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Agree Heywood Longs aren't in control. And I also have never shorted any stock. But we can have a little effect buying at the right time and doing a little selling when the time it right.
It should be interesting on Nov 15th to see what the position is of the institutions. End of last qtr 24% of our shares. Add 1M shares or Dr Missling and ?? how many for the Greek Dr is holding puts us close to 30%. In the past we have gained about 5 to 6% each quarter.
John k9uwa
There are a few small holes in the Washtub. Us that buy the trade shares. Or how to make a buck when the MM's are walking it down. But Trade Shares. When market goes back up unload them. My Core position is prior to the reverse split. In the 70 to 80 cent range. And yes when we hit that 12 bucks and started dropping I unloaded ALL of it and then bought back gradually over time. Lots of fun beating the MM's at their own game. At this point every DIME I have in AVXL is THEIR MONEY. A good share of the Dry Powder is also THEIR MONEY. It could be LOTS OF FUN if Missling gets with it and starts the trials soon. Current position of core + 60% additional trade shares would be JUST DUCKY timing.
John k9uwa
Have been doing exactly that for the last 2+ years. Buy trade shares when it gets pushed down and after it goes back up and the trade shares are profitable sell them. Always keeping the long term core holding. Sooner or later I WIN.
John k9uwa
I picked up some shares at 3.95 and 3.96. pps seemed to increase slightly after I put in the bids. Took a bit and was filled with several partials.
John k9uwa
Anyone want to comment on the last paragraph of this Transcript of MacFarlane sometime in 2015?
yes it says larger trial has been fully subscribed since Sept, Last Year 2015. I don't see the word Dosing has started but it appears they had all the patients signed up for this larger trial.
Any comments?
John k9uwa
The One Decliner of the six. Do we know that this patient did or didn't have any other health issues during this period of time? Keep in mind that these are all older people. What are the odds that 1 in 6 might have had other health issues? Do they have some notary standing there verifying that patient took their daily pill? Maybe that patient had something happen and said screw this I am not eating those pills any longer. Something dramatically changed that patients numbers after week 57. I am only age 73 and don't have any mental deficiencies yet. However I can tell you that I am less capable of doing things today that were no problem two years ago.
Another stock I also own had an issue with a single Outlier who dramatically changed his/her lifestyle during the test period. Patient went from a couch potato to one who was walking/running up to 20 miles per day and also had changed his/her diet from the usual fast food junkie over to eating only healthy foods. Really screwed up that test of 300 patients. He/She was one of the Placebo takers.
John k9uwa
Page 29 shows the chart I wanted to see. TWO YEARS and the patients are doing JUST FINE. Worst case is the one line that dropped 2 points MMSE. All others either even or improved. No Drug has ever done this for Alzheimers patients. Present position due to the drop over the last few weeks is + 60% in trade shares above my long term hold position. Sounds like I will probably just keep those shares a while longer. Thanks to 123Tom and others for their charting. And to all the rest of this group. HANG ON or the ride. May be a bit bumpy but it will end well.
John k9uwa
well it currently says we are down 14 cents times 42m shares comes out to about 6 mil.
It is quite easy on a light day like this for the MM's to walk the price down.
John k9uwa
How to get someone else to pay the bills for the testing of 2-73. Dr. Missling has done an excellent job. The Aussies pay Anavex for the meds for the tests. The Aussies are also paying the bills in AU land in their research hospitals to provide the actual testing of patients.
And MJFF is paying us for the drugs supplied to whowever is going to actually do the tests. Seems like a great plan to me.
John k9uwa
I-hub support for Clint Tomlinson. Thanks Powerwalker and all the rest who contributed to the Walk to End Alzheimers with our Anavex Walker Clint Tomlinson. $3001.50 contributed by this group. Will see what happens next. Today I sent an Email to Clint Tomlinson of R.F.Lafferty thanking him for representing Anavex in the Walk on Saturday. Told him to say hello to Dr Chis Missling for our group of board Members. Will report back if I get an answer back from Clint.
