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DATA AND ANALYSIS COME FROM FACTS
I base my results on reality. Not suppositions to fulfill a fantasy or hopeful dreams. The trend is clearly displaying that a year long contraction is bearing down. And that the relative growth has slowed down tremendously.
Equity Financing is on the way. Debt and Dilution will go hand-in-hand. All climaxing into a Reverse-Split. Not that there is anything wrong with all of that. It's just sometimes, the only way to grow... Is at the expense of the Shareholder.
Like Hilary said: "You Are Entitled To Your Own Opinion, But Not You Own Facts".
Fortunate For Me: I have Both The Facts, And The Correct Analysis For An Opinion.
JMO
PROBABLY A LOT - OR MAYBE MORE
While it may be possible to get an early "Heads-Up" on an upcoming PR or 8K, it is not usually possible to know what the contents may be. So maybe the Debt and Dilution is: "A Lot", or "A Ton", or "INCREDIBLY HUGE", or only just a "Massive Amount" ?!!!
BUT CHECK THIS OUT
It just might also be possible that Midam Ventures may have finally repurchased all of those shs that they have recently sold. I think 3 to 4 Million shs sounds about right... Don't You? It really wasn't all that much after all, was it.
They probably agreed to buy them back before any public disclosure was made. Maybe along with a favor... LOL. And that disclosure may be in an 8K this Friday, in the pm. They were probably also allowed to short against the box on those shs. Clever! Clever! Clever!... They sold high, then bought back low, for less money and a little more change in their pocket. What A Brilliant Move !!!
But Hey - That's Midam For Ya !
But it's too late to make any Whoopee on that news now. Because, it's already done and over. Everyone was eagerly waiting for a "Heads-up" PR on all of that !... But it appears to have just snuck right on by............. Too Bad .
How Come Nobody Else Thought About That ?
JMO
Get Ready For A Not-So-Good Surprise LOL
GET READY FOR AN 8K
This Friday After The Market Closes
More Toxic Financing Will Probably
Include A Lot Of Debt And Dilution
GARBAGE BOUGHT
GARBAGE SOLD
My Analysis Shows Contraction
My Analysis Is Based On Factual Data
That Is Supplied By The Company Itself
Here Are Some Supportive Calculations:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=130516157
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=130717732
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=130730958
Check "Link-Backs" For Supportive Analysis
Also, as my analysis suggests, this Company IS NOT on track for $22M in sales revenue for FY-2017. And there is no factual proof to the contrary that it is... Just speculation.
This notion, that it is some kind of fact, is merely construed from a seeded suggestion of a goal, from a CEO of a Pink Sheet Company. Who's comments are protected under the SEC's "Forward-Looking Statements" clause.
As Always...
Just My Opinion - Supported By Analysis
NEW TOP = $0.01825
BREAK SUPPORT = $0.0164
THEN TRIPPLE BOTTOM = $0.005
JMO
DANGEROUS GAME
The First Round Of Dilution
The OS Increased Over 300M
OS = 41,068,344 --- Jan 2015
OS = 344,107,607 --- Dec 2016
The Second Round Of Dilution
Heavy Dilution & Debt Is Coming
Dilution is about to begin soon,
and it will be more destructive.
No Growth - Just Contraction
It did have a little acceleration
for a few month last year, then
it peaked. Now it's falling behind.
Smart Medical Alliance
This will be the albatross hanging
around their neck for years to come.
As Pharmacy Growth declines, and the
Service Market does not compensate.
Midam Ventures, LLC
I am beginning to speculate on a theory,
that this latest ordeal of MV selling a few
shs was possibly an Orchestrated Set-Up.
And that nothing will come of it. Because it
may have simply been a Marketing Scheme,
to draw attention into an already expected
Audit. And then used as a Trading Scheme.
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=130142873
EOM
HOPELESS SPECULATION
THESE ARE THE FACTS
The Company IS NOT On The Road
To Being Profitable Enough At All.
Measly Service Contracts, That Will
Never Amount To More Than 5% Of
Total Revenues, Will Never Help Build
Their Primary Pharmacy Business.
Third-Party Audited Financials Were
Done To Make Them More Accessible
To A Wider Audience Of Dilutive Lenders.
The "Muse" Is To Make It Appear To Be
"Always" Looking To Uplist Somewhere.
Meanwhile, Dilution And A Reverse-Split.
Quarter 1 Resulted In A Failure To Grow.
A $22M Target Is Nothing More Than A
Dangling Conversation That Will Never Be.
IT IS WHAT IT IS
JMO
DILUTIVE FINANCING NEXT
TWO TYPES OF REVENUE
1) Pharmacy Prescriptions
2) Other Services
OTHER SERVICES INCLUDE
1) Non-Prescription Items
2) Smart Medical Alliance (SMA)
3) Mgmt Serv Org (MSO) Contracts
SMA & MSO Started In Oct 2016
HOW WILL THIS PLAY OUT
Since the Prescription part of the
business has Topped-Out, and now
showing signs of Contraction, they
need to add another "Growth Story"
to their menu.
So, even though the Service Business
is a Very Small part of the Revenue, they
can still "Talk-Up" its Growth Percentages.
Just like some other things that have been
recently "Talked-Up", with no real results.
Trying to make it sound like Great Potential.
As they lure in some more Equity Financing
and Dilution. Followed by a Reverse-Split.
FOR EXAMPLE
Service Business might have increased
580% over Q1 2016, & 47% Over Q4 2016.
WOW ! ... But Not As Good As It Sounds
And if Q1 2017 Total Rev equals $4.9M,
Service will only be about $36K of that.
ONLY 0.7% OF TOTAL Q1 REVENUE
And that's only if they hit my estimate !
Service is a Very Small percentage
of the business now. And that was
only 0.25% of the Total 2016 Revenue.
ONLY $46K OF THE TOTAL $18.3M
I predict that Q1 of 2017 should almost
equal all of 2016's Service Revenue.
That sounds good, percentage wise.
But a Very Low Percent of the Total.
THE OTHER STUFF
The Audit Was For Financing Purposes Only
They will always keep dangling the Audit and
Uplist Carrot, as well as Out-Of-State Licenses.
They want some to think these are possibilities.
But Everything Is Always Possible... Right ?
