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Take heed, small cap crude sector pretty much down for the day. There is a filtering process going on since late December, and some getting hit harder than other. Most of the oil small caps got lots of revamping and structuring and trying to stay afloat financially. Following examples of big cap by cutting labor costs, decrease production and making new deals with lenders. Only a handful of small caps will survive the financial disarray and if they do some already making deals with lenders at a higher percentage rate. It does not mean that if one stays out of harms way today but higher rates can kill long-term. Diluting would be fatal to the shareholders. I believe a couple more months of uncertainty. Again, got to follow big money and is a great opportunity to make good money when the sector recovers and am willing to settle for a 25% to 35% return when it does happen.
Good Luck and always by the dips!
Oilin,
My gut says, "yes" to $1.00. After several weeks of the so called bottoms, we are getting a cyclical range of higher lows and higher highs within a short time frame, and confirmed with the 50 MA chart. $1.15 is key support next few days. Still much uncertainty in the energy sector and the next few days will see some of that minor pullback. SHORT OF FLOAT is at 27%. Nothing new by now, right? As good as futures was looking around $53 to $54 back down to $48.90 as we speak for April 2015. The bears called the raid 2 weeks ago and again in the midst of a pullback. I say we see low $1.00's and possible high $0.90's. You got to follow big money with these plays and they have been manipulating long and short, hedging all ways possible.
Torn between the long doji shadow at close. Even though BIOC posted 9% gains after-hours that long shadow end of regular trading hours was a red flag. Should this hold between $2.39 to $2.52 the next leg will be $2.75 to $2.85. Hoping this will hold up support at $2.27 intraday climbing its way back to $2.52 which could be a break out to $2.72. But the huge gap up in the a.m. and pulling back violently has got me confused. Hoping this continues surging for another day or two and is a big positive public offering out of the way.
$7.50-$7.60, here we come. Major breakout if it cracks $7.70. I rarely say this but the short squeeze will be like you have not seen before :)
I agree up somewhere in the range of $3.00 to $4.00 IMO. For maximum profit, got to play the so called "bottom" trading short-term whether it be scalping, adding on the dips/averaging up and down. The sector is still pretty volatile. But do like the daily volume to assist with liquidity in this volatile market. Today's action went against my theory but hoping still in the midst of a correction.
oilin07,
I believe we will once again see EOX in the mid $0.70's for random gains $0.20 to $0.40 at best in the months to come. Big money, including retail investors riding the exposed short positions confirmed in energy mutual funds, ETF's energy/crude, and futures energy markets puts options. I just do not see the dust settling for several months and recent analysts now saying couple years. Take advantage to play the dips many more times to come when the so called "bottom" of crude starts going viral again. Side trending action in the mid $40's to low $50's will be the new norm as you look at your charts regularly. My theory keeps evolving as I start to analyze crude. 2 to 3 years ago the consumer was traveling less do to inflated gas prices. And today, the norm is most vehicles built from 2010 by default consumes less gas, and this is not taking into consideration the impact of airline traveling. Conclusion, crude tycoons have realized the consumption of crude is in less demand and a reality. Unfortunately, small and high cap companies will start to cut labor to minimize losses and is not so good for the economy but will be a reality coming years.
$7.50 to $7.70 coming quicker than later surrounding much anticipated launch of Afreeza. While the float remains at 30%, shorts are ignoring the fact MNKD is much closer to launch for the first time after several years and attempts to get approval from the FDA. The recent Forbes article does not necessarily say anything new, but the article clearly distinguishes Afreeza from Exubera. Add another fact and without any disrespect, Al Mann was somewhat of a concern for past and present investors who were thinking change was overdue. The coming launch and with Al's step down should enlighten investors change of mind because all things are new. I consider myself as a savvy investor and one must adapt to the change and sentiment of a stock. I say to you investors/longs/shorts/day traders/swing traders/scalpers, think today where Mannkind is now, and that now has nothing to do with past failed attempts for approval. The only technicality which should not be taken out of the equation is this has always spiked big when in catalyst mode.
Re iterated:
JC4033 Thursday, 01/15/15 01:57:14 AM
Re: None
Post # of 227
Looking to get a discount next few sessions with EOX in the low to mid $0.70's and which I think short-term (30 to 60 days ) upside is much greater than the downside as the barrel hangs mid to low $40's coming weeks. I do not believe todays crude oil upside intraday session is any indication of an upside anytime soon and is simply manipulation. My theory, while shorts continue to add new positions coming weeks, it just adds that much more strength for these small caps to pop when the reversal occurs. It is amazing how the general oil sector presently has doubled in short interest past two days and still rising daily which will be the ticket to a nice pop. I say accumulate on the dips next 2 weeks because the general oil sector will begin to consolidate mid March to early April. But take heed, when the reversal begins take profits 1 to 3 days because many many small cap oil companies will not survive the financial disarray after all has been said and done. But for now, got to buy the dips and buy during the side trending action.
