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Real-Time Forex Streamers (2)
http://www.netdania.com/QuoteList.asp
http://www.forex-markets.com/quotes.htm
Fed.(1)2) 2day RP + 5.25B
This repo operation has 1 collateral tranche
Fed.(2) 28day 1day Forward + 20.00B
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http://www.ny.frb.org/markets/omo/dmm/temp.cfm?SHOWMORE=TRUE
Fed.(1)2) 2day RP + 5.25B
This repo operation has 1 collateral tranche
Fed.(2) 28day 1day Forward + 20.00B
The Slosh Report:
http://www.gmtfo.com/RepoReader/OMOps.aspx
http://www.ny.frb.org/markets/omo/dmm/temp.cfm?SHOWMORE=TRUE
Edit: Speech: Chairman Ben S. Bernanke
At the Columbia Business School's 32nd Annual Dinner, New York, New York
May 5, 2008
Mortgage Delinquencies and Foreclosures
Courtesy...Myself
#msg-29050019
My reply: ty ben's speech saw it on your site, l dono but this crap is out of control. more & larger auctions is going to bankrupt usa or get very close to it.
let some of the banks fail, then we may wake up !!
Real-Time Forex Streamers (2)
http://www.netdania.com/QuoteList.asp
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Metals Surge as Rationing Cuts Power at Biggest Mines (Update1)
By Saijel Kishan and Gavin Evans
May 5 (Bloomberg) -- Chile's worst drought in five decades and power rationing from South Africa to China mean the price of aluminum, gold, copper and platinum will keep climbing as the lights go out in the world's biggest mines.
Those governments are being forced to choose whether to reduce power to their 1.4 billion residents or curtail energy supplies to the world's biggest copper, aluminum, platinum and gold factories. The energy used by China's aluminum smelters each week could provide enough power for more than 2 million people for an entire year.
Runaway growth in emerging markets that's squeezing world oil supplies has led to electricity shortages, cutting output of commodities needed for ever-rising demand. Platinum jumped to a record in January after mines in South Africa closed for five days as utilities rationed power. Cobalt gained 58 percent in the past year as production growth in the Democratic Republic of Congo was limited by electricity supply.
``There will be a sustained level of risk from power shortages in the commodities markets,'' said Michael Lewis, London-based global head of commodities research at Deutsche Bank AG. ``We are pricing bigger supply losses as a result.''
Metals are headed for a seventh straight year of price increases even as the worst U.S. housing slump reduced consumption in the world's biggest economy. Investors added $40 billion to funds indexed to commodity prices in the first quarter, more than in all of 2007, Citigroup Inc. estimates.
Platinum, Aluminum
Platinum, used in jewelry and car parts, climbed 25 percent since the end of December to $1,911 an ounce in New York today, while aluminum gained 21 percent to $2,920 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange. Copper climbed 26 percent to $8,410 a tons on the LME.
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., the world's biggest publicly traded copper producer, Cia. Vale do Rio Doce, the largest in iron ore, and gold producer Newmont Mining Corp. all say power shortages threaten to reduce future production.
Rio Tinto Group, the second-biggest aluminum producer, cut output at its New Zealand smelter by 5 percent, or 1,400 metric tons a month, on May 1 because of power constraints caused by drought. Anglo Platinum Ltd., the world's biggest producer of that metal, said April 29 that first-quarter output plunged 24 percent to 428,600 ounces because of cuts in the supply of electricity to its South African mines.
Congo Cobalt
Congo, the world's largest source of cobalt used in batteries and jet engines, asked mining companies May 2 to cut electricity use after power-transmission cables were stolen.
Credit Suisse Group, Switzerland's second-biggest bank by assets, raised its 2008 cobalt forecast by 50 percent to $45 a pound on March 26 because of Congo's electricity shortages. The price was at $48.50 on May 2, according to Metal Bulletin data.
The mining industry and the analysts that follow it have underestimated the extent of supply disruptions from strikes and power shortages, Rio Tinto Chief Economist Vivek Tulpule said April 21.
``Those phenomena will persist,'' Tulpule said. ``It wouldn't surprise me to see prices for some of the base metals continue to rise.''
