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A short CYDY story:
Went to pick up my Mom at the hospital (not COVID related), but the nurse stationed behind a glass partition told me NO VISITORS, not even for patient pick-up. They would bring her out in half an hour, and since I'm exceptionally good looking, the nurse said I could wait right there.
So that "good-looking" part might be a lie, but over the next 30 minutes - after she mentioned she was reviewing her investments while playing hall monitor, I became a Krakatoa of all things CYDY. The imminent end to the S/C trial, proven efficacy against AIDS with no SAE, possible use against everything from flus to cancers and Alzheimers and on and on and what a deal at just 5 bucks a share!
She didn't believe me. Nothing could be that good, no drug can simultaneously treat so many different things...the shake of her head said it all. But I did leave her with a napkin scrawled with "CYDY," so who knows, maybe she was behind today's quarter-cent spike in the S/P.
How did Sinatra start that song? "Start spreading the news..."
Hello, Niknak1, quick question: May I ask how you found out about CYDY 13 years ago? And since I assume there were no studies (in progress or completed) at that time for any indications, what prompted you to invest?
Thanks, tradinplaces! So I'll modify my question: do you think anyone at Cytodyn has received any sort of feedback from the Dr's and nurses conduction the trials on which (or how many) patients received LL, but didn't make it?
I'm just trying to get a handle on how blind (or unblinded) or management is to the actual S/C results. I have been an investor since March, and their optimism and enthusiasm never seems to wane...so I'm wondering how much they actually know about supposedly "blinded" trial results.
Question on S/C Mortality Data:
I know that no one at CYDY has access to the Phase 3 study data until it's unblinded, but I believe I have read that doctors and nurses can tell which patients were the likely recipients of LL based on individual lab results.
So my question is - if asked by CYDY employees, can these doctors/nurses reveal what they see re: individual lab results? In other words, while remaining "blind" to the actual LL/placebo patient lists, are there ways that CYDY employees can look at the individual labs and get a pretty good idea of who's getting better on LL and who is not?
This leads to my larger context question, namely - does our CYDY leadership have evidence-based reasons (from our current S/C trial) to be so upbeat about our upcoming trial results?
Now THIS is good news, thanks jimmy!
So in summary, Black Ops - the only way for CYDY (or any other publicly traded company) to beat a short attack - is to have a higher buy-side volume, or at least an equivalent buying volume vs selling volume, when the stock is being attacked?
It seems like the MM's hold all the cards. Can they really take the stock price wherever they want to over the course of a trading day? Is the market "rigged" in that sense?
Actually, Evil, there has been a double-blinded study to see if prayer has any efficacy for those who are sick. And lo, prayer does seem to work!
Whether the patients in question knew they were being prayed for - and also for those who did not know they were being prayed for - a rigorous study did show that prayer actually works.
I'll see if I can't find/post the link later tonight.
Hello, Dr misiu, this looks like great news, but does this latest press release tell us something that we didn't already know from their Dec 24th release?
Praying for her Marksch1, you both have lots of support on this board.
Merry Christmas, Black Ops! Thanks for all your posts, replies, and support!
That was a little sarcasm, Nik. When I wrote "FDA has our back," I was waiting for someone to reply with "FDA has (a sharp knife in) our back."
So we agree. FDA should have seen the great promise of LL and approved it back in the summer, inexcusable with our perfect safety profile.
Good stuff, Hook! Thanks for your follow-up.
It's great to have guys like you and Black Ops and Salz and the Docs (and many more) on this board, I've learned a lot since my first CYDY buy back in March.
And I like your permanent/appended Boorstin quote:
"The greatest obstacle to discovering. . .was not ignorance, but the illusion of knowledge" can be applied to so many more things than just the shape of the Earth.
Merry Christmas!
And to all who have mentioned loved ones sick with COVID, you're in my prayers.
Thank you, Hook and BlackOps and Lilbrother, your replies and explanations are greatly appreciated!
In short, so to speak, the whole process of shorting just hurts my head. And for naked shorting, I just can't fathom how you can sell shares you haven't borrowed or bought.
Another question is why would anyone short a company that - by all the evidence, has the most effective treatment to fight a pandemic? I mean, who hurts a company that could potentially save their life? And with so many companies to bet against, why attack one that is literally days away from doing so much good?
Oh, well. At least the FDA has our back.
Question for Black OPs and other stock guys:
Re: these short attacks, when and how do we know if the people behind them have been successful? In other words - does just a momentary 10% - 50% drop in SP mean they have made money? Or - do they have to suppress the SP by a certain amount for a day or two?
Just wondering what the definition of a successful short attack is, if a momentary drop in SP is all the need to make a profit.
While waiting for the CYDY beanstalk to resume its climb, here's an interesting read on how effective the COVID lockdown strategies have been.
https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/lockdowns-do-not-control-coronavirus-evidence
Among nations that declined to lock down, this sticks out:
"According to the lockdown narrative, Taiwan did almost everything ‘wrong’ but generated what might in fact be the best results in terms of public health of any country in the world.”