May be a good buying opportunity to buy HYSR 01/27 at these levels for possible uptrend on no news based on recent fuel sector uptrend and sentiment. PLUG, FCEL AND BLDP bouncing off their lows. Also, with PLUG as the small cap leader could make noise with positive conference call. Will reinvest current gains in HYSR for possible quick gains in the next 2 to 3 days. Fuel cell starting to make noise again!
RITT gets the spike from super low float but not much impact short squeeze (low short stat). Note: this has a history to uptrend w/history big break outs intraday and catalyst presently in play contract winner (WIT 33 Bill Cap Company). I to would be a seller w/50% gains intraday returns but the contract is such good news could see another break out since after hours took out resistance at $1.50. Should it hold support above $1.50 at open could see next leg break resistance at $1.72 to $1.96 and a clear breakout to 3rd resistant levels to $2.14. Regardless, this will be a violent swing at open. Hoping investors held overnight with new investors alerted on watch at open in the a.m. on 01/27. Various small caps uptrend 01/26 15% to 25% intraday.
So Predictable in a Good Way. With the chart giving us the investors a good idea how this has moved within the last year is a nice tell that 1.5v on it's way. Still long here, took profits by loading up on the dips, unloading on the highs. Just note, new lower highs and lower lows. I have mentioned on various posts about Toyota (which was recently published by HYSR as the future), and how the Tycoon in the oil market would take a dip after the New York summit last year in October. On that note, I took profits shorting crude sector and got to see the correlation with crude and green tech. I believe apart from the decline in oil prices do to many variables: excess supply, Hybrids has made a big impact on future oil needs, and the big money taken off crude diversifying in the new green tech. Not saying HYSR is going to be a winner but patience is virtue and I for see HYSR making new highs this year for sure. Glad all my theories with HYSR proved right!
Looking to get a discount next few sessions with EOX in the low to mid $0.70's and which I think short-term (30 to 60 days ) upside is much greater than the downside as the barrel hangs mid to low $40's coming weeks. I do not believe todays crude oil upside intraday session is any indication of an upside anytime soon and is simply manipulation. My theory, while shorts continue to add new positions coming weeks, it just adds that much more strength for these small caps to pop when the reversal occurs. It is amazing how the general oil sector presently has doubled in short interest past two days and still rising daily which will be the ticket to a nice pop. I say accumulate on the dips next 2 weeks because the general oil sector will begin to consolidate mid March to early April. But take heed, when the reversal begins take profits 1 to 3 days because many many small cap oil companies will not survive the financial disarray after all has been said and done. But for now, got to buy the dips and buy during the side trending action.
Oilin, I agree with you and no doubt oil prices will recover steadily. But the small cap oil sector at risk including EOX which will be hard to recover from a 78% drop. I don't expect them to recover all those losses but at least 30% to 40% is feasible. What I do like presently going for EOX is the current forecast outlook to cut costs and downsize production to keep company a float. My theory could get to $4.00 by end of 2015 (being real..conservative) if they do achieve to reduce production costs and debt. I believe a good short-term indicator will be to watch how the hedge and mutual funds vested here are positioning themselves. For now, will wait to enter position as general investor sentiment confirms "buy". And I am not one who really follows the media and all I hear, but this will be a moment to be in tune since this has gone viral internationally and must capitalize on this 5 year dip. Good luck!
I do not believe buying in the red and sharp downtrend is wise IMO and ok if I miss the bottom but would probably be wiser to enter EOX when reversal is confirmed. Good luck but to much risk presently. And this is coming from me who thought $1.37 was a nice entry point.
Pretty amazing this sector bottoming which has not occurred in a few years. Great play and set up coming and sure glad I am able to monitor the charts, the gas pump, and the viral news. Good luck on this trade Timbo.
Will wait for sector to bottom. Fear is a factor at this point and big money will decide when the reversal will start. Clueless as to when the downtrend will stop but will be a nice bounce regardless of the current financial situation for a nice swing trade is what my conclusion will be. Good luck!
No worries. I am as optimistic in HYSR as you are : ) Just is a longer hold than anticipated but no mental exhaustion here. Happy Holidays.
Jose, glad to see you get my point by mere observation and you seem to be at one with this stock as most of longs are. I respect your due diligence how this moves and a wise investor would add on the dips and sell some position off the highs for maximum profits. Good luck and good work.
I never said was a pump. I am long HYSR and not bashing so trust me when I say a retrace or pullback is absolute. Don't take it personal and buy the dip when it does pullback. In the past a PR release as good as this normally would soar but the Hydrogen hype has been long gone for months. Spartak, I am with you and not against.
