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CBMX autoprofit exit @ 3.17 11.94% thanks RTN
MSTX Thanks much Sheff for the headsup <link back>- just opened Schwab this morning to find:
8:08AM Mast Therapeutics Provides Additional Results From Nonclinical Heart Failure Study; Statistically significant and durable reductions in troponin and NT-proBNP (MSTX) 0.81 : Co announced new data from its randomized, placebo-controlled, nonclinical study of MST-188 (low dose and high dose) in a model of chronic heart failure. The Company previously announced that a single, two-hour infusion of MST-188 improved left ventricular systolic function that was significant immediately and remained significant at one week after MST-188 administration. In particular, MST-188 demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in left ventricular ejection fraction, end-systolic volume, stroke volume and cardiac output.
NUGT Continue Strength - Article 2/17
http://www.kitco.com/news/2014-02-17/Dollar-Follow-Through-Chinese-Buying-Push-Gold-To-Highest-Level-Since-Oct.html
Hi Cabos - you got a 50:1 reverse and still stayed green, Kudos, many can't say that! After your selling at 8.5 ( which converts to .17 presplit). You came out whole+.
I am just swing trading this one for a while and when it dipped into the low $7s a bit ago I bought then dumped slightly under you're sale price. I think many of us are now light green but few are dark green, I am LT medium green. lol with 3 trades total. If I trade properly this next time that should be improved, would love to beat my personal best thus far on it, which was last time.
BOL
LJPC Exited $8.40 @15.8% gain
See below
trade2much Member Level Monday, 02/10/14 04:16:29 PM
Re: $heff post# 77305
Post # of 77519
LJPC entered 2/7 @7.25 - on a presplit basis this would be .145 per share. I had gotten in and out once before with very close to a $0 net result and had exited when the post split price trading was not looking good imo.
Hopefully this will be loaded shortly and move forward. Time will tell.
BOL
T2M
NUGT and AGQ are both doing well. It has been a while for these but they finally are moving up.
Sheff I saw that, 30% in 1 day is a very nice move for you for sure.
SYN Sheff Very nice 30%+move in 24hrs - I missed the boat on it but not chasing it. Kudos on the gain!
T2M
Hi easy - have had this for some time now. Volume seems to be waking as of late and more of a prolonged basis. 5day MA for volume is up about 38% over the 20 which is a good sign. A few days of 2x the 20MA for vol and we should be over that .01 resistance area. JMHO as we know volume will bring eyes on it, so if it holds then we should move.
BOL 2 US
T2M
DRTX Bob S.- from ure lips to God's ear. I believe the logic though!
DRTX Nice find B.S. strong article!
In reply to:
DRTX $12.85 new filing out.... New 5% ownership....
http://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=nmona&article=61057801
TY for the article
T2M
VTUS Caught many of us by surprise, what a hole it made this morning.
Short Squeeze Not sure when that will occur, probably when insiders start buying the stock on the open market (watch Form 4s if they do), or they issue a special stock Divy. We had Littlefield buy some a while back but I haven't seen anything since, so far it is a crappy trade for him unless he did a short term option flip right after he bought, lol.
CLNE with the 25%+ short of float position this ranks as one of the top shorted stocks, so when you see the sharks circling article I guess it is not surprising. Every dog has its day; just depends on whether management deems it in their interest or not. For now they sure don't need to exercise options, unless they are due to expire. Imho this who thing has been orchestrated to attack a heavily shorted stock drag the price down further for a gradual covering by shorts. Could well be wrong but I would not doubt it will go back before too long, if the market holds. jmho
Shows how much difference the State of the Union ref NG in cars made. We were better off before he mentioned it.
http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=clne
P yes seems to be some strong faith there. Today listed are 3 Form 4 insider buys at 5.34 you might take a look at, though not too huge they are better than a stick in the eye.
T2M
P no idea on any potential offering, as we know it is always a possibility but they do have a fair bit of COH 82M and I don't see debt here or on yahoo.
So imo it may come down to cash burn and vs existing revenue generated. Have to check those out more/
http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=orex
OREX Hi P - I'm in with ya @ 6.69 BOL I think we should be fine with a great upcoming catalyst, if it dips again I have another entry to make.
MELY Thinking the bottom is in .0012, so I rolled the dice. The chart looks like it is a very good support area any way. Thinking today will be the start of a nice leg north, if not we are super close to a reversal. jmho
BOL to all of us holders
T2M
LJPC entered 2/7 @7.25 - on a presplit basis this would be .145 per share. I had gotten in and out once before with very close to a $0 net result and had exited when the post split price trading was not looking good imo.
Hopefully this will be loaded shortly and move forward. Time will tell.
BOL
T2M
bajasta - yes and it sure gave GM a ton of $ in 08-09 much of which still has not been paid back, and only went to pensions. Then too Solyndra got a ton and it was a the President's boondoggle among others.
Govn't all but guaranteed GE stock in 08/09 when Buffet bought a ton of its newly issued Preffered stock (unavailable to retail, I tried to get some and they would not sell it to retail, it was at like 9%+ return and I believe it was cummulative if I recall.
