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NIPI birth of a new tech analysis...
NIPI is short for
NEGATIVE IHUB POSTING INDEX
This new form of technical analysis -- invented by IHUB member, "Ineedmoreshares", analyzes anomalies of human psychology in order to give Investors/Traders a new bullish confirmation factor.
Nipi AKA sinners lounge, look above...
yes!
***NIPI IBOX UPDATED.***
IM adding to the Box with some more info now...
Thanks Spek,
I'll do my best. I've asked for some help on the chart by one of the greatest chartmakers on Ihub, and Im hoping he takes up the challenge with me. This could be very TA.
thanks for stopping by.
I will keep track of the data and post it when there is enough for a proper statistical confirmation.
I Should have said "will be attempting to make million and billions"... didn't mean to imply they already had done so.
The statement taken out of context doesn't tell the whole story from the orginal post which was quoting somebody else, but I should have used the language above regardless.
I was basically saying, since they are using their own capital, they are putting their money where their mouth is as opposed to telling somebody else to do it.
Seriously, if they believe SWARM is gonna make a ton of money, then they should be making a ton of money, for them and us with it. That is exactly what I expect to happen.
My new theory of technical analysis -- aka NIPI -- was designed to "confirm" bullish "fundamentals" and has generated a BUY signal on SPZI.
NIPI = "negative Ihub post index"
TA and charts actually measure the "past" emotional response upon "past" PPS in order to predict future PPS.
In the alternative, NIPI charts various negative social information to confirm "fundamental" strength of a stock play, not future PPS although this is somewhat predicted as well, but more on a general level than as to specific price movements over spans of time.
Most people use TA to guess future PPS, but I am charting negative posting activity to confirm DD on fundamental analysis.
Negative posting on SPZI has triggered a NIPI BUY alert for the stock.
Here's the concept and how it works...
Step 1:
The mean psychology of the subset must be considered.
- The average poster on IHUB is trying to make money by investing.
- Every IHUB poster has limited time and energy to post here since both resources are limited for every member of the subset.
Basically, TIME = MONEY
- The average member of the subset will use their time and energy attempting to generate bullish interest in stocks they own by posting positive DD and comments.
- The average member of the subset will SELL their holdings when they are convinced the stock will fall.
ANOMOLIES:
- The most important chartable anomaly occurs when an Ihub poster who says they are long on a stock breaks from the normal activity of the subset by posting negative sentiments about that stock.
Since typical TA is generated by emotional response, negative posting does in fact influence PPS, and therefore anomalies wherein posters attack stocks they own are given more weight than negative posts by those who do not claim to be long in the stock.
- Anomalies also occur and are charted when posters who do not claim to be long generate excessive negative posts as this depletes time and energy which most members of the subset regard as precious and best used to make money.
- Recent news is also factored in to measure increases of anomalies against time periods where the stock has NEWS come out.
- The frequency of anomalies generates a NIPI chart.
NIPI anomaly analysis (say that ten times fast) assumes that Ihub posters being charted are, in fact, trying to make money on the stock being charted. But NIPI analysis just assigns a different kind of profit motivation to them.
My NIPI analysis is a brand new form of TA which has not ben tested, so please do your own DD.
I have decided to react to the BUY signal generated by my NIPI analysis because of the frequency of anomalies evidenced by the rather large increase of negative posts concerning SPZI since the 141 NEWS came out.
As the NYC conference approaches, I expect to see an even greater increase of anomolies.
Cant buy stock in the FED, but SPZI will do.
The software that is to be licensed was supposed to generate $ 450 million in revenues by the end of 2008 by capturing one percent of the market.
I'm not in a hurry, I think $450 million is peanuts compared to what SWARM has the potential to do. In fact, with a tested 95% success rate, revenue is infinite.
OUT OF ALL EXISTING PLAYS AVAILABLE RIGHT NOW, SPZI IS THE ONLY ONE WHICH THIS CAN BE SAID ABOUT.
95% success multiplied by an exponentially growing stash of capital driven by ever more 141 terminals with SWARM jockeys riding through the night means that the Federal Reserve's printing press may have nothing on SPZI... With a 95% success rate we might OWN a USD printing press. Talk about disruptive technology. This is potentially the mother of all disruptive technology. I would NOT want to be short this stock. So I am long.
I have made a bullish reversal on myself.
PaperProphet, about the Stanton lawsuit...
Hey man, thanks again for posting all that DD. I need to see all sides of this thing since I'm considering taking a position. I just cashed in my chips on a 6.5 bagger, my first serious winner in about six months and I need to get friggin loaded on something else right away or I'll just end up taking my girlfriend surfing in Oahu for the next six months spending it all on Far Niente Chardonnay, Lobster, two hour massages etc...
