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Looks like Adage has a 40% stake in Advaxis? Is Adage the reason Dan got fired?
FBG, I got to hand it to you your sticking to your guns on this! 1 billion $ buyout #? Only question is where in the world do you come up with this particular number? Do you know if we even get bought out!? Maybe we crash and burn? Spouting numbers on a buyout is total nonsense it makes you look like your a seer! Really! It does! So many variables factor into a buyout senerio! Those variables are baseless on our share price period! Those variables on what our Lm platform can do for our potential buyout recipient! Another words what is the Whole Platform going to be worth if we do get approval ? It comes down to how much market penetration and what costs are to produce the vaccines! How much profit will be available to potential buyout party. Your a layman retailer investor that is just hoping in one hand and shitting in the other! You have "NO" idea to what our total platform could or will be worth! There is absolutely no way you could know those numbers! Again as I've posted earlier no one knows what our Lm platform is really worth until it gets EMA and FDA approved! Sorry that's the truth! I will promise you this FBG if we get EMA approval on our lead construct it will be worth more than you will ever think! It's all or none! If we don get approved by either one this will be a bust! It's all about trials and how well they are going. This guessing is all senseless because nobody really knows if we get EMA or FDA approval. Our platform will be worth far more than 1billion dollars if we get approval before a buyout . $1 billion won't sniff this company! Endless cancers can be fought with our vaccines and delivery system if thats a big if again ...We get Approved! It's all about approval not about share price! Share price has no factor in what our platform is worth ! It's all about what our platform can produce monetarily! It's not rocket science it's just numbers and market penetration! Trust me when a total buyout gets offered I promise we have the people that work there that will be able to crunch statistics and numbers to know what our fair market value truly is worth! Pre -approval or after approval! We're just a bunch of hacks here guessing there not gonna guess FBG there gonna know what we're worth before approval and after appro!
Exactly right Iggy! They didn't do any covering because no shares were really available! What are they going to do now! Dan's resignation was seen as a positive by longs! I'm sure shorts were surprised at that ? Where this is headed is anyone's guess but my guess is North from here with shorts scrambling...
Hovcare, Amgen would have to be that entity because they would never allow that to happen with our partnership !
Exactly! Low volume because shorts are in pretty deep right now? Think about 10,000,000 short shares? 33% of our float? Where do the shorts get 10,000,000 to cover? Retailers aren't budging down here! We all in or bust it's a no brainer you can't scare longs here cause we've been here too dang long to give up now! Then if you try to suppress again retailers like me will buy buy buy! Our Amgen deal is worth $13.50 a share alone! Tutes will absolutely jump in on these cheap shares I promise! At this time being short isn't too smart in my opinion! Where are they going to get these shares? There not! Unless we're stupid enough to give them a private placement which I'm pretty sure won't happen !
In my opinion what it looks like is the shorts took us down on 1,000,000 extra short shares last few weeks and now they can't cover those either! Looks like they are 300,000 more shares short? They took us down to where we're at but in reality they have dug themselves a bigger hole to crawl out of? Think about it... They full court pressed us on the take down but in reality they didn't get to cover cheap it looks like they got fleeced a little? Retailers and some Tutes took advantage of these lower prices! Now they have 10 days to cover on our daily volume! That's a lot of GREEN days if some good news comes soon! 10 days of green would run this stock up a nice ways! Trying to take ADXS down now just seems like craziness to me? We're at $6 take us any lower and every retailer will buy in on 401 accounts IRA's cash accounts I mean anyway they can get shares under $6 everyone including other Institutional holders will buy all they can! Too much going on not to say "Hello" my cheap friends! This is going to get very crazy one of these days? Shorts will have to pay someone to write a negative review on ADXS very soon or get high jacked. This year feels like it could end up very good for longs that are holding
Ok I just think it's a great sign that he's a big time share holder and still has great conviction about our platform!
Yes your right thanks Iggy!
Sarcasm on the $100,000. Not digging in my pocket for a while! Once we show movement up then I will see.
It's it really him? That's kinda crazy he would even participate? Stuff like that is weird? But what the heck just took all $100,000 and am purchasing more tomorrow on that recommendation!