Smelting aluminum uses about four times as much power as for copper and more than twice that of zinc, according to Barclays Capital. About 80 percent of world aluminum smelting capacity is in nations at risk of electricity shortages, according to Citigroup.
Structural Challenge
``Problems in South Africa and China with electrical capacity are not just bad luck, but result from a lack of investment,'' said Kevin Norrish, commodity research director at Barclays. ``Energy availability in the next 10 years is going to be a very important issue to the mining sector. We see these as structural changes, not cyclical changes.''
China built 549.3 billion yuan ($79 billion) of generators and power lines last year, according to state officials. Accelerating demand will tighten the nation's power supply again within two years, according to Citigroup, which estimates shortages there cut first-quarter copper output by 40,000 tons, zinc by 125,000 tons and aluminum by 600,000 tons.
``We're not going to solve these power shortages without new facilities,'' said Evy Hambro, who manages BlackRock Inc.'s $17 billion World Mining Fund in London.
Electricity Supplies Thin
Electricity supplies remain ``tight'' in more than half of China, the nation's top economic planner said last week, adding that warm weather may cut hydropower output this summer. Energy shortages in South Africa, the world's largest source of platinum, may last seven years, state-owned utility Eskom Holdings Ltd. forecasts. Rationing there looks likely until new power plants start up in 2012, Goldman Sachs JBWere Pty said.
``We've been through a period of 20 years when there hasn't been much built in terms of new capacity,'' said Tim Barker, who helps manage more than $54 billion of assets at BT Financial Group in Sydney. ``We're probably reaping the reward of that lack of foresight.''
Eskom is cutting electricity across cities and rationing power to industry including BHP Billiton Ltd. and Anglo Platinum, which mines a third of the world's supply of the metal. South Africa produces 10 percent of the world's gold and 78 percent of its platinum.
Chile, the world's biggest copper producer, faces the risk of energy rationing after the worst drought in 50 years lowered hydropower reserves amid a shortage of natural gas for generators.
Copper Outlook
Copper may have further to increase. In inflation-adjusted terms, the price hasn't yet reached a record, according to Barclays. In real terms, the metal is trading close to levels last seen a century ago, when the U.S. economy was expanding and the nation was being wired for electricity.
China, which is making a similar transformation, is building power stations and transmission lines that are exacerbating deficits in metals supply. As much as 80 percent of China's grid investment is spent on copper, said Yuan Genfa, secretary general of the Shanghai Electric Wire & Cable Industry Association.
``Over 50 percent of China's copper use is electrical use,'' said Na Liu, director of Institutional Equity at Scotia Capital Inc. ``The electricity grid, for the most part, is copper wire.''
Chile may be forced to limit power use for the first time since 1999 because drought reduced water levels at hydroelectric reservoirs, said Mauricio Canas, an analyst at research company Penta Estrategia & Inversiones in Santiago.
Government policies put in place this year to ease power demand, such as lowering electricity voltage, may not be enough to avert rationing if the drought persists, Canas said. Codelco and Freeport, the world's two biggest copper producers, have mines in provinces vulnerable to drought-related rationing.
``There just hasn't been enough planning to accommodate the growth of Asia's economies,'' said Francisco Blanch, London-based global head of commodities research at Merrill Lynch & Co. ``To allow China and India to have a middle class, we need to go back to the drawing board and boost investments in power infrastructure. And if this doesn't happen, we're going to see even more brown- outs.''
To contact the reporters on this story: Saijel Kishan in London at skishan@bloomberg.net; Gavin Evans in Wellington at gavinevans@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: May 5, 2008 00:25 EDT
Futures (2) + World Indices
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Fed to auction $75 bln 28-day loans under TAF program
10:49 AM ET, May 05, 2008 - By Greg Robb
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The Federal Reserve said Monday it will auction $75 billion of 28-day loans at a minimum bid rate of 2.00% under its term auction facility. The TAF program is designed to inject liquidity into the inter-bank funding markets. Banks have been relunctant to lend to each other as they need to shore up their balance sheets in the wake of the subprime mortgage crisis. The auction will be held later Monday and the results will be announced on Tuesday.
