Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Just to ensure an easy critique...
We'll note the
SPY here at 412
IWM at 185
QQQ at 313
According to your detailed geniusness...
Anyone long here is a sucker and a retard,
No chance of a bounce in May of ANY sort...
Duly noted.
It would have been one thing if you would have responded with knowledge,
but you doubled down with another brash boast.
You stand with those who
Support late term abortion...
With those who can't even define male and female.
Who support and encourage teaching 5 year olds about deviant sexual behavior.
And you act religious? You bring up Sodom and G...
When it's those who you stand with who celebrate exactly what was occurring there?
Those you stand with HATE the Constitution, as evidenced by Musk taking over Twitter, and the uproar by the left...
While they have no problem with Bezos owning the WaPo...
Again... Pathetic, constant hypocrisy.
It's no shocker everyone knows the DNC will be crushed in the mid terms... As you have already acknowledged...
Even the moderate Dems are disgusted by the radical left agenda.
If they aren't lying about the truth and reality, then they want it buried... Total Fascism... And we need more gun control, and religion is a terrible thing... But it's the other side who acts like Hitler...
Wasn't Jill Biden's book a great seller... LOL...
Another example that Joe and "heels in the air" escort mistress Harris have never had any support...
That's why there were no rallies and he hid in the basement.
But hey, Thee Most Popular President ever...
According to the vote count...
Hilarious...
You finally post a link to try and "support your facts"...
And it's an opinion piece... From CNN...
Astonishing. Many times you have "challenged" others to dispute your conclusions... We have, many times, and you ignore them.
Many other times, facts have been given...
And you ignore them.
You're a typical radical leftist, full of hypocrisy.
Lindsey Graham is a schmuck, but he is correct...
The police actually escorted many into the capital.
Those who entered the Capital were walking right by officials... Like they were in the daily tour. There's many videos which are proof... Them hanging out, even taking selfies with officers.
But that's not the narrative you want.
And now we get a radical leftist as the "Ministry of Truth"...
Mind boggling...
I hope the chart links
I have posted come through for others and
Probably one of the best, safest buys out there,
Here and now, is SVXY...
Working off the same concept as shorting high volatility,
Even if we stabilize, it should climb, as the volatility decreases.
https://investorshub.advfn.com/uimage/uploads/2022/5/1/thvomimage.png
Even if we do see a hard drop and capitulation, this won't fall much further.
NICE CHARTS... GOOD JOB
And Thanks for reminding the board.
I meant to mention that when you had previously posted a SSEC update.
Going back through charts, IMHO, we're ready for a rally here... A possible month long climb back to the 200 day at the 445 area. And the QQQ back to 360 - IWM back above 205.
An upward move of a few weeks would take us back to the upper sections of the downward channels we have... That I previously posted.
The only question now is do we get a hard washout to 390 first and capitulation or maybe JPow puts out dovish comments and we fly... He already knows the problems he's created have ripples that will last for months. We saw the mortgage rates immediately jump 2 points and this caused a shock that has repercussions.
Yes, the entire state of the economy is in shambles, and will face years of problems, but that doesn't mean everything immediately goes into the outhouse.
Even when we review 2001 or 2008, we did have rallies.
They took us from oversold to an almost overbought condition.
https://investorshub.advfn.com/uimage/uploads/2022/5/1/yvbmrimage.png
https://investorshub.advfn.com/uimage/uploads/2022/5/1/tcexdimage.png
https://investorshub.advfn.com/uimage/uploads/2022/5/1/ycnfeimage.png
It's not like it used to be...
Back when I was a kid and got out of line,
And deserved it, I knew the repercussion side of my parents hand was coming...
https://investorshub.advfn.com/uimage/uploads/2022/4/30/rwnwgimage.jpeg
Not much narrative needed.
https://investorshub.advfn.com/uimage/uploads/2022/4/30/sur%5Bhimage.png
It seems they won't allow this as my signature
https://investorshub.advfn.com/uimage/uploads/2022/4/30/fbdxdimage.jpeg
Here was my note from yesterday premarket -
I can't do it any better than this...
It doesn't take a rocket surgeon or
A brain scientist to see what we have here,
And I'm not even talking about the pattern...
What's more evident is now almost a year of overhead resistance.
That's the first thought which
entered my cranium....
The consumer is FINALLY showing stress and a spending pullback.
After years of cheap money, "feeling rich" because of the housing valuation increase, and then refinancing for a half point lower, miss a payment and get a check...