That's what I worry about is Tutes trying to take this private and offer us $12 a share! We won't have a option if retailers don't have enough shares? I don't believe that will happen but it could unless we have a poison pill to make sure that doesn't happen!
Where's this headed James in your opinion?!
There not if so we would be down to below $6
Banksy, Great find! Amgen is our biggest partnership to date? Them just taking the whole ball of wax seems too easy for them at this point! $40 billion in cash? Give us $2 billion and it's all yours! I'm not greedy! That still leaves you with $38 billion to roll around in! Sorry guys but $2 billion is fair enough for me! Especially if it happens this year!
Cattdog, Trying to guess the BO price based on today's share price is insane! FBG,DEW, anyone stating low or high are just grasping at straws! Reality will hit If and when that happens! Value of a company doesn't depend on today's market cap if a FDA approval comes sooner than most here think this could skew the whole buyout senerio! I trust the Tutes will want as much profit as possible! Competitive bidding will begin once EMA approval happens! I would then think FDA approval would be close behind. We're still a year away unless someone caves and makes a solid play on ADXS? Then who knows what could happen?Shorts are dragging there feet until they hear what's really going on here at ADXS? Time is on our side BP ! Take your time because everyday this company becomes more and more valuable as long as trials mirror GOG trials!
Dan wouldn't never be let go because of negative report on trials! Not in his control!
Atilla, that's a bold statement! Maybe at the end of Oct. Depends on who's pulling the string's right now? If a activist investor comes on board this could explode very quickly!
Exactly Fraud! That's why they got rid of Dan they are moving us in another direction! Too many here evidently don't understand our low float? If we get any kinda of approval on our lead construct it legitimizes our whole platform! Do you know how many retail bio technology investors will try to jump in on ADXS? Trust me the share price would soar! It's all about getting approved! Period! I promise you if we get EMA approval this stock with our low float would absolutely skyrocket irregardless if it was worth what people paid at that time. Shorts would be sunk ! I think when ARIA announced there buyout there was 5-6 million shares still short they got burned! It happens they got bought out before approval. Japanese company bought them! What I'm saying is if we go the whole distance and get EMA approval before a total buyout this stock could go to $100 with all the shares that are short! The only hope for shorts if they don't cover is for a very low buyout which I don't think is going to happen! We're too close to fruition and Tutes and Hedges will want full value after this long sorry!
Just because we have a $300,000,000 market cap today doesn't mean we will have a 300 million market cap in 6 months. Time is on our side the longer the wait the more the trial results will have time to keep overall survival and efficacy and safety! We eventually become worth more in the end the longer the wait! That is as long as trials are proving out what our Phase 2 trials did! Don't base buyout offers on today's market cap that is insane! Your not comparing apples to apples your comparing apples to peanuts!
Amgen deal is worth over that now? So our results were the best ever by almost 50% overall survival rate on our clinical data and that's not too good? Just solid? What about anal and head and neck? Am I missing something that I haven't read yet? Tell me how 50% better than SOC isn't significant? We were using it on the people SOC had already failed with? How do you say that's not significant? SOC couldn't help them we were the only game the sickest of the sick? Yet some attained complete responses? Tell that garbage to the survivors after they have been in our clinical trial! What would have been the outcomes of our patients if our vaccine was given early on? Yes FBG I do believe we have a winner here just seems too many want to push us under the rug? Trust me if I had the upper hand in Immunotherapy right now (BMY) I would seriously want to know more about our Lm Therapy and see what is really going on before someone else another BP comes in and buys ADXS out! Everything to me is falling into place I'm not worried about share price anyone can guess that's fine but if we have a game changing platform weather it be our delivery system or our AXAL DUAL someone is going to want it in there Portfolio just like we all have it in ours! Remember just because we have a $300,000,000 valuation now doesn't mean squat in the end It's all about how much is your platform going to be worth once approval comes! Seriously if our platform doesn't work we won't be worth much more than $0.01000. That's the cold hard truth of it but if our platform works really well then $25 a share is a joke! We were more than that before when nothing was approved! Me and my money have been here much too long for a $20-$25 buyout? That would not even get me my R/S money back? I'm guessing $2.5-$3 billion for total buyout and yes Amgen to me would be the BP unless others get involved then watch out it could go for more than everyone could imagine? That's my guess we will just need to wait in a year or do to see! At some point FBG the shorts will have to cover ... 10,000,000. Shares? That's going to be very hard since the float is only 29,000,000. See our $300,000,000. Market Cap is grossly undervalued because of short interest right now if news came out in the next year that we are getting EMA or early FDA approval shorts will cover bring us to $20 a share or more before a buyout now we're going to get at least a 50% bump possibly more could be 100% bump wish would be $40-$50 a share before a buyout! That's where I'm getting my numbers from!