However, In Reality... Not So Much
THE REAL GAME PLAN
It Is To Always Keep "Something" In The Loop
But the most this Company can hope, is to get
more money through Dilutive Equity Financing.
Hopefully start a Satellite Location in Florida.
But everything is being shrunk down to the use
of Virtual Pharmacy Modules, for virtual on-site
access to live Pharmacy Staff for assistance &
consultation. Outlined in the MOU with MDFlow.
The Other Stuff? Just Possible Illusions
THAT'S WHAT IT IS
JMO
DILUTIVE FINANCING NEXT
TWO TYPES OF REVENUE
1) Pharmacy Prescriptions
2) Other Services
OTHER SERVICES INCLUDE
1) Non-Prescription Items
2) Smart Medical Alliance (SMA)
3) Mgmt Serv Org (MSO) Contracts
SMA & MSO Started In Oct 2016
HOW WILL THIS PLAY OUT
Since the Prescription part of the
business has Topped-Out, and now
showing signs of Contraction, they
need to add another "Growth Story"
to their menu.
So, even though the Service Business
is a Very Small part of the Revenue, they
can still "Talk-Up" its Growth Percentages.
Just like some other things that have been
recently "Talked-Up", with no real results.
Trying to make it sound like Great Potential.
As they lure in some more Equity Financing
and Dilution. Followed by a Reverse-Split.
FOR EXAMPLE
Service Business might have increased
580% over Q1 2016, & 47% Over Q4 2016.
WOW ! ... But Not As Good As It Sounds
And if Q1 2017 Total Rev equals $4.9M,
Service will only be about $36K of that.
ONLY 0.7% OF TOTAL Q1 REVENUE
And that's only if they hit my estimate !
Service is a Very Small percentage
of the business now. And that was
only 0.25% of the Total 2016 Revenue.
ONLY $46K OF THE TOTAL $18.3M
I predict that Q1 of 2017 should almost
equal all of 2016's Service Revenue.
That sounds good, percentage wise.
But a Very Low Percent of the Total.
THE OTHER STUFF
The Audit Was For Financing Purposes Only
They will always keep dangling the Audit and
Uplist Carrot, as well as Out-Of-State Licenses.
They want some to think these are possibilities.
But Everything Is Always Possible... Right ?
However, In Reality... Not So Much
THE REAL GAME PLAN
It Is To Always Keep "Something" In The Loop
But the most this Company can hope, is to get
more money through Dilutive Equity Financing.
Hopefully start a Satellite Location in Florida.
But everything is being shrunk down to the use
of Virtual Pharmacy Modules, for virtual on-site
access to live Pharmacy Staff for assistance &
consultation. Outlined in the MOU with MDFlow.
The Other Stuff? Just Possible Illusions
THAT'S WHAT IT IS
JMO
What The Charts Show
The charts show how people were tricked.
And how certain Market Makers might have
performed favors for "Good Customers" .
These charts are a set-up for a Bad Q Report,
leading right into more Bad Debt and Dilution.
You can't have a buy on the ask,
unless you have a sell on the ask.
That's how the set-up works here.
JMO
AUDIT SHOWED CONTRACTION
It showed a slight Uptick in the Scripts &
Revenue during the first half of last year.
Gamblers and Posters were very excited
about this small trend, and expounded
with great euphoria and exuberance.
Then it shows a Fattening-Out
into the second half of the year.
As the pps then started to falter.
And anyone who was paying attention
was already out of their positions by then.
Now the Contraction starts to set in.
As irrational exuberance is mystified
by the continuing divergence in pps.
While substituted illusions are used
to try and overcome the harsh reality.
And the Company already knows that they
are declining from a previous mild plateau.
So the next step is to secure their very own
existence, with some type of financing that
will be dilutive in nature. And then to follow
that up with a much needed Reverse-Split.
JUST BECAUSE THERE IS AN AUDIT THAT
STATES NUMBERS AND DATA, DOES NOT
MEAN THAT THE ACT OF THE AUDIT ITSELF
PROVES ANY CONTINUED GROWTH.
AND THEN TRYING TO DEFINE THE AUDIT
AS A KIND OF CONFIRMATION OF CLARITY,
LIKE IT'S A MAGIC WAND OR SOMETHING,
IS JUST A SUGGESTIVE ACT OF ILLUSION.
WHEN ALL DATA EXPRESSED IN THE AUDIT
CLEARLY POINTS TO . . .
C - O - N - T - R - A - C - T - I - O - N
. . . IN WHICH THERE IS NO GROWTH.
AND THAT MORE FINANCING IS CLEARLY
AHEAD, AS CONTRACTION IS LOOMING.
THEREFORE, MORE DEBT AND DILUTION,
AND A R-SPLIT, IS CLEARLY ON THE WAY.
EOM
CONTRACTION IS NOW VERIFIED
THE BAROMETER SAYS SO
The Growth Spurt Last Year Yielded
A Target Avg Of 728 Scrips Per W-Day
This 728 Number Is The Barometer By
Which Any Change Will Be Measured
NEEDED FOR MARCH 2017
Scripts: 19,872 / 27 W-Days = 736
Rx Rev: 19,872 X $90.47 = $1.798M
Other Service Rev = $12,000
TOTAL REV = $1,809,820
March Actually Needed To Meet 736 To
Bring Jan+Feb 723 Avg Back Up To 728
ACTUAL MARCH 2017 RESULTS
Scripts: 18,500 / 27 W-Days = 685
Rx Rev: 18,500 X $86.49 = $1.60M
Other Service Rev = Included Advantage
TOTAL REV = $1,600,000
WHEN COMPARING 728 / 736 CONSTANT
Number Below At 685 = NEG GROWTH
All Results Were Below What Was Need
NEEDED FOR FIRST QTR 2017 RESULTS
Scripts: 53,872 / 74 W-Days = 728
Rx Rev: 53,872 X $90.47 = $4.874M
Other Services Rev = $36,000
TOTAL REV = $4,909,800
THE ACTUAL FIRST QTR 2017 RESULTS
Scripts: 52,500 / 74 W-Days = 710
Rx Rev: 52,500 X $89.52 = $4.699M
Other Services Rev = Included Advantage
TOTAL REV = $4,699,999
WHEN COMPARING 728 CONSTANT
Number Below At 710 = NEG GROWTH
All Results Were Below What Was Need
JMO
RESULTS MISS EXPECTATIONS
Results Were Below All Growth Avgs
And Now Confirming Solid Contraction
Script Quantities Were Way Below
Script Revenues Were Way Below
Final Results Way Below 728 Barometer
=================================
March 2016 Was A
36.4% Increase Over Feb 2016
But March 2017 Was Only A
6.7% Increase Over Feb 2017
=================================
March 2016 Was $1.5M
And March 2017 Is $1.6M
So March 2017 Is Actually Only A
6.7% Increase Over March Of 2016
They Rounded The Percentage Upward
To Falsely State A "10%" Increase Number
=================================
Q1 2016 Revs = $3.9M
Q1 2017 Revs = $4.7M
This 20% Increase Is Below Expectations
And Shows Contraction Has Already Begun
Quarter Revenues Should Have Been Above
$4.9M To Show Proof Of Sustained Growth.