Then the stimulus free money -
The consumer is the majority of the GDP -
Most people didn't bother to get debt free....
We know stock valuations have to come down -
I just HOPE we can maintain some sort of solid business activity -
I HOPE we do not start seeing business closures and layoffs -
Because then it will all start to spiral downward very quickly and very ugly...
But usually that's inevitable.
Tempted to buy puts -
Until I view the premiums on them here -
A 430 put - May 13th - still up at $9
Just too steep - too much risk for the reward -
I would like to see that drop to $6 before trying...
Best to just walk away -
Be the sniper.
3 posts marked here -
as personal attacks -
Not on me, but attacks at other posters.
And these attacks were done by one of your moderators.
THAT trend has killed this board.
and sadly, you kinda know it.
Thanks.
Big day, but...
THIS chart puts it in perspective...
Watching and waiting - PAYTience....
The best part is not cringing that you may have missed an opportunity -
We all know another is coming very soon.
Short term toppy?
I would be careful Long's...
Tough to buy after the big gap up.
Watching for an intraday, inverted h pattern today,
With failure...
Big gap up, retracement of a few points, then retests of the intraday high, maybe even climb a bit higher,
But decision during the last 2 hours, and I think that will be a good short point. Portion buy on at the money puts, 2 weeks out.
I don't see us finishing at the high of the day, and I don't see it continuing tomorrow.
If it does, tomorrow gap up would be a good short point.
Don't make it too complicated...
We haven't seen true capitulation signs yet.
Very close to a bottom?
Maybe, maybe not
The macro problems faced take longer to fix, a few quarters.
Again were seeing a lack of buying by the funds and institutions. The upward movements shown are not lasting more than a day. When it does occur, it'll be obvious.
Buying big within 50 cents of a significant bottom can feel great mentally, but the true financial and portfolio reward isn't much higher than waiting and seeing a real trend change. Seeing the hourly candles stack upward like stairsteps, seeing the short term MA's cross upward, etc...
Here's 2001... Obvious bottoms, the last days of downward are brutal, and once the upward started, plenty of time to climb in.
2001
All in all, what we're seeing, resembles 2000 and the crazy swings.
2000
The events of the last 6 months,
including the debacle of Afghanistan, would not have occurred if Trump would have won.
We would be soo much stronger. Don't even try to ignore what the combination of Biden decisions of Keystone and Nordstream did.
In February and March 2014, Russia invaded and subsequently annexed the Crimean Peninsula from Ukraine.
THAT would be under Obama and Biden - because he knew they were a joke.
And now the Ukraine - because he knew Biden and Harris are a joke.
Trump told Putin to not even attempt one inch..... and Putin KNEW he couldn't.
and you somehow keep blaming T for all your displaced anger and sleepless nights. Your narratives are soo worn out.
WHY IS IT that you just can't accept there WAS NO collusion. It was all created by Hillary and the DNC and it was an act of treason...
THAT WAS THE ONLY RECENT ATTEMPT TO OVERTHROW THE DULY ELECTED US GOVERNMENT.
DO IT -
Bring me 5 NEWS ARTICLES which have a respected leader saying the holocaust was just an opinion - and this "respected leader" has a solid following.
And them saying it never happened and again, they have a solid following.
and again, if you have ANYONE, gay or straight is irrelevent, insisting they should be able to talk to 6 year olds about sex and sexuality, without parent first consent, without parents present, etc..... YES, I FEEL THAT IS VERY PERVERTED.
"Parents have called on school officials to remove books about sexual orientation and gender identity from the county’s elementary curriculum."
GOOD. There is no need for this subject matter to be in ELEMENTARY schools.
You read some information, then make these huge assumptions and leaps in illogical thought.... and call it fact.
It's mind boggling.
Here's the info from
your first article.....
"Classroom instruction by school personnel or third parties on sexual orientation or gender identity may not occur in kindergarten through grade 3."
To me, this is completely correct. HOW DARE YOU TRY to talk to a child about sex without parental consent first, and without them present.
WHY do you think it would be proper for schools to talk to 6 year olds about sex and sexuality ?!?! And you want this to happen regardless of how the parents think and feel ??!?
6 year olds are not thinking about sex and sexuality at all.... Not along the lines that a 16 year old or a 26 year old would. They don't have full comprehension of it. Nutjob. Stay the F*CK AWAY from the children.
