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Hi V,
Well I had EZ- Money on a computer in the basement... Few months ago I loaded in Windows 10 to replace Windows 7... I don't see it in my files anymore on that computer... I do remember printing it all out one time, instructions and all... Looked for about 20 minutes Saturday and cannot find it... I also should have it saved to a 3 1/2 inch floppy, if not a re-writable cd too, but I'll have to locate those... Should all be with my AIM and stock market collection... I also have a Emachines with Windows 98 on it, should / could be there too... I'd have to find a way to transfer it to this Dell, or if I can find my printed copy I'd have to find a way to scan it... So that's the update...
Freebie,
I'm a "freebie" on here like your account and thus cannot PM people on here...
Hi V....
Yes... I'd say every form of AIM on here is in fact scale trading of some kind... There's advantages and disadvantages to many of the thoughts crossing this board the past 20 years or so... All said of your methods, if your're selling some on the way up, and then buying on the way down you're doing the right thing and results will come... Down in the basement, I'd have to look, I have the "MYWAY" program from 1990. I also have the EZ-Money program from DC, along with the spreadsheet and instructions... These programs are on 3 1/2" floppy disks and are also installed on a Windows 98 machine, along with the Newport AIM program... There's a yellow sticky on top of this page which directs you on how and where to get the Newport AIM program... Best regards...
Hi Jon Re : Oscillator,
Looks like the oscillator has been drifting up week after week for the past month or so...
Update, Busiest month ever?
October, thank goodness, has turned this year around for me... After sinking about -19%, my average share price in the portfolio was down to $3.10... Enter October, and my average share price has recovered +51% as of today to $4.65... Suffice to say that has made for a lot of great trading on the way back up... I don't know or keep these figures, but October 2019 had to be my highest volume of trades ever in one month... Current YTD stats are as follows... Simple Return +25.12% , ROCAR +31.10%, Avg At Risk 79.53%, 62 Buys, 67 Sells this year, 64% Stock, 36% Cash... I nearly bottomed out on cash a couple times in October, and prior... Profit from your ideas!
Finally some traction, Update
3 large sells first 16 days this month has helped turn this year around, finally... I've done a ton of wheel spinning in 2019, just trying to keep up with my ever falling portfolio... Finally got a nice pop in my financial holdings, plus a dividend tossed in too... Boat load of trades but it has turned around... If I can't beat the market averages, easily, 80% invested or less, then I don't own the right stocks... Update --->>> Simple Return = +11.38%... ROCAR = +14.10%... 62% Cash... 38% Stock... 53 Buys and 59 Sells YTD... Must be close to a 15% pop past 2 weeks.. I'll take it.. Fun to cash a few in on the way up... Profit from your ideas!
Commission Free Trading,
Free trading starts today, awesome!
Hi karw, Re: Negative Rates,
I've just never believed we could ever go negative here... The banks and insurance companies won't go down negative without a big fight... Their lobby is huge and it won't be easy to do here... There's also a question floating around if that would even be legal here, I'm shocked it is elsewhere... Court fights coming if they try that bulls??t over here for sure... I like many others will make runs on the banks I'm in.. I'll take all my money out cash before I ever let a bank or credit union, or mutal fund, or brokerage hold it for a neagative rate and I lose money... Not going to happen here in the USA... Money shouldn't be free to loan, hold or otherwise... Best regards, Ken
Update...
YTD... Simple Return -1.23%... Annual Return -2.78%... ROCAR -1.52%... 63% Stock... 37% Cash...
Yesterday...
Minus -5.02
Hi Tom, YTD....
Looks great Tom... You're up double digits... I finally got headed in the right direction... Your US ETF's are right there with the S&P 500 and your only 86% invested... This stuff works! Best regards, Ken
Update.....
YTD... Annual Return = 33.76%.... Simple Return = 5.74%... ROCAR = 6.83%... Avg At Risk = 84.06%... 36 Buys... 37 Sells... 79% Stocks...21% Cash... Last update I was in negative numbers and I hit a low of (- 12.46%) several weeks ago... My Avg At Risk is higher than it normally would be as I stepped into a "margin position" briefly before I got a run to the positive going... Nice turn around after a bleak start in "The Pocket Change Portfolio", Profit From Your Ideas!