=================================
CEO States Q1 Was Better Than Expected
That Statement Is Proof That They Were
Anticipating More Contraction And Are
Still Expecting Even Greater Contraction
=================================
Did Not Break Down Service Revenue
Which Indicates How Insignificant It Is
JMO
SELLERS KEEP ON SELLING
Sold Last Wednesday
Trade Date: April 19, 2017
652,513 Shs Sold At $0.55
Filing Date: April 21, 2017
That's 2,289,443 Shs
For Just April So Far
Recent Insider Form-4 Selling
Oct 14, 2016 - April 19, 2017
20,053,445 Shs by Temasek/Maxwell
Nov 2016 - April 2017
126,407 Shs by Management
TOTAL SOLD = 20,179,852
Current April 2017 Outstanding Shs
Actual Outstanding Shs: About 288M
Adding Notes & Warrants: About 467M
( Sept 2015 The OS Was Only 140M )
ATM (At The Market) Dilution
The ATM could be another 100,000,000 Shs
diluted into the OS and Float at today's pps.
This 1st Qtr Will Be Bad
They won't even be able to stay ahead of their own dilution. And that's on top of all the debt, bad deals, and interest payments. They have no real cash. They are allowed to pay some of the interest on their debt with common shs, adding to the dilution. They won't meet their collaboration requirements, and will be forced to make those bad deals even worse. They will have to do a Reverse-Split.
Heading Down Into The 20's
Don't be fooled by little technical bounces on the chart. The Market Makers may take advantage of you that way. They know what's coming ... A 1-for-20 Reverse-Split.
Just My Opinion
CONTRACTION VERIFIED
THE BAROMETER SAYS SO
The Growth Spurt From Last Year Yielded
A Target Avg Of [b728 Scrips Per Working-Day
This Neutral 728 Number Is The Barometer By
Which Growth Will Be Compared & Measured
NEEDED FOR MARCH 2017
Scripts: 19,872 / 27 W-Days = 736
Rx Rev: 19,872 X $90.47 = $1.798M
Other Service Rev = $12,000
TOTAL REV = $1,809,820
March Actually Needed To Meet 736 To
Bring Jan+Feb 723 Avg Back Up To 728
ACTUAL MARCH 2017 RESULTS
Scripts: 18,500 / 27 W-Days = 685
Rx Rev: 18,500 X $86.49 = $1.60M
Other Service Rev = Included Advantage
TOTAL REV = $1,600,000
WHEN COMPARING 728 / 736 CONSTANT
Number Is Way Below At 685 = NEG GROWTH
NEEDED FOR FIRST QTR 2017 RESULTS
Scripts: 53,872 / 74 W-Days = 728
Rx Rev: 53,872 X $90.47 = $4.874M
Other Services Rev = $36,000
TOTAL REV = $4,909,800
THE ACTUAL FIRST QTR 2017 RESULTS
Scripts: 52,500 / 74 W-Days = 710
Rx Rev: 52,500 X $89.52 = $4.699M
Other Services Rev = Included Advantage
TOTAL REV = $4,699,999
WHEN COMPARING 728 CONSTANT
Number Is Way Below At 710 = NEG GROWTH
COMMENTS
RESULTS MISS EXPECTATIONS
March 2016 Was A 36.4% Increase
Over Feb 2016
But March 2017 Was Only A 6.7% Increase
Over Feb 2017
March Of 2016 Was $1.5M
And March Of 2017 Is $1.6M
March 2017 Is Actually Only A 6.67% Increase
Over March Of 2016
They Are Rounding The Percentage Upward
To Get To Their "10%" Increase Number.
Q1 2016 Revs = $3.9M, And Q1 2017 = $4.7M .
This 20% Increase Is Still Below Expectations
Of Being Flat, And Now Shows Contraction.
Quarter Revenues Should Have Been Above
$4.9M To Show Any Proof Of Sustained Growth.
CEO States That Q1 Has Been Better Than
Expected. That Statement Is Proof That They
Were Anticipating Contraction. And Were
Even Expecting Greater Contraction.
There Is No Mention Of The Service Business
JMO
SERVICE REVENUE ALWAYS DINKY
That's What Their Service Is - Dinky
Someday, years from now (if they survive), they
"May" actually reach "My" estimated projection
of $1M per Year ($250K / Qtr or $83.3K / Mo).
Yet, this predicted milestone achievement will
only be about a Small Insiqnificant 5% or less,
of the entire Total Revenue.
Which, bye the way, will also take a relatively
enormous additional amount of Time, Money,
Resources, Financing, Dilution, and Rev-Split,
before even coming near to ever achieving.
