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With the 1st interim analysis projected to be triggered anytime this Spring/Summer, it seems possible the institutional buying and S/P increase will continue until the outcome is known. IMO, it is unlikely the trial will be halted, but it seems the risk/reward favors being long the stock (or hedged if you're short) during the interim review just in case. Thoughts?
Well you should definitely by a bunch of puts at current prices before retail sells this back into the 5's on disappointment of no news...right? I love when people broadcast their buys and sells after big moves. Hey nice job selling your puts before the gap up!!
You two make a great team. Keep up the good work ;)
So Cramer decides to discuss nwbo out of the blue? Decides to bring up the MD Anderson situation many months after it happens? WTF is going on?!?!? This just keeps getting more and more interesting :)
180k shares at the buzzer. Darn retail investors at it again..
You think the high vol days over the past few weeks were retail loading up in expectation of results? Must have been some high net worth individuals buying those big blocks ;)
Here's my guess. You own a boatload of $7 Apr calls and $6 Jul puts. You will make a killing if the price moves in either direction, as long as the move is big enough. A pullback is certainly the easiest direction to "facilitate" after the huge run up, so that is a logical choice. And who knows maybe LP pulls a rabit out of her butt and this shoots higher. You're ready for either scenario. I don't have a problem with folks trying to make $. That's why we're all here after all. But don't pretend for one second that you feel a morale obligation to help us all out. GL
What I think is sad is how you talk out of both sides of your mouth and repeatedly say that retail selling will bring the price back into the 6's or 5's, and in the same breath contend that mb posts have zero effect on the price. Who's reading these mb's?
And the fact that you go months without posting and then conveniently show up to warn all of us out of the kindness of your heart to protect our gains, remember the same folks you so candidly said didn't have the level of intelligence worthy of your time. Not all of us are as stupid as you think.
Good to have you back flip. Hope you stick around.
I wouldn't be surprised if warrants being exercised above $5 have provided enough additional funding to cover the bills until a couple of catalysts are reached to push the price even higher. Woodford's new investment fund will be starting next month and the timing may work out very well for nwbo.
I have to wonder if the buying pressure the past few weeks is the beginning of short covering. There may be a realization slowly sinking in that the days of distressed warrant heavy financing is over. This creates more risk for those that are still millions of shares short and now either have to buy in the market or hedge with calls. Either option is favorable for Woody and I think he will continue to turn up the heat even more and make a lot of money in the process.
Mmm... I like the sounds of that :)
Sorry RK, nothing for sale today, that ship sailed yesterday. 2 of the 3 legs of my strategy are complete. Now I just need for LP to follow through. But I'm playing with house money, so no worries either way...
I hope NWBO is undeterred by all the recent noise and speculation of how the market will react to the positive news on Direct. They need to stick with their plan to update investors and the medical community on the success of this clinical trial. I expect the news is very positive and will drive the share price much higher. The validation will allow NWBO to obtain the financing necessary to complete their clinical trials. There are some folks desperately trying to prevent this, a last stand if you will. Woodford has been aggressively buying. Why?
Nothing wrong with a little healthy consolidation after the strong run up the past few weeks.
Shorts would be wise to cover right here right now..
What kind of excuse are you going to make for LP when we don't get any news on Direct this month? Should probably start working on that now.. Just saying
Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. (Nasdaq: CLDX) announced that it has entered into a clinical trial collaboration with Roche (OTCBB: RHHBY) to evaluate the safety, tolerability and preliminary efficacy of varlilumab.
Varlilumab and MPDL3280A are part of a new class of investigational medicines known as cancer immunotherapies that are designed to harness the body's own immune system to fight cancer through separate yet complementary mechanisms of action that may enable the activation of T cells, restoring their ability to effectively detect and attack tumor cells. Preclinical data suggest the combination of these two mechanisms are synergistic and may enhance anti-tumor immune response compared to either agent alone.
"This collaboration with Roche furthers our ongoing initiative to investigate varlilumab's potential in combination with a broad range of mechanisms and across multiple tumor types," said Thomas Davis, MD, Executive Vice President and Chief Medical Officer of Celldex Therapeutics. "Varlilumab is currently being studied in two Phase 1/2 combination studies and we expect it will enter at least another four combination studies this year. This latest trial is supported by promising signs of single-agent activity observed in our Phase 1 study in patients with renal cell carcinoma. We believe combining an immune activator with a checkpoint inhibitor in this disease setting may augment this activity and the synergy demonstrated in our preclinical varlilumab/anti-PDL1 combination models provide further support for this approach."