Could this be last bounce and a head fake before another downtrend? Or, is the current sector being hit and add EOX financial disarray a red flag for it to continue lower? So tempting at these levels. Add shorts loading heavily overall sector. This is a tough one to figure out! But again, these prices very tempting. Any real feedback on the financial situation would be appreciated.
Good to know technology is still moving forward. Pretty sure price will retrace if no follow up PR news next few days but at least confirmation HYSR moving along. Reset those alert to trigger between $0.015-$0.018.
Point here is:
Knowing when to be in and out of a position for maximum profit is the point. Don't be a baggie when it's best to be adjusting to price action is my goal. Whether you are a scalper, swing, long or short got to know how to diversify and strategize. I like the discount but will wait for dust to settle. I actually hope this pops back up and to hold a small position long-term would be a good entry point for the next uptick. In the meantime, I will wait for confirmation to get in if it cracks support at $0.27 and if it holds as it should confirm great entry point at these levels. That is the point! Not bashing, just saying.
I live in California in between Los Angeles and Santa Barbara and can say that the State of California infrastructure for electric and Hydrogen vehicles is currently and presently on the move. I have so much conviction in hydrogen technology will be cost efficient and accessible to the consumers in major metro cities coming years and will be the norm and the future of green energy. More convincing is the crude market sector proving less need but of course not obsolete. Hydrogen is the next waive of what we know today as "Hybrid" and surely do not want to miss the train when HYSR announces 1.5v. I have said couple months ago major hedge funds, high cap oil companies diversifying in green technology at the last New York summit. Listen, either big money is following us, or we are following big money and big money is going to be heavily vested in green tech and bullish. I am so convicted that will be diversifying beginning of year and adding $5k worth of HYSR per my conviction and after talking to several investor peers and professionals, It is worth another spike at these levels with the reward that much more greater! Good luck and HOLD...
mackie1,
No two traders are alike but this was over extended and in now in the $0.30's. Again, not bashing AEMD and I am in if it continues to drop but in the mid $0.50's was/is way overbought, over extended and was do for a realistic pullback. Can pop at any given moment but present fluff news is at exhaustion point with experienced traders, and unexperienced investors new to AEMD may continue to bite. Again, I was expressing my views on 11/25 and my theory worked that it would go down. From 11/25 up to today was a pretty big drop. I don't claim that I buy on the lows and sell at the top but common sense says to get out for a nice gain after a healthy 7 momentum move was realistic in my view. Volume will dictate price downtrend and do not see 52 weeks highs taken out for next 60 to 90 days IMO. The recent 8k filing will prove theory. SELL!
I had a position with Baxs and made a nice gain, never held when it crashed. I don't get your message? Simply called it and moved on. I never pumped or bashed Baxs. Again, I do not get your point when I was scalping that stock.
I believe many traders including myself are exiting for a nice gain and the rapid drop is causing some panic and a wall of sellers on level 2. FYI, my views is from a day trader perspective and our objectives may be different. Today, I am leaning towards the panic selling and others exiting with nice returns. Nothing to do if this will can or cannot get a nice bump down the road.
Glad I sold my small 8k position yesterday at $0.65. Had a bigger position but I doubted, could've, should've, would've but like my profits. Great run unexpected here on my part and will be a nice dip buy opportunity in the $30's for a possible buyout is my best case scenario. Good luck all.
No clue without a crystal ball. But note many will take out holding positions in the midst of recent profit/gains (in this case with AEMD) already near the highs if no news in the next few weeks. Smart money usually diversifies in need to reallocate positions for tax purposes. Past charts will verify the cyclical downtrend market towards end of year in general. As far as AEMD is concerned having a small position now is much safer if no big news accompanied with big volume does not occur next few weeks IMO. As I mentioned before the recent AEMD press releases from a psychological perspective sounds good in theory but on paper is a whole different matter and what happened? Not much! Don't get me wrong, if you got in in the high teens, low .20's and still holding, a 10%-18% above .25 today is a good return for a penny stock. But this could easily retrace to the mid or high teens at a blank of an eye considering recent press release had little impact. Again, I am a day, a long, and short trader as necessary and these are just my projections still holding a small position in AEMD should it get the attention it deserves.