This weekend I've dedicated to nailing the DD on this play and I am hoping to avoid any false hype that might exist. Obviously, this latest buzz on the SSTP/USSE bio fuel seems to good to be true. Which doesn't mean it's false either.
I've been going over your post about those law suits. Let's start with the one brought by Mr. Stanton:
"Mr. Stanton didn't get the 225,000,000 shares he was supposed to get in the split. Apparently Mr. Rivera simply decided not to give it to him. In my opinion, Mr. Stanton has a solid case there--he owned shares so he should get the split like every other shareholder..."
I was looking up Mr. Stanton, just to check his track record, and I came across this post you made in an IHUB forum called, "STANTON SCAMS":
"However, if you look at a potentially darker scenario, you could speculate that since Mr. Stanton and his colleagues seem to have gotten rich without ever producing any profits in their companies, ripping off shareholders might be his schtick."
After looking this cat Stanton up, I may agree with your assessment, this Stanton looks like one dark MOFO.
I read about 20 posts you made on Mr. Stanton, and you dredged up alot of scary stuff. It appears that, whatever mistakes Mr. Rivera may have made, Stanton's are much worse according to your posts which allege that Stanton was an intentionally toxic individual. I mean, after all, having an Ihub named "STANTON SCAMS" is shady as all hell.
So, I'm going to dismiss worrying about this particular law suit by Mr. Stanton. No jury will like this guy if Rivera's lawyers prove what you've said about Stanton to be true.
I'll have a look at the other law suits and get back to you.
There's just too many law suits there that need proper DD before I take a position in this stock.
Thanks again, man. I really appreciate the detailed references.
141 is much better than marketing to others
I just read the following logical attack on another company that was marketing/selling "stock timing software". This has nothing to do with SPZI but the same logic applies.
Check it out:
For all the people thinking about buying 'stock timing' software, they should ask themselves: if the software actually can improve gains, why doesn't the writer of the software make millions or billions from the stock market rather than spending money on marketing to try to get someone to buy the software for $99? Obviously it would be easier to set up a computer to make the trades rather than going through the marketing.
This makes alot of sense. And that's why I'm LONG SPZI and will be long 141...
"SPZI" is, in fact, using SWARM and their own capital via "141" to "make millions or billions". I feel pretty freakin excited right freakin now.
I love this play again.
Thanks for the DD, Paper.
"In the Greenbelt suit, apparently Mr. Rivera appropriated Greenbelt's ethanol plant..."
I dont understand exactly what this means. Are you saying that Mr. Rivera stole an "ethanol plant"? This is the lawsuit I was talking about. Didn't know about those others. Any links regarding them would be appreciated.
As to the Greenbelt suit, has anybody seen the complaint? Would appreciate reading it. The Answer as well, if those have been made public.
I just found this in a PR:
"In this case, however, we are not only justified in seeking redress, but have the fiduciary duty to our stockholders to safeguard the real and intellectual property of our company."
Is the "real property" the "ethanol plant" you have mentioned?
What about this reference to "intellectual property"? What's that all about?
Also, when you say
"Whatever agreement Greenbelt had with Mr. Rivera, it fell apart so everything should go back to the way it was."
Can you please let me know where I can find any DD on the agreement between Greenbelt and Rivera which fell apart and what each party owned before the fall out.
Sorry for all the newbie questions. The shared DD is much appreciated. Thanks again.
Thank you for the DD, PaperProphet.
I'll certainly looking at all of the things you've mentioned. As I said, I'm just doing the prelim DD.
One question, why, in your opinion, are they being sued at this moment in time and how do you see their chances in the lawsuit?
thanks
Thanks, sure looks like fun...
Of course, pink is the color of risk, but Ive been known to play low suited connectors... and when they hit in multiway pots, im drinking Far Niente Chard. after the chips get cashed in.
you cant surf if you dont get wet
thanks for the 411
is the play USSE or SSTP?
just doing preliminary DD, would welcome any opinions.
thanks
is the play USSE or SSTP?
just doing preliminary DD, would welcome any opinions.
thanks
1 million buy at ASK...downtick
makes me so happy to know we're trading in a free market economy.
there's no Heineken in hell, but those bastards dont realize that
I want a SPOOZ suit to...
could you see me surfing in that thing... yeah
Most recent thoughts on SPZI...
After careful review of the situation, I have no concerns with the deal between 141 and SPZI. SPZI and the 141 deal have grown on me alot and I am not concerned with sub-licensing issues anymore. This is one of the most exciting penny plays around IMO.