Fed. 1day RP + 11.00B [Net Giveth + 2.00B
The Slosh Report:
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http://www.ny.frb.org/markets/omo/dmm/temp.cfm?SHOWMORE=TRUE
Fed. 1day RP + 11.00B [Net Giveth + 2.00B
The Slosh Report:
http://www.gmtfo.com/RepoReader/OMOps.aspx
http://www.ny.frb.org/markets/omo/dmm/temp.cfm?SHOWMORE=TRUE
Goldcorp First Quarter Earnings Increase 84%
Monday May 5, 8:30 am ET
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(MARKET WIRE)--May 5, 2008 -- All Amounts in $US unless stated otherwise
GOLDCORP INC. (Toronto:G.TO - News)(NYSE:GG - News) today reported net earnings of $229.5 million, or $0.32 per share, for the quarter ended March 31, 2008, an increase of 84% over net earnings in the first quarter of 2007. Adjusted net earnings(1) doubled to $164.7 million, or $0.23 per share, compared to $82.8 million, or $0.12 per share, in the same period a year ago.
ADVERTISEMENT
First Quarter 2008 Highlights:
- Revenues increased 32% to $626.7 million on gold production of 521,900 ounces.
- Total cash costs of $240 per gold ounce(2), net of by-product copper and silver credits.
- Cash margin growth of 60% outpaced a 43% increase in realized gold price of $932 per ounce.
- Operating cash flow increased 35% to $239.1 million, before changes in working capital(3).
- Paid $31.9 million in dividends.
- Completed sale of Silver Wheaton shares for $1.6 billion.
"Goldcorp's Latin American assets were our strongest performers against a backdrop of record-high realized gold prices in the first quarter," said Kevin McArthur, President and Chief Executive Officer. "The results of Los Filos mine were particularly encouraging in its first full quarter of commercial production, contributing to Goldcorp's status as the largest gold producer in Mexico. Marlin mine also exceeded expectations in the quarter, continuing the trend of quarterly production growth. This performance combined with low cash costs for the quarter of $240 per ounce, resulted in a 60% growth in cash margins, providing our shareholders with excellent exposure to gold price increases.
"At Penasquito, we saw excellent progress in the construction of our largest asset. With over $920 million already invested and committed in the project, we remain confident in our total capital expenditure estimate of $1.5 billion. Heap leaching is now underway and the project remains on schedule for the first gold pour from oxide ore in 2008.
"The Canadian mines experienced a slow start to the year. Looking to the balance of 2008, our plan calls for increased production quarter-over-quarter, reflecting our overall growth profile. With seasonal issues and operational challenges at some of our Canadian mines largely behind us, higher production is anticipated in the later portion of the year."
http://biz.yahoo.com/iw/080505/0393465.html
Goldcorp First Quarter Earnings Increase 84%
Monday May 5, 8:30 am ET
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(MARKET WIRE)--May 5, 2008 -- All Amounts in $US unless stated otherwise
GOLDCORP INC. (Toronto:G.TO - News)(NYSE:GG - News) today reported net earnings of $229.5 million, or $0.32 per share, for the quarter ended March 31, 2008, an increase of 84% over net earnings in the first quarter of 2007. Adjusted net earnings(1) doubled to $164.7 million, or $0.23 per share, compared to $82.8 million, or $0.12 per share, in the same period a year ago.
ADVERTISEMENT
First Quarter 2008 Highlights:
- Revenues increased 32% to $626.7 million on gold production of 521,900 ounces.
- Total cash costs of $240 per gold ounce(2), net of by-product copper and silver credits.
- Cash margin growth of 60% outpaced a 43% increase in realized gold price of $932 per ounce.
- Operating cash flow increased 35% to $239.1 million, before changes in working capital(3).
- Paid $31.9 million in dividends.
- Completed sale of Silver Wheaton shares for $1.6 billion.