GLTAL
John k9uwa
Yes, Xena Since he has Chris Missling on his "Relationships" page of their website that Clint Tomlinson is most likely Missling's Broker/Manager. Probably he is the one placing those 375 and 750 share purchases.
We are getting there. We have Raised $2827 so far Click this link and get us to $3,000
John k9uwa
We have Raised $2,587 for the Walk to End Alzheimers Sponsoring ANAVEX Walker Clint Tomlinson. Not bad considering yesterday morning we were at $85 with just two Donations. It looks like 100% of the donations are from InvestorsHub AVXL members. Nice List of Donors shown on the page. Click the above and join the rest of us. Throw in a few bucks. Easy to hit $3,000
John k9uwa
Our Donations to Walk to End Alz is gaining nicely Yesterday morning we had $85 by last nite we had $775 and now we have $1867.50. Whoever is in charge of the website is taking note. Our "Goal" yesterday morning was $0 yes Zero. Last nite it was $1000 and this morning they have raised our "Goal" to $3,000. So we the members of this board need a few more donations. Click the link and watch the names scroll by. It is nearly 100% members from this board. I do like the one that called himself "Prove AF Wrong" excellent choice.
John k9uwa
At CTAD What else? I'll tell you what I want to see. TWO YEAR part C results for the original 29 patients. You know that Anavex has that information. I want to hear that TRIAL has started enrolling patients in xxxx different locations. RETT trial has enrolled and first patient has been Dosed. Yes I am sure that is more than we will get from CTAD.
Hello to a couple more Old Timers in Anavex. I have only been around since we were in the 60 to 80 cent range.
John k9uwa
No Powerwalker gets the credit for being first and posting the link to the Anavex Board. I was second to his donation. All is well Attila. We just need some more of the posters to donate.
John k9uwa
No the donations go to Alz Association. I didn't see anyway to mark it for Anavex. But you are making the donation on the Anavex Walker. Clint Tomlinson, Portfolio Manager, at R.F. Lafferty. Dr Missling is one of his "relationships". yesterday when I put in the $50 that brought us up to $85 total. Now we are at $357.50.
Credit for finding this Walk for Alz and that Anavex has an entry goes to POWERWALKER.
John k9uwa
DONATE NOW Hi Attila I did donate yesterday. $50 Interesting they do have the Donor List that scrolls by. Link to Donate and see the list Your there and so are a few of our other posters. Also several did the anonymous bit. Page down a bit below the link to donate and you will see Top Donor's. Below that the list scrolls through. I am listed as K9UWA which is my FCC Amateur Radio Callsign. Makes me easy to find. Put k9uwa into your google search says 11,200 hits. I like the first one. Yes thats me the old guy in the "Man Cage" swinging around a couple hundred feet in the air.
John k9uwa
2017 Walk to End Alzheimers
A little snooping this afternoon Chris Tomlinson who is Walking for Anavex in the "2017 Walk to End Alzheimers". Is Portfolio Manager at R.F. Lafferty & Co., Inc. On their "Relationships" Page ... we find none other than Chris Missling our CEO. So how about reach in your pocket and donate a few bucks.
Yes BaSparks I managed to grab some more trade shares $4.05. That puts me at +60% above my core hold position.
John k9uwa
Someone else donated. That makes three of us. You too can throw a few dollars into the Support Anavex Team Walker Clint Tomlinson Click on Anavex and spend a few bucks We have a long ways to go to match the donations to the Pfizer Team Walkers.
Come on guys and gals its maybe the price of a nice lunch.
John k9uwa
Yes like the 14 share trade I saw shortly after the open this morning. Who trades 14 shares? MM's walking it up or down.
