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What is Israel obligated to do by the U.N.?
What U.N. mandates do you want to see followed by Israel?
I didn't see your question until now because you addressed it to "None." I'm not that interested in polls in general, and in any case, doing a poll here would not do much good, since the thread is dead. As for me, yes I do believe that Bob Brinker, Sr. was posting as don lane, later changed to mister topes, for what it's worth.
Are you still expecting the Spring low to occur on or about April 22nd?
I've been wondering why my options trades were not on my 1099-B. Seems like kind of a strange rule.
Would 2:22 be a good time for a downturn today?
Since the terrorists' goal is to terrorize people, I'm sure they do not hesitate to take advantage of the fact that most people don't know what is possible and what is not when it comes to "suitcase bombs."
An advantage of log charts is that a given distance on the chart equals a given percentage change. The one place where linear makes more sense is on BP charts. Since they are aleady a percentage, applying the log scale is like having a double logarithm, with the result that variations near the top get rather squished compared to ones near the bottom.
Zeev, I'm not sure this is politics, but it for sure isn't investing, so I'll pose it here:
You have mentioned in the past that the 101st Airborne saved you in WWII. Have you ever posted the details, and if so, where might one find it. (I'm somewhat of a WWII history buff.)
Re: "Journal of Irreproducible Results"
Apparently that is still available in book form:
http://www.jir.com/
Turns out that paper was published in the Annals of Improbable Research:
http://www.improbable.com/airchives/classical/classical-top.html
Looks like an interesting site. Or, to put it another way, I sighted an interesting cite on an interesting site. <g>
I had been looking for a logical point to cut my losses on a position because it seemed like the $bpcompq had broken down from its recent trading range and had such a steep negative slope. Friday's close was not far from your target for the mini-rally, so I decided it was close enough and got out after hours. Lucky me. (Of course the reentry will be another matter.)
If we stall early next week as you expect, what would be your cash level at that point?
Had trouble getting this to post.
Sorry, if I sounded ticked I didn't mean it that way. I was just expressing the opinion that the election could go either way, and I was trying to say that I thought a big factor in determining the outcome would be how the economy, the war on terrorism, etc. go between now and November.
Yes, and I think it conveys that the future is vague, contrary to your assurances that you know how the election is going to turn out.
I think a lot depends on what kind of successes Bush has in office between now and November.
I wonder if they read her her Miranda rights. Seems like that ought to be a requirement, considering the results.
Zeev, when you get time, what do you think the impact of a possibly staglationary recession would be on bonds?
Good point about the real cost of oil. I have also seen the point made that the war in Iraq is distracting us from fighting al Qaeda, although the latter reportedly are engaging us in Iraq now. I guess time will tell whether the war in Iraq will turn out to be good strategy from the point of view that it is better to fight al Qaeda there than here.
I suspect that the terrorists in Iraq and elsewhere hope that a Democratic administration would be better for them than the present Republican one. If so, I think they are seriously lacking in their understanding of American Politics.
"hap, we may have intellectual disagreements without losing mutual respect, your sentence about letting the state of Israel 'disappear' if it is no longer in the intrinsic interest of the US to support it, was simply shocking...it was not a typical Hap utterance..."
I don't know if I am qualified to translate into Hungarian, but I just want to emphasize that when I read hap's post on the disappearance of Israel, it was clear to me that he was not advocating this. Rather, he was predicting that it would be the outcome of a Democrat's being elected president.
BTW, I disagree with his point, because I believe that not all Democrats are alike, among other reasons.
I have also noticed that what people promise during campaigns, and what they do once they have the responsibility that goes with being in office, are often wildly different.
Haven't had time to watch the tape yet!
Hey I actually enjoyed shovelling snow when I lived in Boston.
I'll join in the patriotism by watching only the commercials, so if they relent and air the ad, I will let you know. <g>
Here are my rules for the Superbowl:
1. Set VCR to record game.
2. Go outside and enjoy day.
3. Skip over game and watch commercials.
<g>
Zeev, AKvetch posted that, not Vexari.
Only 29 points to go!
Since the COMP broke the Jan 02 high of 2099 a few days ago, seems to me that HFTOM says the market ought to continue up until the SPX breaks its Jan 02 high of 1176.
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/intchart/frames/frames.asp?symb=comp&time=10&freq=1
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/intchart/frames/frames.asp?symb=spx&time=10&freq=1
I don't think the wall has anything to do with enjoyment, but I too hope it solves the problem. The one around Gaza is said to be working. I certainly don't fault the Israelis for wanting to defend themselves, and I think that a wall is a lot better solution than killing people and destroying property.
I fail to see the similarity between the citizens of Denver killing the residents of Sand Hill Camp and Israel building a wall to protect their borders.
I don't see what Bela Kun has to do with it.
In the case of the Warsaw Ghetto, the people being walled in were not committing terrorism against the people outside.
The market's been like a freight train lately.
