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BM - this has all the smell and feel of a medium term bear. Can you think of anything that could encourage anyone to risk investment with a Fed determined to cook up some unemployment.
Look at the speed at which they are acting against the slightest sniff of inflation and compare that with 1999 and 2000 when business was falling off a cliff and they carried on adding to the pressure by putting up interest rates. Only when they were faced with a potential meltdown six inches in front of their faces did they dane to act.
These guys have a very primitve view of the economy and how to control it. My guess is that they are after some unemployment in order to ameliorate the deficits and the $s fall.
Maybe they see no other way but the signals they are sending are not accidental they are meant to target the market and thereby then the economy and possibly the housing market too.
The year end may bring a little rally as it did last year for all the reasons that ahve to do with what funds do at the end of the year and bonuses etc but with a long hot summer of rate rises and more rate rises coming up my guess is that the funds will get out ot the extent that they can. Noneed to play this game while the referee is biased.
L
BM - feels like a bear, smells like a bear now alll we need is Softie
How about a 2o'clock plop all the way to a down of 1% for the day. That'll get the bears babbling.
If it tops then it plops and right now it looks like a the beginning of a plopie all the way to lunch time and then ...red in the afternoon.
L
rally running out of steam?
TG - all over the country valuations have ncreased and that must be leading to a proportionate increase local income
L
A daily morning G&C is classic bear market behaviour.
L
TG - Should States be getting a massive increase in revenues as a result of increased property prices?
L
How low do you see it..above or below 500?
Sofite - whats your definition of bullish<g>
Increasing interest rates from now all the way through 2006 and the prospct of more agressive increases at the June meeting you don't have to be a savy forecaster to work out that equity investment is over for the foreseable future.
They react very very quickly to a hint of inflation but when it comes to deflation they are as slow as they are quick for inflation.
This man wants to see some unemployment and quickly. Slowing the ecohomy is going to work wonders on the deficit<g>
ZH - I think AG wants some unemployment. He's not happy about something. Don't forget that he put up interest rates in 1999 and 2000 while business was falling over a cliff.
He'll do it again. This recovery has not been confirmed it feels very shaky and this urge to put up interest rates has once again surfaced at the Fed.
Whatever they did today did was not confidence building to growth.
L
BM - change of name ..might I suggest "Bullmove"<g>
Not so sure..its March again and "things" happen in March.
Also this mini hiatus in the sellling this morning feels like its not going to last after about 2.30pm if that. Feels like it could get rough this afternoon.
L
BM - Well Happy Half Hour ends in approx 7 mins and then we get the 10 o'clock knock. But after lunch today is Greenspan time and seems to me that whenever he has something to say or do it results in a late day dump.
How about basic paralysis setting in about 12.30 and continuing till 2.15 and then a little up depending on whether he uses the word "measured" and what font it is in and if it is near the top of the page or in the middle of the text or it is follwed by a word with the letter a or b or a number or something of equal total irrelvance...then let the selling commence....and Softie takes the stage.
L
BT - still ..$800+ surely there mist ber something extra?
Best,
L
ME - These sites that hit you must have some very bright programmers to be able to do all this stuff.
Are there specialist web designing outfits that specialise in this or is it just very day stuff if your a re a web designer?
Best,
L
BT - $800 for just another 64bitCPU<g>? I heard there was something about it being good for video editing? Must be more to it than just any old CPU for that kind of money...n'est ce pas?
Best,
L
BT - waht is this AMD FX 55 chip all about. I think I see prices at over $800? What does it do? Sounds like when eventually I get around to doing something about a new compute I need an FX 55<g>
Best,
L
Why do these people keep on using this kind language.
Real estate goes up and every now and again goes down but over most peoples realsitic time frames for living in a home it usually ends up higher.
Time will tell I guess as it has for real estate over the last hundred or more years.
"way down south" ????? - - looks like mid $26s A/H. That's way down???? Just a little exagerated would you say?
Prices for these items are just too high. Everyone knows they are going to come down. get em down to $1,000 - $1,500 and they are going to be big sellers. At the moment at 3,000 and up American consumers are just feeding a few big name producers.
I thought that TXN said that their wireless side was just fine.
L
ZH- Greenspan speaking agian today=market down. Actually I think I recall seceral occasions when on the day he speaks the market sustains a big drop and it followed a day when the market was up. Seems to have hapened again today.
Can we get a list of his speaking engagements.
L
ZH - Does that mean he thinks the market is going to decline?<g>
reference
Well nearly half the qtr over. Any sign of mid qtr guidance? If they just do what they are exepcted to do it doesn't feel like it could excite any buying interest. What will it take to get buyers interested in the stock again?
Seems to me every time he speaks the market tanks shortly afterwards in the afternoon session.
nah. next they say that it'll grow next year as well...huh big deal...<g>
"Dominos" - Hmmmm....so they stop lending or demand higher interest rates...so US consumer demand collapses.....so whose economy gets hurt the worst? Theirs...not ours... they will starve... ni some cases literaly!
Turkeys do not vote for Christmas...they never vote for Christmas never. So they will just keep quiet and carry on doing waht they have been doing and they will pray that our consumers do the same.
16m to 70m..in a year huh big deal! not much growth compared to many companies is it?<g>
Rotate...music starts for a few weeks and all change chairs....there ought to be regular qtly schedule of which sector is due for a ride<g>
lets see...
Semis - very good for a regular downgrade but good for a quick pop every couple of years when other sectors are boring.
Housing - your basic evergreen
Oils - safe and always good for at least a couple of pops per annum
Big Pharma - Taken over from semis as the ones to kick around. Probably good for a pop now only every three years or so.
Finance - No big excitement but a hardy perenial coniferous group.
Tech - One or two high flyers per season and thats it. The rest forget about no matter how good their earnings.
Retail - Good for regular alternate uprade/downgrade cycles all during the year.
Internuts - good for P/E overs 100 no mater how the big ones perform.
Biotechs - Las Vegas and no-one understands them.
<GG>
European markets roaring. Hegies are quick to move to the next hot item. Hopping around seems to work these days.
With the Europeans and oil being the hot items something has to lose out and it looks like its tech.
looks like some big players playing games with QCOM.
Phew!!
http://www.ipwireless.com/
How does Q compete with the products and pseeds shown on this web-site?
brilliant.
do you know someone...anyone who does know? <g>
The VIX is as much use as a dead leach!
Aaaaargh.. the dreaded VIX again...
CSCO Feb 8th A/H.......