John k9uwa
MM's buying and selling back and forth between each other to drive the price down. Try buying some little buy 100 shares or something like that at the ASK and it will execute but most likely instantly there will be a couple at the lower price so your doesn't show for any length of time.
John k9uwa
Please donate a few $$ to our Anavex Walker Clint Tomlinson They take paypal and all major credit cards. Thank you for your donation to Walk to End Alzheimer's.
Tom123 I also bought a bit more today. Now at +55% above my core position. Maybe a bit more tomorrow if it drops any farther.
John k9uwa
It is Clint Tomlinson not Chris OK the rest of you go throw a few bucks at our Walker Clint Tomlinson for Anavex Team. They even take Paypal as well as major credit cards. Click here and throw in a few bucks.
2017 Walk Donate to our Anavex Walker
Tom I also bought a bit more today. Now at +55% above my core position. Maybe a bit more tomorrow if it drops any farther.
John k9uwa
re: Naked Shorting. Illegal is a "Sick Bird". These companies and hedgies could care less about the law and rules.
John k9uwa
Wondering if tomorrow we may well end the day at $4.95 to $5.05 rendering all $5 puts and calls virtually worthless?
John k9uwa
No comments were made about the 2nd year extension for the original group of 29 patients. I too would love to hear about them. Once they were past the Test Time at 57 weeks one would think that all were free to be updated to high dosage rather than low or medium dosage. It sure would be nice if we were all updated on their progress. Did we pick up another 4 or so super responders? Did ALL of them at least stay level in MMSE? I am sure that Anavex knows the answers to these questions. Inquiring minds want to know?
John k9uwa
It has been stated many times. RETT foundation is financing the RETT test. The Aussies are have and continue to finance the AZ test and The Michael J Fox Foundation financed the Parkinson tests. all those are grants of govt offerings they are NOT partners. Maybe we get a partner one of these days. Dr Missling has stated several times we would get a partner for Sales and Distribution.
Hellava show today. Looks like someone bought in and then a few of the day traders unloaded. Up to +18% and now back to +10%
GLTA Longs. Shorty better get off soon. More to come at CTAD.
Moving on up back to +12%
John k9uwa
Much of the stuttering is due to English is that person's second Language. They have to mentally translate in their mind from their language over to English and then speak. During this period of time they tend to stutter. Stutter is probably better than dead silence during that period of time. Dr Missling German and one of the others sounded somewhat like Oriental inflection.
EXCELLENT presentation by all three of the Doctor presenters.
John k9uwa
Click this link Blueeyed.
conference online link
Link to slides slides are up
OK how about a link to the Slides? So far on the Anavex website I don't see them.
John k9uwa
"375 multiple times" Sometime back Dr Missling filed a programmed purchase plan. There is a rule within SEC 10b5-1 where an insider may apply for a continuing program purchase plan and continue that plan even though they have insider information that would effect the purchase price of the stock. So Doc has been making programmed buys of multiples of 375 shares a couple times per week. See above the SEC form 4's.
Some of our members think that this is some sort of signal that Dr Missling is sending us the shareholders. He did something similar to this sometime back ahead of some real news. So who knows maybe it is again going to happen? Perhaps somewhat interesting. The amount of stock purchased per week come pretty close to 100% of Dr Misslings Salary for that week.
Read below or click the link.
John k9uwa
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rule-10b5-1.asp" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" >http://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rule-10b5-1.asp[tagInvestopedia SEC rule 10b5-1[/tag]
Overview of a 10b5-1 Plan
Under Rule 10b5-1, directors and other major insiders in the company – large shareholders, officers and others who are able to access material nonpublic information (MNPI) – are able to establish a written plan that details when they will be able to buy or sell shares at a predetermined time on a scheduled basis. It is established this way so that the insiders have the ability to buy or sell shares when they are not in the vicinity of MNPI. This also allows companies to utilize 10b5-1 plans in large stock buybacks.
