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still in...
AGQ
watching....
http://www.kitco.com/charts/livesilver.html
This is a good read KiY!
see post replying...
When the market runs in slow motion, sometimes the discipline is hard to see, lol...
easier said then done sometimes, but, take out the emotion
I like how you spell it out here...plain and simple...
follow the rules...make money....
AGQ,SLV, GLD 15, 30, 60 all signal sell.
This is a tough one...
wait for daily or dump?
Daily turning? or whipsaw?
****Edit: Holding as long as GLD/SLV holds daily Centerline
Looks like it could be time to sell...
but will wait until daily gives signal!
$USD Weekly @ Centerline....
UUP daily CCI (20) almost signaling sell,
time for some up in the markets?
...thinking this will help PM, AGQ
watching for whipsaw tho, and push by dollar higher
sounds good, look forward to the read!
thanks for the affirmation, but i'll leave the expert status to you!
still feel like i'm rolling around with the training wheels on, lol!
Update: Nice charts KIY, thanks for posting.
also, thank you alexed for posting also, very useful.
Whipsaw this morning in PM, still holding...60 minute reversal looks like it has room to move up, and daily moving over centerline bullish...
good trading to you...
trying not to get unraveled this week,
should have gone further out with my options, but got that one last dip that prevented me from rolling out to december.
keep the charts coming this week, and i would be interested to know when and if you dump your second half of SLV,
cheers, and good trading to you!
latest COT data: http://news.goldseek.com/COT/1352493092.php
whats interesting is, we have commercial traders dumping short interest this past week as we got that raid down to the 200 dma in gold and silver, which could be construed as bullish as harvey organ points out here:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=81353453
however short interest is as high as it has been this year, like last february before we saw the three month onslaught in the metals march 1st.
it is my opinion that the reason for such the high short readings is just the bankers reaction to the soaring open interest in the metals from the large and small spec's trying to keep prices in check...open interest is soaring, volume is coming in...and we have a few things working in favor of higher prices....
1. seasonality, historically now through march is a good time for metals.
2 an obama re-electrion which will drive more QE
I am thinking(not hoping, lol) these huge short positions could create a spike in prices as physical silver is consumed by sprott and others, and we get a squeeze from the commercials trying to back out of the short positions.
http://harveyorgan.blogspot.com/2012/11/sprott-does-another-silver-purchaseeu.html
although, with the easy money printing we have going on now, maybe bernanke and the crooks will just keep supplying the necessary paper to keep the raids going, because they can't let the price of the metals soar too much, and we have only seen the beginning of record historic short interest in the metals?
some say we are due for a large rally in the dollar, but fundamentally that seems way off base?
but i guess that is when the market asserts the contrarian trend and takes your money...
in any regard, i bought another 100 oz (10) 10 oz bars last week for the long haul.
thoughts?
Hey Kiy!!!
AGQ- still in the trade, holding options for Friday, looks like OBV has signaled and daily bias is UP, daily MACD turning positive, and VTX signals.
I noticed you have sold 1/2 position in SLV and are still riding 1/2. SMART, COT data some suggest is pointing to a large raid coming...
HArd to say, but i'm hoping it leads to a short SQUEEZE...lol, but
@ centerline test, just poked above...also 50 DMA acting as resistance, 60 minute looks like it could reset, weekly trying to turn. I am holding with extreme caution, don't want a whipsaw fake to knock me out of my trade, but thinking a stop with close below $31.50... thoughts?
Hope you have been well, thanks for all the posts!
dsp
Thank you for your charts and look at the PM sector, as this is of particular interest to myself...I am enjoying your commentary.
What an unusual start to the week it has been so far...History in the making....not in this century has the market been closed 2 consecutive days for weather...maybe we get the algo's in a tussle!!! Surely we have caught some off-guard, time to play catch-up!!!! Looking for UP!
Cheers Kiy!
dsp
So based on this chart, with MA(10) on OBV and Acc/Dist, has not signaled buy yet for GLD/SLV...
you are suggesting to wait until OBV signals with follow through to buy?
the indicators here suggest that GLD remains on sell/ or wait to buy...am i understanding this correctly?