PAINTING THE END IS CHEATING
Paint Stands Out Like A Sore Thumb
Time ------------ $ ------ Volume
15:54:27 --- 0.0191 --- 5,100 <---- Painted
15:54:23 --- 0.0181 --- 45,000
15:54:21 --- 0.0183 --- 10,000
15:54:19 --- 0.0182 --- 10,000
15:52:31 --- 0.0183 --- 40,100
15:52:31 --- 0.0183 --- 10,000
15:51:10 --- 0.0167 --- 7,869
15:44:30 --- 0.0179 --- 10,100
15:44:30 --- 0.0172 --- 10,000
15:40:41 --- 0.0179 --- 5,100
15:40:39 --- 0.0171 --- 10,000
15:40:37 --- 0.0172 --- 10,000
15:36:33 --- 0.0167 --- 30,000
15:35:28 --- 0.0167 --- 42,550
15:35:28 --- 0.0170 --- 419
15:35:28 --- 0.0167 --- 20,000
15:31:55 --- 0.0167 --- 50,000
15:10:58 --- 0.0170 --- 20,000
14:57:13 --- 0.0170 --- 10,000
14:56:12 --- 0.0170 --- 10,000
15:56:12 --- 0.0170 --- 50,000
14:51:46 --- 0.0175 --- 10,000
14:51:45 --- 0.0175 --- 10,000
14:30:30 --- 0.0175 --- 10,000
14:30:30 --- 0.0175 --- 10,000
12:49:15 --- 0.0180 --- 100,000
12:34:41 --- 0.0175 --- 4,565
12:34:37 --- 0.0175 --- 10,435
09:43:46 --- 0.0183 --- 154,431
09:41:03 --- 0.0176 --- 5,297
IT DOES'T COUNT WHEN THE END IS
PAINTED IN ORDER TO BE "GREEN"
THAT'S TWO DAYS IN A ROW OF PAINT
CHEAT ---- CHEAT ---- CHEAT ---- CHEAT
Somebody Out There Is Really Very Nervous
Somebody Want's To Scam The Technicals
That's Why It's Good To Redraw The Charts
EOM
SERVICE REVENUE IS VERY SMALL
TWO TYPES OF REVENUE
1) Pharmacy Prescriptions
2) Other Services
OTHER SERVICES INCLUDE
1) Non-Prescription Items
2) Smart Medical Alliance (SMA)
3) Mgmt Serv Org (MSO) Contracts
SMA & MSO Started In Oct 2016
HOW WILL THIS PLAY OUT
Since the Prescription part of the
business has Topped-Out, and now
showing signs of Contraction, they
need to add another "Growth Story"
to their menu.
So, even though the Service Business
is a Very Small part of the revenue, they
can still "Talk-Up" its Growth Percentages.
Trying to make it sound like Great Potential.
As they lure in some more Equity Financing
and Dilution. Followed by a Reverse-Split.
FOR EXAMPLE
The Service Business Has Increased:
580% Over Q1 2016 & 47% Over Q4 2016
WOW ! ... But Not As Good As It Sounds
Service is a Very Small percentage
of the business now. And that was
only 0.25% of the total 2016 revenue.
Only $46K Of The Total $1.83M
I predict that Q1 of 2017 will almost
equal all of 2016's Service Revenue.
That sounds good, percentage wise.
But a Very Low Percent of the Total.
THE OTHER STUFF
The Audit Was For Financing Purposes Only
They will always keep dangling the Audit and
Uplist Carrot, as well as Out-Of-State Licenses.
They want some to think these are possibilities.
But Everything Is Always Possible... Right ?
However, In Reality... Not So Much
THE REAL GAME PLAN
It Is To Always Keep "Something" In The Loop
But the most this Company can hope, is to get
more money through Dilutive Equity Financing.
Hopefully start a Satellite Location in Florida.
But everything is being shrunk down to the use
of Virtual Pharmacy Modules, for virtual on-site
access to live Pharmacy Staff for assistance &
consultation. Outlined in the MOU with MDFlow.
Other Stuff? Just Illusions Of Possibilities
That's What It Is
===============================
ESTIMATED SERVICE REVENUE
2016 EST SERVICE REV
Q1 TOTAL = $5,298
Q2 TOTAL = $8,069
Q3 TOTAL = $8,495
SMA & MSO Starts Oct 2016
Q4 TOTAL = $24,427
2017 EST SERVICE REV
JAN 2017 = 12,000
FEB 2017 = 12,000
MAR 2017 = 12,000
Q1 TOTAL = $36,000
Q1 2017 EST SERVICE GROWTH
580% Increase Over Q1 2016
47% Increase Over Q4 2016
WOW ! --- But Not Really
Est Q1 2017 Total Revenue = $4.9M
Service Will Be About $36K Of That
Only 0.7% Of Total Q1 Revenue
WHAT IS THE SERVICE GOAL
Try To Achieve $83K Per Month
Which Would Be $250K Per Quarter
Which Would Be About $1M Per Year
Still A Small Rev Percentage: About 5%
A Lot Of Time, Money & Resources
Will Be Required To Get That Going
JMO
Another EOD Paint Job
Nobody Should Fall For This
In The Last 60 Mins Of Action
341,138 Mostly In The 17's
Then Closing 5.1K At 19.1
Somebody Out There Is Really Nervous
Somebody Want's To Scam The Technicals
That's Why It's Good To Redraw The Charts
EOM
Hi Everybody !
Hey... I just thought I would drop by and
share some info that I have taken the time
to personally and independently research.
Because it's always good to keep track and
check things for yourself. Because there are
"All Kinds" of misinformation and "Garbage"
out there, that is "Based On Nothing".
So this may or may not be accurate, but
still probably pretty good. But you should
always double check things for yourself.
