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Hi Wildbill, my guess is a rate cut of 0.25% but will it help?
Slowing economy and rising inflation = stagflation.
European shares rise on U.S. hopes, banks, techs
LONDON, Jan 25 (Reuters) - Banks, technology and commodity stocks got European stock markets off to a punchy start on Friday, as a speedy agreement on a U.S. economic stimulus package helped lift shares worldwide.
At 0924 GMT, the FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was up 1.1 percent at 1,345.15 points, adding to a 5.4-percent leap on Thursday, and tracking sharp gains in Asia.
Banks and oil shares were the top weighted sectors. Standard Chartered (STAN.L: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 2.4 percent and Commerzbank (CBKG.DE: Quote, Profile, Research) 2.3 percent, while BP (BP.L: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 1.7 percent as the oil price CLc1 breached $90 a barrel.
A 2-percent rise in copper futures <MCU3=LX> lifted stock in miners, with Kazakhmys (KAZ.L: Quote, Profile, Research), Vedanta (VED.L: Quote, Profile, Research) and Antofagasta (ANTO.L: Quote, Profile, Research) up between 3 and 6 percent.
French bank Societe Generale (SOGN.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 2.5 percent a day after stunning markets by disclosing a trader fraud that lost it 4.9 billion euros.
Shares in brewer Heineken (HEIN.AS: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 1.7 percent after it and partner Carlsberg (CARLb.CO: Quote, Profile, Research) agreed a joint cash bid for Scottish & Newcastle (SCTN.L: Quote, Profile, Research), which was up 2 percent. Carlsberg was up 0.2 percent.
Global stocks rose after the U.S. Congress and the White House agreed the outlines of a stimulus package that would give 117 million U.S. families a tax rebate. The agreement came less that a week after President George Bush said a proposal was in the works.
Analysts said there were plenty of positives emerging from the United States but expected share volatility in the short term.
"We expect sharp gains and losses in the next few days and weeks," said Heinz-Gerd Sonnenschein, strategist at Postbank in Germany.
"The U.S. has done many things to stabilise the market such as the Fed rate cut, the stimulus package and help for monoline insurers, but all the bad news is not yet out there."
Britain's FTSE .FTSE was up 1.1 percent, Germany's DAX .GDAXI up 2.2 percent and France's CAC .FCHI up 1.3 percent.
RECOVERY AFTER TOUGH START
European shares have lost 12 percent so far this year, putting January on track to be the worst month for the FTSEurofirst 300 since September 2002.
Investors have been worried by the prospect of a recession in the United States, the world's biggest economy, and problems for bond insurers. which guarantee more than $2 trillion of securities.
"With an interim loss of over 20 percent from its 2007 high, the European equity market has probably extensively priced in at least a mild recession in the USA," said Gerhard Schwarz, head of Global Equity Strategy at UniCredit in Munich, Germany.
"The sell-off of the last few days has brought equity indices back to very favourable valuations ... initially this will improve the chances of the equity markets stabilising."
The FTSEurofirst 300 gained 1.6 percent last year after a 16 percent gain in 2006, and a bull run that began in 2003 has floundered badly in recent months.
Sonnenschein said he expected a shaky first half, with a recovery in the second half.
"There are plenty of bears out there but we expect the DAX to end the year at 9,000 and don't expect a recession in the United States, though there will be plenty of data that brings the topic into discussion."
The DAX was trading at 6,944 points on Friday.
Among other big movers, handset maker Nokia (NOK1V.HE: Quote, Profile, Research), which rose 14 percent on Thursday after compelling quarterly results, added a further 4 percent.
Top beauty group L'Oreal (OREP.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) gained nearly 5 percent after it posted strong full-year sales late on Thursday and said it was confident for 2008.
Japan stocks surge 4 pct, biggest gain in 6 years
TOKYO, Jan 25 (Reuters) - Japanese shares surged more than 4 percent on Friday to their biggest one-day gain in nearly six years, lifted by short-covering on growing confidence that a U.S. tax rebate and bond insurer rescue will have a positive impact.
Banks in particular surged, with No. 2 bank Mizuho Financial Group up 10.89 percent, its biggest one-day gain since September 2003. Nonlife insurers such as Millea Holdings (8766.T: Quote, Profile, Research) also jumped.
A weaker yen against the dollar boosted Nissan Motor Corp 7210.T and other blue-chip exporters.
In three consecutive positive days the Nikkei has recouped 7 percent of its losses for this year, though it still is down roughly 11 percent. On Tuesday it had its biggest one-day loss since the session just after the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks in the United States.
The benchmark Nikkei .N225 closed up 4.1 percent and the broader TOPIX finished up 4.7 percent, both marking their biggest one-day gains since March 4, 2002 -- when both surged on a government crackdown on short sellers.
"There's a sense that the U.S. is taking prompt measures to deal with the situation now, in a way that they didn't with the subprime mortgage crisis," said Takashi Ushio, head of the investment strategy division at Marusan Securities.
"The market rise is a reflection of the speed of these measures and also an expectation that U.S. shares will continue to rise later today."
A large part of Friday's gains were based on news that troubled U.S. bond insurer Ambac andbillionaire Wilbur Ross are in serious talks about Ross taking over Ambac Financial Group Inc (ABK.N: Quote, Profile, Research), according to a report in the U.K.'s Evening Standard on Thursday [ID:nN24269634]
This, combined with growing expectations of a rescue plan for U.S. bond insurers and an agreement between Congress and the White House for an economic stimulus plan that would give 117 million U.S. families a tax rebate, helped propel shares higher. [ID:nN24242910].
"The Ambac news has reassured banks, which have risen much more than expected, in turn driving the rest of the market higher than expected," said Tomomi Yamashita, a fund manager at Shinkin Asset Management.
He added that he felt the sharp sell-off earlier this week was largely due to concerns about Ambac and its peers so a rebound on the news was only natural.
Additional upward impetus came from gains in Hong Kong .HSI and Indian shares. At 0635 GMT, the MSCI index of Asian stocks excluding Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was up 4.7 percent.
RISING ACROSS THE BOARD
Some market players remained wary, noting that expectations of Wall Street rises have been betrayed before and that a number of key events lie ahead next week, including a Federal Reserve meeting.
