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I looked at as many "bag" photos as I could find and I did not see "coming soon" anywhere, did I miss that? Otherwise, it is the same thing they had on the bags back in 2018.
Agreed. Looks to me that the momentum is higher, getting some usual morning pressure but I think we take a shot at $1.00 today.
At least we closed at the HOD. Short week trading, It would be nice to get back above a dollar. Come on MHRA!
I missed the post referencing a DI comment about Pub/TLD vs. DVVAX approval. Interesting. Possibly doe play into the connect-the-dots scenario DI is able to lay out without violating quiet period. When I asked why they simply couldn't let us know where in the "steps" we were, or if we submitted a BLA, he did say they weren't linear in that sense, more that steps were concurrent. So, I would not be surprised if a BLA has been submitted, fast-tracked, or whatever other pathways are available, while they get to publication/TLD.
less than 1% of outstanding shares traded tells you there's a problem?
We need Friday power hour buying....anyone?
I think there will be buying into the close, we are seeing scalpers take their .10-.15 scalp from this morning. .94 close is my prediction.
Let's not get crazy, It's only noon! Need afternoon buying to hold here and so we don't get walked back down. A close in the mid-.90's would be a fine set up for next week, IMO. On the other hand, a green close with over 7 million shares traded would be a strong trend reversal.
This is what I said yesterday, no happy I was correct, but not surprised it happened:
"I have powder ready for tomorrow. I believe we will see a last-ditch bear raid attempt tomorrow given the SNO hype and given the pressure we have been seeing. Then, hopefully it will be a quick snap back up into the $1.20 range."
I'd probably be surprised. cleared out the stops and probably most day traders so selling is hopefully subsided for the day. Let's see if buyers come in. If so, you may be right and it would be a clear reversal.
If you have stop loss orders on this stock, they will take the opportunity to come get you. Poor trading plan in my opinion.
Just bought 24,000 at .91
Panic selling and manipulation. Nothing has changed.
No SNO and then a short week next week with no expectation of news is driving this, IMO. We will then get into the short window until end of year, which could cause even more selling for tax losses (or gains) with no news. This quiet period is killing us.
I am a buyer at .92
Again, No One ever said we would be there. No One. Yet, this board seemed to think we would anyway. Self-inflicted. Trading will be choppy today and I am looking to get in when the selling pressure is heaviest, if that happens.
I think I am one of the only idiots who hasn't ever sold. I have averaged down but still in the $1.30's with average price. Several accounts and over 250,000 shares. And, depending on the trading tomorrow, will likely add another 20,000 or so.
I have powder ready for tomorrow. I believe we will see a last-ditch bear raid attempt tomorrow given the SNO hype and given the pressure we have been seeing. Then, hopefully it will be a quick snap back up into the $1.20 range.
LOL. You honestly think LP hasn't seen the data? It would be really crazy to be spending money on production if you don't think you have a product.
Semantics. What I am saying, and you know this, is not that the data disclosure is the material issue. This is a single-trial, start-up biotech. The rule for disclosure would apply if they are sitting on failed trial results that, if disclosed, would result in the likely inability of the company to exist. Their fiduciary responsibilities tied to disclosure would apply.
No complaint to the SEC regarding material information disclosure will be investigated, IMO. It is subjective, number one. LP is an attorney with many paid advisors, number two. And three, sitting on materially positive info, with a plan (as they are in a quiet period for this one) as I believe will not merit a forced disclosure. If the data were negative, as in a failed trial, disclosure is the law, and they would have done it or faced lawsuits and potential jail time.
I'll be gone by ASCO '22. I am giving them until the Bosch presentation in January. Sticking to it. I believe that is enough time, and after that, I'll move on.
I am hoping there will be others with me on Friday to buy into the selling after the SNO nothing burger. I wish I had more powder available but I believe we will be able to buy whatever we want at about .90 Friday given all the expectations I have heard around here.
Yes, we need to get past SNO before we rise, IMO. Unless, for some reason there is news of some kind there, which I doubt. After that selling we can move forward. I would have expected some nugget in the 10Q overview language to be a breadcrumb, but thee was nothing but the same covid delay language. Yes, TLD could come anytime, but if 13 months is the average lock to TLD, and they have been citing massive delays in their step of process, we are only a month and a half past that marker.
Say what you want but the communication strategy is and has been the problem, do not reply with your bunk about FDA sensitivity, bla, bla, bla. All they had to do is add a sentence to the overview paragraph, after all the deflection of covid delays, stating that "given the challenges, we have made significant progress in our efforts to our goal of releasing topline data." ...or something like that. We would be at $1.50 today.
Going sub-dollar today, IMO. Ugh.
Items of interest to me:
Warrants conversion money received since end of quarter, plus the small loan, almost $10 million. 34 million converted for cash. With the amount converted, and likely a lot sold (thus the pressure on the stock), how many more can be available with all insider warrants locked up?
The new language on all the delays is troubling to me. They added more detail on all the delays, but no clarity as to where we are now? Have things started moving again? Why, after all the delays, can’t they tell us more?
Talking about a phase two for direct is what? A carrot and next step if L is a bust? Why even bother talking about that at this point. Even with P3 results, positive results, we don’t have shares available to sell for any other trials.
All in all a lot of nothing. The bottom line is we are going to be extremely crunched for money shortly. Fewer cash warrants available, no shares to sell, loans will be harder to come by if there isn’t news.
No it is not.
No Power hour enthusiasm into 10Q. Better be something in there to generate buying or a no-news SNO will be a bad end of the week. JMHO.
If November ended today it looks like a reversal doji for November. Would rather see an engulfing green candlestick for the month though, closing over $1.35.
For sure the cash raised from warrants/options.-YES, should be a positive
Highly likely some minor deals on loans to settle for shares or new baby loans. -Yes, agree, likely some small stuff
Possibly a significant loan or refi. -HOPE NOT, would indicate to me they need a lot more time.
I think a billion dollar market cap for a single-trial, non-revenue, OTC biotech is pretty telling, in a favorable way. Not everyone can participate in this market at this price (institutions). Could it be closer to or around $2, yes, I still think that would be fair. Still a binary event with several never before analyses to be hashed out with TLD. Outside control arms, revamped SAP, cross-over vs. placebo. There are so many question marks, we won't see much higher PPS until we see and can understand everything, IMO.
So true, and hopefully not a sad ending to the story. Honestly, I just want an ending! I'll take my chances.
Stronger bid this morning but not enough buying. Holding pattern until 10Q tonight. Also, SNO starts Thursday. Two chances for new information. If there is nothing new this week, I have a feeling the bid drops out as we will be back in the vacuum of no timeline and nothing to even hope regarding news until a mid-January conference.
My guess is we close at $1.09. Medium volume, based on a few FOMO folks wanting shares in case there is anything in the 10Q Monday. I think we will see the same Monday morning. A stronger than expected cash position due to warrant conversion cash would ease some short-term fears for some. Subsequent events paragraph could be interesting but I am confident LP will only disclose what she absolutely has to, not expecting any breadcrumbs to follow. And, language regarding P3 TLD process could change, but not likely at this point, IMO.
Maybe back in the day but I don't believe those signals these days.
Yes, unfortunately it appears that someone knows we aren't going to get anything new in the 10Q and won't be speaking at SNO. Oh, wait, I know that.
I avoided the board today. We need news to move the PPS. Won't start until next week with possible runup toward SNO and 10Q info coming out.
$5-7/share on good Topline data. Maybe approaches $10 if Journal is legit and right behind it. Then it will settle back until the street sees what LP's plans are...sell or go it alone.