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Stupid is as Stupid does..LOL
X-mas came early courtesy of those Forest Gumps that sold
Yes..massive and STUPID at the same time
Maybe we need a OS ticker on this board to counter all misinformation being put forth
Don't understand the $3.6M annualized revenue # at all. Seems like they sandbagged that # so they can possibly crush it later in financials...perhaps someone wanted cheap shares in the Leon family...just sayin.
Perhaps we're seeing a reversal here as people on the fence waiting to invest near the bottom...may start to jump in if this starts to inch upward
Yeah..and buy some stock while you're at it...LOL!!!
Let's face it...most OTCs are a website, a PO Box and 3 or fewer employees...and an an idea being hawked. This one at least has REAL PROFITABLE OPERATIONS..stands out in my mind for that
A more realistic picture for this facility is the following (IMO)
$8M Annualized Revenue and 8 bagger from today's price.
52 # of beds in facilty with no expansion (unlikely)
75% Occupancy avg
$4,000 Revenue per bed/Week
$8,112,000 Annual revenue
2,433,600 Net Cashflow (30%)
$0.001 CPS @3BN Shares
3,000,000,000 Say we have GROSS dilution to 3BN Shares
$0.020 Price Target (P/Cashflow per share - 25X typical for Health Care Facilities Stocks)
0.0026 Curr price
8 Bagger
I don't think it's a mistake..it's called sandbagging forecasted results For whatever the reason, that # is forecasted low/conservatively. Don't expect any corrections on that though..that would raise even more eyebrows of tampering with stock price..especially for all those loons that sold afterwards. Expect the results in the financials to come in higher is how it will be corrected.
The only way $4M per year works with this facility is if they run well below industry occupancy rates..they'd have to run it at 40% occupancy with 4,000 per bed/week (more realistic cost) to run that low in revenue assuming of course no expansion either.
Something is wrong with that $1.8M number for six months....look at the projection below and see that approx $2,000 per week per bed @80% capacity gets us roughly to that annualized revenue figure...but 2,000 per week is VERY LOW...for a top notch treatment center....so it only will cost $8,000 for a 4 week detox program...Don't think so...should be at least 2X that much.
52 # of beds in facilty with no expansion (unlikely)
80% Occupancy avg
$2,000 Revenue per bed/Week
$4,326,400 Annual revenue
1,297,920 Net Cashflow (30%)
$0.000 CPS @3BN Shares
3,000,000,000 Say we have GROSS dilution to 3BN Shares
$0.011 Price Target (P/Cashflow per share - 25X typical for Health Care Facilities Stocks)
0.0026 Curr price
4 Bagger
Yes..we have a bunch of "legacy" investors that had enough and wanted out at any cost apparently...so they went "stupid" on us and dumped to ridiculous levels and pps. Congrats to those that were gifted and continue to receive 2s on this ticker...X-mas came early.
Yeah...let's value a 4M a year revenue @ 25% cashflow less than $6M market cap...yeah.that's the ticket...stupid is as stupid does in this market
Beyond ridiculous...$4MM Revenue @25% cashflow and market cap of $6-7M...I'd buy that company out everyday of the week if I had the money (and twice on Sunday)
Only reason MMs are involved to this level is because they want to make money either buying cheap shares (accumulation) or they are covering for short positions taken. Got to be one or the other IMO.
This market cap is ridiculous...it begs for a deep pocket investor or venture capital firm to make a hostile takeover bid by offering $.005-.01 for a profitable addiction treatment center making min $1.3-$1.5MM per year free cashflow. The longer this stock stays at this level the more I believe it becomes an acquistion target for some other bigger player/firm. This CEO should realize that hopefully if he wants to grow with this firm he better watch the PPS right now.
$6-7MM Market Cap with min $4M Annualized revenues @25-30% casflow...yeah that makes sense....LOL!
Come aboard the Mystery Stock...where she stops ..no one knows. Fun times ahead Im sure
Shorter/Roaches - stop posting shtt on this board trying to get everyone to sell this. Stop the weak azz sht around R/S (why would they do that with their SS) and dilution machine crappp...you're not going to fool anyone and we know who you are.
BINGO..weak hands thinking they were going to make a killing when this thing hits 10 cents and above...disappointed and sold vs trying to avg down like I did ...knowing it's a matter of time now before this hits a penny +
That and the usual MFKERS MMs playing games.
Todays results BEAR NO RESEMBLANCE to this companies value
Look at the #s below which show extremely conservative billing rate of less than $300 per day per bed to come to $4M annualized revenue (still think that's low but that's what the CEO says is his run rate) with NO EXPANSION and 3BN OS (assuming further dilution)...STILL A PENNYU STOCK at 25X CASHFLOW VALUATION AND MIN 3 BAGGER...RIDICULOUS. KNOW WHAT YOU OWN AND IGNORE THE ROACHES/SHORTERS COMING OUT OF THE WOODWORK TRYING TO GET FOLKS TO DUMP SO THEY CAN MAKE MONEY.
