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I am expecting a narrow trading range today and a bear raid. We keep seeing offers come in large numbers to keep us under $1.60. I expect some selling pressure, we will see if Friday afternoon trading shows confidence or fear going into next week.
I don't believe covid has anything to do with topline release other than being a large part of the delay in collecting data. Can you imagine them standing up at a conference and saying "we have been ready to release for months but wanted to wait for covid herd immunity before releasing this info that could change cancer treatment." It may very well still be a part of the delay in some way. Maybe the exchange of information or data, but not sure how if everything is in computer files. JHMO.
Semantics. Stating that they were no longer able to discuss anything related to the trial as the data lock was announced is not the same. You are grasping at straws.
I'm as frustrated as anyone. But, since October, the company has said nothing (quiet period). DI directly stated to me they were in a quiet period. So, whether you believe it or not, they were operating under it. Whether the PR on Sawston means it is over, we'll see. It makes no sense to put that out there and then go silent again. I believe it is the start of the endgame plan to topline release.
My gut tells me the silent period is over and we will begin to get weekly PR's with additional info. I think next week we get ASM meeting notification. Hopefully followed by TLD and and then Journal.
Not a chance, IMO. The independent statisticians were preparing the tables long before data lock and to include the new SAP endpoints as well as the IDH mutation data. No need to travel or get anything from any trial sites. It is all computer work at that point. It was all there at data lock. They simply compile the data into tables and send to the company when done. My guess is that they have had the data since mid-late November. Thus the change in plan to go with very detailed (not summary) topline release. And that to be followed quickly with peer-reviewed Journal article. In the meantime they have been building out Sawston to ramp up for production. Why? They have seen the data and are confident in approval. This week's PR was another "put 2 and 2 toghether" moment, IMO.
Yes, seems to be the magic number. Since I don't believe in coincidence, I smell something fishy. Maybe it's LP and HER minions keeping a lid on the price until topline....to get the biggest POP.
Repeat of pattern from late January. Attempted breakout for three days in a row, thwarted. Continued sideways for several weeks in between the high and low of second two candles until it broke downward. Similar pattern here on the past three day attempted break out. I expect sideways for a week at least with a .20 variance until it decides which way we break. If we finish toward high of day it will definitely be more bullish. Of course, this means nothing if we get good news!
I believe yesterday's PR was the start of a regular number of PR's, including the TLD, Journal, and approval apps/statuses. It makes no sense to PR Sawston at this point unless you are ready to unleash a lot more info. LP has had a plan all along (although I have disagreed with it) and I believe it is now in motion.
I've always been bullish on the science and bearish on the mgmt. I agree that in theory the buildout is positive. Just always have that bit of doubt due to past missteps. I haven't sold and sometimes wish I traded the rollercoaster once in a while, but here I am.
Yes, but I'm tired of trying to put "2 and 2" together. Tell us where we are.
Strange 79 share buy at $1.80, mistake probably. Bid ask is now back in line at $1.53/$1.56
If you take out the stupid "coming months" statement near the end of the PR, the rest of it is positive in this way: The silent period was imposed upon data lock. The ensuing months of analysis, by multiple groups, was the reason. Loose lips sink ships. So, they tied everything down. To issue your first PR in six months and not have it be topline? What does that say?
One, silent period is over. A flurry of PR's can now flow, including topline and Journal article. Two, they have enough info in hand to be confident to apply for production approvals (and spend money) for a vaccine that hasn't even released phase 3 data. Three, "coming months" to LP could be anything. Could be six months, could be next month. It appears only to be tied to the Journal now. The rest should be done.
I am tired of guessing and believe there should be more info released by now, even if not topline. Just an update, for cryin' out loud. But, PPS should trend up as we get to topline and we may see another PR prior.
Thermo, Where are you? We need some clarity, insight and your take on this morning's PR!!!
-Are we really several more months from topline?
-Was this necessary to PR at this point? Sawston or "coming months" comment?
Anyone try reaching DI? I sent an email asking what the "coming months" nonsense actually means after 6 months of silence and the response was:
'Go back and look at previous announcements'
Sent from my iPhone
That doesn't say several months to me. That says anytime in LP world.
Virtually impossible at this stage. Need a shareholder vote and it would never happen without topline. And, positive topline erases need for R/S.
The PR says nothing of the kind about still being "months" away from data.
NWBO has stated they will only put out PR's when material. So, they are apparently at the point they felt Sawston info was now material. I am confident they have been unblinded for months and all we are waiting for is validation from SAB, steering committee and advisors as they write the Topline release (or could already be ready to go). In the meantime, peer-reviewed Journal piece in process and once finalized, topline. All said, I believe this PR starts the flow of info again and more will be coming this month.
I am shocked there is selling today. What could you possibly see in that PR that was bad news?
-We have a facility just about ready to produce enough vaccines to make a healthy profit.
-The potential to expand exponentially.
-Means they EXPECT approval and to start making vaccines
Maybe the thought LP is going to try to go it alone?
I don't believe in coincidence. She knew something. JMHO.
So, How did Joan Lappin know there would be a Sawston Update? Her tweet yesterday suggested it. And, today we got it. Hmmmmm.
While I would love to see topline, this is quite an acknowledgement, IMO, of what LP, et al. are seeing in the data. You would not go through this build out process as a development stage biotech, preparing for actual vaccine production, without confidence in data and approval. JMHO. Topline should be next.
Lol. If this WAS a technical buying move this morning, it will matter. If not, and raw accumulation, those buyers will be back tomorrow morning. we shall see.
If the last hour of trading doesn't start with heavier buying back toward $1.70, tis could end with an ugly candlestick. The dreaded shooting star...
It would be great if it was simply accumulation. I am skeptical as they last few weeks looked that way to me. Professional accumulation vs. this morning's out in the open buying. If today was accumulation, that tells me someone wanted in without as much regard for price...as to not miss something. That would be great.
Yes indeed. $2.91 price prediction if breakout succeeds. And that is with NO news. Imagine if we do get positive news to go with this move......
Go back to bed, you are clearly having a bad Monday. This will hit $2 this week.
I believe we will resume the buying around 2PM. We should see a strong close based on the way the morning started, JMHO.
I think we are seeing a technical buy based on several indicators after Friday's close. The microcapdaily article as well. And, maybe some Redditt buyers!
Looks like $1.87 is the only thing in the way towards $2.00.....
On to $1.70 for next target! Would love to see a 5+ million trade day ending near high. Leak or topline, either way!!!
I'm not selling until after topline. 342,000 shares long!
Need power hour buying and we will get through to HOD and set up nice for next week.
Ok, there's the big resistance at $1.50. I guess we will see if it is real or a bait and switch.
Well, so far so good! If we get through this $1.49, I think we run. It is moving on pretty low volume...nothing in the way.
We have bounced off of resistance at $1.45 (the 100DMA) for the past 5 days. The 50DMA has dropped to $1.49. This is wound very tight. If we get any buying volume this will get through both and set a new path upward with little resistance to get a lot higher. Would be great to get through these and set up for a run next week.
Decent close, at least it didn't retreat more. We bounced off the 100DMA for the second day in a row. The 100DMA and 50DMA are so close together, wound tight. $1.46 gets us through 100DMA and $1.51 gets us over 50DMA. DMI and PAR would both shift positive as well. Would likely catapult from there to $1.60 easy, IMO.