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as far as I understand (corrections anyone?) the daily short volume estimates both, selling borrowed as well as covering short positions, and doesn't differentiate between the two. So hypothetically a short volume of 80% could be 70% covering and 10 % selling or vice versa.
If there is a need to cover, yet there are few weak hands that sell the "real shares" the borrower/short could buy at the ask price...which shows as buy....if he can drive the price down he can bid lower and underbid himself to buy at lower prices, which would show as sells (into the bid)
h a good eve
same thing today once again: 80 % shorted...all to cover IMO, suggesting tomorrow accelerating rise of pps
Historical Short Selling Data For ECIG
Date VolShorted High Low Close ShortVol RegularVol
Oct 27 80.90% NA NA NA 216,150 267,169
Oct 26 79.19% 0.275 0.25 0.27 137,044 173,057
Oct 23 30.58% 0.26 0.242 0.256 68,150 222,852
Oct 22 37.06% 0.271 0.26 0.265 66,803 180,239
Oct 21 8.81% 0.288 0.267 0.27 12,747 144,662
American Bulls (more often right than wrong on ANRZQ)Signal Update:
Our system’s recommendation today is to STAY IN CASH. The previous SELL signal was issued on 10/21/2015, 5 days ago, when the stock price was 0.0314. Since then ANRZQ has fallen by -10.83%.
Market Outlook
The market is finally giving hints of a bullish resurgence. Today a bullish pattern is detected.
American Bulls (more often right than wrong lately on RXMD)Signal Update:
Our system’s recommendation today is to STAY LONG. The previous BUY signal was issued on 10/13/2015, 13 days ago, when the stock price was 0.0062. Since then RXMD has risen by +6.45%.
American Bulls (more often right than wrong on ECIG)Signal Update : Bullish
Signal Update
Our system’s recommendation today is to BUY. The BULLISH DOJI STAR pattern finally received a confirmation because the prices crossed above the confirmation level which was at 0.2676, and our valid average buying price stands now at 0.2679. The previous SELL signal was issued on 10/21/2015, 5 days ago, when the stock price was 0.2821. Since then ECIG has fallen by -5.03%.
Market Outlook
Let’s jump on our white horses and go for a bullish ride. The bullish pattern that was previously identified is finally confirmed and a BUY signal is generated. Most probably, it is the right time to participate in bullish fervor.
well, the potential unfolds no matter if you are a little down or up, by how many shares you hold.
The riddle: yesterday I was also $2000 down but today i am even (its true but no worries here)...how many shares do I hold and how much would I be up at a pps of lets say 0.05 or 0.5???
Do yourself a favor to average down if you can and support the DD on the board instead of worrying newbies.
i did not follow L2 today...however a general explanation is that if there is an urgent need to cover and, yet, the shorty doesn't get a response to a lower bid then he hits the ask as long as it is not in motion up or gapping from the bid....today all three: few sells, ask bid spread low, small trading range with little risk to drive the ask erratically up ?!!
I started this few weeks ago, too...with just 5k shares at a time to flip...its tedious and nothing compared to what we might get from ECIG marketcap in itself as early as spring next year...have a nice eve everyone
look at that...~80% shorted today...not to bring it down but covering IMO...strange that only 35k shares were regular sell/buy which included you/stock and few others (of course these numbers are estimates and could deviate by 20%)
Historical Short Selling Data For ECIG
Date VolShorted High Low Close ShortVol RegularVol
Oct 26 79.19% NA NA NA 137,044 173,057
Oct 23 30.58% 0.26 0.242 0.256 68,150 222,852
Oct 22 37.06% 0.271 0.26 0.265 66,803 180,239
Oct 21 8.81% 0.288 0.267 0.27 12,747 144,662
Oct 20 54.72% 0.29 0.282 0.285 31,802 58,122
Oct 19 28.54% 0.30 0.289 0.29 62,959 220,594
Oct 16 50.49% 0.299 0.28 0.29 166,632 330,037
Oct 15 33.31% 0.285 0.256 0.276 40,969 123,007
Oct 14 30.84% 0.264 0.255 0.256 59,296 192,264
Oct 13 40.46% 0.28 0.26 0.262 162,747 402,237
Oct 12 53.66% 0.29 0.245 0.284 133,606 248,988
Oct 09 43.68% 0.26 0.223 0.26 305,277 698,819
Oct 08 51.77% 0.242 0.232 0.235 123,457 238,459
Oct 07 67.57% 0.245 0.225 0.239 498,436 737,709
Oct 06 29.21% 0.255 0.238 0.249 93,277 319,278
Oct 05 51.94% 0.274 0.251 0.255 123,103 236,993
Oct 02 11.72% 0.27 0.25 0.25 45,128 385,086
Oct 01 14.92% 0.295 0.255 0.26 58,071 389,146
Sep 30 5.46% 0.28 0.273 0.273 5,955 109,153
Sep 29 17.13% 0.29 0.275 0.282 8,042 46,935
Sep 28 4.19% 0.30 0.28 0.29 4,943 117,876
hi cuin...good to hear...on a general note: the longest of our wait for appreciation is over IMO....even if the EOY resp. Q3 once again doesn't do the job then february resp Q4 will...we started this trip around feb 2015 (~ 9 months ago) and in 4 months the latest will see the fruits on the tree
also added (as in the last days) 100k ...2 m total...ave of .0065 now (2 months ago used to be around 0.01; 500k shares)...very confidant, too
seeing moderate volume, as usual no mm play, there is a good chance that we cross the 0.03 upwards today
do us all the favor and in addition to your recurrent posts, post exactly in one year here (yes, october 2016) again...this way we can all agree even if it took a little bit long to understand "this stock"
thinking about you once more...any chance you can hang on for one month more to ECIG (at least there is a realistic chance to double in a month)and cash out others like ANR (where there is plenty of time to load and an up wave might be followed by another low) instead.
