TOO MUCH WORK!!!
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TROPICAL STORM BILL...THE SECOND TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON
FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO HAS
STRENGTHENED AND HAS BECOME TROPICAL STORM BILL..THE SECOND NAME
CYCLONE OF THE SEASON. AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF
THE TROPICAL STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE
35.2 WEST OR ABOUT 820 MILES...1320 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.
...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...11.3N 35.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
ANA MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE
DUTCH LEEWARD ISLANDS...
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLAND ANTILLES
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST.
EUSTATIUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THESE AREAS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.0 WEST OR ABOUT
805 MILES...1300 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.4N 50.0W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB
The 8 am EDT TWO suggests an 11 am upgrade to TD 3 is pretty much imminent:
"SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE WESTERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE INITIATED LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS."
We have twin storms!! Also, not the train of storms behund them.
SATELLITE IMAGES AND DROPSONDE DATA FROM A NOAA HIGH ALTITUDE JET
INDICATE THAT FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO LOCATED ABOUT 1000
MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS REGENERATING AND COULD BECOME
ONCE AGAIN A TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. UPPER-
LEVEL WINDS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 12 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE ...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
CRAN and IJJP seems to be very cheap now. I still love CTYX. But BB has a strong list.
Model's are still getting more in agreement of a GOM path:
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED
ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
OMG!!!!!!!!!!
Here is the weather page http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=40507680
I going to take Friday off. I am hold CRAN -VERY LOW FLOAT SHELL , ROVC - VERY LOW FLOAT SHELL, CTYX- MAYBE NEXT SPNG LATTER THIS YEAR??? Brick and RU will be playing ball Friday. I am just relaxing for now. Soon, I will have picks. Looking for a cane play now.
Hey you all! How is it going?
www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_ten_168l.gif
the potential for a US landfall with this potential system is quite high. (enough potentials in one sentence). Anyway looking at the model forecasts for the next 10 days they do present some interesting features. The first is the strong ridge across the Atlantic, we have seen with TD2 that the ridge is pretty stout in steering it more westward than first thought. This ridge is expected to stay put for the forseeable future minus one trough in about 3-6 days that may steer td2 a little more north. The next thing to note is the GLAAM, it is much higher than it has been in previous summers so this indicates that subtropical ridging will be weaker than it has been in the past few summers which allows for more troughing. As we head closer to home we see that both the GFS and EURO want to ramp up the PNA ridge by day 6 through day 10. The 12z GFS was stronger with the PNA ridge vs the EURO and also slower. Regardless though, the PNA rise will force east coast troughing with a slightly positive or neutral NAO in place. Now the question then becomes to me how much ridging can initially take place over the SE before the trough comes in and how much of a fight will the ridging put up. If we see the ridge stay around longer perhaps say through day 10, then we would see a more southerly steered storm (that may be destroyed by the islands) that would get into the gulf. If the positive GLAAM and a strong incoming trough beat down the ridge then its possible that a storm would be recurved into the Atlantic. All in all its going to be an interesting 2 weeks as the atlantic heats up
Still watching for you all!
WOW! This board is taking off. Good job!
Thank you for your hard work!
OMG! LTWC is crazy! Way to go guys!
BRICK = STOCK MASTER
Moving slightly south of west.
...DEPRESSION REMAINING JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.8 WEST OR ABOUT
630 MILES...1015 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.3N 33.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB
I am with you RAIN, I have big hopes on this one too.
COPY FROM MANCHILD1:
TROPICS GOING TO BE BIG NEWS OVER THE NEXT WEEK TO 10 DAYS
FROM HURRICANE TRACK.COM
It is time to pay closer attention to the Atlantic Basin and its growing areas of concern. I say concern because it is time to take notice of what is going on out there and be prepared for it. I am not talking about just the United States either- remember, we have quite a few land masses out there in the Basin. Here's what we have...
TD2 should become a tropical storm later today if it is not one already. It is not of much concern right now and should avoid the Lesser Antilles as it moves west over the next five days. Beyond that time period, we will just have to see if it survives a trip through some stronger upper level winds before worrying where it ends up. There's plenty of time to monitor its progress and thus far, it looks to remain fairly weak.
The other developing story will be a new tropical cyclone taking shape right now off the coast of Africa. The GFS computer model in particular has been remarkably consistent with its forecast of a long-track system in the Atlantic. The tropical wave that would be "the one" is now off the coast of western Africa and is already looking better organized as each hour passes. It should become a tropical depression within the next two days and rapidly strengthen beyond that. My first concern is for the Lesser Antilles. From the looks of the steering patterns, an almost due-west track seems likely for this system once it gets going. This would put it in the vicinity of the Windwards and Leewards in about a week- maybe less. I figured people would want as much notice as possible just in case the computer modeling is even close to spot on. Run after run after run of the GFS shows this system plowing through the eastern Caribbean. Perhaps the model will be wrong, but it did a similar job of accurately forecasting the genesis and track of powerful hurricane Dean in 2007. So if you live in or are planning a trip to the Lesser Antilles and surrounding region, pay close attention to the tropics from now on. We have the luxury of seeing the possible future with computer guidance and related technology, there should be no suprises in this day and age.
Lastly, a tropical wave crossing the Antilles now should continue generally WNW and in to the Gulf of Mexico early next week. We'll see if it blossoms and develops more. This is where model guidance is tough because some show development, others do not. It is a feature to watch until it interacts with land and dies away. Its passage through the Caribbean will bring sporadic showers and thunderstorms but otherwise not much more than that.
Just chilling out. Watching BRICK and RU do well. I am just sitting on some stocks that should go boom. Just a waiting game for the rest of the world to catch up < I HOPE > !
D-FLY, Just sit back and relax. You can have the rest of the day off. I said so, and if any ask you why your not working, send them to me. lol Wish it realy worked like that.
Yes, that one looks good!
GM, Green team! Lets go !!
Ok, what is the new here now?
Sweet list RU!! Your on top of it!