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VWave for the Week of December 20th
Individual stocks: 63.79
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 42.53
Oscillator: 1.87
Hi Tom..
Yup..we seem to be stuck on that 63.79 seven straight weeks. Your technical analysis individual sounds a little bit like a 'sell to the greedy' person!
I have a quote that I picked up from Dan Sullivan about 25 years ago that I often reread when I start to think about making something as simple as AIM more complex.
'Over the years we have listened to inordinately bright young men and women explain the most complicated and clearly sophisticated trading systems. These are systems that they have labored over, nurtured, expended huge amounts of money and time upon, but rarely make money for those employing them. Complexity breeds confusion; simplicity breeds an ability to make decisions swiftly, and to admit error when wrong. Simplicity breeds elegance.' To me that is AIM.
He goes on to say, 'The greatest traders/investors we've had the honor to know over the years continue to employ the simplest trading schemes. They draw simple trend lines (i.e. 26 week MA), they see and act on simple technical signals, they react swiftly and they attribute it to their knowledge gained over the years that complexity is the home of the young and untested.'
VWave for the Week of December 13th
Individual stocks: 63.79
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 42.53
Oscillator: 2.07
VWave for the Week of December 6th
Individual stocks: 63.79
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 42.53
Oscillator: 2.19
Thanks, Grabber.
And the best to you and your family this Thanksgiving.
Jon
VWave for the Week of November 29th
Individual stocks: 63.79
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 42.53
Oscillator: 2.37
HAPPY THANKSGIVING!
Hi Tom..
"I guess we have to sit by and await the arrival of the carpet cleaners!"
Most Definitely. As long as we don't get taken to the cleaners!
Take care.
Jon
VWave for the Week of November 22nd
Individual stocks: 63.79
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 42.53
Oscillator: 2.55
VWave for the Week of November 15th
Individual stocks: 63.79
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 42.53
Oscillator: 2.79
VWave for the Week of November 8th
Individual stocks: 63.79
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 42.53
Oscillator: 2.98
VWave for the Week of October 25th
Individual stocks: 63.79
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 42.53
Oscillator: 3.22
VWave for the Week of October 25th
Individual stocks: 62.63
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 41.49
Oscillator: 1.92
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 60 (Greed) Scale 1-100
KUDOS TO THE GRAND WIZARD!!
VWave for the Week of October 18th
Individual stocks: 60.67
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 40.45
Oscillator: .51
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 33 (Fear) Scale 1-100
VWave for the Week of October 11th
Individual stocks: 62.23
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 41.49
Oscillator: 2.11
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 29 (Fear) Scale 1-100
VWave for the Week of October 4th
Individual stocks: 62.23
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 41.49
Oscillator: 2.28
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 31 (Fear) Scale 1-100
HAPPY BIRTHDAY, TOM!
They certainly seem to be coming at a faster rate!
Have a great day.
Jon
VWave for the Week of September 27th
Individual stocks: 62.23
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 41.49
Oscillator: 2.46
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 51 (Neutral) Scale 1-100
VWave for the Week of September 20th
Individual stocks: 62.23
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 41.49
Oscillator: 2.66
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 51 (Neutral) Scale 1-100
Hi TOOF..
I look at it as the risk level was slightly lower than last week. Since we started tracking the VWave in July 2007, the oscillator has given us a low of -22.66 on 12/5/2008 (pretty close to the March 2009 bottom) and a high of 12.27 on 5/15/2009.
Take care.
Jon
VWave for the Week of September 13th
PLEASE NOTE: NEXT WEEK'S VWAVE WILL BE POSTED ON TUESDAY
Individual stocks: 59.10
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 39.40
Oscillator: -.26
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 43 (Fear) Scale 1-100
VWave for the Week of September 6th
Individual stocks: 60.67
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 40.45
Oscillator: 1.29
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 32 (Fear) Scale 1-100
Thank you, Tom. And for reminding me once again that AIM is really a labor of love!
Hope you are enjoying your weekend.
Take care.
Jon
That's great, Tom. I know that kind of research can be tedious. Certainly appreciated and good luck at the university.
Take care.
Jon
VWave for the Week of August 30th
Individual stocks: 60.67
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 40.45
Oscillator: 1.39
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 32 (Fear) Scale 1-100
Congratulations, FB400.
Some people watch their investments so they can retire;
Others retire so they can watch their investments.
Take care.
Jon
VWave for the Week of August 23rd
Individual stocks: 60.67
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 40.45
Oscillator: 1.50
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 41 (Fear) Scale 1-100
VWave for the Week of August 16th
Individual stocks: 62.23
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 41.49
Oscillator: 3.18
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 44 (Fear) Scale 1-100
VWave for the Week of August 9th
Individual stocks: 60.67
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 40.45
Oscillator: 1.87
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 60 (Greed) Scale 1-100
Hi Ray..
Thanks for posting the moving average. Another variable to consider if starting an AIM program.
Take care.
Jon
Hi TF..
That's actually the highest reading on the VWave since 7/13/2007.
Take care.
Jon
Hi Daisy..
Couple of weeks ago in Barron's 'ETF Focus' column, there was mention of how badly the gold-mining ETFs had performed the first half of the year. Noting that while gold lost 27% in the first half, more 'speculative miners' such as GLDX were down 57%. However, Brendan Conway mentions a gold ETF that was only down -3.3% in the first half: RBS Gold Trendpilot (TBAR). He states that 'the price of this unusual investment has hovered abound $28 for more than 4 months. That's because it is built to switch to three-month Treasury bills once gold's price spends five straight days below the 200 day moving average, which happened in February.' Interesting.
Take care.
Jon
VWave for the Week of August 2nd
Individual stocks: 62.23
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 41.49
Oscillator: 3.58
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 67 (Greed) Scale 1-100
VWave for the Week of July 26th
Individual stocks: 60.67
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 40.45
Oscillator: 2.29
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 63 (Greed) Scale 1-100
VWave for the Week of July 19th
Individual stocks: 60.67
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 40.45
Oscillator: 2.49
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 56 (Greed) Scale 1-100
VWave for the Week of July 12th
Individual stocks: 59.10
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 39.4
Oscillator: 1.12
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 28 (Fear) Scale 1-100
VWave for the Week of July 5th
Individual stocks: 57.54
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: -.35
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 17 (Extreme Fear) Scale 1-100
RE: VWave for the week of July 5th
There will be a couple day delay in the posting of the VWave and the Fear and Greed index next week. Gone fishin'
HAPPY 4th of July!
VWave for the Week of June 28th
Individual stocks: 59.10
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 39.4
Oscillator: 1.18
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 18 (Extreme Fear) Scale 1-100
VWave for the Week of June 21st
Individual stocks: 59.10
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 39.4
Oscillator: 1.27
CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index: 25 (Extreme Fear) Scale 1-100