Best of luck
t2
007
at some point in the next 12 months; inbetween all sorts of waves.
one is either really long here or, alternatively can flip.
in any case this pps is loading zone IMO and I will follow my own advice and will add some more even though until last week i was hesitant (my ave is around (0.0011)
4 big updates expected in the next weeks; each of which will drive the pps:
1) Update on 3(a)(10) Transaction
2) 340B business update
3) regular monthly and/or comprehensive Q3 ER
4) debt pay off
Hey stock...thats unpleasant...are you staying in RXM. and AN...? Or you draw from across the board?
In any case, good luck for now.
yes on Sept. 30th...actually the short interest was lower than usual but the ave volume was very low...thats why days to cover were higher....right now its a different situation once again...we can agree, however, that there are significant short positions out that at some point (naked shorting among them?!)have to be covered...thus an uptrend at any time can lead to an accelerated buying hype - and it would be wonderful if that happens to be on mid-size volume so that the shorts really have to scramble and have to go for the ever increasing ask....I think that by now ONeil has learned the OTC/short/MM lesson and, although its not his priority at all, tries to make them pay back by timing essential PRs sequencially. Because so far the updates seem to go out on one planned day no matter what the market looks like, and as we have seen typically they lead to downtrend.
Thanks. You could answer at my email adress(times2times2@yahoo.com).
You meant 0.27 (not 0.37) last thursday?!
I definitely would also add should it drop a week more....just don't have the resources and, thus, have to be even smarter to live with what I own and, potentially, sell some from ECIG (as stated)or others (but then have the majority of all investment left in ECIG)since I need to retrieve some money no later than end of november.
Obviously, that is too much info on a public forum and, thus, my apologies to all but yerboss and cuin
Thanks...very good points...may I ask what your ave is ? As I posted before i have "only" 85k shares with an ave of 0.49 but with extrapolated losses on ECIG from before a hypothetical ave of 0.58.
I am pondering and of now (due to my need to regularly cash out some money from my investments) have set some limit sells at slightly under 0.5, 0.7, 0.9, 1.0. However, that would reduce my shares to half (~45k)and I don't have the luxury to follow all day for potential flipping. So I am not sure if to stubbornly hold for the scenario that we go into dollar land quicker than expected...or shed shares from 0.5 to 1 to reduce risk, equalize some previous losses.
What would be your advise? With other tickers I don't consider much others opinions since my strategies are clear and easier to design. Obviously, I have some OTC stocks that I flip, others where I adjust on weekly bases. However, I hold much more in ECIG than in the others and the ECIG history is complex.
He announce the conference call after Q2 and he did that.
Is the "roadshow" after Q3 release announced by him similarly (I can't recall how it was referred to by him)?
And...yes, I can imagine both, a promotion of the progress by ONeil and a subsequent PPS impact but the fundamentals need to be getting better and have to be consistently PRd to get out of the valley waves that taunt the stock for 6 months now.
I agree with it to most likely "fly" after Q4 ER in feb 2016...until then current investors need to see much more, potential investors could quickly come on if there are daily 20%+/- hypes and waves in the interim
Investment Strategy (for Newbies): consider to add a certain number of ECIG shares en block consistently every two week to build up your position (continue until major milestones/PPS increases occur)...this reduces losses should initial large investments depreciate, builds steadily a position, quenches flipping risks, has highest potential for major reward with this company and sector IMHO
Thanks...higher exchanges sure...but honestly, and I don't know the years of your experience, I wonder if technical analysis on beaten up, yet real revenue, OTC stocks worked very well or just occasionally for you....if the former is the case I would appreciate that in the future when you post a brief technical description you also follow with a brief interpretation.