Re: Update
I should have a YTD update next week as the 2nd qtr is about to end... There's one more dividend about to hit the books soon...
Hi Tom, Re: Diving Lessons,
The big, bigger, biggest $$$$$$$ is always made when the divers make a come back... I've done a lot of trading - wheel spinning to be just about even so far for 2019, but at least the AIM principles have kept me from being down double digits... Looks like my bottom feeders are turning up... My cash is 24% now after I added to a position yesterday without a signal to so... <---- The "GURU" in me told me to do so... Best regards, Ken
Play the music!
Now + 0.03% YTD... So it's now back to " Profit from your ideas!"
Update...
Simple Return = -0.48.....Annual Return = -1.59%... Rocar = -0.58%... Cash = 38%... DON'T PROFIT FROM YOUR IDEAS!
Re: Hey Firebird400,
Where's the profit? Quarterly loss after quarterly loss... What happens when the auto industry turns South? Not for me...
Cranky Bank,
I have a bank stock down about -14% in the past 4 weeks ... Pulling everything else down... +2 % rebound today and dividend coming in next week should help...
Hi Toof, Re: Tank City
Aaaaaaaaauuuuuuuuuuuuggggaaaaaaaaaaaaa dive dive dive!!! As we near the end this first quarter I'm negative for the YTD... Sure seems like I've done a lot of work too... -5.61% as I type this going into today... I'm sure I'm ahead of buy/hold, but that's no consolation when your in the tank like me.... Futures looking up today, so hopefully we get a good run back up going thru Friday this week... I'd like to trigger a few sells soon and turn this back around... Profit from your ideas!
Hi Tom, Newport,
A.I. back up and running now... I should use my windows 98 machine in the basement for backup I suppose... Thanks
Software?,
What software are you using to track your stocks? My A.I. has stopped running...
Hi Aimster,
Welcome back!
Toofuzzy,
I do remember that idea from you, and it makes sense(cents)... Grin... A bank here just put a 13 month CD ad in the paper today, 2.75% for 13 months... <---- Best I've seen here in awhile... But CD's don't work so well as we never know when we'll get the signal to buy back in... Good day yesterday, all green arrows and I need to sell a bit today, but greed is overwhelming me waiting on a quarterly report soon... Profit from your ideas!
Hi Tom, Own the Bank,
Bumped into a long time friend a few weeks back at the bank... We discussed the low CD rates and both agreed we'd rather hold our bank stocks, dividend yields equal 3.51%, than put our money in any bank cd's or bank MM funds... Plus as the price rides up and down on the stock we can "skin" some more $$$$ out of it... Agreed, RAVI has a nice yield, and that price is stable... Of the few non-trading fee MM I can get at my broker, none are yielding 2%... I'd use Vanguard Prime, but there's a transaction fee each way...
Hi Tom, Re: "just move the target higher"
That's an excellent strategy! Another way to step on the gas and enhance AIM results... I do have a sell signal on the board, but I haven't pulled the trigger yet... I'd actually like to raise cash a bit, or go 50/50 Vealie with it but quarterly results out soon on one of my most volatile stocks, so kinda rolling the dice... We'll see what happens hopefully by Friday or early next week... I'm happy with the results as I was "negative" right out of the gate to start 2019... Looks like you're set to take a little off the table if we go higher from here... Congrats on a great month, your annualized must be north of 100% in both the US Sectors, and Sandbox YTD... Keep it rolling! Profit from your ideas!
Update,
Here's my results for January, which is also YTD... Simple Return = +2.66%... Annualized = +21.16%... ROCAR = +2.96%... Avg at Risk = 90.07%... 8 Buys... 8 Sells... Lots of wheels spinning the first few weeks of January, but I've got some traction going now... Profit from your ideas!
Re: Global warming,
-17 here in Indiana when I got up, wind chill was -45... Global warming must be everywhere except were we live... 56 degrees below normal here it's crazy... Purdue was closed today, and that doesn't happen very often... Both cities closed, all schools, etc... Not even trying to leave the house today there's no where to go...