Yes they do get involved a lot, much of the time though they just like to gamble with taxpayer money after they have regulated the hell out of an industry and can get personal gain out of the gambling. Google a chart on the Govn't regulation growth for presidents you will see it is currently 2x++ what it has ever been with past presidents. Some good, most ideological, with the consumer paying the bill for the increased cost and job loss, since corps merely pass through taxes to us on there product cost.
Rather a sickening mess and it has been for a while now.
BOL
T2M
whassup - imho the diesel market will not just roll over and die, although CLNE and us stock holders wish it would. So simple economics come in to play. The hugely critical Govn't subsidy for engine conversion is an ongoing fight between the powerful lobbies; if Congress does not vote it in, then the cost of conversion is born by the companies rather than the taxpayer/Govn't, hence the rate of conversion is slowed.
Jmho but this is always a chicken and egg situation. Imho, either you have plenty of stations, or it is difficult to fuel up, and ifff the cost of conversion is high, then the rate rate of market penetration is slowed. That rate also being wildly affected also by the fluctuations with cost of diesel vs NG.
I submit this is merely a process not an event! It will merely take time, but is very probable, unless another very low cost alternative fuel is developed very soon within 5 years.
* Jmvho - Rate of expansion for CLNE = EPA + Cost of Fuel + # of stations + cost of conversion + Subsidies.
Currently the consumer is paying more for almost every product transported by the diesel 18 wheeler, disposable income of the American family is affected by the cost of diesel. Heating costs are artificially very high due to diesel supply. If conversion takes place rapidly the cost of heating and cooling and many other products should be reduced. The American Consumer should ultimately be the winner if CLNE wins the fight, jmho
For now, the shorts are attacking with a vengence, so either the stock issues a stock dividend or makes money or we are faced with this baloney a while longer.
DJI <link back> Seems to be responding like the chart indicated it probably would.
The DJI is today getting higher highs and higher lows retracing back up.
Volume is less than 1/2 of the 20MA so the conviction of move could be stronger but a gain is a gain if it holds to close.
I have edged out of some of my short etf positions today maintaining a 3-4% loss, since "the trend is your friend" and over all the Dow has been on a climb north.
Appears so far, last couple of days, this has been just a dip and not really a correction, if so it should climb more next week on better volumes. Today's closing volume will be an indicator of conviction for the move .
109M shares norm 20MA vol for the DJI Ave stocks currently it is trading 37.4M so it is fairly week at 12:09, but I would imagine many are wondering if this is a headfake or a real dip and move up.
BOL all - Bios on % terms are up 3% on BTK while Dow is on up .57%
DJI jobs report is out and the Dow Futures are up 80, as I write, good sign for the open being +++ now we shall see the digestion process and if it holds.
Seems like the market is relieved, perhaps figuring weak economy no more QE tightening beyond the 10% it is at.
Wow bad news on jobs, is good for the Dow, I suppose since easy money is not shut off more by the FED that is good for the Dow. Good economic news is ?? The Dow seems to take the FED's holding action as getting stronger due to crappy jobs #s as candy to the Dow.
What a mess, constantly more unfunded debt but a higher Dow. Wonder when this bubble bursts.
DJI <link back> Dow priced in 180,000 new jobs in Jan - report just out today,
Yahoo: 8:33AM S&P futures vs fair value: -8.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -11.50. (WRAPX) : The S&P 500 futures fell to lows following a below-consensus nonfarm payrolls report. Futures on the S&P 500 currently trade nine points below fair value.
January nonfarm payrolls came in at 113,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 175,000. Nonfarm private payrolls added 142,000 against the 161,000 expected by the consensus. The unemployment rate fell to 6.6% while the consensus expected a reading of 6.7%.
Hourly earnings increased 0.2%, in-line with expectations. The average workweek was reported at 34.4 against the 34.5 expected by the consensus."
www.chicagotribune.com/business/breaking/chi-january-jobs-report-20140207,0,5876546.story
http://www.businessinsider.com/january-jobs-report-preview-2014-2
DJI Chart Problem imo is the volume today was a bit less than the 20MA vol. Imho, at this point look for confirmation price and volume= higher high and higher lows tomorrow vs today.
That is if it is going to retrace up. On the surface it looks good and if it was an individual stock I would buy it now and early enter, buttttt better wait and confirm with volume tomorrow and higher high and higher low. If it confirms by late day I will be likely be tightening my stops on my short ETFS, for now they are mostly negative 2%-3% and if need be that will be cheap insurance.. I have more long than short, so I prefer the market to go up, but we shall see. I may then buy similar instruments except on the bull side vs the bear side.
Important to avoid headfakes since it seems to be at an inflection point.
The AVE TOT DOW P/E 2/5/2014 is 14.95 - at the higher end of the 10-18 P/E range which I look at. I like to see it around 12-13 but beggars can't be choosers. As we get closer to the 18 and toppy then any potentially negative news takes a bigger toll when announced, seems like it to me anyway.