But virtually all of the Nikkei subindexes gained. Banks rose sharply. Mizuho Financial Group was up 10.89 percent at 509,000 yen, industry leader Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306.T: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 7.9 percent to 1,040 yen and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316.T: Quote, Profile, Research) was up 8.9 percent at 844,000 yen. Sojitz (2768.T: Quote, Profile, Research) and other trading houses rose after hefty overnight gains in copper and other nonferrous metals, while the yen's fall against the dollar -- it was trading at around 107.49 yen late in Tokyo -- boosted exporters.
Hitachi (6501.T: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 5.7 percent to 756 yen and Canon Inc (7751.T: Quote, Profile, Research) gained 6.8 percent to 4,860 yen.
High-tech shares did well in line with their U.S. cohorts, boosted after the world's top cellphone maker Nokia NOKIV.HE beat expectations thanks to demand in emerging markets, with Nokia parts suppliers such as connector maker Hirose Electric Co Ltd (6806.T: Quote, Profile, Research) doing especially well.
Mitsumi Electric Co Ltd (6767.T: Quote, Profile, Research) and other electronics makers supplying parts for Nintendo Co Ltd's (7974.OS: Quote, Profile, Research) game machines gained ground after the videogame maker on Thursday raised its sales forecasts for its hot-selling Wii and DS machines.
Trade was moderate, with some 2.61 billion shares changing hands on the Tokyo exchange's first section compared to last week's average of 2.76 billion.
Hi SL. Nice find! It certainly explains some of what is currently happening.
Good article stuffit!
Global economy needs global management.
LOL good idea!
Gm stuffit
The uncertainty about corporate earnings growth in 2008 has risen, not only in the financial sector but also elsewhere. The markets are expecting a flood of profit warnings in the next few months.
Europe stocks fall in choppy trade on profits fear
FRANKFURT, Jan 23 (Reuters) - European shares fell on Wednesday, wiping out some of the previous session's gains sparked by a big cut in U.S. interest rates, as worries over earnings and more bad debt write downs at banks took hold.
Economic data showing that euro zone services sector growth slipped more than expected in January while manufacturing activity steadied at subdued levels also depressed sentiment.
French bank Societe Generale (SOGN.PA: Quote, Profile, Research), down 3 percent, was among leading blue-chip decliners in Europe. Lehman Brothers said in a research note it remained "cautious" on the SocGen stock, which it rates "underweight", due to write-downs.
Going in the opposite direction, Swiss Re (RUKN.VX: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 8.5 percent. The company said it would increase its buyback programme after signing a reinsurance contract with U.S. investor Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (BRKa.N: Quote, Profile, Research), which also bought 3 percent of Swiss Re's shares.
At 1015 GMT, the FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was down 0.4 percent at 1,299,65 points, having opened clearly higher and later taken a roller-coaster ride in an unusually wide range: from 1,285.07 to 1,324.77 points.
"There's some nervousness out in the market because although we had the rate cut in the United States, which was a positive start to trying to put things on hold, people think the credit crunch isn't over," said Mark Foulds, a trader at Tradindex.
"The fact the market has come off this morning shows us that there is still a lot of downbeat news to come and that there's a lot of negativity out there," he added.
Insurance was the best performing sector, 1.9 percent higher on the DJ Stoxx index .
BANKS GAIN AFTER FED MOVE
Among banks, which many analysts see as among the leading beneficiaries of the Federal Reserve's 75-basis-point key rate cut on Tuesday, HSBC (HSBA.L: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 3.2 percent and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS.L: Quote, Profile, Research) gained 2.3 percent.
Among losers, German chipmaker Infineon (IFXGn.DE: Quote, Profile, Research) fell 5.9 percent after its subsidiary Qimonda (QI.N: Quote, Profile, Research) almost doubled its operating loss last quarter.
Shares in Swiss luxury goods group Richemont (CFR.VX: Quote, Profile, Research) fell 5.1 percent after the company narrowly missed market forecasts with an 8 percent rise in third-quarter sales.
"The uncertainty about corporate earnings growth in 2008 has risen, not only in the financial sector but also elsewhere. The markets are expecting a flood of profit warnings in the next few months," said Matthias Schellenberg, managing director at ING Investment Management.
The RBS/NTC Flash Eurozone Services Purchasing Managers Index fell to 52.0 in January from 53.1 in December, its lowest since August 2003 and well below economists' forecasts of 52.8.
The survey also found that the equivalent factory PMI remained at the same level as December's 52.6, considerably above forecasts of a drop to 52.0.
"The PMI report confirms that the pace of slowing in the economy is larger than that embedded in the ECB's (European Central Bank) staff forecasts. With further declines in the composite PMI on the cards in the coming months, the pressure on the ECB to ease will continue rising," said Jacques Caillous, head of euro area economics at RBS, which compiled the survey.
ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet told the European Parliament on Wednesday that it was the responsibility of the central bank "to solidly anchor inflation expectations to avoid additional volatility in already highly volatile markets."
"Also important is for the central bank to ensure an orderly functioning of the money markets at the level of interest rates required for anchoring the inflation expectations," he said.
Around Europe, Britain's benchmark FTSE 100 index .FTSE fell 0.2 percent, the German DAX .GDAXI was down 1 percent and the French CAC 40 .FCHI lost 0.4 percent. (Editing by Louise Ireland/Elizabeth Fullerton)
GM kujo, doesn't look so bright over here.
European stocks extend losses; ECB warns on growth
FRANKFURT, Jan 23 (Reuters) - European stocks extended their losses on Wednesday after the release of weak economic data and with the European Central Bank (ECB) reiterating that risks to growth are on the downside. At 0948 GMT, the FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was down 0.8 percent at 1,294.16 points, meaning that around half of the previous session's gains triggered by the U.S. Federal Reserve's 75-basis-point key rate cut had been wiped out.
Euro zone services sector growth slipped more than expected to a near four and a half year low in January, while manufacturing activity steadied at subdued levels, PMI data showed.
Some analysts said the numbers would add pressure on the ECB to follow the Fed's lead and cut interest rates.
ECB President Jean Claude Trichet told the European Parliament on Wednesday that risks to growth were on the downside and that it was the central bank's responsibility to solidly anchor inflation expectations to avoid additional volatility in already highly volatile markets.
London's FTSE 100 .FTSE fell 0.8 percent, Germany's DAX .GDAXI was down 1.3 percent and the French CAC 40 .FCHI dropped 0.7 percent.