"Goldcorp's Latin American assets were our strongest performers against a backdrop of record-high realized gold prices in the first quarter," said Kevin McArthur, President and Chief Executive Officer. "The results of Los Filos mine were particularly encouraging in its first full quarter of commercial production, contributing to Goldcorp's status as the largest gold producer in Mexico. Marlin mine also exceeded expectations in the quarter, continuing the trend of quarterly production growth. This performance combined with low cash costs for the quarter of $240 per ounce, resulted in a 60% growth in cash margins, providing our shareholders with excellent exposure to gold price increases.
"At Penasquito, we saw excellent progress in the construction of our largest asset. With over $920 million already invested and committed in the project, we remain confident in our total capital expenditure estimate of $1.5 billion. Heap leaching is now underway and the project remains on schedule for the first gold pour from oxide ore in 2008.
"The Canadian mines experienced a slow start to the year. Looking to the balance of 2008, our plan calls for increased production quarter-over-quarter, reflecting our overall growth profile. With seasonal issues and operational challenges at some of our Canadian mines largely behind us, higher production is anticipated in the later portion of the year."
http://biz.yahoo.com/iw/080505/0393465.html
EMCORE Receives $28 Million Order for Concentrator Solar Cell Receivers from ES System in Korea
Monday May 5, 8:00 am ET
Accelerated deployment of solar farms in Korea drives increased demand for EMCORE's Concentrating Photovoltaic (CPV) products
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/080505/nym077.html?.v=101
ALBUQUERQUE, N.M., May 5 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- EMCORE Corporation (Nasdaq: EMKR - News) a leading provider of Semi-conductor-based components and subsystems for the broadband, fiber-optic, satellite and terrestrial solar power markets, announced today that it has entered into a $28 million definitive supply agreement with ES System of Gwang-Ju, South Korea, for solar cell receivers to be fielded in fully licensed and funded solar farms in South Korea. This agreement incorporates an advance deposit to ensure production priority, and will enable the installation of 70 megawatts (MW) of solar farms. Production for this order has commenced and shipments are scheduled to occur over the next 24 months with the provisions for accelerated deliveries as well as future purchase options under the same terms.
W@G1 QQQQ 05/05/08 for a 05/07/08 close
48.20 frenchee
47.75 bob3
46.50 rayrohn
Weekly Wrap: Briefing.com
Last Update: 02-May-08 16:53 ET
There were five trading sessions this week, but for the most part it ended up being a three-day work week. That's because things didn't get really interesting for market participants until Wednesday.
Sure, there was the news Monday that Mars is going to buy Wrigley (WWY) for approximately $23 billion and the news Tuesday that Mastercard (MA) had a blowout quarterly earnings report, but that, and other items like the FDA shooting down a new cholesterol drug from Merck (MRK), led to a James Bond-like trade in that the indices were shaken, but not stirred.
The stirring action was reserved for the latter part of the week, which brought the Q1 GDP report, the FOMC meeting and the April employment data. In addition, it also brought some noteworthy movement in the dollar and some volatile activity in the commodity arena.
If there was a theme to be identified beneath the action, it was one of reassurance. Specifically, there was reassurance that the economy isn't nearly as bad off as has been advertised. That said it's important not to confuse the message here. The economy isn't very good right now, but clearly, the recession so many alarmists have been talking about remains quiescent.
To begin, first quarter GDP was up 0.6%, driven by a 1% increase in personal consumption expenditures. Contrary to popular belief, the consumer continues to spend in the face of rising gas prices, falling home prices and declines in payrolls.
Importantly, the trends in personal spending, business investment and net exports suggest real GDP growth for the second quarter should be close to flat, but that is without the fiscal stimulus. The latter will provide a meaningful boost to consumer spending that should lead to real GDP growth in the range of 1% to 2%. In brief, things are shaping up in such a way that there won't be a decline in real GDP for any quarter this cycle.
The Fed appears to be feeling better about the economy's prospects, too. After cutting the fed funds rate Wednesday another 25 basis points to 2.00%, it issued a directive that was different in tone from prior directives. In particular, the directive omitted a prior reference to the idea that "downside risks to growth remain."
The Fed's statement acknowledged some indicators of inflation expectations have picked up, yet it stuck with its view that it expects inflation to moderate in coming quarters.
