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The last Juno trade I made was a looser, maybe 4%. But, everyone before that was a winner. Glad I cut my loss...it's come down another 5% or so since then.
With our trade imbalance I guess they have to do something with the flood of dollars.
I think too many are trying to catch a bottom in rates and when the pain becomes to much they buy to cover. And on and on.
$USB. I saw a chart from decision point on the Juno fund. Tremendous amount of money there to short the 30yr. Maybe too many bond bears.
I agree, inflation more likely. But inflation is bad for bonds...no?
Bond yields. Trend invalidated IMO. What is the bond market pricing in? Recession...deflation?
Yep a ways to go for me too. Down 4% on this trade and ATH. In Sept. I add money to my acct., I did so today in an amount equal to 5% of acct balance. In MM and looking to add it to short probably Friday if we bounce tommorrow and futes are higher before I leave for work.
Reviewed my account history and confirmed that I sold Arktos at the close and moved the funds to Venture same day.
True, I've done it.
TYX has already tested and retested the trendline. Maybe when the TNX follows suit bond yields rally?
We can be in an uptrend while spending most of the time falling. It rises in spurts and is hard to anticipate....I tried<ng>
Interest rates and a perception that inflation is low are holding this market up.
No, they are not.
Interesting idea. If you pursue it further, let us know if it's workable.
I'm surprised we got this far being the historically weakest month of the year. I'm thinking the buyers believe we made the seasonal low in August. Maybe we did, but 1300 still needs retested.
I have a taxable account and that complicates repositioning as I need to avoid wash sales.
NDX/VXO seems to catch the big swings pretty well.
Near the bottom of the channel now. If it doesn't hold...goodbye.
Well, it always falls faster than it rises. If somehow we go above 1450 I'll worry. 1460 and it's lump time.
Yep, still there and waiting for the body slam to the longs.
Dude...We may hit your upside target today.
Sox facing big test here. I think it fails under 1400
Above trend. Looks like shorts are panicking.
Stocks, Bonds, and real estate all overpriced and ripe for a fall. Too much money chasing assets above their intrinsic value IMO. Bond yields are more likely to rise over the next few years than fall, taking real estate down with it.
If we retest the lows there's alot of money to be made in the leveraged funds even on a buy and hold basis. This one is Rydex Venture 2X NDX inverse.
At some point do you think you'll keep a core short position to trade around? When the recognition phase hits that we're still in a bear market look out below.
Chronic overvaluation. This market isn't going to fly and let all the boomers retire rich. Too many people are looking to get even and get out. We will revert to the mean on valuation simply because it is the mean.<ggg>
Annotated chart. I figured out (finally) how to do this w/o paying anybody. Copied to my pictues, annotated, then uploaded to personal web space at ISP.
Red boxes are a focus of resistance. No way...No how do I think we can take 1450 w/o retesting 1300. I think we need a capitulation to take out some of this overhead resistance and wouldn't be surprised to see an Autumn low in the mid 1200's. We've got some upward momentum from breaking out of the recent range of 1375-1391 that could ride the upper trendline to 1427.
What time frame and how do you use this signal? I noticed there have been 6 crossovers in 7 months.
New highs not keeping pace with new highs on the index. The new lows actually expanded slighly today.
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My short would have been better initiated today, The mistake I made was going whole hog too soon. Live and learn.
That said this thing is running on fumes and a reversal to retest the 1300 lows is imminent. Earnings warnings are going to be big this quarter IMO.
$NASI RSI14 and MACD in topping area
$VXN in topping area
Being sarcastic. More often than not I have to feel some pain before I make the gain.
Congrats, you're timing was very good.
Adding 40/200 to short NDX and switching the 40/200 short from spx to ndx. So put the rally hats on. Now 200% short NDX.