"The catalysts for a renewed bull market are not in place," Credit Suisse said in a global equity strategy note. (Reporting by Peter Starck)
hi stuffit. how are you doing?
Hi SL, I agree. Investors do not put much trust any longer in intrest cuts. On the contrary this rate cut is a confirmation that there is a serious problem with the economy.
So far we know that banks are in big trouble, but this crisis is no longer only limited to that sector. Who's next... insurance companies?
Emerging markets do not look good either whereby money is being pulled away.
This is far from over in a couple of weeks imo.
Asian markets in a sea of red
INDEX VALUE CHANGE %CHANGE TIME
NIKKEI 225 12,573.05 -752.89 -5.65% 01:00
HANG SENG INDEX 22,076.92 -1,741.94 -7.31% 01:51
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 5,186.80 -393.60 -7.05% 00:47
GM, you think my guestimate of -800 pnts for the DJ today is too prudent???
I believe the Bombay stockexchange was halted yesterday.
Brace yourselves for another global selff-off
European index futures drop in early trade
Paris, Jan 22 (Reuters) - European index futures sank in early trade on Tuesday as a global equities selloff, sparked by mounting fears of a U.S. recession, continued to hammer equity markets around the world.
At 0706 GMT, the Euro Stoxx50 futures STXEc1 were down 3 percent, the DAX futures FDXc1 down 3.1 percent and the CAC futures FCEc1 down 2.6 percent.
European shares sank
The Brussels Bel20 fell 6%, the second biggest drop in the history of the Brussels stock exchange.
European stocks sink 5.6 percent in sea of red
LONDON (Reuters) - European shares sank 5.6 percent by midday on Monday, threatening their worst one-day fall since the attacks of September 2001 as investors rattled by the specter of a U.S. recession dumped stock across the board.
At 7:04 a.m. EST, the FTSEurofirst index index of top European shares was down 5.1 percent at 1,289.42 points, having earlier hit 1,280.94, a level not seen in eighteen months.
The sell-off tracked global equities losses, as the MSCI's main index of world stocks hit its lowest level in over a year.
Banks were the worst sector, contributing a quarter of the index's losses. And heavyweight energy stocks were among the top individual negative weights, with BP (BP.L: Quote, Profile, Research) down 4.6 percent and Total (TOTF.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) 4.5 percent.
Investors were left with little in terms of safe haven options: utilities, seen as a possible defensive hedge in times of strife, also fell, with Germany's E.ON (EONG.DE: Quote, Profile, Research) sliding 6 percent.
"Getting pummeled," said Henk Potts, equity strategist at Barclays Stockbrokers. "A mixture of weak global economic data, poor corporate data, increasing fears about the possibility of a recession ... have left investors drowning in a sea of red."
"This looks like a climax sell-off," said Brewin Dolphin Chief Strategist Mike Lenhoff, adding that the slump looked overdone.
"People are left to hold oversold positions until they're blue in the face -- interest rates are going to be a lot lower by the year-end and some of these valuations could look silly then."
Monday's fall is the index's eleventh drop in 14 sessions. It has already lost nearly 15 percent this month.
Germany's DAX .GDAXI plummeted 7.2 percent, while Britain's FTSE .FTSE slumped 5.3 percent and France's CAC 40 .FCHI slid 6.7 percent.
INSURERS, BANKS BLOODIED
Insurers slid on fears over their bond exposure as investors sold off following news that a unit of Ambac Financial Group (ABK.N: Quote, Profile, Research) had lost a crucial "AAA" rating."
Swiss Re (RUKN.VX: Quote, Profile, Research) sank nearly 10 percent, while Allianz (ALVG.DE: Quote, Profile, Research) lost 9.5 percent.
Banks took a beating again on Monday, with the DJ Stoxx bank index down 5.6 percent. HSBC (HSBA.L: Quote, Profile, Research) fell 4.9 percent and Santander (SAN.MC: Quote, Profile, Research) dropped 7.5 percent.
Societe Generale (SOGN.PA: Quote, Profile, Research), which lost eight percent on Friday on market rumors that the French bank could report write-downs, lost a further eight percent.
"It's becoming more and more difficult as the market is now in panic mode," Hugues Rialan, managing director in charge of discretionary asset management at Robeco France.
"We're falling back into the crisis of confidence in the financial sector. The banks have been reassuring the market over their exposure to U.S. mortgage-related investments, but now we realize there is nothing reassuring about it," he said.
Among the few stocks on the upside, Friends Provident (FP.L: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 4 percent after U.S. private equity firm JC Flowers said it was considering an offer for the group.
Swedish trucks group Scania (SCVb.ST: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 2.2 percent on renewed speculation of a tie-up with former suitor MAN
(MANG.DE: Quote, Profile, Research).
(Additional reporting by Blaise Robinson in Paris and Michael Taylor in London; editing by Rory Channing)
I know yet we haven't seen the worst imo.
I know yet we haven't seen the worst imo.
I am in
Absolutely! They can no longer hide (read: lie) the truth.
Very nasty indeed.
European stocks sink 4 pct in a sea of red
LONDON, Jan 21 (Reuters) - European shares sank 4 percent by late morning on Monday, putting them on track for their biggest one-day fall in more than four and a half years as U.S. recession fears rattled investors and oils and financials took a hammering.
At 1108 GMT, the FTSEurofirst index index of top European shares was down 3.9 percent at 1,304.98 points, a level not seen in eighteen months.
Heavyweight energy stocks were the top individual negative weights, with BP (BP.L: Quote, Profile, Research) down 4.6 percent and Total (TOTF.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) 4.5 percent. But banks were the worst sector, contributing a quarter of the index's losses.
"This looks like a climax sell-off," said Brewin Dolphin chief strategist Mike Lenhoff.
(Reporting by Sitaraman Shankar)
GM, there is uncertainty and doubt in the markets but not enough fear (yet). When fear takes over that might be a good time to start looking again at bargains.
A new week and markets are already blood red.
Europe stocks sink again on U.S. recession jitters
PARIS, Jan 21 (Reuters) - European stocks tumbled again in early trade on Monday, tracking sharp losses in Asian shares overnight as U.S. recession fears continued to spook investors around the globe.