And for nations that suffered the most severe lockdowns, there's this:
Lockdowns do not reduce Covid-19 deaths. This pattern is visible on each date that key lockdown decisions were made in New Zealand. The apparent ineffectiveness of lockdowns suggests that New Zealand suffered large economic costs for little benefit in terms of lives saved.”
Re: our new ICD-10 PCS code -
Can someone please explain how some government agency was able to assign this code before the last patient of our 390 patient study was enrolled?
I thought there was no early reveal of the data so as not to skew the final results, and that won't happen till mid-late Jan; correct?
But if the agency that assigns the ICD codes has not seen the study results, what happens if LL doesn't meet its primary endpoint?
Knowing the risk-averse nature of bureaucrats, I can only assume they DO know our results are solid. So I'm just wondering how bureaucrats see the results before our last patient was enrolled and the final results are known.
I like your numbers, hitek! However -
If CYDY could mold the Leronlimab molecules into a sleek automotive form that plugs into the wall and seats four, we could apply the ITVM (Insane Tesla Value Multiplier) and multiply your SP estimates by 1200.
Texting Elon now.
PR Question: What is the purpose/strategy behind issuing positive press releases just after market close? Wouldn't an opening bell PR or midday announcement generate more excitement and buying pressure?
Kind of like going to a new car dealership and having the salesman tell a potential buyer, "Now, don't decide right now, just go home and sleep on it, see how you feel about this tomorrow morning."
Something I've missed?
Excellent post, Black Ops, always enjoy your insights and warm thoughts on the shorts.
Pray for our Republic and have a great weekend!
Tradinplaces,
I vote your "zip code changing appreciation" the best four-word sequence of the day, expect major prize(s) on/around 25 Dec.
200,000 pages for a BLA? Who reads 2,000 pages, much less 200,000? Is that really the size of a typical BLA?
Sheesh, no wonder we still have no cure for cancer, the FDA is still reading BLA's from 1966.
Thanks Howard, Latane, and Heretoday! Your expertise is invaluable and I've fled this offer like a homesick general in a Bell X-1.
Question for BlackOps, Howard, & other $mart guys:
On 30 Nov, I got an email from Fidelity saying that - if I participate in their "Fully Paid Lending Program," they would pay 14.5% for my loaned CYDY shares.
1. Does this mean I would be loaning to people who want to short/hurt CYDY?
2. If this does not mean I would helping to short/hurt CYDY, are there any downsides to this "Fully Paid Lending Program?"
Seems like an easy way to make $.
Too easy, so there must be a downside, right?
THANKS!!
THANKS for your replies, Dr Misiu and Dr Rock, I believe we will remain grounded and sober while patiently awaiting a formal announcement.
HAH!!!!!!!!
And may God bless you both!
Misiu and Rock, 2 questions:
1. For drugs that are not FDA approved, how unusual is it to get an ICD procedure code? Because -
2. If the drug is not yet FDA approved, how can it get a procedure code? I mean, if the drug can't be used (except in clinical studies), isn't this putting the cart before the horse?
Thanks!
The fatality rate of COVID 19 seems a slippery thing to catch.
Using the WHO website (https://covid19.who.int/), they report the number of current fatalities as 1,513, 179. Coupled with their number of "confirmed cases" - 65,257,767 - this yields a fatality rate of 2.3%.
Pretty darn high!
So maybe by "confirmed cases," they mean people actually admitted to a hospital that tested positive??
Because back in October, a WHO official (Dr Mike Ryan) said that about 10% of the world's population had been infected by the virus. So if we put this number in the denominator, we get a fatality rate of 1,513,179/765 million = 0.19%. (This number is likely lower, considering Dr Ryan made his 10% infection estimate in early October, 2 mths ago).
Regardless, 0.19% is an order of magnitude lower than 2.3%, and it puts the lethality of COVID 19 on par with the 2017/2018 flu season death rate of approx .13%.
Just wonder why there's such a huge variance in the COVID fatality rate.
Thanks for your reply, Gustave. It's always nice to see insiders/CEO's buying shares of their own company, and it's also incredible to see how much they've grown in so little time. I hope uplist helps drive our SP north, and I can easily see $20 by spring/summer.
Good Luck to you and other NEXCF investors!
Thanks for the info, Gustave. Can you tell us if you have a source within the company? Is that how you know these paperwork/submission details?
I like your fire and enthusiasm, Dr. Rock. Thanks for being a frequent contributor and may God Bless you, your family, and your work!
I hope your prediction pans out, Gustave. Every bit of good, solid news since summer - and there's been an amazing amount of good, solid news - has been greeted with a drop in SP.
Lets hope NEXCF + DEC = NASDAQ!
Thanks, iknow777.
We have dueling data representations between the Johns Hopkins study and your "Our World in Data" website.
The likely reason is how/when each source determines what is a COVID 19 mortality and what is not.
