selling pressure is eased IMO.
verbage strait from the S-1:
PROSPECTUS
FIBROCELL SCIENCE, INC.
31,116,000 Common Stock
This prospectus relates to the resale of our common stock by certain of our stockholders, or Selling Stockholders, named in the section of this prospectus titled “Selling Security Holders.” The following shares may be offered for resale under this prospectus: (a) 15,558,000 shares of common stock underlying convertible series D preferred stock, or Series D Preferred Stock, issued to accredited investors in a private offering, and (b) 15,558,000 shares of common stock underlying warrants issued to the same investors in the foregoing offering.
When warrants are converted, the holder owes the company the price at which they were converted; $.50
The company will receive .50 for each warrant converted. In turn a liability comes off the books as the investors get the shares instead which is why the companys interest expense would go down.
I agree with your analysis... not to mention, if the recent pressure down wasn't b/c of the warrant conversion sales then how could 11.4M in volume on Monday be explained. That surely wasn't from the individual investor.
You're still missing the point... the heavy downward pressure didn't start until the 24th and beyond.... if they were going to short the stock they wouldn't have waited until the 24th to do so but rather months ago. However, for the two months prior to this drop below a $1 it traded in a fairly consistent range of $1.10 - $1.40 which was near the 52 week high. Hence, the selling pressure was caused by the warrant conversion and certainly not a retail seller.
what is the difference between shorting a stock at lets say .85 with the objective of using the converted warrant to cover versus selling the stock at .85 and pocket the gain immediately??? At the end of the day as an investor you're going to end up with the same .35 spread on every share no matter how you look at it.
Also, FCSC close below $1 for the first time in two months on the 24th before going down further the following days. You're wrong twice.
solid DD
That's some good stuff!! Little bad publicity for Botox to coincide with the commercialization of LaViv and who knows what kind of future we could be looking at.... someone is sure to be sitting out there looking to give this company the funding it needs for a full-scale rollout.
Imagine if we had some investor sign up for $50M in warrants convertible at $5 per share?? It sounds crazy, but if some conglomerate really thought that a $50M investment could lead to massive growth and takeover in market share then it could happen... we'll see...
Really looks like we've lost a lot of the downward pressure that was on us a few days ago (my guess from the conversion of warrants which should now put some $$ in the companies hands to help supplement the commercialization)... matter of time before we get back over $1
I really hope you're trying to be sarcastic... otherwise that is one of the silliest things I've heard.
Loving the momentum.... guessing one more pullback before July 7th and then clear skies!
Thx juslookn... want to make sure he/she doesn't influence the decision making of others either though
And what business model of LaViv's have you ever seen that allows you to make that BOLD statement?? Investing isn't always pin the tail on the donkey... sometimes it takes some patience.
Warren Buffet quote - the stock market is about the transfer of wealth from the impatient to the patient
Thx .. just trying to point out the obvious to our negative friends.
it sounds so preposterous to you b/c you appear to have a vested interest in the failure of FCSC based on your continued comments that appear to drag the company through the mudd... but the facts are that:
1) it is an FDA approved product
2) it is a much less toxic version than the alternative
3) it could potentially have many other uses
4) it is one of its kind
So let's say it takes around a $20M investment to enable them to serve 5% of the market... you don't think there are a number of companies/investors that would jump into bed with that??