At 0809 GMT, the FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was down 1.7 percent at 1,336.03 points, their lowest level since August 2006.
Europe's benchmark index has already lost 11 percent since the start of 2008 as fears over the prospect of a U.S. economic downturn sent investors running for cover.
Banks took a beating again on Monday, with the DJ Stoxx bank index down 2.5 percent. BNP Paribas (BNPP.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) was down 4 percent, UBS (UBSN.VX: Quote, Profile, Research) down 3.6 percent and Societe Generale (SOGN.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) down 5.1 percent.
(Reporting by Blaise Robinson)
Quarterly Earnings Won't Help Turn Around Market, but Could Provide Clues About 2008
NEW YORK (AP) -- In Roman mythology, Janus is the god of doorways, and January is in turn the doorway of the year. For Wall Street, this first month of 2008 has brought none of the optimism that the myth implies -- instead, a disappointing stream of economic and earnings reports has investors dreading what's still to come.
With investors worried that the credit crisis is worsening and that a recession is all but likely, the Standard & Poor's 500 index fell nearly 10 percent in the first 18 days of 2008. This month is shaping up to be the worst January on record for the well-tracked index since 1970, when blue chips shed 7.65 percent.
And Wall Street analysts warn investors not to expect corporate earnings to bail out stocks. About 60 members of the S&P 500 have reported results, most of them failing to surpass Wall Street projections.
"We keep waiting to see that other shoe drop, and so far corporate earnings are doing terribly," said Howard Silverblatt, S&P's senior index analyst. "Because of all the bank write-offs, the fourth quarter is basically history."
Major global banks and brokerages wrote down about $90 billion worth of bad debt during the fourth quarter because of exposure to risky subprime mortgage securities. And, more importantly, top banking executives still aren't willing to say they've reached bottom.
Disappointing results from financials like Citigroup Inc. and Merrill Lynch & Co. weighed on Wall Street this past week, and contributed to the market's huge swoon that took the S&P 500 down 5.4 percent and the Dow Jones industrials down 4.02 percent. There were some bright spots -- both IBM Corp. and General Electric Corp. surpassed expectations and put investors at ease about their prospects for 2008 -- but overall, the market's sentiment about earnings was bleak.
Silverblatt and other analysts believe investors should focus on what companies are saying about this year -- not what happened during the last three months of 2007. What companies have to say about capital spending -- money set aside for everything from buying computers to building new factories -- will be a key indicator for how they feel about the future.
But while the market does look to the future, the disappointments of the fourth quarter -- and companies including chip maker Intel Corp. were among them -- can't help but pull investor sentiment down.
"I think it is unlikely to see a dramatic pickup in the number of companies beating expectations," said Michael Thompson, director of research at Thomson Financial. "I don't think it gets a lot worse, and I'm not sure I would try and raise expectations that ratio will improve dramatically."
But, he warns, "it's still early." With the bulk of the financial companies out of the way, there are still a little more than 400 blue chip companies left to report. Industry leaders like Apple Inc., DuPont Co., and Johnson & Johnson post results.
Analysts will also be examining contributions from overseas operations, which again are expected to be the biggest contributor to earnings during the quarter. The second half's profit decline would have been even sharper if it wasn't for robust international growth and weakness in the dollar.
Overseas earnings were up 20 percent year-over-year during the third quarter. And that might continue for some companies -- especially since the Federal Reserve's series of interest rate cuts have caused the dollar to slide against its counterparts in Europe and Asia.
That's been a boon for companies like IBM, which does about 65 percent of its business outside of the United States. The company said Thursday its 10 percent revenue growth would have been cut to 4 percent if it wasn't for the dollar's rut.
But companies may not be able to depend on overseas operations to help their earnings for much longer.
"U.S. corporate earnings are not only susceptible to further downside pressure at home -- they are also exposed to mounting problems overseas, notably in Europe," said Joe Quinlan, Bank of America's chief market strategist of global wealth. "Remember, in the face of deteriorating earnings in the U.S. last year, robust global earnings saved the day."
Wall Street seen to rebound with GE, IBM in focus
FRANKFURT (Reuters) - Index futures pointed to a rebound on Wall Street on Friday ahead of a long weekend after heavy losses in the previous session, with earnings from General Electric (GE.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and consumer sentiment data in focus.
By 5:39 a.m. EST, Dow futures were up 1 percent, S&P futures were up 1.2 percent, while Nasdaq futures were up 1.2 percent, recovering from Wednesday's losses.
The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index was 0.4 percent higher and Asian stocks had also risen, drawing support from a financial package mooted by U.S. President George W. Bush aimed at cushioning the economy from a downturn.
"We may see a positive start on U.S. markets today, also as economic data that may prompt further declines isn't due until later in the session," said Lutz Roehmeyer, fund manager at LBB Invest.
The Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers release their preliminary January sentiment index at 1500 GMT, which is also when the December leading indicators are due.
The main focus will be on fourth-quarter earnings by GE, the second-largest U.S. company by market capitalization behind Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM.N: Quote, Profile, Research).
"GE is the world economy," Roehmeyer said, as GE was seen as an indicator for the global economy, because it operates in a broad range of sectors.
GE shares in Frankfurt (GEC.F: Quote, Profile, Research) traded 1.3 percent lower by 1034 GMT. Its results are due ahead of U.S. trading hours.
IBM (IBM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and other technology shares may in the spotlight on Friday after the world's largest computer services company forecast 2008 earnings well above Wall Street estimates.
IBM shares in Frankfurt (IBM.F: Quote, Profile, Research) were up 4.8 percent by 5:36 a.m. EST.
Bond insurers could also be in focus again after Ambac Financial Group's (ABK.N: Quote, Profile, Research) shares plunged more than 50 percent on Thursday, after Moody's Investors Service said it may cut the company's debt ratings.
Rival MBIA's (MBI.N: Quote, Profile, Research) shares fell more than 30 percent.
Investors will scrutinize comments by U.S. President George W. Bush, who will offer ideas on Friday for shoring up the fragile U.S. economy, aiming to avert a recession.
Under discussion is a total package of $150 billion that would include both tax breaks and some spending, such as help for the unemployed, according to sources familiar with the matter who spoke on condition of anonymity.
"Just the fact that such a program is necessary is negative," one trader said.