Unfortunately, because there was (perhaps still is?) a financial incentive for hospitals to designate COVID 19 as a patient's cause of death even when it really wasn't. e.g., a motorcycle accident, we're getting inflated COVID 19 mortality numbers.
Politics and science don't mix.
Thanks for the replies, Misiu and Rock.
Very sorry to hear of any/all COVID 19 deaths, Dr. Rock, especially your associates and friends. There is no question the virus is a killer.
But at this point, it is a "knowable" killer with a mortality rate not much higher than a bad flu (per WHO infection and mortality numbers).
We have the statistics on who is most vulnerable, so just like in an any war, we need to tailor our preparations and response accordingly. We (the potential victims) need to know our risk level, and you (the Docs) need to know the best way to help an infected patient. Of course, doctors are also potential victims, so my hat is off to all of you med professionals who risk your lives every day for ours.
I think what the Johns Hopkins study proves - if accurate - is that, as a nation, we have reacted emotionally, not rationally. We're not alone in this boat, every country that locked down their economies are guilty of panic. Bottom line, if deaths in the USA show no spike in 2020 due to COVID 19, then we had - and have - no reason to destroy so many lives via bankruptcy, depression, suicide, and potentially seriously ill patients not being able to get the appointments and screening they need due to the COVID stampede.
May God bless and keep you both and your families as well!
Dr Misiu and Dr Rock and any MD's -
Have any of you seen the Johns Hopkins study released earlier this week that was subsequently pulled?
In short, despite about a quarter million deaths chalked up to COVID 19 in the USA in 2020, the raw data shows no significant increase in deaths for the nation vs prior years.
Shouldn't we have expected about a 250k spike in deaths?
The study found reductions in heart disease and cancer deaths, the usual two biggest killers...which (to me) suggests that many who died of cancer/heart disease were reclassified as COVID.
In summary, if the country has seen no net increase in deaths for 2020, have we shut down our economy...without medical/scientific justification?
https://www.aier.org/article/new-study-highlights-serious-accounting-error-regarding-covid-deaths/
Johns Hopkins COVID 19 study result re: national death totals:
-----------
"...in contrast to most people’s assumptions, the number of deaths by COVID-19 is not alarming. In fact, it has relatively no effect on deaths in the United States.”
Total deaths in the United States show no significant change and even mirror past trends of seasonal illness.
https://www.aier.org/article/new-study-highlights-serious-accounting-error-regarding-covid-deaths/
-----------
This study came out a few days ago. However, because it went against the "official" (FDA/big tech approved) narrative, it has since been withdrawn by Johns Hopkins.
Strange how in the Information Age, we seem to have more censorship in the USA/free world than ever.
Well stated, jimmy667! Our biggest threat isn't COVID, but as you said in your post, it's "Tyranny over citizens by Government bureaucracies."
The 20th century had Hitler and Stalin and Mao, the 21st has massive bureaucracies with gray-faced managers who, regardless of their failure or malfeasance, never get fired or punished. They just grow.
Hello, Nursetrader, 3 questions if you have time:
1. Since first applying for listing with NASDAQ, do you think NEXCF has met all the requirements to proceed?
2. Do you know if our CEO has given an expectation of when to expect NASDAQ uplist, e.g., before 2021?
3. In your opinion, why has our SP dropped since the great Q3 earnings release?
Thanks and good luck!
Does anyone know what the current/SOC survival rate is at 3 years?
Great post, Black-Ops, thanks for the inside info! I think your best point is that company officers will ALWAYS have inside info, it comes with the territory. But your second best point is how infrequently the SEC investigates corporate exec/insider buying.
Would love to see CYDY officers max out their buy orders!
100% Agree, Monroe. I bring no medical or business acumen to this board - I'm just a guy in the bleachers nursing his last Miller Lite - but since I first bought into CYDY back in March/April, there have been several days where I was anxiously awaiting announcement of study results. And all I can say is, despite the current low SP -
LERONLIMAB ALWAYS WINS.
From safety to efficacy, every indication to date says we have a 10, we're Secretariat and Neil Armstrong and Aaron Rodgers all rolled up into a 350 mg injectable, and no, I don't know what that means.
But I do know what I see, and when every study and data result comes back positive, I just have to make my beer money last.
The GRAND SLAM is coming, and to quote two sages of our time:
R-E-L-A-X...
and Don't Blink.
I disagree, this back-and-forth is precisely the topic.
The left trusts the Federal government more than private individuals/ private industry. They believe the government is not motivated by greed or self-interest and therefore will accomplish more good and/or run things better, specifically health care.
So we have a fundamental, root level disagreement. Nothing about the technicals, the pre-existing conditions or pill prices or number of MD's,
we have completely different, and mutually incompatible, views on the nature and role of government.
I believe in the power of free enterprise and man's innate creativity to come up with solutions to make a better world.
The left believes in top-down control by government bureaucracy and force.
At root, that is our choice.