For the insider to enter into this plan, he must not have any access to the MNPI regarding anything about the company as well the company's securities. The plan must follow three distinct criteria to be valid:
1. The price and amount must be specified (this may include a set price) and certain dates of the sales or purchases must be noted.
2. Metrics behind the method of buying or the sales method must be qualified, determining the math behind determining the price and date.
3. The plan must allow the broker the right to determine when to make the sale or purchase as long as the broker does so without any MNPI to coincide with insider trading laws.
Guidelines
It is recommended that companies allow an executive to either amend or adopt a 10b5-1 plan when the executives are allowed to trade the securities in tandem with their insider trading policy; Rule 10b5-1 stops any insiders from changing or adopting a plan if they are in possession of MNPI.
There is nothing in the SEC laws that make it necessary to disclose the use of Rule 10b5-1 to the public, but that doesn't mean companies shouldn't release the information anyway. Announcements of utilizing Rule 10b5-1 are helpful to ward off public relations problems and helps investors understand the logistics behind certain insider trades.
Read more: Rule 10b5-1 http://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rule-10b5-1.asp#ixzz4vGES3Wdm
Follow us: Investopedia on Facebook
Let us UnDeflate the Deflated version. Just suppose that 2-73 cures 99% of those little girls with the upcoming RETT test. No Capital issues ever as RETT.org will get the news to every patient and instantly all of them will have the pills. Income from those sales plus in short order "Off Label" use will provide additional income and we won't need any dilution.
Yes, I know a bit farfetched but it is after all Friday afternoon. And most of those interested in AVXL already have their positions. They don't intend to change their positions until after the next month or so of conferences and news. Then the trading will begin again. Until then the MM's are trading among themselves in an attempt to get something going so they can make a buck.
John k9uwa
Agree 123Tom. I am still at 50% trade shares above my core position. It is I think a nice position going into our upcoming announcements.
John k9uwa
Scott you were supposed to do the sell at 6 and then repurchase in the low 4's some below 4 and would again be in a super position. Trade Shares. I keep the core position and when it starts to drop purchase trade shares. Currently trade shares are about 40% in share count above my long term core position. trade shares this time around are from 5.50 down to 3.80 pps. Hopefully this time the 4's are permanently in the Rear View Mirror.
John k9uwa
Dr Missling Accurate Salary. Quoted from the most recent 10-K SEC form. Read it here if you wish. It is Item #11.
fiscal year ended September 30, 2016
Christopher Missling, PhD 2016 Salary $500,000 plus Stock Options vesting quarterly over the next three years. Option prices are $6.26 and $7.06
Dr Missling does get a $100,000 per year or partial year bonus for staying with Anavex. So he actually gets $600,000 per year.
Options 8,495,900 shares Price of $6.26 and $7.06 Vested Quarterly over the next three years. WORTHLESS at this point unless the stock price rises well above $7.00.
And Anavex set aside the Withholding Income Taxes on the above Options to the value of the $6.26 and $7.06 price. About 2M.
Today they are WORTHLESS and they are not vested as of this date.
John k9uwa
Most of the stock that Dr Frost holds is in the Frost Gamma Trust and it isn't picked up by YeeHoo and many of the other places showing "Insider Holdings" It is accurate if you look at the latest SEC form4 as it always shows the Indirect Held Total as well as the Direct.
2017-08-18 07:05:01
2017-08-17
OPK Frost Phillip Md Et Al CEO, COB, 10% P - Purchase $5.96 +50,000 187,320,656
187M shares for Dr Frost. Rubin is up to 25M shares and Dr Jane is at 51M shares. Dr Jane also has two family trusts. One under Hsiao and the other under the family name of Chin. One additional Trust that may or may not be in Dr Frosts totals would be the Patricia Frost trust. About 20M shares if I remember correctly.
John k9uwa
It appears my timing for my Core position PLUS 50% additional Trade Shares just might be the big one this time around. Congrats to Anavex and all Longs.
John k9uwa