Maybe we see a big volume spike tomorrow with 2 days trading missed...I am in on AGQ from last week, maybe a bit premature, it seems, no?
Looks good, will do, thanks
KIY! Hello,
Been super busy with my new consulting job, but added some AGQ yesterday...
Daily CCI signals buy, no? Looks oversold here...thoughts??
60 min, SLV chart gave signal on CCI(20)...no?
SLW follows metals
SLW seemed stretched this am, and gap fill from couple days ago on 24th
gotta cruise, GLTA, thanks Kiy!!1
reload SLW put $39
hey alexed!
great job here by the way.
hey listen could you or kiy tell me how to get TRIN on my stockcharts account?
i have a regular membership...and i see under parameters, TRIX, but it doesn;t seem to give me TRIN to select. there is maybe 30 things i can select, but not TRIN, what gives?
thanks guys, good trading to ya!!
dsp
HI KIY!
yes, been popping in and out a little, not much time to post obviously.
so much info...just trying to keep up...LOL.
put a little to much on the triple witching puts for SLW and took a hit, but made most of that back on this weeks puts (sold tuesday morning)...605% woohoo.
took another position oct 20 15 TZA calls late today
also have some TNA calls (less) for next week, from yesterday close(sold most at close today). did a lil straddle and will dump whichever way it looks to move. still a little to much casino in my trades but trying to get better, still holding longs for january and march.
thanks for all your help and checking in. reading your stuff everyday, so keep the posts coming!!!!
Friday is big options expiration...
lets see if we see a raid next two days
any thoughts on silver here...?
slw?
LOL, well it was a hedge against all my dec and january long options that i didn't want to dump for a potential market correction today.
I was able to dump my TZA shortly after the announcement, and i continue to hold my EOY options, so it turned out to be a winner day anyway.
Thanks for all your help
it's hard to believe that there are only 23 boardmarks here still...
I have enjoyed your posts on Trin and VTX...
Vtx looks to be pointing towards a higher market, but I took a short position at close today on the russell tza.
Premature i know, but tomorrow will be hard for me to trade...so...
might be getting in front of a moving train, but, we will see what the helipoter brings manana.
GLTA, and thanks again for all your updated posts!
I don't post often or add much insight to the board, but i do read all the posts daily and have been trying to build my technical charting skills...
LOL, technically...thanks for your time and detailed explanation...
i am learning daily and i follow this board regularly and enjoy all here.
thanks again!
dsp
thanks for the insight rotor, i have been enjoying your charts and commentary. cheers
so is the consensus that fridays move was a bull fake, or that the rally will continue into month end?
daily bias looks down but weekly looks up imo...
I have been using your posts to help my education along with understanding and trading the technicals...is there somewhere else you might suggest me to go to further my education efforts.
i got completely burned by last fridays move and am trying to understand more how to prevent that in the future.
thanks for your consideration
wow! under 1300?...interesting...
first stop 1343?
wonder if the jobs report tomorrow will be positive?
price target? tia
NUGT $9 calls .05 x .15
I find your board the most valuable in the ihub....
not the typical useless banter...but true unbias tools to help make you a better investor.
cheers!
thank you very much! $vix up today, but VXX Crushed?????
vxx down big, but $vix rallied EOD, will vxx gap tomorrow? insights? TIA
Hi! Is it possible for trader charts 5, 15, 60 on the $VIX? TIA
Loaded hard ZSL for friday, glty
Should be another record earnings announcement, maybe a divy hike?
holding shares
glty
dsp
BofE and ECB announcements tomorrow, there is some expectation UK will add some 50Billion Sterling to the balance sheet. Will ECB lower rates again?
does anyone here think this might bode well for PM's?
I know its not dollar based, but gold and silver both jumped on QE announcement from UK in the past.
I guess we will all know soon enough, waiting for a Greek deal also...
Thoughts on BofE and ECB policy meetings tomorrow?
Earnings are march 2, 2012
Thanks for the input!!
still feeling good on my plays after PM performance today.
GLTA, see u tomorrow!!
Really weak performance by miners today, given that gold and silver were up so much today.
I am thinking the miners will play catch up over the next few days,
GDX...keep 'er on watch