And LBB Invest's Roehmeyer added: "I don't think tax breaks are the right solution to the problem, as they affect mostly those who ear above average."
News of the proposed measures lifted stocks in Asia
On Thursday, U.S. stocks fell with the benchmark S&P 500 plummeting to a 15-month low, as news of a plunge in regional factory activity and a hefty loss at Merrill Lynch (MER.N: Quote, Profile, Research) further clouded an increasingly dire view of the economy.
The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI fell 2.46 percent, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX was down 2.91 percent, and the Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC was down 1.99 percent.
U.S. markets will be closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Day
Gm stuffit, we may have a green day today
This morning I heard on the radio that there are signals that Bernanke might do a deeper rate cut of 1 percent to avoid a recession. Would that start the healing?
GM! Europe stocks fall 1 percent, recession fears weigh
LONDON, Jan 18 (Reuters) - European shares fell 1 percent early on Friday, continuing their torrid start to 2008 as recession fears continued to weigh, with banks hit by worries over writedowns and a weakening housing market.
At 0917 GMT, the FTSEurofirst 300 index index of top European shares was down 0.9 percent at 1,362.49 points, despite a recovery in Asian shares on hopes that a financial package from President George W. Bush would cushion the U.S. economy from a downturn.
Bush is due to speak later in the day in general terms about the kind of measures he would like to see. He told lawmakers on Thursday he wanted tax rebates for families and breaks for businesses in a rescue plan that could total up to $150 billion.
A day after Merrill Lynch (MER.N: Quote, Profile, Research) reported a huge quarterly loss, European financials were the top weighted losers on the FTSEurofirst 300. Insurers Allianz (ALVG.DE: Quote, Profile, Research) and Axa (AXAF.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) and banks ING (ING.AS: Quote, Profile, Research), Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS.L: Quote, Profile, Research) and Societe Generale (SOGN.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) were all off more than 2 percent.
Miner Rio Tinto (RIO.L: Quote, Profile, Research), however, was 2 percent higher on market talk out of Australia that BHP Billiton (BLT.L: Quote, Profile, Research) was readying a sweetened offer for the company.
Both companies declined to comment.
Utility stocks, seen as a defensive bet in times of stress, gained. France's EDF (EDF.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) topped French winners with a 2.3-percent gain, while Germany's RWE (RWEG.DE: Quote, Profile, Research) and E.ON (EONG.DE: Quote, Profile, Research) gained 1.5 percent. Traders said Merrill Lynch raised its price target for E.ON shares. (Reporting by Sitaraman Shankar)
GM! European stocks rebound; earnings, Bernanke in focus
FRANKFURT, Jan 17 (Reuters) - European shares rebounded on Thursday as investors took courage from gains in Asia and a slew of company updates, while preparing for comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve chairman and Merrill Lynch's (MER.N: Quote, Profile, Research) results.
By 0806 GMT, the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index was up 1.2 percent at 1,399.40 points, recovering all of the previous day's losses.
The index hit a 16-month low on Wednesday as fears of a recession in the United States intensified.
All eyes will be on Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, who is due to testify on the near-term outlook for the U.S. economy before the House Budget Committee at 1500 GMT.
The euro had tumbled against the dollar on Wednesday after ECB Governing Council member Yves Mersch told Bloomberg News he did not rule out a downward revision of euro zone growth forecasts for 2008, and that the central bank should remain flexible with regard to fighting inflation.
On the earnings front, Merrill Lynch (MER.N: Quote, Profile, Research) reports fourth-quarter results ahead of U.S. trading hours and markets will focus on the extent of subprime-related writedowns.
Around Europe, the UK's FTSE 100 index .FTSE rose 1.3 percent, Germany's DAX index .GDAXI added 0.9 percent and France's CAC 40 .FCHI gained 0.9 percent.
Among major movers, Associated British Foods (ABF.L: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 8.5 percent after the Silver Spoon sugar maker said it met expectations by increasing first-quarter revenue 13 percent, driven by budget clothing chain Primark.
I have never seen anything like this before.
LOL or a truck?
Stocks seen extending losses
LONDON (Reuters) - Wall Street looked set to fall further on Wednesday on growing worries of a U.S. recession which battered Asian and European markets.
Technology shares might be worst hit after chip maker Intel Corp (INTC.O: Quote, Profile, Research) reported quarterly results and an outlook below Wall Street targets, sending its shares down 15 percent in extended trading hours on Tuesday.
Banks are again in focus as JP Morgan (JPM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and Wells Fargo (WFC.N: Quote, Profile, Research) report results, a day after Citigroup unveiled a record loss, writedowns of $18 billion and cut its dividend.
By 6:00 a.m. EST, Dow futures and S&P futures were down 0.9 percent and Nasdaq futures lost 1.7 percent.
The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index lost 1.1 percent to 1,379.4 and MSCI's measure of Asia Pacific stocks excluding Japan tumbled 4 percent.
"We have reduced our expectations for global growth over the cyclical timeframe, but we continue to expect decoupling of global growth from the U.S.," William Powers, senior member of PIMCO's portfolio management and investment strategy groups, said in a note.
All three major U.S. stock indexes plunged more than 2 percent on Tuesday after Citigroup's record loss and the worst showing for retailers in five years fuelled fears that the economy was heading into a recession.
The picture for stocks grew murkier after U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell in December to close out the weakest year since 2002.
The possibility of a recession makes the Labor Department's Consumer Price Index, due at 8:30 a.m., that much more critical since it could affect how much room the Federal Reserve will have to cut interest rates to spur growth. The Fed is scheduled to meet to decide rate policy on January 29-30.
"Everyone's going to put more pressure on the Fed to act more aggressively and sooner," Dunay said. "The market is looking for the Fed to step in here before the meeting because the declines have been so dramatic."
Besides the CPI report, other key indicators on tap include industrial output and capacity utilization at 9:15 a.m. (1415 GMT) and the National Association of Home Builders housing market index at 1 p.m.
Other banks due to report results include Northern Trust (NTRS.O: Quote, Profile, Research) and Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N: Quote, Profile, Research).
Shares of California Pizza Kitchen (CPKI.O: Quote, Profile, Research) joined other restaurant chains in cutting their profit forecasts. The company reported results late on Tuesday that missed analysts' estimates and slashed its outlook by about 35 percent, sending its shares down 20 percent in after-hours trading.