2016 Earnings Per Share
Q1 = $0.000282
Q2 = $0.00035
6M = $0.00064
Q3 = $0.0000085
9M = $0.00063
Q4 = $0.0000085
YR = $0.00061
Your Welcome
CURRENTLY IN CONTRACTION
THE BAROMETER
The Growth Spurt From Last Year Yielded
A Target Avg Of 728 Scrips Per Working-Day
This Neutral 728 Number Is The Barometer By
Which Growth Will Be Compared & Measured
WHEN COMPARING 728 CONSTANT
A Number Above 728 = POS GROWTH
A Number Around 728 = NO GROWTH
A Number Below 728 = NEG GROWTH
THIS QUARTER IS IN CONTRACTION
FIRST TWO MONTH AVG BELOW 728
Jan 2017: 17.5K Rx / 24 W-Days = 729
Feb 2017: 16.5K Rx / 23 W-Days = 717
So Far: 34K Rx / 47 W-Days = 723
Rx Rev: 34,000 X $90.47 = $3.076M
Other Service Rev = $24,000
TOTAL REV = $3,099,980
So Now March Needs To Use 736
To Bring The 723 Avg Up To 728
MARCH 2017 BAROMETER
Using 736 To Get Avg Up To 728
Scripts: 19,872 / 27 W-Days = 736
Rx Rev: 19,872 X $90.47 = $1.798M
Other Service Rev = $12,000
TOTAL REV = $1,809,820
FIRST QTR 2017 BAROMETER
Scripts: 53,872 / 74 W-Days = 728
Rx Rev: 53,872 X $90.47 = $4.874M
Other Services Rev = $36,000
TOTAL REV = $4,909,800
WHEN COMPARING ALL NUMBERS
If Numbers Are Above = POS GROWTH
If Numbers Are Around = NO GROWTH
If Number Are Below = NEG GROWTH
JMO
THE GROWTH BAROMETER
Nobody Will Fall For This Trick
In The Last 30 Mins Of Action
1,270,000 Trading In The 16's
Then Closing 10K In The 18's
Margins And Costs
Higher Costs Will Result In Higher Prices
As You Can See In The Increasing Rx Prices
Q1 2016 = $77.60 --- vs --- Q1 2017 = 90.47
Which Will Result In Higher Revenues, But Not
Necessarily Translating Into Higher Net Income
Physical Unit Growth
This Is One Sure Way To Measure Growth
That Is By How Many Units They Are Selling
The Rest Is Important, But Just Not As Much
THE BAROMETER
This Is A Correction Update
Of My Measured Growth Model
( It Helps If You Actually Read It )
The Growth Spurt From Last Year Yielded
A Target Avg Of 728 Scrips Per Working-Day
That Neutral 728 Number Is A Barometer By
Which Growth Will Be Compared & Measured
WHEN COMPARING 728 CONSTANT
A Number Above 728 = POS GROWTH
A Number Around 728 = NO GROWTH
A Number Below 728 = NEG GROWTH
FIRST TWO MONTH AVG BELOW 728
Jan 2017: 17.5K Rx / 24 W-Days = 729
Feb 2017: 16.5K Rx / 23 W-Days = 717
So Far: 34K Rx / 47 W-Days = 723
Rx Rev: 34,000 X $90.47 = $3.076M
Other Service Rev = $24,000
TOTAL REV = $3,099,980
So Now March Needs To Use 736
To Bring The 723 Avg Up To 728
MARCH 2017 BAROMETER
Using 736 To Match 728
Scripts: 19,872 / 27 W-Days = 736
Rx Rev: 19,872 X $90.47 = $1.798M
Other Service Rev = $12,000
TOTAL REV = $1,809,820
FIRST QTR 2017 BAROMETER
Scripts: 53,872 / 74 W-Days = 728
Rx Rev: 53,872 X $90.47 = $4.874M
Other Services Rev = $36,000
TOTAL REV = $4,909,800
WHEN COMPARING ALL NUMBERS
If Numbers Are Above = POS GROWTH
If Numbers Are Around = NO GROWTH
If Number Are Below = NEG GROWTH
JMO
THE BAROMETER
The Growth Spurt From Last Year Yielded
A Target Avg Of 728 Scrips Per Working-Day
That Neutral 728 Number Is A Barometer By
Which Growth Will Be Compared & Measured
WHEN COMPARING CONSTANT 728
A Number Above 728 = POS GROWTH
A Number Around 728 = NO GROWTH
A Number Below 728 = NEG GROWTH
FIRST TWO MONTH AVG BELOW 728
Jan 2017: 17.5K Rx / 24 W-Days = 729
Feb 2017: 16.5K Rx / 23 W-Days = 717
So Far: 34K Rx / 47 W-Days = 723
Rx Rev: 34,000 X $90.47 = $3.076M
Other Service Rev = $24,000
TOTAL REV = $3,099,980
So Now March Needs To Use 738
To Bring The 723 Avg Up To 728
MARCH 2017 BAROMETER
Using 738 To Match 728
Scripts: 19,926 / 27 W-Days = 738
Rx Rev: 19,926 X $90.47 = $1.803M
Other Service Rev = $12,000
TOTAL REV = $1,814,705
FIRST QTR 2017 BAROMETER
Scripts: 53,872 / 74 W-Days = 728
Rx Rev: 53,872 X $90.47 = $4.874M
Other Services Rev = $36,000
TOTAL REV = $4,912,243
WHEN COMPARING ALL NUMBERS
If Numbers Are Above = POS GROWTH
If Numbers Are Around = NO GROWTH
If Number Are Below = NEG GROWTH
JMO
Sellers Set You Up Again
Sold Last Monday
Trade Date: April 17, 2017
1,636,930 Shs Sold At $0.65
Filing Date: April 19, 2017
They Still Want Out
Another 1,636,930 Shs
Recent Insider Form-4 Selling
Oct 14, 2016 - April 30, 2017
19,400,932 Shs by Temasek/Maxwell
Nov 2016 - April 2017
126,407 Shs by Management
TOTAL SOLD = 19,527,339
Current April 2017 Outstanding Shs
Actual Outstanding Shs: About 300M
Adding Notes & Warrants: About 400M
( Sept 2015 The OS Was 140,374,297 )
ATM (At The Market) Dilution
The ATM could be another 100,000,000 Shs
diluted into the OS and Float at today's pps.
This 1st Qtr Will Be Bad
They won't even be able to stay ahead of their own dilution. And that's on top of all the debt, bad deals, and interest payments. They have no real cash. They are allowed to pay some of the interest on their debt with common shs, adding to the dilution. They won't meet their collaboration requirements, and will be forced to make those bad deals even worse. They will have to do a Reverse-Split.
Heading Down Into The 20's
Don't be fooled by little technical bounces on the chart. The Market Makers may take advantage of you that way. They know what's coming ... A 1-for-20 Reverse-Split.
Just My Opinion
22 MILLION
that's just not going to happen
they know it - i know it - you know it
True Colors
Time After Time this Company has shown their True Colors. They seem to be playing off of the premise that there just must be an endless supply of gullible people out there to feed from.
This stock is going to 20 cents. They will try to trick you, and then dilute this as much as possible before doing a 1-for-20 Reverse-Split.
