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Read back a few posts my prediction on buyout news is 18-25. Well with specs for a normal buyout here. I was using an example situation mentioning 300%.
If the buyout news talks come out at 30$ a share that's what the price will spike too, it will linger there until it is finalized or another bid comes in higher. So yes 2-300% overnight could potentially happen.
I guess after doing the quick math you guys may be right on the buyout side of things, if they go for 25$ a share that's roughly 2.2x market cap currently so 3-4x would be 30-40+$. I just don't know what BP is thinking as far as intrinsic value. I mean hell if they lowball and accept at 20 I still make a fat check lol
I guess we all have opinions but the previous post before this one states what I'm predicting, that Mann won't sell for cheap and what he'll want BP probably won't pay, I've seen many opinions on Mnkd that state they believe the stock is already overvalued, do you guys think BP won't take this into consideration? Trust me I'm hoping for 45$ a share, I'd turn the 300$ in options I bought yesterday into 96,000 lol
Of course you would as an investor, it's an instant return on your investment over night sometimes being 3-400%. Partnership will also result in a bump in the share price but won't make you a millionaire overnight like a buyout could potentially do if a premium is paid and you are invested heavily enough. Also guys I am absolutely 100% hoping something comes Monday morning PM but let's be real about this together so as not to get each other worked up bc after a month-2 of not hearing even an update like some previous bio's I've been in that were in similar situations, always expect the worst but be prepared for the best. Let's just assume it will be September lol will make Monday PM seem like Christmas x4
Buyout at 45$ is not reasonable I don't believe. I would say more like 18-25 for a buyout and I feel 25 is being pretty generous. Like many have said here though Al Mann is so set in his ways of being a philanthropist we probably won't sell and if we do it'll be a year or so down the road after Affreeza sales have been determined. A partnership probably will only move us up to 13-15 max I would think, the real reward for partnership is the long haul melt to 20+ with good sales quarters. My guesstimations may be off as everyone else's but I'd rather be somewhat realistic/pessimistic lol
Exactly. Not really a specific price mentioned in most partnerships so the stock would gap up then more than likely melt up from there unless like you say, deal weakness pulls us down a bit. I do have to say though a buyout would indeed keep us magnetized to the specific buyout offer number, I haven't seen many stocks move away from a $ price after a buyout offer hardly ever. I am starting to believe with you however that there is a much greater chance of a partnership to market it as this is what they have been saying all along.
Oh well, the waiting period is fun nonetheless!
If it's a buyout or partnership with shares bought at a specific price then no it will stay at the specified price for awhile not go back to the 'same'.
Just people setting it high for the weekend. Aka no one else selling for less as AH closed.
Would be great, a premium would be more than likely on a takeover bid.
The guy did seem fairly bullish throughout the article I thought. Unless I read it wrong lol
Just out a little bit ago:
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/07/11/is-this-mannkinds-greatest-risk.aspx
A lot of big names up PM but SPY opening in the red it seems.
Probably just institutions balancing their inventory. I see this happen regularly often on many stocks after hours. Doesn't necessarily mean anything good or bad, just let's you know someone is 395,000 shares invested ;)
I've got a lot, if the share price went to 25$ I'd take a good while off lol
Well said Chris, we can only hope that big pharmas possibly considering an acquisition of Mannkind think the same way. I'll be buying monthly expiring options in the boat load for each following month on opex day until we here something. Should pay off well.
Thanks bud I was just curious. Anyone else notice the 50,000 share buy shortly after close at 10.02?
I don't have my platform open, what are those trading for nowadays
Putting your faith in Yahoo message boards is a guaranteed letdown. Just hold long and let the stock run it's course.
Cool I couldn't remember and I had it open in my browser from a few days ago. Classic, see you at the webinar tonight!
Jimmy was it you that posted this? So freakin hilarious. If it wasn't you watch till the end. You'll love this lol
http://thedailyshow.cc.com/videos/plwtbe/lenny-dykstra-s-financial-career
I agree, not to pump but because this company is planning to possibly assist also in addition to selling their blueprinted secrets in this field. Makes for a great long term investments for a big pharma.
I'm thinking we see SFLY sit here at 49$ and next week melts to 52-53$. I'm predicting someone makes a bid of 65$ for the company. 70$ isn't really too far fetched either with the premium other M&A deals have brought this year. Should be interesting either way!
Soon as I post it they announce that they're looking for a buyout suitor. Thanks JB for the insight!
I wouldn't assume too much this soon, just hold your gut close and hang in there.
So glad I grabbed 5 more Aug SFLY 50c's lol worth .75c yesterday let's see what they get too!!!
Yea SA article just out here: http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/1827325?source=iphoneportfolioapp_copy
Just think if this gets a buyout offer over 15$ a share the squeeze will be massive. Grab the cheap 13$ calls and the 9$ puts and straddle until news comes out. Gonna pop one way or the other, don't even have to be right which way as long as it pops hard.
$SFLY = perfect buyout target for $AAPL
LNKD up nicely pre as well. My 172.50's appear to be ITM if it opens here. Good luck to everyone this morning!
I'm guessing I missed the Week Ahead? Dangit!
When we have to write articles explaining what a travesty it is for Facebook to be down, our society is in the crapper.
You're telling me, my boat is loaded for a 30 point day either way tomm. If it doesn't happen I'll go broke lol
I believe ya, ;)
Let me guess, you're short?
Let me guess, you're short?
I said it not too long ago, AAPL split is going to sick just makes the stock boring to trade for common holders and option traders alike. Oh well time to move on!
$TWTR COO steps down, down 1.5% PM.
Week ahead at normal time tonight? 10:30 ET right?
Oh yea no doubt, gotta have the bankroll to fade the losses. Actually reminds me of my tournament play style of poker when I played online for a living years ago. Take small shots for big cashes.