Other companies set to report earnings include American Airlines operator AMR Corp (AMR.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and auto insurer Progressive Corp (PGR.N: Quote, Profile, Research).
Stocks plunged 2 percent on Tuesday on recession fears fueled by an unexpected drop in retail sales in December and a record loss by Citicorp (C.N: Quote, Profile, Research).
More macro-economic data expected this week and the fear of a recession is making Joe Sixpack very nervous.
"Selling America for Designer Boots, Top Hats and Thimbles
by Robert Morley
theTrumpet.com
January 15, 2008
Like a near-concluded game of Monopoly, America is selling off its last properties to maintain its lavish lifestyle
We are living through one of the greatest transfers of wealth ever experienced. As Americans continue to live high on the hog, maintaining unsustainable lifestyles, billions of dollars each day flow out from the United States to the Middle East and countries like China and India to enable us to import foreign goods and foreign oil.
Each day, more of our collective wealth, and that of our children, is transferring to the coffers of foreign governments.
If this were a Monopoly game, we would have sold Baltic and Mediterranean Avenue long ago. Now we are even looking for buyers for our Park Places and Boardwalks—our most prestigious financial gems. What will we do when all the property is gone and the money is spent?
On Friday, the Commerce Department released a ghastly trade report on the November data. The U.S. monthly trade deficit unexpectedly surged by 9.3 percent to $63.1 billion. America’s foreign oil bill came to a record $34.4 billion. For the year, America’s trade deficit is projected to be an astounding $709 billion. That means that every day in 2007, America spent almost $2 billion more than it earned through trade.
As long as trade deficits continue, U.S. assets will continue to be auctioned off to prolong our current standard of living.
According to economic historian Niall Ferguson, “[W]e are indeed living through a global shift in the balance of power very similar to that which occurred in the 1870s.”
Ferguson draws eerie parallels between the lavish lifestyles, profligate spending habits and billowing debts of the Ottoman Turks before they fell, and those of America today. “This is the story of how an over-extended empire sought to cope with an external debt crisis by selling off revenue streams to foreign investors. The empire that suffered these setbacks in the 1870s was the Ottoman Empire. Today it is the U.S.,” he wrote.
Back then, it was a transfer of power from the East to the West, as Great Britain and other nations took advantage of the economically overextended Ottomans to purchase income-bearing infrastructure such as canals and tax streams from the sultans. The end result for the Ottomans was economic bankruptcy eventually followed by loss of empire. Ferguson notes a similar shift of power from East to West that occurred in Persia and China around the same time.
The U.S. debt crisis has taken a different form, but the end will be the same. Chronic overspending, an atrophying domestic manufacturing base, and growing trade deficits have resulted in massive international U.S. dollar stockpiles in addition to soaring national and individual debt loads.
And America’s trade partners are beginning to spend all those dollars.
“As in the 1870s, though, the upshot of this debt crisis is the sale of assets and revenue streams to foreign creditors,” says Ferguson. “This time, however, creditors are buying bank shares not canal shares. And the resulting shift of power is from West to East.”
Most recently, foreign governments have been gobbling up U.S. assets through investment vehicles known as sovereign wealth funds. The gobbling is getting fast and furious.
Sovereign wealth funds (swfs) are essentially the financial teeth of foreign governments, created to invest national foreign exchange reserves—reserves that are composed largely of U.S. dollars.
A quick look at the owners of the largest swfs reveals a list that includes countries conspicuously undemocratic at best, dictatorial at worst. Yet these are the very nations America is indebted to, and these are the very nations that are now spending their U.S. dollar holdings to buy up U.S. income-producing assets, technology and infrastructure. The United Arab Emirates, China, Russia, Singapore, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia top the list for a combined $2.75 trillion worth of investment funds. The only democratic exception to the list is Norway, with $350 billion worth of oil money under management.
“The amount in swfs continues to grow at an astonishing rate as the giant U.S. deficit of $700 billions [sic] continues to feed their coffers,” notes Nadeem Walayat, writing for the Market Oracle. By 2011, the value of swfs is projected to balloon to nearly $8 trillion.
Take another look at the above list. These are the countries to which the United States (and other Western nations such as Britain, Canada and Australia) is transferring ownership of many of its most strategic and technologically advanced companies. Is that rational?
“As petro and trade dollars flow into these swfs, we will find increasingly larger and larger slices of important U.S. and Western world capital-producing infrastructure flowing into the hands of Asian and the Middle Eastern government-controlled funds as part of a multi-pronged strategy. The effect of which is literally to gradually transfer sovereignty of the United Sates to these countries,” warns Walayat.
Most of America, however, remains oblivious to the national sellout occurring before its eyes.
Amid a developing banking crisis, American banks are wholeheartedly welcoming the influx of foreign dollars as a stabilizing force in the marketplace. Citigroup, America’s number-one bank, Merrill Lynch, America’s largest brokerage house, and Morgan Stanley have all sold off multi-billion-dollar chunks to foreign governments over the past couple of months. But the list of U.S. assets getting snapped up by foreign governments goes far beyond just America’s financial giants: It includes private equity firms, military suppliers and U.S. infrastructure, among others.
Incredulously, many in America hail the recent influx of swfs as financial knights in shining armor. Even President George W. Bush recently stated that he is “fine” with foreign money coming to Wall Street from overseas. He says it would be a bigger problem if the U.S. tried to prohibit the influx.
President Bush is probably right in the short term. At a time when many U.S. banks could be on the threshold of collapse, foreign money has been a huge stabilizer. Without that money, some of America’s biggest banks could have already collapsed.
However, short-term gains—such as they are—can have terrifying long-term consequences. There is no way that the recent influx of foreign money into the banking sector is a sign of U.S. economic strength. The fact that U.S. banks are in a crisis in the first place—and that they had to turn to foreign governments for money—clearly demonstrates how sick America’s financial system is.
Over the long term, the continual divestiture of America’s income-producing assets will—as with the Ottoman Empire—erode America’s economic base. When that goes, the military will follow, and eventually so will America’s sovereignty.
It’s just like Monopoly: He who holds the most and best property eventually wins.
At one time, America held all the properties. It was the richest nation in the world. But Americans wanted to live beyond even those means; they continually spent more on luxuries than the income generated from their many assets.