JMO
NEED TO BE CAREFUL
THERE MIGHT BE A BIG DARK
SECRET ABOUT THIS COMPANY
THAT NOBODY KNOWS YET
IF YOU JUST DON'T BUY IT WILL
GO DOWN TO 0.005 AGAIN THEN
JUST "MAYBE" THERE MIGHT BE
ENOUGH RISK ADJUSTMENT TO
JUSTIFY A CAUTIOUS CHANCE
SOME HERE SENSE A BIG DARK CLOUD
HOVERING OVER A DEEP BLACK HOLE
EOM
Oh Goody... Thanks
But Still Not Right
That's the way it is when
NYr's falls on a Weekend.
Normal Pharmacies may stay open,
but this is not a normal Pharmacy.
This is a little mail order Pharmacy,
with very little foot traffic. They are
probably even closed on more days.
That's why my equation uses a
bipartisan established schedule.
In which tested variances are
acceptable to a normal constant.
https://www.timeanddate.com/calendar/
Anything Else Is Just :
GARGAGE IN - GARBAGE OUT
EOM
That Won't Work
Not a good idea to tell a company what to do,
to get the pps up for your own personal gain.
What are they suppose to do, get a loan to buy
back stock? Risk their money on a "Pink" that
is declining in value? That's not gonna work.
That's not a way to increase and sustain value.
At best, it would create a brief blip, while then
a massive sell-off... running for the exits.
Thanks For Checking
But That Is Not An Error
This Is My Standard By Which
The Working Days Are Calculated
( Note The Three Federal Holidays )
https://www.timeanddate.com/calendar/
If you want to include & calculate all
the Federal Holidays, then be my guest.
I have explained this variable already
in my previous Posts (if you've read?).
The trend would be relatively the same.
But hey... You gotta have a standard.
The Rolling Ave Constant of 728 Rx / W-Days
is then multiplied by 74 W-Days in the Quarter.
That is the Target Barometer for the Quarter.
FIRST QTR PREDICTION
Scripts: 53,872 Rx / 74 W-Days = 728
Rev: 53,872 X $90.47 = $4,873,832
Other Services Rev = $36,000
TOTAL REV = $4,909,832
If 1st Qtr Is Above = POS GROWTH
If 1st Qtr Is About = NO GROWTH
If 1st Qtr Is Below = NEG GROWTH
JMO
BUNCH OF THEIVES
It's so funny how they always try
to pander to the dumbest of us.
Look how 90% of the After-Hours
Trades were at the close or below,
except for a few hundred at the
last minute. Giving the illusion that
it somehow went up in After-Hours.
What A Bunch Of Con-Artists
UPDATED CONTRACTION
PRESCRIPTION DATA
JAN 2016: 15.5K Rx / 24 W-Days = 646
FEB 2016: 16.7K Rx / 24 W-Days = 696
MAR 2016: 18.6K Rx / 27 W-Days = 689
APR 2016: 16.5K Rx / 26 W-Days = 635
MAY 2016: 17.5K Rx / 25 W-Days = 700
JUN 2016: 18.0K Rx / 26 W-Days = 692
Old AVE: 102.8K Rx / 152 W-Days = 676
THEN A SMALL GROWTH SPURT
JUL 2016: 16.6K Rx / 25 W-Days = 664
AUG 2016: 20.0K Rx / 27 W-Days = 741
SEP 2016: 19.0K Rx / 25 W-Days = 760
OCT 2016: 18.6K Rx / 25 W-Days = 744
NOV 2016: 18.5K Rx / 24 W-Days = 771
DEC 2016: 18.0K Rx / 26 W-Days = 692
New AVE: 110.7K Rx / 152 W-Days = 728
GROWTH HAS NOW FLATTENED
Need To Maintain Average Target = 728
JAN 2017: 17.5K Rx / 24 W-Days = 729
FEB 2017: 16.5K Rx / 23 W-Days = 717
Below AVE: 34.0K Rx / 47 W-Days = 723
TREND SHOWS CONTRACTION
DATA COMMENTS
Reflects Data Avgs Obtained After Small
Growth Spurt During Middle Of Last Year
Spurt Averaged 52 Extra Scripts / W-Day
Last Year's Average Per Scipt = $85.58
This Year's Average Per Scipt = $90.47
Each New Period Will Pull The Averages
Up Or Down Into Growth Or Contraction
===============================
CONTRACTION MODEL
MARCH PREDICTION
Using 738 To Bring 723 Up To Target 728
Scripts: 19,926 Rx / 27 W-Days = 738
Rev: 19,926 X $90.47 = $1,802,717
Other Service Rev = $12,000
TOTAL REV = $1,814,717
If March Is Above = POS GROWTH
If March Is About = NO GROWTH
If March Is Below = NEG GROWTH
FIRST QTR PREDICTION
Scripts: 53,872 Rx / 74 W-Days = 728
Rev: 53,872 X $90.47 = $4,873,832
Other Services Rev = $36,000
TOTAL REV = $4,909,832
If 1st Qtr Is Above = POS GROWTH
If 1st Qtr Is About = NO GROWTH
If 1st Qtr Is Below = NEG GROWTH
JMO
SERVICE REVENUE
TWO TYPES OF REVENUE
1) Pharmacy Prescriptions
2) Other Services
OTHER SERVICES INCLUDE
1) Non-Prescription Items
2) Smart Medical Alliance (SMA)
3) Mgmt Serv Org (MSO) Contracts
SMA & MSO Started In Oct 2016
HOW WILL THIS PLAY OUT
Since the Prescription part of the
business has Topped-Out, and now
showing signs of Contraction, they
need to add another "Growth Story"
to the menu.
So, even though the Service Business
is a Very Small part of the revenue, they
can still "Talk-Up" its Growth Percentages.
Trying to make it sound like Great Potential.
As they lure in some more Equity Financing
and Dilution. Followed by a Reverse-Split.
FOR EXAMPLE
The Service Business Has Increased:
580% Over Q1 2016 & 47% Over Q4 2016
WOW ! ... But Not As Good As It Sounds
Service is a Very Small percentage
of the business now. And that was
only 0.25% of the total 2016 revenue.
Only $46K Of The Total $1.83M
I predict that Q1 of 2017 will almost
equal all of 2016's Service Revenue.
That sounds good, percentage wise.
But a Very Low Percent of the Total.