And your second article....
"is designed, in part, to prevent teachers from making students feel guilt or shame about their race because of historical events."
WHY would you feel it's appropriate for teachers to try and shame individuals, based on their skin color.... THAT IS THE DEFINITION OF RACISM.
And your third article.....
" The bill (HB 7) prohibits any teaching that could make students feel they bear personal responsibility for historic wrongs because of their race, color, sex or national origin."
YES, BAD THINGS HAVE HAPPENED IN HISTORY -
BUT TO TRY AND MAKE STUDENTS PERSONALLY FEEL GUILT, FOR SOMETHING THAT OCCURRED SO LONG AGO, FOR SOMETHING THEY HAD NOTHING TO DO WITH..... THAT'S JUST MESSED UP.
AND SOMEHOW YOU FEEL THESE ARE DICTATOR MOVES ?!?!
AND ON ONE DAY YOU SCREAM TO TAX THE RICH, THE NEXT YOU FEEL DISNEY IS BEING OPPRESSED..... UGGHHH...
I agree also -
I think we could see 430 this week - easy.....
I gotta get back over to TT's info, before I can get my head around specifics -
Time, I need more time.
GLTA
Time to exit any puts or shorts -
Down here in the 420 - 421 area.... for safety -
and just watch and wait
Umm... What?
"sanitizing children's learning to what the STATE says is acceptable."
Do you actually think it's acceptable for teachers to be talking about sex and sexuality to kids who are ages 4 to 7 ?!?
To try and convince them biology and science isn't real?
You are sick.
"Openly defying federal mandates".
Yes, if they are completely unconstitutional.
And don't get me started on the cancellation of school debt...
Just a buying votes scheme... Again.
Like debt truly gets cancelled... Naive, incompetent leftists.
And like school debt ranks higher somehow than other debt, like medical debt... Imbeciles... So out of touch.
Over and over again,
You start sentences with, "We now have proof that", or,
"It is now fact that", and then follow it up with some outrageous statements...
Like the moon is truly made outta cheese, or shape shifting reptile people exist and control the planet...
But you never show any proof...
You never post any verifiable sources.
Is this something Joy Reid said, or was it Joy Behar ?
No need for anyone to keep posting actual information and links about the corruption and lies from the left, because you ignore it and refuse to address it...
It's just like how every main stream media outlet reported that the Hunter laptop was Russian disinformation, before the election.
Facebook, Twitter, and other sites even banned posts about it.
Biden screaming about it during the debates...
Top intelligence officials saying and signing off that it's all lies...
The FBI and CIA even going to social media executives and telling them if you get details, treat it as lies... And THAT is from Zuckerberg testimony in front of Congress.
If that isn't meddling in an election, which is treason, then I don't know what is...
Just like the Steele dossier and impeachment proceedings.
If the criminals on the left aren't suppressing and blocking the truth and facts, then they're creating and paying for false evidence to support false facts...
And we're back to slimeballs like Schiff and Hillary.
And now.... Oh, I guess it was all real...
And official response from White House...
Well, Hunter isn't a government employee... No comment.
But the question wasn't about crackhead Hunter, it's about dementia Joe and his involvement.
And the back room deals.
Now we know why the Afghanistan exit was such a debacle...
Lets just hand over trillions of rare earth elements to the Taliban and Chinese...
Let's just leave billions of top military equipment for terrorists...
War is big business and this will ensure more turmoil for another decade.
And you still continue to squeal, "Look, just like Hitler!"
And continue to say Putin and Trump are best buds.
And then we come back to an item we agree on...
This administration is horrible and they are driving Russia and China together,
Which will destroy the world, or at least, the USA.
It's all a coin flip here...
Part of me feels the bounce coming, sees the oversold conditions, senses the bounce spring coiling...
Knows it's gonna be a upward frenzy, ripping the face off the shorts for a couple days +...
Part of me sees how brutal Friday was on the Long's, just continual downward, no relief, every 15 minute candle lower and lower...
And we know how the market makers enjoy causing pain...
They could easily just keep driving it down a few more days, getting as many Long's as possible to surrender.
Tough to hold anything, either way, overnight here.
Plenty of earnings this week to keep everyone itchy...
I've got no answers.
QQQ and chips
Screw 'em...
Just don't answer, or delete the "personal attacks"...
Just try to post knowledge and information, possible moves to support / resistance, etc...