Then America, rather than reduce its standard of living, decided to sell off some of its holdings.
At first, it didn’t much matter. Hardly anyone noticed that Baltic and Mediterranean were gone. And no one cared when the utilities were later sold to pay the bills.
But over time, as each additional income-producing asset was put on the market, it became progressively harder to maintain the national standard of living. Today, the property auction is intensifying, and soon few valuable properties will remain. Yet America remains oblivious to the fact that if trends continue, inevitable bankruptcy is just a few rolls of the dice away.
The wealth that America once had is quickly disappearing. Even its biggest Boardwalk and Park Place banks are on the block. The nation is being reduced to begging for money from foreign governments.
The structural imbalances within the economy have become huge—so huge that any remedy would be certain to be costly. If nothing is done, says Ferguson, all that remains to be seen is how “quickly today’s financial shift will be followed by a comparable geopolitical shift in favor of the new export and energy empires …. Suffice to say that the historical analogy does not bode well for America ….”
And America long ago spent its last “get out of jail free” card.
http://www.thetrumpet.com/index.php?q=4687.2951.0.0
Gm SL, stuffit... good to see you back.
Banks and miners fuel slide in European shares
LONDON, Jan 16 (Reuters) - European shares fell early on Wednesday as the growing fear of U.S. recession hit banks, while a trading update from Rio Tinto (RIO.L: Quote, Profile, Research) weighed on mining stocks.
By 0816 GMT the FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was down 1.24 percent at 1,378.11 points, its lowest since September 2006.
The index lost 2.6 percent on Tuesday after U.S. investment bank Citigroup (C.N: Quote, Profile, Research) posted a record $10 billion quarterly loss, cut its dividend and said it would receive a capital injection of $14.5 billion. A surprise fall in retail sales added to the view the U.S. economy may be heading for recession.
"It looks like markets are now realising that the credit crisis in the United States is far away from being over and there are further risks arising that are further down the chain," said Heino Ruland, a strategist at FrankfurtFinanz in Frankfurt.
HSBC (HSBA.L: Quote, Profile, Research) was once again the biggest negative weight on the index, falling 2.5 percent, while Rio Tinto shares fell 1.9 percent.
Tech stocks came under pressure after earnings from Intel (INTC.O: Quote, Profile, Research) missed forecasts and the company issued a dour outlook, while in Europe, ASML (ASML.AS: Quote, Profile, Research) -- which supplies most of the world's top chip makers -- fell 7 percent after reporting a recovery in quarterly unit orders but order value fell unexpectedly.
Shares in Germany's Infineon (IFXGn.DE: Quote, Profile, Research) fell nearly 5.5 percent.
Around Europe, London's FTSE 100 index .FTSE fell 1 percent, while Frankfurt's DAX .GDAXI dropped 0.7 percent and Paris' CAC 40 .FCHI lost 0.9 percent. (Reporting by Amanda Cooper)
GM! European stock futures slide in early trade
LONDON, Jan 16 (Reuters) - European stock futures fell in early trade on Wednesday, indicating another fall when the market opens later in the day as fresh fear of U.S. recession pounds global equities and the dollar.
By 0707 GMT March Stoxx50E futures STXEH8 were down 0.8 percent, while DAX futures FDXH8 fell 0.7 percent and CAC-40 futures FCEH8 shed 0.7 percent.
FTSE 100 futures FFIH8 were indicated down 0.3 percent. Financial bookmakers in London earlier called for the FTSE to open roughly 0.4 percent lower, Frankfurt's DAX .GDAXI to open 0.6 percent down and Paris' CAC-40 .FCHI to lose roughly 0.8 percent.
Shares in Asia took a beating, echoing a 2-percent slide on Wall Street following surprisingly weak retail sales data and a record $10 billion loss at Citigroup (C.N: Quote, Profile, Research) that deepened investor concern of a recession in the world's largest economy. (Reporting by Amanda Cooper)
European shares cut losses after Citi results
LONDON, Jan 15 (Reuters) - European shares pared losses on Tuesday after Citigroup (C.N: Quote, Profile, Research) announced it was raising $14.5 billion from offerings of convertible preferred securities.
At 1141 GMT, the FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European stocks was down 0.6 percent at 1,423.50, well off the day's low of 1,418.56 hit before the Citi statement.
"There's relief that Citi has been able to secure funding, and about the fact that even if they have cut their dividend, they still have one," said a trader in London.
"It's not great news but better than the worst case scenario."
European equities dip, retailers among early losers
LONDON, Jan 15 (Reuters) - European stocks fell in early trade on Tuesday with banks figuring among the losers ahead of earnings from big U.S. companies, as markets wrestled with worries over U.S. economic growth and credit woes.
Retailers, the worst hit so far this year, were again a weak spot as shares in Britain's largest retailer Tesco (TSCO.L: Quote, Profile, Research) lost 4 percent after the company missed sales forecasts.
Banks HSBC (HSBA.L: Quote, Profile, Research), Santander (SAN.MC: Quote, Profile, Research) and Societe Generale (SOGN.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) edged lower.
By 0810 GMT, the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index was down 0.3 percent at 1,428.1. The index has lost about 5 percent this year after rising 1.6 percent in 2007 in its worst annual performance since 2002.
"The outlook for markets is all linked to whether we are in a mid-cycle slowown or global recession and the problem is that the two of them look very, very similar at the start but have different market consequences," said Andrew Lynch, European fund manager at Schroders.
"Investors are looking and hoping for evidence that the problems in banks are over but the key thing to watch out for is also what banks say about commercial property lending."
Citigroup (C.N: Quote, Profile, Research) is expected to report a fourth-quarter loss but investors will focus on everything else Citi has in the works, from raising billions of dollars in new capital to slashing more jobs. Intel (INTC.O: Quote, Profile, Research) also unveils earnings. (Reporting by Anshuman Daga)
City Group en Merryl Lynch Q numbers are coming out this week and my guess is that the FED is waiting for these 2 giants to lower the interest rates.
Gold hits record above $900; platinum, silver surge
SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Gold hit a record high above $900 an ounce on Monday as turmoil in financial markets and expectations of aggressive U.S. rate cuts helped raise the metal the metal's safe-haven appeal.
Platinum hit a lifetime high while silver touched a 27-year peak, buoyed by gold's rise.