THE OTHER STUFF
The Audit Was For Financing Purposes Only
They will always keep dangling the Audit and
Uplist Carrot, as well as Out-Of-State Licenses.
They want some to think these are possibilities.
Everything Is Always Possible... Right ?
But In Reality... Not So Much
THE REAL GAME PLAN
It Is To Always Keep "Something" In The Loop
But the most this Company can hope, is to get
more money through Dilutive Equity Financing.
Hopefully start a Satellite Location in Florida.
But everything is being shrunk down to the use
of Virtual Pharmacy Modules, for virtual on-site
access to live Pharmacy Staff for assistance &
consultation. Outlined in the MOU with MDFlow.
Other Stuff Is An Illusion Of: "Possibilities"
That's What It Is
===============================
ESTIMATED SERVICE REVENUE
2016 EST SERVICE REV
Q1 TOTAL = $5,298
Q2 TOTAL = $8,069
Q3 TOTAL = $8,495
SMA & MSO Starts Oct 2016
Q4 TOTAL = $24,427
2017 EST SERVICE REV
JAN 2017 = 12,000
FEB 2017 = 12,000
MAR 2017 = 12,000
Q1 TOTAL = $36,000
Q1 2017 EST SERVICE GROWTH
580% Increase Over Q1 2016
47% Increase Over Q4 2016
WOW ! --- But Not Really
Est Q1 2017 Total Revenue = $4.9M
Service Will Be About $36K Of That
Only 0.7% Of Total Q1 Revenue
WHAT IS THE SERVICE GOAL
Try To Achieve $83K Per Month
Which Would Be $250K Per Quarter
Which Would Be About $1M Per Year
Still A Small Rev Percentage: About 5%
A Lot Of Money, Resources & Time
Will Be Required To Get That Going
JMO
Accumulating Some Funds
But Not Going To Buy Anything
COMPANY RESULTS WILL SUPPORT
MY DATA AND CONTRACTION MODEL
If Numbers Beat Prediction
There Is Still Small Growth
If Numbers Are The Same
Then Things Have Stalled
If Numbers Are Below Then
*** C O N T R A C T I O N ***
MARCH PREDICTION
Using 738 To Bring 723 Up To Target 728
Scripts: 19,926 Rx / 27 W-Days = 738
Rev: 19,926 X $90.47 = $1,802,717
Other Service Rev = $12,000
TOTAL REV = $1,814,717
If March Is Above = POS GROWTH
If March Is About = NO GROWTH
If March Is Below = NEG GROWTH
FIRST QTR PREDICTION
Scripts: 53,872 Rx / 74 W-Days = 728
Rev: 53,872 X $90.47 = $4,873,832
Other Services Rev = $36,000
TOTAL REV = $4,909,832
If 1st Qtr Is Above = POS GROWTH
If 1st Qtr Is About = NO GROWTH
If 1st Qtr Is Below = NEG GROWTH
===============================
THIS IS WHAT'S NEEDED FOR $22M
**** FOR FIRST QUARTER 2017 ****
Need: 59,412 Total Scripts
Need: $5,375,004 Script Revenue
Need: $125,100 Service Revenue
NO MATTER HOW YOU SLICE IT UP
NEED $5,500,000 IN TOTAL Q1 REV
TO BE ON TRACK FOR $22,000,000
$22M REV GOAL NOT ACHIEVABLE
These All Need To Be A Rolling Average
Not Just The "Once-or-Twice" Occurrence
When Mar & Aug Have The Most W-Days
JMO
FUNCTION CONTROL PARAMETERS
The Data Strongly Suggests That A
******* Topping-Out Plateau *******
Has Formed Into A Constant Integer
Therefore Allowing Floating Variables
In Which Future Data Can Be Measured
It is inaccurate to inject previous growth
data onto new established data, as outlined
in my previous posts, which supports current
trend analysis of the impending contraction.
Follow My Link-Back Thread References
EOM
MARCH AND Q1 HAVE STALLED
THIS WILL BE THE TEST
If Numbers Beat Prediction
There Is Still Small Growth
If Numbers Are The Same
Then Things Have Stalled
If Numbers Are Below Then
*** C O N T R A C T I O N ***
MARCH PREDICTION
Using 738 To Bring 723 Up To Target 728
Scripts: 19,926 Rx / 27 W-Days = 738
Rev: 19,926 X $90.47 = $1,802,717
Other Service Rev = $12,000
TOTAL REV = $1,814,717
If March Is Above = POS GROWTH
If March Is About = NO GROWTH
If March Is Below = NEG GROWTH
FIRST QTR PREDICTION
Scripts: 53,872 Rx / 74 W-Days = 728
Rev: 53,872 X $90.47 = $4,873,832
Other Services Rev = $36,000
TOTAL REV = $4,909,832
If 1st Qtr Is Above = POS GROWTH
If 1st Qtr Is About = NO GROWTH
If 1st Qtr Is Below = NEG GROWTH
===============================
THIS IS WHAT'S NEEDED FOR $22M
**** FOR FIRST QUARTER 2017 ****
Need: 59,412 Total Scripts
Need: $5,375,004 Script Revenue
Need: $125,100 Service Revenue
NO MATTER HOW YOU SLICE IT UP
NEED $5,500,000 IN TOTAL Q1 REV
TO BE ON TRACK FOR $22,000,000
$22M REV GOAL NOT ACHIEVABLE
These All Need To Be A Rolling Average
Not Just The "Once-or-Twice" Occurrence
When Mar & Aug Have The Most W-Days
JMO
WILL NEVER DO IT - NOT ON TRACK
* * * * FIRST QUARTER 2017 * * * *
THIS IS WHAT'S NEEDED FOR $22M
Need: 59,412 Total Scripts
Need: $5,375,004 Script Revenue
Need: $125,100 Service Revenue
NO MATTER HOW YOU SLICE IT UP
NEED $5,500,000 IN TOTAL Q1 REV
TO BE ON TRACK FOR $22,000,000
$22M REV GOAL NOT ACHIEVABLE
These All Need To Be A Rolling Average
Not Just The "Once-or-Twice" Occurrence
When Mar & Aug Have The Most W-Days
JMO
REVENUE GOAL NOT ACHIEVABLE
* * * * * FISCAL YEAR 2017 * * * * *
WHAT IS NEEDED FOR $22M REV
To achieve FY 2017 Script Rev of $21.5M
at the current ave of $90.47 per Script,
they would need to sell 237,648 Scripts.