I never called Paul. I didn't need to. I just started to see the big picture. And I like what I see.
A major turning point in my decision has to do with the resumes of the SPZI team. So many of these pinky plays involve toxic financing, holding companies and various hard to DD situations. But SPZI was created to do what it is doing by people who should be doing this sort of thing.
SPZI is easy to gather relevant DD on. There's no holding company or capital venture toxicity. SPZI even has 1.5 mil revenue from 141 plus the other 141 income streams. I'm excited to be long SPZI.
The posts of Imperial Whazoo should be read by anybody thinking about investing in SPZI who may not understand the technicalities involved with the software.
I won't be around too often on Ihub, need to go surfing more these days and less on the computer.
Good luck to you...
**NEW MATH Confirmation:Aero drew from Escrow**
This will make you happy if you're long FCCN.
OK, since some of the longs here weren't convinced, I went back and double checked the math to confirm if an imbalance existed between the number of shares drawn down by GGI and the amount of debt settled by the debenture.
This time around I used only the most recent data from the 10.01.07 "10K".
The math is completely confirmed.
From the 10.01.07 "10K":
"Under the terms of the settlement, the Company placed 843,818,400 shares of its restricted common stock into an escrow account for satisfaction of the debenture. Golden Gate is allowed to withdraw the shares from escrow...The debenture obligation is reduced by 80% of the average of the five lowest closing bid prices of the Company’s common stock over a 45-day period prior to the share withdrawal multiplied by the number of shares being withdrawn. As of September 25, 2007, under the terms of this settlement, 400,287,345 shares have subsequently been released from escrow and the debenture balance has been reduced to $35,694.
843,818,400 - 400,287,345 = 443,531,055
400,000,000 shares were retired so...
443,531,055 - 400,000,000 = 43,531,055
IF GGI WERE THE ONLY BENEFICIARY OF THE ESCROW, THEN USING THE FORMULA LISTED ABOVE, 43,531,055 SHARES WOULD HAVE TO EQUATE TO $35,646.
But it doesn't, not even close.
The five lowest lows of the day for the period between 10.04.07 and 45 days back are as follows:
.009 + .009 + .009 + .01 +.01 = .047
.047/5 = .0094
.0094 x .8 = .00752
.00752 x 43,531,055 = $327,353
There's a huge gap between $35,646 and $327,353.
"Houston, we have a problem," said the largest SHORT.
JUST CALL MUFFLER SHOPS!
Better than anything for your state of mind if you are truly long.
The desperation on this board by those who are SHORT is truly a thing to behold. They are coming out of the woodworks for their big 8K bear raid.
Which will blow up in their faces today.
You hear me Market Makers? You're going down on this deal. You are going to feel all of the pain Karma you have dealt out as AERO exhaust fumes choke you to death.
The growth potential is off the freakin charts.
8K means nothing to me now.
I am so long, Reed Richards has nothing on me. I am one long son of gun right now. Let me tell you...
Don't be afraid.
So you played this one the wrong way, maybe you'll get it right next time.
The guy is selling between 15 and 20 a month. He had no reason to lie. He had no idea AERO was a public company and he certainly never heard of FCCN.
He's got AERO on the billboard at his shop. He could have put any product there he likes. He brought up Flowmaster and said AERO just blows it away. He removed all the Flowmasters from his veeehicckkles... and replaced them with AERO.
Hey man, this is Florida, not Beverly Hills.
GO AERO AERO GO!!!!
Yes 4 kids, Hi tech piracy...
economic terrorism.
agreed. did you see that power point thing about naked shorts?
for anyone who missed it
go here
http://www.businessjive.com/
That dude was so into AERO...
Every long should call this guy. It will give you tingles. When he said, "I have an AERO installed on every vehicle I own", I nearly fainted.
I've got to go get some more powder. You want to know what you own, call that guy. I'm not even kidding. I am so freakin high right now on this conversation.
AWESOME DD- Call McElwain CUSTOM EXHAUST
You see my photo below. I just called that guy. I spoke with the owner of the shop, Mark McElwain. Here's what he said.
These are QUOTES from Mark:
- "AERO is an awesome product."
- "I have an AERO installed on every vehicle I own."
- "We're in our slow season, but I'm usually selling between 15 and 20 a month."
- "People really love them."
- "All I did was change the muffler, I didn't do anything else. I changed from Flowmaster to AERO on my Chevy 1973 3/4 Ton Camper Special and the MPG went from 8.96 to 10.31."
- "Diesel's get even better MPG improvement. They get 2 miles per gallon with an AERO muffler installed."
- "I'm happy to take calls about Aero, you can give my phone number out and thanks for using a picture of my shop."