Does the same synergy potential exist with Direct + a checkpoint inhibitor? Come on NWBO...let's find out!!
Nah, I say go big or go home. It's only money.
Well I do appreciate you looking out for us retards kind sir, but what I would really appreciate would be some super cheap $8 April calls that are paid for with April $7 puts. Keep up the good work, we are well on our way.
Maybe in a few days you can sell me some of the calls I'm after? Would be a safe way to further hedge your long position and make a little $ while you wait..
I'm expecting an 8% to 10% drop on this shakedown. Looking for cheap near the money calls the next couple of days.
He is only doing the same thing he has always done. Nothing has changed lol.. Am I the only one aware of this??
I wondered who was buying all the puts on Friday.
I'm preparing to buy more short term calls. A lot more. I'll sell you some puts too. As many as you want to buy ;)
Yeah I'm sure there's another conference this month, we just haven't found it yet. Pyrr is obviously wrong. Linda never misses a timeline.
Yikes! I hope all of those April call options don't expire worthless..
FYI - I have this weird feeling that we are on the cusp of a nice big fat juicy dilutive financing. It will help keep the price in check over the coming months. All part of the master plan..
Less pumping = less ammunition for people to use against you. Amazing discovery! And it only took how long?
How do I manage to always buy the highs and sell the lows? Sheesh!!
At what point should shorts look for cover? This just continues to rise on no flippin news...
Woodford probably has first dibs. His new fund will close in Apr which may conveniently coincide with financing needs
About time!! Maybe they will actually start enrolling patients over there now and the phase 3 trial will reach full enrollment by the Fall (of 2016)..
Remember when AF said some "nice" things about Direct last year? It was right before he slammed us with the Buzdar fiasco that caused a lot of damage (financing, recruitment, etc.) His positive comments were clearly to help push the SP spike so his buddies could short the high of 10+. I don't trust anything the snake says.
Someone used the nice little up spike from the article this morning to dump dump dump.
Roger that. I think I'll at least wait to see what happens this month. If it turns out to be another "stay tuned" deal, I'll probably have to call it quits on this one.
In all seriousness why do companies like cldx, Juno, kite, etc., all have such huge and growing valuations compared to our lovely darling nwbo? It doesn't make any sense. There is just as much speculation and unconfirmed trial results tied to those companies. And I think we all agree AF is a major dbag, but he is right that there is a Grand Canyon between nwbo and other biotechs. The market clearly doesn't see the massive potential that we hold on to for dear life.
Well shoot. As much as I seem to annoy all y'all maybe you should pay me to be silent. I'm just tired of waiting. LP's predictions are always off by months/years. I'm sure someone will fire the insults about how I want it all and I want it now blah blah blah. I've been invested for YEARS. Sucks because now I feel married to this stock because of the long wait and feel like I should at least make something for my long commitment. Nwbo employees have made millions while they wait for the trial to finish. What have we received for our ownership and financial support? Maybe I should sell and move on...
Biotech is hot right now!! It is so wonderful to see all of the partnerships (of course not for Mr's "go big or go home"), and advances in medicine and new technology.
I wonder when we might get news on the following:
More German sites active and enrolling
Direct phase two plans
UK site hazardous waste removal and plans for construction
PIM
HE progress
I suspect we will hear news of the next dilutive financing to "ramp up" long before anything I mentioned above.
And the days drag on and on...
Hmm looks like I was wrong. ;)
It seems the Grand Canyon continues to widen. We may hear more on this soon. CLDX up again nicely even with the market red. Should see 30's soon. When will NWBO ever get any market love? Here we sit in the 6's.
Yes we've heard about direct at every conference this year. We will hear the same stuff. Maybe one more case thrown in so that LP keeps her word about new info. How many times have we heard about the phase 2 trial? Wasn't it supposed to start last year? Well here it is March and we still haven't heard a peep.
Prediction, we won't hear any big news this month. Sorry to burst anyone's bubble. Good to see the support levels hold. I expext this to drop like a rock faster than it was manipulated up. Enjoy