Mon-Sat Minus Holidays = 302 W-Days
Need To Ave = 787 Rx / W-Day
Need To Ave = 19,804 Rx / Month
Need To Ave = $1.79M Rev / Month
To achieve FY 2017 Service Rev of $500K
Need To Ave = $41.7K Rev / Month
$22M REV GOAL NOT ACHIEVABLE
These All Need To Be A Rolling Average
And Not Just The "Once-or-Twice" Occurrence
In Which Mar-&-Aug Have The Most 27 W-Days
JMO
UPDATED CONTRACTION
PRESCRIPTION DATA
JAN 2016: 15.5K Rx / 24 W-Days = 646
FEB 2016: 16.7K Rx / 24 W-Days = 696
MAR 2016: 18.6K Rx / 27 W-Days = 689
APR 2016: 16.5K Rx / 26 W-Days = 635
MAY 2016: 17.5K Rx / 25 W-Days = 700
JUN 2016: 18.0K Rx / 26 W-Days = 692
Old AVE: 102.8K Rx / 152 W-Days = 676
THEN A SMALL GROWTH SPURT
JUL 2016: 16.6K Rx / 25 W-Days = 664
AUG 2016: 20.0K Rx / 27 W-Days = 741
SEP 2016: 19.0K Rx / 25 W-Days = 760
OCT 2016: 18.6K Rx / 25 W-Days = 744
NOV 2016: 18.5K Rx / 24 W-Days = 771
DEC 2016: 18.0K Rx / 26 W-Days = 692
New AVE: 110.7K Rx / 152 W-Days = 728
GROWTH HAS NOW FLATTENED
Need To Maintain Average Target = 728
JAN 2017: 17.5K Rx / 24 W-Days = 729
FEB 2017: 16.5K Rx / 23 W-Days = 717
Below AVE: 34.0K Rx / 47 W-Days = 723
TREND SHOWS CONTRACTION
DATA COMMENTS
Reflects Data Avgs Obtained After Small
Growth Spurt During Middle Of Last Year
Spurt Averaged 52 Extra Scripts / W-Day
Last Year's Average Per Scipt = $85.58
This Year's Average Per Scipt = $90.47
Each New Period Will Pull The Averages
Up Or Down Into Growth Or Contraction
===============================
CONTRACTION MODEL
MARCH PREDICTION
Using 738 To Bring 723 Up To Target 728
Scripts: 19,926 Rx / 27 W-Days = 738
Rev: 19,926 X $90.47 = $1,802,717
Other Service Rev = $12,000
TOTAL REV = $1,814,717
If March Is Above = POS GROWTH
If March Is About = NO GROWTH
If March Is Below = NEG GROWTH
FIRST QTR PREDICTION
Scripts: 53,872 Rx / 74 W-Days = 728
Rev: 53,872 X $90.47 = $4,873,832
Other Services Rev = $36,000
TOTAL REV = $4,909,832
If 1st Qtr Is Above = POS GROWTH
If 1st Qtr Is About = NO GROWTH
If 1st Qtr Is Below = NEG GROWTH
JMO
SERVICE REVENUE
TWO TYPES OF REVENUE
1) Pharmacy Prescriptions
2) Other Services
OTHER SERVICES INCLUDE
1) Non-Prescription Items
2) Smart Medical Alliance (SMA)
3) Mgmt Serv Org (MSO) Contracts
SMA & MSO Started In Oct 2016
HOW WILL THIS PLAY OUT
Since the Prescription part of the
business has Topped-Out, and now
showing signs of Contraction, they
need to add another "Growth Story"
to the menu.
So, even though the Service Business
is a Very Small part of the revenue, they
can still "Talk-Up" its Growth Percentages.
Trying to make it sound like Great Potential.
As they lure in some more Equity Financing
and Dilution. Followed by a Reverse-Split.
FOR EXAMPLE
The Service Business Has Increased:
580% Over Q1 2016 & 47% Over Q4 2016
WOW ! ... But Not As Good As It Sounds
Service is a Very Small percentage
of the business now. And that was
only 0.25% of the total 2016 revenue.
Only $46K Of The Total $1.83M
I predict that Q1 of 2017 will almost
equal all of 2016's Service Revenue.
That sounds good, percentage wise.
But a Very Low Percent of the Total.
THE OTHER STUFF
The Audit Was For Financing Purposes Only
They will always keep dangling the Audit and
Uplist Carrot, as well as Out-Of-State Licenses.
They want some to think these are possibilities.
Everything Is Always Possible... Right ?
But In Reality... Not So Much
THE REAL GAME PLAN
It Is To Always Keep "Something" In The Loop
But the most this Company can hope, is to get
more money through Dilutive Equity Financing.
Hopefully open a Satellite Location in Florida.
But everything is being shrunk down to the use
of Virtual Pharmacy Modules, for virtual on-site
access to live Pharmacy Staff for assistance &
consultation. Outlined in the MOU with MDFlow.
Other Stuff Is An Illusion Of: "Possibilities"
That's What It Is
===============================
ESTIMATED SERVICE REVENUE
2016 EST SERVICE REV
Q1 TOTAL = $5,298
Q2 TOTAL = $8,069
Q3 TOTAL = $8,495
SMA & MSO Starts Oct 2016
Q4 TOTAL = $24,427
2017 EST SERVICE REV
JAN 2017 = 12,000
FEB 2017 = 12,000
MAR 2017 = 12,000
Q1 TOTAL = $36,000
Q1 2017 EST SERVICE GROWTH
580% Increase Over Q1 2016
47% Increase Over Q4 2016
WOW ! --- But Not Really
Est Q1 2017 Total Revenue = $4.9M
Service Will Be About $36K Of That
Only 0.7% Of Total Q1 Revenue
WHAT IS THE SERVICE GOAL
Try To Achieve $83K Per Month
Which Would Be $250K Per Quarter
Which Would Be About $1M Per Year
Still A Small Rev Percentage: About 5%
A Lot Of Money, Resources & Time
Will Be Required To Get That Going
JMO