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/intchart/frames/frames.asp?symb=comp&time=18&freq=9&typ...
I find myself wondering if it will continue up until we get a double top on BPCOMPQ.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$BPCOMPQ,uu[h,a]dacayyay[df][pb20][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9...
If the BP continues going up at 1% per day it could take another three trading days or so past today.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$BPCOMPQ,uu[h,a]dacayyay[dc][pb20!b3][vc60][iUb14!La12,2...
Note: this is all pure speculation (but you knew that <g>).
Regarding 2000 before 1955, looks like it was Zeev's turn to be right. <g>
Nice work on the gold stocks though.
I assumed it was an ETF, but I was mistaken. Besides, it looks like it doesn't behave the same as the mining stocks you listed.
Why not just buy XAU?
I'm planning to go long the famous baby food manufacturer, DROOL.
(Sorry, couldn't help myself.)
I was under the impression that a bid alone was sufficient to set the LOD, i.e., that a trade crossed at that price was not a necessary condition.
I was under the impression that the LOD could be set by a bid that never found a seller, and that there were not necessarily any trades at that price.
This was only partially posted before:
Informer affirms 'secret weapon'
By Con Coughlin
SUNDAY TELEGRAPH
BAGHDAD — An Iraqi colonel has revealed how he passed top-secret information to British intelligence warning that Saddam Hussein had deployed weapons of mass destruction that could be used on the battlefield against coalition troops in less than 45 minutes.
Lt. Col. al-Dabbagh, 40, who was the head of an Iraqi air defense unit in the western desert during the buildup to the war, said that cases containing warheads for weapons of mass destruction were delivered to front-line units, including his own, toward the end of last year.
He said they were to be used by Saddam's Fedayeen paramilitaries and units of the Special Republican Guard when the war with coalition troops reached "a critical stage."
The containers, which came from several factories on the outskirts of Baghdad, were delivered to the army by the Fedayeen and distributed to the front-line units under cover of darkness.
In an exclusive interview, Col. al-Dabbagh said he believes he was the source of the British government's claim, published in September 2002 in the intelligence dossier on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction, that Saddam could launch such weapons within 45 minutes.
"I am the one responsible for providing this information," said the colonel, who now is working as an adviser to Iraq's Governing Council.
He insisted that the information contained in the dossier relating to Saddam's battlefield capability for weapons of mass destruction was correct. "It is 100 percent accurate," he said after reading the relevant passage.
The devices, which were known by Iraqi officers as "the secret weapon," were made in Iraq and designed to be launched by hand-held rocket-propelled grenades. They could also have been launched sooner than the 45 minutes claimed in the dossier, he said.
"Forget 45 minutes," said Col. al-Dabbagh. "We could have fired these within half an hour."
Local commanders were told that they could use the weapons only on the personal orders of Saddam. "We were told that when the war came we would only have a short time to use everything we had to defend ourselves, including the secret weapon," he said.
The only reason they were not used, Col. al-Dabbagh said, was because the bulk of the Iraqi army did not want to fight for Saddam. "The West should thank God that the Iraqi army decided not to fight," he said.
Col. al-Dabbagh, who was recalled to Baghdad to work at Iraq's air defense headquarters during the war itself, believes the weapons of mass destruction have been hidden at secret locations by the Fedayeen and are still in Iraq. "Only when Saddam is caught will people talk about these weapons," he said.
During a British government inquiry into the death of David Kelly, a British specialist on Iraqi weapons, Richard Dearlove, the head of MI6, said that the information contained in the intelligence dossier relating to the 45-minute claim had come from a single "established and reliable" source serving in the Iraqi armed forces. British intelligence officers have claimed privately that they believe the original source was killed during the war.
Mr. Kelly apparently killed himself in July after it was revealed that he was the source of a British Broadcasting Corp. radio report claiming the government had included the 45-minute claim against the wishes of MI6 to "sex up" the intelligence dossier.
Col. al-Dabbagh, who spied for the Iraqi National Accord (INA), a London-based exile group for several years before the war, said he provided several reports to British intelligence about Saddam's plans to deploy weapons of mass destruction from early 2002 onwards.
The INA, which was made up of retired and serving Iraqi officers and Ba'ath Party officials, is known to have enjoyed a close relationship with MI6 and the CIA.
Ayad Allawi, the head of the INA who is now a prominent member of the Governing Council in Baghdad, confirmed he had passed Col. al-Dabbagh's reports on Saddam's weapons of mass destruction to both British and American intelligence officers "sometime in the spring and summer of 2002."
Col. al-Dabbagh also provided details of Iraq's troop and air defense deployments before the war.
Col. al-Dabbagh, who received two death threats from Saddam loyalists days after his interview with the Sunday Telegraph, said he was willing to travel to London to give evidence to the government inquiry. "I was there and I knew what Saddam was doing before the war," he said.
http://www.washtimes.com/world/20031207-120104-6986r.htm
I don't think those questions have as much significance as you are attaching to them.