I am more concerned about finding good valuations in stocks, that are "behaving well" in down days.... Hoping they will be hidden gems when we do climb.
I am just trying to identify "pressure points", and turning points, and also watching IWM, as you are....
Screw the schmucks and ugly comments - to answer is to fuel them.
Here's another chart - SDS - if we wiped the name off it, we would immediately notice the nice basing pattern and the sweet buying volume coming in.
https://investorshub.advfn.com/uimage/uploads/2022/4/23/blflwsds2.jpg
Damn - can't get the URL link to work properly - hope that shows up.
Here are some facts -
instead of psychobabble....
Unbelievable...
Visited Biden 19 times, and this is from the official visitor logs, but dementia Joe has never spoken to Hunter about his business ventures.
About as believable as Bill Clinton's completely innocent, but is on flight logs to pedophile island 26 times.
If Ghiselle is guilty of trafficking, WHO were the customers ?
And Obama is giving speeches about truth and honesty.
Such a carnival - and the main stream media continues to ignore the real criminals.
https://nypost.com/2022/04/23/joe-biden-met-with-hunter-biden-business-partner-at-the-white-house/?utm_source=facebook_sitebuttons&utm_medium=site%20buttons&utm_campaign=site%20buttons&fbclid=IwAR29i-B_YHLCIlD1vtd1Y864OmJsK6nyH8pbsykk99DKN19JdLpqINnS_A0
Here's a good chart for you -
and what I want to emphasize with it is how far above the moving average we still are.
We can also see the second half of 2018, which is when the Fed raised rates a bit and started trimming its balance sheet... And its ironic that their moves took us back down to this moving average at the end of 2018.
You can say we're oversold here, but that's only on the 15 minute chart...
As I have said again and again, it's easier to go with the trend, and it's DOWN.
Find spikes to go short.
Topping
I also want to point out that Wednesday morning, before the open, I posted directly to you, exactly my game plan....
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=168599358
You responded that you didn't know what I was saying, but that I was most likely going to lose money -
Well, I TRIPLED my money on those puts.
and here's another chart which I feel the forks are valid.
I can't give specifics about when we'll hit exact points on exact dates - to do so is foolish...
The KEY is to know the trend, and use it to find good, high probability entry points, to gather profits from.
We may be below 4000 by the 4th of July, or it may not be until Halloween, but knowing the trend, and the turning points is the key.
SPX
There's plenty of other charts I have posted...
and some you have responded that they mean nothing.
Please remember you are a moderator on the board now... not an antagonist. Thanks.
Unbelievable....
Are you being paid to try and boost ?!?!?
I tried and tried and tried to put out competent posts and show specifics....
Ughhh....
It's a very risky, dangerous game you're playing...
You keep anticipating what will happen,
Estimating what will occur, hoping for rotation, trying to outthink the reality and deny the trend.
Here's a long term chart...
The foundation cracks are showing, just like they did previously, before a hard correction and months of downside.
Yes, there may be upward swings of a few days, but weakness is very obvious here and it's the overall dominant trend.
It's easier to watch for the upward swing, go short at tops, and wait for the dominant, longer term trend to again take control.
Don't forget about overhead resistance and how quickly selling pressure overwhelms buying optimism.
You just can't fight the reality and truth of the macroeconomic situation and signals.
When the blue line breaks, it's a hard and long journey to get it all repaired.
Weakness
Thanks....
Work is soo damn busy - can't watch as closely as I want -
can't get to TT's site as much as I would like -
but still sense opportunities - and "probably really good entry points" -
Tuesday was the big up day, and just felt the Wednesday gap up would exhaust easily.
Can't closely monitor "the play" through the day...
So going with "safer" items - In the money and weeks out....
and portion buys which I probably won't add to -
IWM was down hard on solid volume - ominous sign...
You know the drill - when you love the dance, but can't monitor every step of the waltz.
Man.... Too easy -
grabbed a handful of puts yesterday morning -
just watching the profits grow.
Longs are just playing R Roulette here - fighting the trend.
I had posted it long ago -
Make sure and recognize the trend....
Many times you can tell because a bet against the trend MUST be very well timed and nimble...
A bet with the trend, the market has forgiveness....
the market will come back and reward it - if it's given just a few days.
We saw this for years with the uptrend and bull market - even if you bought the top, give it a week and we were climbing to new highs.
GLTA
I will be watching for
an entry point into puts, during the first 30 minutes...
In the money puts, 3 bucks above price, 3 weeks out.