Overall, the Fed's directive implied it would now be in a wait-and-see mode and that the rate-setting committee would act in appropriate fashion to incoming data. However, in removing the downside risk phrase, the Fed left the impression that it would like to believe it is at the end of its rate-cutting cycle.
The stock market was in rally-mode ahead of the Fed decision and got an added boost shortly after the headlines hit the wires. In striking fashion, though, it sold off sharply late in the day and ended Wednesday in negative territory. The knee-jerk explanation was that there was disappointment in the directive and the idea that the Fed didn't sound more hawkish on inflation.
That explanation didn't fly with us seeing that the inflation-sensitive back end of the Treasury curve rallied after the decision.
Other probable causes for the sudden turn of events included the inability of the S&P 500 to hold above a key technical resistance point at 1400 and month-end selling activity. Whatever the case may have been, Thursday's trading action quickly confirmed that we were right to be skeptical of the mainstream excuse for the selling.
On Thursday the S&P 500 jumped 1.7% while the Nasdaq Composite soared 2.8%. Huge gains in the financial and technology sectors powered the advance, as did a noticeable drop in commodity prices that were impacted by a strengthening dollar.
For the week the dollar index advanced 1.0% while the CRB Commodity Index, which tracks 19 different commodities, slipped 2.3%. The CRB Index had been down as much as 5.0% for the week at its low on Thursday. Oil prices, which nearly hit $120 per barrel last Friday, dipped to $110.30 on Friday before rallying back sharply to close the week at $116.32. Gold prices, meanwhile, fell 3.6% to $862.10 per ounce.
The dollar's strength was rooted in the assumption that the Fed is likely done with cutting interest rates. The Fed showed Friday, though, that it isn't done with its efforts to improve liquidity to ease the pressures in some term funding markets. It raised the amounts available for depository institutions at its biweekly Term Auction Facility from $50 billion to $75 billion and said it will now accept AAA/Aaa rated asset-backed securities at its Term Securities Lending Facility Auctions.
Market participants seemed pleased with the Fed's announcement, but their focus Friday was primarily on the April employment report, which was better than expected on most fronts.
Nonfarm payrolls declined 20K (consensus -75K), the unemployment rate fell to 5.0% from 5.1% (consensus 5.2%), hourly earnings rose just 0.1% (consensus 0.3%) and the average workweek dipped a tenth of a point to an expected 33.7 hours.
The nonfarm payroll decline is statistically insignificant on a base of 137.8 million workers, but it was quite significant in that it indicated there hasn't been a deterioration in payroll trends, which is what is typically seen in recessions. There has been a 260K decline in nonfarm payrolls the last four months or an average of 65K. In the 2001 recession nonfarm payrolls declined 281K in the month of April alone.
Like the message we conveyed earlier, this employment report is not indicative of a strong economy. Still, in the context of eradicating the worst economic fears, it was very supportive.
The stock market made a nice move in the wake of the jobs report, but succumbed to some week-end selling interest that pared its gains considerably. Nonetheless, the market ended Friday's session higher to close out what technicians will see as a breakout week with the S&P 500 ending above 1400 and at its highest level since January.
--Patrick J. O'Hare, Briefing.com
Fed. Ops: 52.00B Matures this week.
Mon: 9.00B 3day
Wed: 20.00B 28day
Thu:
5.00B 14day
18.00B 7day
================================================
Temp Ops:
Perm Ops:
========================================================
Public Debt:
Limit ~ $9,815 T
5/01 ~~ $9,346 T
=========================================================
The Slosh Report:
http://www.gmtfo.com/RepoReader/OMOps.aspx
http://www.ny.frb.org/markets/omo/dmm/temp.cfm?SHOWMORE=TRUE
Fed. Ops: 52.00B Matures this week.