What are you talking about? Pie in the sky is all we're talking about? We're at $6 ? Do you really think that's what we're wort right now? Fraud seriously if we get approval that pie in the sky has has just become a golden goose! R&D companies are all about pie in the sky! Share price is very irrelevant until FDA or EMA approval!
Seems most here forget we've only have a total of 40,000,000 shares? As long as we don't Dilute too much more that's a very low amount ! We only have 29,000,000 in the float! Damage hasn't really been done except he did enrich his self! $20 a share seems very low if we get approval on our lead construct just too many cancers that can be fought with our Lm platform! Pipeline is very robust for a billion dollar total value. Doesn't really matter price per share will take care of itself in the end !
What happens when we get approval? We're still only worth 1 billion? Your entitled to your opinion!
Our deal with Amgen is worth that much? Why wouldn't Amgen just buy us then? That only makes since? No need for anyone else to bid?
Exactly!
Yes me too! If we do bring in a new CEO from a BP bet your butt that they will be the ones buying us out! This will be very interesting! The buyout partner may want there guy in the drivers seat to be able to see everything up close and personal. BP's aren't stupid they don't throw billions at a company without doing there DD!
His first proxy was something like a R/S for 1/200 a share and it got rejected very quick .Then he did the emergency proxy telling and calling shareholders personally that if the didn't vote for the R/S for 1/125 that the company would file for BK! If you remember I too was very disgruntled when he came on and voted for the 1/125 reverse split! Everyone was kinda pissed offed. Donja and a few others were like yeah we need to do this and he got the votes but retailers held the upper hand we had "Zero" Tutes or Hedge Funds at that time! Who was the guy who had like 5 million shares with his family do you remember that guy? What was his handle? He went with the R/S but I believe he sold out after it went to like $11 or so early on before any Tutes bought in? How crazy was it when we ran up on ADRO's coat tails when the IPO came out? Close to $30 a share? I should have sold it all . I sold some but not as much as I should have. Live and learn. Now we've actually got so many irons in the fire and we should legitimately be at least at $20 a share we're down here at $6 a share? So many times I've said share price doesn't reflect true value it's all about market sentiment. Unless of course you have the right people running the show and these people have shown the ability to make sentiment in your favor! We still have a ways to go but at least I feel much better that Dan is gone and others on the board are being vigilant about ADXS and Activist investors have aired there concerns moving forward! I do believe in our science and our ability to get FDA approval and EMA approval now we just need to get back to fair "VALUE" as we have not seen it for years! Analysts have us at $19-$26 a share for years and we're still at $6.50? I promise buying this now is probably the safest bet in the market because the Institutional investors will move this up very soon they are going to gift wrap this up for a BP in the next year and the share price most certainly won't be $6! Take that to the bank! Too many oncologist are amazed at how well the Lm platform is working! Anal cancer, cervical cancer and many more to follow! Head and neck too! I'm very ready for this to push to a head! I feel like I got a giant pimple on my forehead waiting for some relief but it's still there aching to be popped! That's how long I've been here I'm ready for some closure and soon! This thing keeps growing bigger by the day and it's getting more red by the day! Lol! Let's pop this thing and call it a day! Lol sorry if I grossed anyone out by my analogy of my investment in Advaxis! It's very agonizing to say the least!