A portion buy...
This strength won't last long...
It is an OE week and the powers that be are just punishing those who camped in puts too long.
First 2 hours will also be a great opportunity to go with a modified broken wing butterfly. Sell the 455 calls 2 weeks out to fund buying a couple of at the money calls, only a week out.
It'll work.
Some posts calling for a breakdown...
Some posts calling for a rally...
Most posts demand the move starts immediately.
AND THE FACTS ARE...
We have the SPY in a 10 point range recently here,
We have IWM in a 5 point recent range...
And if we check the 2022 ranges, well, ummm...
We're kinda in the middle...
Do we have heavy selling? Not really, nope...
Heavily oversold and a coiled spring? Not sure, probably not...
We have OE and premium burn.
Anyone throwing money in here is guessing and gambling?
Yeah, in a nutshell, that's about right...
So will we finish Tuesday at a up 1+% or down 1+% when compared to Monday close?
Geez, even that is a guess here...
Will there soon be better signals and opportunities?
Chances are Yes.
So maybe we wait for a solid variance to work with...
Okay... Not a bad idea.
15 minutes
There's just no buyers -
I tried to emphasize that in the posts premarket.
And I am the one who can't read charts and doesn't know... blah, blah...
WE HAVE DOWNWARD CHANNELS,
WE HAVE DISTRIBUTION ON EVERY SPIKE of a few days,
We have weakening breadth, we have the FAAMNG + T not showing stellar strength...
THAT IS REALITY.
UNTIL THAT CHANGES and the break can be seen, you can't fight fashion and trying to anticipate gets you killed, ESPECIALLY when you're guessing at a trend change.
Until we possibly see a hard drop and capitulation, and a bounce, both involving big volume, we got nothing amazing.
There's nothing you've got that I don't understand...
Other than veiled insults...
You using breadth? Volume? Put/call ratio? RSI? VPOC? Options expiration price pinning?
Channels? Boll bands? Advance decliners?
Statistics? Variance or standard deviation?
Nope... As usual, you got no details and just some Pom poms, hope, and a coin flip of a chance...
At least give us all a hint... An item which will show the indication of the spark that lights the fire...
Or again lose credibility.
You won't give details... You never do
Give it a few weeks and we'll come back to these posts.
Yep... Such a solid selling point...
It's complicated, it's cryptic...
A simpleton like you wouldn't understand...
Case closed, I win...
Same old condescending slogan.
reality here
Downward channel with plenty of overhead resistance points.
Every chart I look at...
Pathetic strength, lack of breadth, no volume, etc...
And post after post on the board is full of skirts and Pom poms, calling for a 25 point rally on the SPY...
Against ugly economic data...
We get a 5 point climb, which stays in the downward channel, and just is balancing, on mediocre volume, and everything is golden? Because some oversold pressure got relieved?
breadth here
Nothing is screaming huge bullishness here.
longer here
Today will be another test day to evaluate.
We can see there's the downward channel,
We can see other instances where early day strength and optimism was sold off...
Buyers are not stepping up and bears are not creating a selling frenzy.
SPY
It has started - and now the deluge
will become relentless...
The main stream media has begun to turn on the Bidens -
and now, sadly, They are realizing it, but it is far too late and far too gone.
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/us-banks-flagged-over-150-transactions-involving-bidens-brother-or-son-for-further-review/#x
They are the sacrificial lambs, the patsy.....
NOTHING in politics happens by accident.
There's NO WAY we can tarnish the Obama's.....
There's NO WAY we can tarnish the Clinton's....
The calculation was easy - Joe is too far gone to defend himself, Jill is too weak, Hunter is just a drug addict....
None of them were smart enough to develop any type of insurance policy, a safety net....
A plan where, "IF I go down, I am taking it ALL DOWN."
Just watch how step by step the media mob will act like a pack of hyenas....
Slowly ripping the flesh, week after week -
With the continual words of, "We're just learning about - "
"New information has just come out -"
The FBI has had the laptop for 2 years !!
And EVERYONE knows deep down, the evidence has been there for years - just not needed until when it can be utilized for a "proper purpose".....
Open your eyes -
This was recorded back in 2005.
We do agree that the economic upheaval
Is just getting started here in 2022, but somehow you say the fault lies with the GOP ?!?
Alternative Reality is a proper name for the board and what exists in your cranium.
This lost life long criminal has been in power for 16 months now...