Mon: 9.00B 3day
Wed: 20.00B 28day
Thu:
5.00B 14day
18.00B 7day
================================================
Temp Ops:
Perm Ops:
========================================================
Public Debt:
Limit ~ $9,815 T
5/01 ~~ $9,346 T
=========================================================
The Slosh Report:
http://www.gmtfo.com/RepoReader/OMOps.aspx
http://www.ny.frb.org/markets/omo/dmm/temp.cfm?SHOWMORE=TRUE
Contrary Investor: Slowly I Turned
May 2008
http://www.contraryinvestor.com/mo.htm
Nice win never in doubt
S&P downgrades Countrywide Financial to 'BB+/B'
2:20 PM ET, May 02, 2008 - By Sue Chang
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) --
Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said Friday it lowered ratings on Countrywide Financial Corp. and Countrywide Home Loans Inc. to BB+/B from BBB+/A-2. The move was due to the disclosure from Bank of America Thursday that there is no assurance that any of Countrywide's debt will be "redeemed, assumed, or guaranteed" after their pending merger, according to the ratings agency. All of Countrywide's ratings are on CreditWatch Developing due to the uncertainty over the legal status of Countrywide's creditors after the union. Any rating below 'BBB' is deemed "not investment grade" by S&P.
not a good thing
Gold~ Silver~ HUI~ XAU~ US$~ €uro~ Crude~Pd
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Refresh anytime during the day.
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Fed. 3day RP + 9.00B [net Drain -6.25B ]
The Slosh Report:
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yep huge increase, market goes up imo
Don Coxe interview on BNN TV (4/30/08 8:24 mins)
Says he is much more concerned with food inflation than energy inflation.
http://watch.bnn.ca/#clip49664
Courtesy....Basserdan
Don Coxe interview on BNN TV (4/30/08 8:24 mins)
Says he is much more concerned with food inflation than energy inflation.
http://watch.bnn.ca/#clip49664
Courtesy....Basserdan
bob holds head in shame, stopped out
DIA...33% down the drain..chit
Fed.(2)3) 7day RP + 18.00B [net add +7.75B ]
Fed. (3) 1day RP + 7.00B
The Slosh Report:
http://www.gmtfo.com/RepoReader/OMOps.aspx
NationWide Digital Monitoring Co. Partners with Smith & Wesson To Deliver Innovative Security Services Program
Thursday May 1, 9:00 am ET
Exclusive Licensing Agreement Equips Security System Dealers With Smith & Wesson Brand Electronic Alarm Products
SPRINGFIELD, Mass., May 1 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation (Nasdaq: SWHC - News), parent company of Smith & Wesson Corp., the legendary 156-year old company in the global business of safety, security, protection and sport, announced today that it has entered into an exclusive licensing agreement with NationWide Digital Monitoring Co., Inc., a division of New York Merchants Protective Co., Inc., and a premier provider of security system products and services.
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/080501/lath520.html?.v=7
Target = 126
[NationWide Digital Monitoring Co. Partners with Smith & Wesson To Deliver Innovative Security Services Program
Thursday May 1, 9:00 am ET
Exclusive Licensing Agreement Equips Security System Dealers With Smith & Wesson Brand Electronic Alarm Products
SPRINGFIELD, Mass., May 1 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation (Nasdaq: SWHC - News), parent company of Smith & Wesson Corp., the legendary 156-year old company in the global business of safety, security, protection and sport, announced today that it has entered into an exclusive licensing agreement with NationWide Digital Monitoring Co., Inc., a division of New York Merchants Protective Co., Inc., and a premier provider of security system products and services.
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/080501/lath520.html?.v=7
May DAWQV 126s
Fed. 14day RP + 5.00B [Flat soFar ]
The Slosh Report:
http://www.gmtfo.com/RepoReader/OMOps.aspx
Thanx Guys just plane luck but
l had a dream they run it up for Ben so on 2nd stall @ 3:01 l opened some DIA puts.
Nice family there, love dogs.
OT: DIA puts on 2nd move south.
same here but the flyers r in up draft
l thought my wag was bit high.
Fed. 1day RP + 5.25B [Net Drain 0.75B ]
The Slosh Report:
http://www.gmtfo.com/RepoReader/OMOps.aspx
Fed. 1day RP + 5.25B [Net Drain 0.75B ]
The Slosh Report:
http://www.gmtfo.com/RepoReader/OMOps.aspx
W@G2 QQQQ 04/30/08 for a 05/02/08 close
47.50 bob3
47.00 rayrohn
46.50 frenchee
Futures (2) + World Indices
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Updates every 60sec ~ Watch the dates!!
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