have a nice weekend
Investment Strategy (for Newbies): consider to add a certain number of ANRZQ shares en block consistently every two week to build up your position (continue until major milestones/PPS increases occur)...this reduces losses should initial large investments depreciate, builds steadily a position, quenches flipping risks, has highest potential for major reward with this company and sector IMHO
Investment Strategy (for Newbies): consider to add a certain number of RXMD shares en block consistently every two week to build up your position (continue until major milestones/PPS increases occur)...this reduces losses should initial large investments depreciate, builds steadily a position, quenches flipping risks, has highest potential for major reward with this company and sector IMHO
Thanks
Did you see the majority of your technical pattern based outlooks on tickers confirmed in the past when you were dealing with 1) OTC 2) beaten up stocks due to debt driven circumstances and/or 3) with a shareholder base that will generally hold but not buy much more on the way up?
very nice rhyme...the problem is that he is not DJ Dan the disco man.
I think the telling time will come in the spring 2016...until then we have to live with the seed of doubt toward a successful and stable balance sheet and pps appreciation...if so, however, ECIG will go into multiple dollar territory...if not it will linger around half dollar until the second half of 2016.
And????? that means what IYO???? If you can please provide the interpretation associated with postings about observed pattern. Thanks
Yes...no RS intent is very good news
However they could fund operations/expansions with ongoing dilution...even just 10m a day each day over 6 months (~120 trading days) would be adding 1.2 B to the float....and at a beat down price of 0.0004 still only generate $480.000...
so the company MUST dilute responsibly and FOREMOST update/guide/support PPS rise and break the silence.....no fluff PRs/intends but hardcore data NEEDED
Alpha Natural to Sell Inactive Coal Mines
DOW JONES & COMPANY, INC. 1:12 PM ET 10/23/2015
Symbol Last Price Change
ANRZQ 0.0278up -0.0012 (-4.14%)
QUOTES AS OF 01:55:24 PM ET 10/23/2015
Alpha Natural Resources (ANRZQ) is selling a collection of closed coal mines as it revamps its business in bankruptcy.
At least 16 idled mines in West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee and Illinois are being put up for sale in Alpha's chapter 11 bankruptcy proceeding, which began in August.
The company has set a Jan. 20, 2016, target date for bids and would like to seek a bankruptcy judge's approval for sales by February, according to papers filed Thursday in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Richmond, Va.
Alpha is one of a number of coal mining operations to take shelter in bankruptcy in a bid to weather widespread distress in the market. This week, the company said it expects to have a draft business plan ready by the end of October.
Shedding unprofitable assets is part of that plan, the company said. Many of the mines have already been marketed. Bankruptcy allows Alpha to offer the properties "free and clear" of many complications that might otherwise daunt prospective owners.
Alpha says it may add or remove some properties to the list being sold. Generally, the properties on the list aren't generating revenues but are draining cash for reclamation and maintenance costs. One of the country's largest coal producers, Bristol, Va.-based Alpha picked up a lot of debt in the 2011 acquisition of Massey Energy. It reported more than $7 billion in liabilities in its bankruptcy papers. The figure includes nearly $2 billion in secured debt and more than $2 billion in unsecured bond debt.
Proposed sale procedures are scheduled for hearing Nov. 5, court papers say.
Write to Peg Brickley at peg.brickley@wsj.com
on vacation?
can anyone who followed summarize the facts (any prospects or rather a shell soon?) ?
thanks
It goes the way I expected (no drop)...no MM play (they don't dare)...good if not best time to buy...shares currently are in good (not weak) hands
I do not anticipate a drop to the all time low resp. lower 2s this time. Think it will come right back over .03
Either way its a good time to load/add/average down IMO
i also bought some more today...now 150000 shares...might fill up to 250000
I expect 4 big updates in the next 2-6 weeks:
1) Update on 3(a)(10) Transaction
2) 340B business update
3) regular monthly and/or comprehensive Q3 ER
4) debt pay off
Pick your cards based on your believes AND DD; not on us!
No ...I think it will be between .005 and.009 before major financial disclosures, spiking up to .014-.019 with such, and after debt payoff lots of flipping will occur so its unpredictable if we see anything different than a range from 1 cent to 5/6/7 cent for a while. I hope it would stabilize for Q4 finance release in feb 2016 and then climb from several cents to several dimes in the first half of 2015.
the volume over 1M again, still just 18% shorted, dip into the 2s couldn't be forced...very reasonable day...very reasonable to add or open a position now IMO
testing the doubles - sure....climbing the doubles - not yet IMO
with the expected share structure after debt payoff (some 300+M OS) many of us accumulating right now own close to 1% of the company altogether. And I do not see any RS until at least 2017 resp. unless the platform is right for uplisting and the OTC pps is 50cent+