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100+%-Increase-in-sales Q1-and-Q2 and 429%-Q4 Store Growth for first year of traction is not good?
Oxford most certainly hopes for a positive result, it will potentially save a lot of money and help a lot of people. They of course will report exactly what they find.
FDA Clearance is virtually in the Bag this time as the FDA based on their own "new" information did the reclassification and gave this company a redo.
We-is-Me-and-those that can successfully do projections.
Very simple math really. Traction is growing and my backed out numbers "forecast" are quite conservative.
Don't need to, the number I backed out are from Q3 and we know most of the new stores were added in the middle of Q4.
Q3 Only had 585 stores July-August-September ALL other store referred to were added in October, November, December or Q4. Q1 will fully recognize these new stores. Check the press releases.
Why yes FDA-is-Coming just a bit-more-time. SOON!!
Relax, it will happen, FDA Clearance Coming!!
1925-Stores-added-Q4, imagine if they do that in Q1
8000-10,000 was based on 585 Stores
Now with 2510 Stores do the math.
Backed out numbers include Try and Tell Sales
64% goes to the company and when Try and Tell is no longer needed that number will go up.
Yes, Based on the number of stores and backing out numbers from financials we can see at LEAST $600 per store sales average, and that is the bottom estimate of 8000 sold per month.
PROFIT needs about $1.6 Million in Gross Sales
All numbers will be rounded.
Last Q3 Sales = $500K
Cost of goods sold was 36%
So the company gets 64% profit from sales.
Loss was $727K therfore they need additional sales to cover that loss and breakeven. They need then an additional
$1,136,000 million in sales to break even.
This assumes no added fixed costs or decreases in fixed costs.
Advertising increases might cause a small loss.
Total sales need to be $1,136,000 +$500,000 = $1,636,000 in sales for breakeven.
We know in Q3 they had 585 stores selling product.
Assuming 70% revenue came from the store that is $350,000 which when we divide by 585 stores =$598 in revenue per store.
Starting Q1 we know there will be at least 2510 stores.
2510 X $598 revenue per store = $1,500,980 in store sales.
Assuming Q3 store sales at 70% leaves 30% from other sources or
$150,000
Store sales of $1,500,980 + $150,000 from other sources
= $1,650,980
Profit and this is without any OTHER GROWTH, and where the company starts Q1
Then there is B Braun and the FDA and of course more stores and countries!!! Oh and add Costco Canada sales to these numbers.
You mean the same as 1.5 million shares-at-$10.00
Really does not scare me.
Not when I believe the stock is going 10 times higher in 2016
Yes we do per the interview we know they are selling about 8000 to 10,000 per month for 585 stores. Do the math for the current 2510 stores and Biel is getting at least $600 a month store average.
NO delay FDA is still working on the Clearance.
Clinical trial was started about the same time FDA was applied for, and has nothing to do with FDA approval.
Actually the Orchestra just warmed up in 2015
The full show gets started in 2016
Better book a ticket, you won't want to miss it!!
Biel and Beyond!!
Great show name!!
Can you provide a link to the commercial or possibly check a local Costco store to see if they are on the shelves. Thank you in advance.
So what? If they need to place them they will and they may never need to place them. Currently I think there are only 10.2B out so far. Things can change fast, but they are there should they need them. Imagine for a minute the cash needed to stock yet another 2500, 5000 or 10,000 stores shelves.
$10,000,000 Million in Profit 2016 Are You Ready!!
Personally I think it will be higher MUCH higher, since the company enters 2016 at break even/small profit range.
$10 Million divided by 13 Billion Shares Outstanding = .00077
Assign that number a P/E of 25 (low for a hyper Growth stock)
= .01925 cents per share for the stock.
Company merely needs to double from the start of Q1 2016 to do this. That is much less growth then see in 2015
Yup, 2000% increase.
Now you understand the fight going on.
Now imagine FDA approval
Now imagine B Braun kicking in.
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Only Got Traction this year 800+% Store Growth
Q1 without further growth will be profitable.
Expect further growth and FDA and B Braun!!
All Quiet All Waiting for What is Coming
Tick tick tick tick
800%+ Store Growth in 2015 in less then-a-year
50% store growth 2016 guarantees a profit and 100%+ could happen by the end of Q1
Just how much will it grow in 2016?
800+% is NOT out of the question especially with FDA Clearance!
And most certainly I expect to see B Braun kick in shortly which means automatic profit and those new shares may not be needed.
See my post right below yours
PROFIT needs about $1.6 Million in Gross Sales
All numbers will be rounded.
Last Q3 Sales = $500K
Cost of goods sold was 36%
So the company gets 64% profit from sales.
Loss was $727K therfore they need additional sales to cover that loss and breakeven. They need then an additional
$1,136,000 million in sales to break even.
This assumes no added fixed costs or decreases in fixed costs.
Advertising increases might cause a small loss.
Total sales need to be $1,136,000 +$500,000 = $1,636,000 in sales for breakeven.
We know in Q3 they had 585 stores selling product.
Assuming 70% revenue came from the store that is $350,000 which when we divide by 585 stores =$598 in revenue per store.
Starting Q1 we know there will be at least 2510 stores.
2510 X $598 revenue per store = $1,500,980 in store sales.
Assuming Q3 store sales at 70% leaves 30% from other sources or
$150,000
Store sales of $1,500,980 + $150,000 from other sources
= $1,650,980
Profit and this is without any OTHER GROWTH, and where the company starts Q1
Then there is B Braun and the FDA and of course more stores and countries!!!
Q1 will be breakeven to profitable as long as fixed costs remain the same. 64% profit per device sold and that includes try an tell. Do the math. 2500 stores and climbing. 2016 is the year it finally happens for the little engine that could. Q3 was 585 stores Q1 is at least 2500 stores.
All aboard!!
Does not matter in the Grand Scheme of things. We do not yet know how those will be handled but even if they were all converted to shares the increase for ALL of us is huge based on where the market cap goes. What do you think the price will be when they are making 10 million in profit, 20 million then 50 million? I know, do you?
Even without FDA this company will have a very nice return in 2016
But imo FDA soon.
Mark this post.
With FDA this stock could very well carry a billion dollar Market Cap plus imo. With FDA approval and if I had the ability (which I do not) I would try to buy this company for 250M.
Holding Plenty and will add more Soon
Big deal, Market Cap would only be 15-Million
If and when all those shares are ALL out.
Market Cap will be 10 times higher or more very soon as in 1 day to <6 months.
Heard reverse split for 6 years now
Not going to happen anytime soon.
Biel going to be a Monster
Imagine for a moment Actipatch get 1/100th of
That amount.
Repeat after me ----Wait for it-----DIME!!
Be sure you all hold some for 5 years.
I DID!! GREAT REVIEWS Thank you!!
DID Read GREAT Reviews !! Thank You
Interesting read below, don't know who wrote it
https://zombieworldorderthebookseries.wordpress.com/category/alternative-medicine/
Projecting-Q1-Sales at $1.5-$2.0-Million Without any further Growth Interesting to see how much they can add in stores etc over next 15 weeks!!!
Would like to see a 50-100% in stores.
Someone just sold $31.50 lol
Someone bought a bunch at the ask!!