Spot gold hit an all-time high of $904.60 an ounce, higher than $895.70/896.50 in New York on Friday.
COMEX gold futures touched $905.70 an ounce, surpassing Friday's record high of $900.10. The most active February contract was later quoted at $896.1, down $1.6 an ounce.
Japanese gold futures were closed for a holiday. "There is blue sky ahead of us and there is room for gold to go higher. We are in an uncharted territory, really," said Darren Heathcote of Investec Australia in Sydney.
"We have a weaker dollar and that's encouraged people to buy gold.," he said.
Investors have bought gold as a safe-haven asset after the dollar dropped on expectations the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by an aggressive half-percentage point at its January 29-30 policy meeting to rescue the U.S. economy.
Fears of further subprime mortgage-related write-downs in the U.S. financial sector and inflation fears driven by record-high crude oil also attracted buying from investors and speculators.
The euro jumped to $1.4875 on electronic trading platform EBS, the highest since late November and within a cent of a record high of $1.4968 hit that month.
Gold was on track to break above $900 but some dealers said the metal may have trouble staying above that level as high prices were likely to turn away jewellery makers and other physical buyers.
"I still think it's not sustainable. The physical sector is not too enthusiastic to purchase here," said William Kwan, a dealer at Phillip Futures in Singapore.
"On the speculative side, the small speculators have already gotten out of their shorts," he added.
Gold's 14-day relative strength indicator (RSI) rose to 85.95 on Friday as gold hit a record, and hovered above 80 on Monday. The market views an RSI of 30 or less as oversold and 70 or more as overbought.
In Singapore, dealers noted selling from holders who cashed in on gold's gains as well as limited purchases from jewellers at lower levels.
Gold mining stocks rallied after U.S. gold futures hit record highs, with Newcrest Mining up 2.05 percent, Lihir Gold up 1 percent and Sino Gold Ltd rising 6.62 percent.
Platinum hit record high of $1,565/1,570 an ounce, up from $1,562/1,566 an ounce in New York.
Silver rallied to its highest in 27 years at $16.39/16.44 an ounce from $16.19/16.24 late in New York.
Palladium rose to $376/380 an ounce from $375/379.
Dollar dips as bank results awaited
TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar slipped against the euro and Australian dollar on Monday, with investors avoiding the U.S. currency before a slew of earnings reports from major U.S. banks this week that will shed light on the credit crunch's toll.
Currency trading was limited, with financial markets in Japan closed for a holiday.
The Australian dollar jumped after data showing rising inflation pressures and solid demand for workers reinforced expectations interest rates could rise next month from 6.75 percent, attracting yield-seeking investors.
"We are likely to see the market continue to build into rate hike expectations for the February meeting," said Sharada Selvanathan, a currency strategist at BNP Paribas in Hong Kong.
By contrast, the Federal Reserve is widely seen slashing rates later this month by a half-point to 3.75 percent, and futures are pricing in the risk of a Fed rate cut even before its two-day meeting ending on January 30.
Traders cited a report from hedge fund advisory Medley Global Advisors that the Fed could cut rates as early as this week as stirring some of the speculation about a rare move between scheduled meetings.
But the Wall Street Journal reported on Monday that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates before that meeting unless the outlook deteriorates sharply in coming days.
The euro rose 0.3 percent from late U.S. trade on Friday to $1.4814, back to near a five-week peak of $1.4825 hit earlier in the month.
The dollar slipped 0.2 percent to 108.74 yen.
The Australian dollar climbed 0.5 percent to $0.8950 and 0.2 percent to 97.29 yen, lifted by Monday's data, which reinforced expectations the Reserve Bank of Australia will likely raise rates again.
A gauge of inflation from TD Securities and the Melbourne Institute jumped in December to the fastest annual pace in a year, while another report showed job advertisements surging to a record high.
The Aussie also got a boost as gold prices scaled a record peak just below $900 an ounce.
The Aussie's gains, the prospect of an aggressive Fed rate cut and reports that Merrill Lynch and Citigroup were poised to receive more capital infusions helped to underpin higher-yielding currencies, traders said.
The Financial Times said that Citi is seeking up to $14 billion more in capital, while Merrill may receive about $4 billion of cash.
That follows a report in the New York Times on Friday that Merrill's write-downs on mortgages could total $15 billion, which spurred selling of stocks and higher-yielding currencies.
SUBPRIME BLUES
A raft of U.S. data this week will show how the economy is faring, including retail sales, industrial production, housing and consumer prices.
But analysts said that how Wall Street reacts to earnings results from U.S. banks this week may be more important for higher-yielding currencies and carry trades.
Merrill and Citigroup, among the hardest hit by the U.S. subprime mortgage defaults and the resulting credit crisis, will release quarterly results this week.
"The U.S. equity market will likely dominate moves in the FX market," said currency strategists at Barclays Capital.
When stocks fall, market players slash leveraged carry trade positions in which funds are borrowed in low-yielding currencies like the yen to buy higher-yielding currencies. As a result, the yen tends to jump across the board.
Stock markets in Asia were mixed following Wall Street's tumble on Friday. The MSCI Asia ex-Japan index of the region's markets edged up 0.2 percent.
Gm stuffit,
I expect silver to reach between $20-$30 this year.
Gm everyone. TGIF!
European stocks fall to lowest level since Dec '06
PARIS, Jan 11 (Reuters) - European stocks fell to their lowest since December 2006 by midday on Friday, tracking a drop in U.S. futures on renewed worries over the troubled subprime mortgage market, with consumer product shares hurt by a flurry of brokerage downgrades.
At 1156 GMT, the FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was down 1 percent at 1,421.93 points, its lowest level in 13 months.
Unilever (ULVR.L: Quote, Profile, Research) sank 5 percent after Morgan Stanley cut its recommendation to "underweight" from "equal-weight", while France's L'Oreal (OREP.PA: Quote, Profile, Research), the world's largest cosmetics group, tumbled 3.8 percent after Deutsche Bank lowered its rating to "sell" from "hold", citing mounting pressure on margins from rising commodity prices and risks of a slowdown in consumer spending.
Reports of bigger-than-expected subprime-related losses at Merrill Lynch (MER.N: Quote, Profile, Research) -- suggesting the credit crisis that has hit equity markets worldwide since July was far from over -- also added to the gloomy sentiment.
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