It is.......
Called Successful Investing now.... Listen to the first 3 minutes of this video, this is that same newsletter.... Google it...
Re: Telephone Switch Newsletter,
Telephone Switch Newsletter did basically the same thing, but had you switch from all stock to all money market... Back in those days mm's were yielding north of 8% in the 80's... Very successful newsletter as I remember it... No waiting for any certain dates or time frames, a 200 day cross was a 200 day cross... You were then directed to either all cash, or all stock... Profit from your ideas...
Same motto for 2019,
Same motto for me as always for 2019, "If I can't easily beat the index averages only 80% or less invested then I don't own the right stocks." Profit from your ideas!
Hi Adam, Re: Dividends/ Cash,
With short term rates having now moved well off zero, the cash portions on our AIM machines are at least spinning off something to total return... Dividends, of course, can add to that pile of money too... VMMXX is at 2.45%, and although not close to what it is in Lichello's book, it certainly is beginning to add to the total return equation again... Best regards, Ken
Hi Toof,
Excellent point, with payouts north of 4% still today I like owning the bank stocks instead of deposits... Got some work to do this weekend, but I'd like to switch my holdings in the banking sector to several different banks in a few week period of time... See if I can switch 3, 4, maybe 5 or 6 different banks and pick up the 4.5% yields and several different dividends... I'll see what I can come up with...
Hi Adam, Re: Dividends,
I too put the dividends into the cash pile. It does help keep the foot on the accelerator.
Hi Toof, Re: KRE,
KRE where's the dividend? So many good banks yielding north of 4% I don't understand why the payout is so low 1.76% ...
Sell Today....
Tripped a sell signal today on one of my banks... Also I had a nice dividend hit the account today... The cash is welcome for sure... Profit from your ideas!
Hi Tom, 2018
Thanks for the kind words... Agreed we are loaded back up for sure... I'm practically out of cash, waiting for a dividend to hit today... I was +32.75% at my August Update...<<<<<----- Geeeesh what happened to that!!! Grin... Should of taken more off the table I suppose, but maybe I've hit the bottom correctly here... I did beat all the indexes SP500, Dow 30, Total market, etc and I was only 73% invested on average...... So yes, clearly the system is working quite nicely from that standpoint... With lower priced more volatile stocks it should be easy to pull away from the averages if we go back up, time will tell the answer... Best regards...
Update Final 2018 Results...
Here's the numbers for 2018... Annual Return +0.25%... Simple Return +0.19%... ROCAR = +0.25%... Average At Risk 73.31%... 99% Stock... 1% Cash... 59 Buys... 61 Sells... Buy and Hold = (-22.93)... Well my buying and selling pulled out a very slight profit for 2018... All stocks in the portfolio were down from their 1/2/2018 start, but my bank stocks in particular brought me down the most... Past month has been really ugly, but I'm loaded up and ready to head back the other way... I have a fairly large dividend coming in on 1/2/2019, and currently have a Sell Signal on the board that I haven't acted on yet... Happy New Year! Profit from your ideas!
Merry Christmas!
Hi Tom, Re: Bottom?,
4th trading day in a row I've been wallowing around at my lows... Have we put in a short/ intermediate term bottom???? Just consolidation on all fronts over here... Rallies seem to be quick and short lived, but I'm not seeing the 800 point down drafts in the broader market anymore either... I'm loaded for bear and my trigger finger is getting itchy!
Hi Tom, Re: Void,
That void of fundamentals sure holds true locally here... Most housing here is selling in a few days, and we've been short on re-sale houses here for a couple years now... Virtually every factory in town is hiring, as are all the service sector employers... No reason, none, that I can see looking out my window for a sell off like this... Can't remember the name but I know you guys just landed a big manufacturer up there in Wisconsin too... I love it when they do this, we need action to make our $$$$$$ so bring it on... 5 different people on TV, you know the channel, the past 2 hours, all had different excuse for the sell off, Lol... Proof positive they don't know! Profit from your ideas!