Just a little "weeee". Now I really know what I own.
Give him a call. I promise you, it will make you feel good.
His website is
http://www.dencities.com/mcelwain.html
Mark McElwain
CUSTOM EXHAUST
525 U.S. Hwy. 41 South
(1 block north of Hwy 674)
Ruskin, FL 33570
FLEET SERVICES AVAILABLE
Business Hours: 813-641-2171
After Hours call: 813-748-3282
That's a little premature.
Peacock cold cocked the MMs.
I'm sure the MMs are just really nice guys who love small companies and want to see them succeed.
L2 proves FCCN shares in stronger hands now.
Can you feel the MM desperation?
I can. It feels good. When we saw 40 buys at the ASK yesterday and 1.525 million shares in a short window, no uptick, but today they are dropping it a few times with tiny little sells... but the shares aren't coming to them. The new hands aren't scared.
Last Friday when we hit these levels, weak hands got scared and there was 59,000,000 volume.
LOOKS LIKE THE SHARES ARE IN STRONGER HANDS NOW.
No dilution. No volume. No shares.
No way shorts are winning this one.
No dilution. No volume. No shares.
No way shorts are winning this one.
Bravo! Excellent post.
That is not math....
The debenture is over with. I know that every share GGI sold into the market was close to an 8 bagger. How is that for using the conversion formula?
Would love to see you apply the formula.
as to your other questions, I expect the filings today to confirm this, meanwhile, I continue to ponder Peacock's interesting use of words:
"Among the topics addressed was the amount of capital currently drawn down by Aero as part of the $1.5 million loan made available by Franchise Capital. Mr Peacock estimated the total amount drawn down to be approximately $1.2 million thus far."
GGI "drew down" from the escrow.
Why is Peacock using the same terms to describe the loan to AERO. He didn't say cash. Show me where the loan was in the form of cash. What filing says that? Maybe I missed something.
AERO got a loan and so far the only word I can find to describe the nature of the loan is "capital". Capital could be stock.
Was this enough volume?
Yesterday we were smacking the ask upside the head but no uptick, 1.525 million shares at the ASK ought to be enough voume with 40 or so buys at the ask
That's a possibility as well.
I don't see how one misplaces the other. The 1.9 million provide by GGI purchasing restricted shares may have paid for the shares given to AERO? I think that may be what happened.
Did you use the conversion formula to convert GGI's draw down?
I would love to see somebody else's use of the conversion formula. I was not a math major, so while I believe my calculations are accurate, perhaps I missed something.
There's also this language, specifically Peacock's use of the term "drawn down" which is the exact words he used regarding the debentureand escrow shares GGI converted...
"Among the topics addressed was the amount of capital currently drawn down by Aero as part of the $1.5 million loan made available by Franchise Capital. Mr Peacock estimated the total amount drawn down to be approximately $1.2 million thus far."
I know how you feel, Pietro.
I feel like Dan Aykroyd in trading places when they knew the OJ report.....lol
Board opinions please....
OK, everybody knows my opinion on what the following Peacock quote means, but I am interested to know what others think this means. I'm open to discussion. I thought I had this all figured out, but some have got very upset by what I've posted. Like my signature says, I've been wrong before and will be again. If I'm wrong about this, I'd like to know why.
Perhaps I've missed something. So please let me know your opinions.
From the January 30, 2007 PR:
"The escrow agreement was designed to allow Franchise Capital to set aside a sufficient number of shares to cover both the settlement of debt and to allow access to capital as the company moves forward with its acquisition of Aero Exhaust..."
http://www.franchisecapitalcorp.net/upload/FCCN_PR_01-30-07_8-K.pdf
I interpret this statement from Peacock as meaning that the Escrow account was "designed" for two purposes. We know for sure GGI was one purpose, what do you think was the other purpose?
I posted facts and opinions,
If you take issue with anything I've posted please give a quotation and I will be happy to debate it with you.
Good luck today.
Peace
More than one are in on it.
It's not a one man show. We're facing a tag team attack.
LISTEN TO THIS NOW! http://www.businessjive.com
Yes, Pietro. I've been aware of this presentation about naked short selling for some time. It is a genius presentation. Click the link below and see it for free, multimedia.
Here's the whole thing in the first sentence:
"The main event is to understand that rogue Wall Street firms are killing small American businesses from profit."
If all FCCN investors would imbibe this presentation over the next two hours, we will be in a much stronger position as AERO investors.
Go here now!!!!
http://www.businessjive.com/
I agree, Ron. Was having technical difficulty....
I wasn't getting any data for FCCN, just a blank screen.
But it was my computer not the L2. Thanks.