My guess is Advaxis will address some of the concerns of investors have now that Dan has resigned and Lombardo's is taking the reigns. It wouldn't hurt for the BOD to call a meeting or a conference call to address the new direction ADXS will be taking. I'm sure Tutes and Hedge Funds would be all ears and so would our analysts covering ADXS. A few words from the COB to all investors would definitely go a long way to solidify the change in command . This did take Dan and most here by surprise so the need to step up and tell us what our new CEO is going to do to improve our share price and our EMA submission.
Under the CEO who hired her? Not too much she could say or do when he's the boss? Plus she was gifted a ton for a sign on bonus? Dan threw shares around like he just didn't care. I know you have to get them on board but the amount given could have been much lower than he offered in my opinion.
Yeah I didn't get to ask him much! I'm sure he's not allowed to say much
It will sell for more than $20 a share! Amgen won't allow it if NEO turns out like we all hope it will! That's a very paltry sum to them if they want all the science! Our platform is getting very close to being outright approved. Why in the world would any one be so quick to sell out our unique Lm platform that seems to be showing so much promise for cancer patients? Immunotherapy is the new and upcoming treatment to tackle cancer with little to slight safety side effects. Quality of life is a "Huge" factor to people with metastatic cancers. They realize that remission is usually not coming and want to live the last days of there lives without being sick and tired everyday! We have a solution for a unmet need for late stage cancer patients and the FDA is sitting on there hands allowing too many women to die because this vaccine isn't approved yet! Not everyone can afford to fly to one of Advaxis 's clinical trials. Even though they may be strategically placed not everyone gets this opportunity.
He's keeping them. Already told you that!
MM we're trying to steal shares if they could on Dan's resignation. Not too hard to see there hand in this too! Dan's departure is the best thing if your long just trying to figure out how the shorts are going to cover?
Next week I see us going in a different direction! If they were going to drop it it would have been under $6 today. Cover cheap is going to be kinda hard in my opinion. Where are they going to find 10,000,000 shares to cover? The float is too low?
Atilla, Honestly I was shocked he called me back. When I 1st called him it went straight to voice mail. I thought yep they took his cell phone. Then when he returned the call I was not expecting him to do so? At 1st it was awkward but once he started talking I didn't say much. Honestly he was very surprised that they let him go. I didn't want to pry but you could tell he was reeling from the effect of his resignation. He praised the company and was still very excited about our science so that made me feel good about being here.
$10-$15 million upfront? Then what your saying is this AXAL and DUAL is dogshit? Come on DEW it's got to be worth $100 million for all of Europe please don't belittle our vaccine? Best ever results better than SOC by the GOG Institute? Avastatin is a 1billion a year or more drug? DUAL will go with AXAL . Seems your low balling the unmet need for our vaccine? Something tells me your not a believer in AXAL or DUAL? Am I right? $10-$15 million would be the worst deal ever for our lead construct . Talk about Dan's inability to structure deals that deal would not fly with Tutes or Any of our Institutional investors. I'm pretty sure another resignation would be in order if they did a deal that low? Just my opinion.
I don't care if you believe me? No reason to lie? Not like I'm pumping the stock! Just saying he was definitely blindsided! This was done very quietly and without too many knowing the axe was falling on him. He's moving on and so will we! I mean seriously he got to say 1 paragraph when he departed! You will never hear of him mentioned again at Advaxis. That's corporate America. When things aren't going the way they should be going the CEO's are the 1st head to roll. Question I have was it because of his share grabbing or was it to do with Astra deal at shareholders meeting? I'm not privy to that but it could be an accumulation of mis steps? I still think it's beneficial to longtime shareholders. Dan served his purpose now we need a new leader that can actually move this to approval and or a buyout! Dan I believe wanted to license out all the different constructs and expand the pipeline. Big Money didn't want it that way! They are invested to make the quickest ROI as possible! This stock has been through some thick mud in the last few and restless Tutes and Hedge Funds want to wrap it up and get it ready to the highest bidder! Just my opinion!
AXAL and DUAL will be tied together! DUAL to me is just a better version of AXAL. One goes with the other! Not rocket science here.
Because they will get DUAL too! In EUROPE!
Blue I totally agree with you! I believe the shorts are going to have to cover or get really focused? Things are about to change and I'm very excited for us longtime holders as I'm hoping we get to fair value very soon!