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3021-peyield.html
Sheff - TY - we may have got a few of us thinking about the situation.
No matter whether the bio index out corrects the DOW or Vise Versa we still need to do some hedging to protect ourselves. jmho
Mart"s point of the sector being somewhat overheated is certainly valid relative and consequently it is apt to over correct the general market assuming its more overheated than the general market. The severity of any correction in any sector or the general market will usually be tied to that variable.
I have always found it interesting that you can find the average P/E of the total Dow and see where it sits - 10-18, one end is usually when the market is way off in the toilet or during a recession, and undervalued, and one is when closer to the toppy ready to correct area. CNBC will occasionally put out info like that.
Thanks again
T2M
Mart- NP - In your spot in time, July 2011, the bio sector had a far worse% drop than did the general market. It was more of a Sector Drop at that point in time vs what I was originally posting about, a general decline.
In your instance the bio sector was hit by a 27% drop and the General was only hit by a 15% drop/correction. That is why I chose 2008 instead; it was a general market crash with all sectors hit, banking, real estate, bios etc., Not a sector crash and general dip.minor correction.
- **IMO we are just not speaking of similar circumstances with similar historically significant general market conditions, so it is not really the same. In your case the bio index performed far worse than the general market and in mine it was the other way around. Just depends what you are looking at, dramatic general market decline, or a minor correction.
I took **2008 since that crash was, by far, the most dramatic general market crash lately and compared the bio dip to that. The general market being off 50%, or near it, and the bio sector being off 30-40% depending on time points, *hence my conclusion of "somewhat insulated"
I noted on the charts originally the correction you refer to; but the General Market correction was only from Dow 12.9k to Dow 10.9k approx 15%. One was a crash 2008 with near 50% lost and one was a dip with a large sector correction where the general market lost 15%.
*In your case/example there is definitely no mitigation of drop, but it also shows the bios having a beta of almost 2 with the Dow and I am not sure that is the case, but I will see if I can find it somewhere for the heck of it.
Just think we are speaking a bit of apples and oranges, all perspective and what you use as a chart basis.
BOL my friend,
T2m
P I don't doubt it, I have VIXY, FAZ, SPXU and AGQ most are green or even compared to my bios and some others which are <1 - 5%> off. Imo you hedge til you don't need to and with ETFs its pretty straight forward. jmho It mitigates some of what is happening anyway.
Mart - my post 77048 said " The bio market is somewhat insulated depending on what you own butttt ifff the general market is tumbling the bio index will slide as well Last time the general was off 50% in 2008 and the BTK was off 30-40%."
So if you refer to what actually happened visa vi the charts, which is what I was doing, then the above should be fairly close to correct. jmho
Cabos - The bio market is somewhat insulated depending on what you own butttt ifff the general market is tumbling the bio index will slide as well Last time the general was off 50% in 2008 and the BTK was off 30-40%. I guess we should remember that many of these smaller bio techs have to raise $$$$ to keep operating hence if the market is going south the stock offerings are not as easily sold. If the market reverts to cash and the sidelines then that effects all sectors though, albeit, some worse than others.
If you have a catalyst 2-5 months out then some/many stop losses, (depending on where they are set obviously), may well be triggered. I know many of mine have in the last 2 weeks.
Here is a chart showing the $BTK biotech index and if you overlay it with the DJI you will see the correlations. I am not saying it is a beta of 1 to the Dow but a fall in the Dow will generally result in weakness for all sectors.
Just pull up a chart of 2008 when the Dow imploded and take a look at the bios then. jmho
P. whatever we can do to hedge is great imo, especially when it is easily and quickly reversable if things change. The Fed slowing the printing presses even a little should ultimately result in higher costs for money imo, hence it should mitigate earnings a bit. jmho
SF Actually Yellen is only the first mate. The Captain of the Economy? Hmmm wonder who get's that title, can't be "INMF", better known as the finger pointer in chief from crook county Ill.. AKA "notmyyob man"!
Good luck to the USS Giveaway in its search for a port. Good luck to yellen, she;ll need it.
Haven't used that one b4. Have to chk it out though.
VIXY 2x volatility ETF & FAZ 3x short Financials <link back> 1st for volatility and the later for shorting Financials.
Also got some SPXU - 3x short ETF of S&P.
Altogether these 3 could be good defensive plays against general DJI down turns, that is what I have been betting for a bit over a week now.
BOL jmho
PGNX Thanks Sheff, but unfortunately I now am still trying to offset this, just as it was really tanking earlier this week and went to 4.61 or so:
"Tuesday, 01/28/14 07:20:08 PM
Re: trade2much post# 76627
Post # of 76904
PGNX <link back> out at 5.35 - I will take the 17% hit from the entry at 6.45 today and see what I can salvage tomorrow.
Not liking this stuff at all, seems like some knew earlier this afternoon and it went down hill quickly until it crashed in AH. Came back a fair bit for me from the AH low but not taking the chance on Premarket after tonight. Someone will make some vg $ having bought at 4.61 tonight.
BOL"