52 # of beds in facilty with no expansion (unlikely)
80% Occupancy avg
$2,000 Revenue per bed/Week
$4,326,400 Annual revenue
1,297,920 Net Cashflow (30%)
$0.000 CPS @3BN Shares
3,000,000,000 Say we have GROSS dilution to 3BN Shares
$0.011 Price Target (P/Cashflow per share - 25X typical for Health Care Facilities Stocks)
0.0032 Curr price
3 Bagger
Relatively new investor myself...buy when there's blood on the streets. That's what I've been doing today
So you want $12M per year HC facility to be at market cap of $10M???
Please...this ticker should be one cent now..forget about future expansion.
About to slap the ask at 35...sitting there too long looks like
100 PE seems high for an OTC. But I'll take $.01-02
Aren't CDEL and PAUL..known MMs? If they are involved at low volumes this will be trading sideways for some time.
4-5Million in revenue @ 30% casflow...means $1.2-$1.5M casflow let's say its 20X cashflow for healthcare facilities $24-$30 million market cap or 2.5 X roughly today's value. Market inefficiencies will have to correct here at some point..assuming lesser dilution going forward than in the past as casflow from operations can be used to pay debt and/or finance expansions...still should be a penny stock here
Think ask at 37 with under 20K shares. Anyone has access to L2 that can post? Thanks
Seems that way to me...casflow is typically 1/3 of revenues for these facilities...ridiculous
Thanks, shorter. Will keep that in mind
Beware of shorters coming on this board and spreading rumors
But I'm sure you all knew that.
Stock should be worth around 1 cent right now pre-expansion...so current prices still undervalued IMO
I went a little higher on the revenue on this set of #s from the $1.8 second half..thinking they could get $5M per year pre-expansion. Assuming further dilution to 2.7BN shares Still 3 X the current price
120 # of beds in facilty with no expansion (unlikely)
80% Occupancy avg
$1,000 Revenue per bed/Week
$4,992,000 Annual revenue
1,497,600 Net Cashflow (30%)
$0.001 CPS @2.7BN Shares
2,700,000,000 Say we have GROSS dilution to $2.7BN Shares
$0.011 Price Target (P/Cashflow per share - 20X typical for Health Care Facilities Stocks)
0.0039 Curr price
3 Bagger
Why would anyone as 38 when the last trade went at 41.
Tiny 10K wall at 38 to try to bring the price down.
How pathetic. I guess these MM's are butt hurt from losing so many shares below 40 trying to keep this shtt down..that their walls are now about as big as their dikks
Manipulation at it's finest going on here..
Have a sale of 850K @41 followed by an ask of 10K shares @38...LOL!!!
You only lose money if you sell.
Unless you believe that a profitable addiction treatment center is worth less than 1/2Cent and market cap of $10M. I find that hard to believe.
I've got 19 Million @.0042 and not selling until we hit at least 3-4 cents here..if any OTC has potential for a 10+X bagger, it should be this one with a real, tangible, profitable business running...as opposed to a website with no operations and a promise to have some in the future..like most have
Here's some more realistic #s with not expansion (still)
52 # of beds in facilty with no expansion (unlikely)
80% Occupancy avg
$20,000 Revenue per bed/Week
$43,264,000 Annual revenue
10,816,000 Net Profit (25%)
$0.003 EPS @5BN Shares
3,500,000,000 Say we have GROSS dilution to $3.5BN Shares
$0.031 Price Target (P/E 10X)
0.0039 Curr price
8 Bagger
Here's the revised #s
65% is very low occupancy..BTW
52 # of beds in facilty
65% Occupancy avg
$20,000 Revenue per bed/Week
$35,152,000 Annual revenue
8,788,000 Net Profit (25%)
$0.002 EPS @5BN Shares
5,000,000,000 Say we have GROSS dilution to $5BN Shares
$0.018 Price Target (P/E 10X)
0.0039 Curr price
5 Bagger
PT with Gross Dilution to 5BN shares and Conservative Revenue and Profit #s
This looks almost like a no brainer to me...what am I missing?
168 # of beds in facilty
65% Occupancy avg
$20,000 Revenue per bed/Week
$113,568,000 Annual revenue
28,392,000 Net Profit (25%)
$0.006 EPS @5BN Shares
5,000,000,000 Say we have GROSS dilution to $5BN Shares
$0.057 Price Target (P/E 10X)
0.0039 Curr price
15 Bagger
Excellent point. You generally are uneasy on news when there has been a runup in price leading up to it. Not the case here