No clue without a crystal ball. But note many will take out holding positions in the midst of recent profit/gains (in this case with AEMD) already near the highs if no news in the next few weeks. Smart money usually diversifies in need to reallocate positions for tax purposes. Past charts will verify the cyclical downtrend market towards end of year in general. As far as AEMD is concerned having a small position now is much safer if no big news accompanied with big volume does not occur next few weeks IMO. As I mentioned before the recent AEMD press releases from a psychological perspective sounds good in theory but on paper is a whole different matter and what happened? Not much! Don't get me wrong, if you got in in the high teens, low .20's and still holding, a 10%-18% above .25 today is a good return for a penny stock. But this could easily retrace to the mid or high teens at a blank of an eye considering recent press release had little impact. Again, I am a day, a long, and short trader as necessary and these are just my projections still holding a small position in AEMD should it get the attention it deserves.
dyp,
Is that so? Haha. Was just a personal opinion.
Patent,
I appreciate the comment. Just mind boggling when these types of incidents occur. Yes, I know we are prone to error as humans, and I get it that WDDD may lack the financial means to oversee those contracts with a fine comb but as a serious investor still vested in WDDD just hate to see new potential investors get out of a position because of incompetency. I understand we are rolling the dice here with Markman prospects and no problem. Just hope Kidrin would hear some of our/my concerns to preserve our investment and protect it from dwindling down a few cents because of these side show lawsuits.
Mountain,
My theory about this stock was on point as I posted in the past and looking. This has nothing to do with day trader perception either. Not trying to boast but because without sector momentum, and their financial state just does not support to explode. A buyout would be best scenario and is why I still have a small stake.
JC4033 Monday, 10/27/14 08:23:00 PM
Re: Murph1953 post# 7498
Post # of 8009
Not to discourage, I just do not see this thing taking off above the target price raised and at most $0.60 cents in the near future even if news is released. But, you all would have to agree would need 20Million+ volume for another 30% to 60% return. I just do not see those returns happening even with positive news from AEMD without great volume. A buyout target would be the best case scenario IMO and that could be months ahead. Momentum well gone. I still have a small stake for future so wish luck to those who have high hopes and dreams if you are heavily vested when there is more opportunity elsewhere. Good luck!
Theory confirmed. Good luck long term
Investors until the next big wave.
Just as I predicted. Violently up and down. Here on out should hold and volume is decent for the time being. Could start to fade if we close under $.24. If it is true FDA approval on the way along with upbeat earnings report to keep the company afloat could easily see another 60% upside before earnings.
I did not like that violent gap up. MM front the stock price to bring it back down. Hoping it will hold above $0.24 today.
I am no chart expert but seems clear indicators very bullish noting the volume momentum, engulfed candles, added with trend is your friend touching %0.235 is great. Should it break $0.24+ and consolidate between $0.24 to $0.27 would be nice if reinforced with decent upcoming earnings. Low short interest and weak hands could be shaken out pretty quick bringing us back to $0.18 if profit taking sentiment comes in to play tomorrow first hour. My guess profit sharing will be a factor tomorrow a.m. and MM's will cover both sides should panic kick in. Again, no expert here but these recent gains are abundant even I am tempted to close out partial position. Take heed for the profit taking and weak hands as MM's try to profit shorting at these highs. If this gaps up violently for sure profit taking will occur.
Jmile,
Like you said, just my opinion. Two things to note: One, this jumped from $0.13 to $0.29 above 20Mill plus volume and also factoring this was a hot sector on the day it surged. I have not seen any other one day explosion on the chart as you say as this did two weeks ago. Two, being realistic and letting all those hopeful retail investors who think they will get rich quick with AEMD. I use the word discouraging because I hate to see retail investors who lack investing experience not to vest a large portion of their moneys on simply "no news is good news" and alerting them that there are other investment opportunities out there because personally I think that the risk factor is now greater! So, read my posting again and does say I have a small position in AEMD which is 2% of my portfolio when a week ago it was 4%. GOOD LUCK!
Not to discourage, I just do not see this thing taking off above the target price raised and at most $0.60 cents in the near future even if news is released. But, you all would have to agree would need 20Million+ volume for another 30% to 60% return. I just do not see those returns happening even with positive news from AEMD without great volume. A buyout target would be the best case scenario IMO and that could be months ahead. Momentum well gone. I still have a small stake for future so wish luck to those who have high hopes and dreams if you are heavily vested when there is more opportunity elsewhere. Good luck!
Inquiry regarding 8k filings. Anyone with knowledge reading 8k filings out there who has input or thoughts regarding the recent 8k filing? Maybe there is a tell between the lines. My interpretation is exercising warrants for working capital and reduction of indebtedness. Most of wording is jibberish but important fundamentals to know.
Max,
Most retailers do not notice the accumulation or disposal of shares which could be a small but vague window of opportunity and indicator. Attached is the below 4k link transaction filed by Director Shah Chetan who is 1 of 2 majority shareholder via gifted shares and exercising options. Latest filing shows did not sell but converted warrants and exercise price ranged $0.09-$0.11 in the non-open market. What is important is if those warrants were converted to common shares.
http://insidertrading.org/form4.php?id=5001755