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Bush's approval rating vs. time and terror alerts:
http://juliusblog.blogspot.com/2004_08_01_juliusblog_archive.html#109174332697993966
This would have been a good short just after 911. Presently it appears to be just below strong resistance at 50 - I hope that resistance holds!
In his latest Hussman removes part of his hedge due to a "more constructive" market climate:
http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc040726.htm
Funny that no one mentions his performance in The Premature Burial! ggg
More on Ney here:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A4403-2004Jul21.html
Richard Ney Dies; Actor, Investment Adviser
By Adam Bernstein
Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, July 22, 2004; Page B05
Richard Ney, 87, who died of a heart ailment July 18 at his home in Pasadena, Calif., had a lackluster film career as a romantic lead but scored big as an investment adviser and Wall Street scold.
In such books as the best-selling "The Wall Street Jungle," he antagonized Wall Street specialists by saying their guile and "secret privileges" allowed them to manipulate the market and trick investors.
"Hidden behind the facade of pompous jargon and noble affections, there is more sheer larceny per square foot on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange than any place else in the world," he once said.
Although his investment career dominated the last four decades of his life, he first gained public attention in the popular World War II film "Mrs. Miniver" (1942). He played Vin Miniver, the over-earnest son of a resilient British family who romances the girl next door.
He trots off to war after receiving an intense kiss from his mother -- a telling moment because in 1943 he married his screen mother, Greer Garson, who was more than 10 years his senior. They divorced in 1947, largely, he claimed, because of the pressure of sharing a home with his mother-in-law.
Garson won an Academy Award for "Mrs. Miniver." Mr. Ney, who considered himself a lousy actor, went on to appear in a series of lesser films. Among them: "The Late George Apley" (1947), "Joan of Arc" (1948) and "Babes in Baghdad" (1952), the Edgar G. Ulmer comedy with Paulette Goddard and stripper Gypsy Rose Lee.
He considered "Babes" a favorite because Goddard had a habit of telling unflattering but funny stories about her former husband, Charlie Chaplin.
Richard Maximilian Ney was born in New York, where his father was a successful insurance salesman. After his parents' divorce, he grew up with his mother in humble circumstances.
In high school, he met his first wife, a substitute art teacher. Through her encouragement, he graduated with an economics and public finance degree from Columbia University.
Dismissed from a slogan-writing job at RCA -- "RCA all the way" did not wow his superiors -- he wandered on impulse into the Empire Theatre during rehearsals for "Life With Father." Without acting experience, he persuaded the director he could portray the young Clarence Day, on whose memoirs the comedy was based.
He played the road show version until one day, when he asked for more money, he was fired. He went to Hollywood, where a friend was working as a language coach. Casting officials spotted him and thought Mr. Ney would be an ideal Vin Miniver.
After Navy service during World War II and the fading of his film career, he happily settled into investment advising. Initially hired by a Beverly Hills firm hoping to lure clients with Mr. Ney's charm, the former actor gained instant credibility for his correct forecasting of a market downturn in 1962.
For six years, he wrote "The Ney Report," a stock market newsletter that counted oil magnate J. Paul Getty among its subscribers.
He received much attention for "The Wall Street Jungle" (1970) and "The Wall Street Gang" (1974), books that criticized market specialists on the stock exchange floor and what he considered a complacent regulatory body, the Securities and Exchange Commission. He also became an early advocate of electronic placement of "buy" and "sell" orders.
A popular public speaker, he also was fond of maintaining some Hollywood allure. One book jacket featured him sitting in a Rolls-Royce with what the writer Nicholas von Hoffman described as "the most deliciously expensive Afghan hound you've ever seen."
Mr. Ney enjoyed gardening and died while watering flowers in his yard.
His two early marriages and a later one to Pauline McMartin Ney ended in divorce.
Survivors include his wife and business partner, Mei-Lee Ney, whom he married in 1987; and a stepdaughter.
© 2004 The Washington Post Company
Ajtj, thanks for the clarification, esp. about nearly equal bodies.
ajtj, the 3-Black Crows pattern (or close to it)is a bit more common on the RUT:
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$rut,uu[e,a]wacaniay[df][pc50!c200!f][vc60][ilp14,3,3!le...
In some cases there's a lot more down and in others it's close to a turn.
This Land is Your Land
sure to offend - or amuse - everyone:
http://www.madeinmaine.org/president/thisland.htm
aj, perhaps you already know this but if you click the rightmost icon on the horizontal toolbar you can get a local magnifier glass that also helps anchor the lines accurately.
Well, I'll probably still collapse the trend lines to zero length rather than deleting them because I can do that all from a mouse.
Cush,
Thanks for your response.
This one is a big DOH! for me.... in the past I've deleted trendlines by collapsing them to zero length. That didn't work on the pitchforks.
I've *never* used the Delete key for this - feel free to laugh at this one!
Anyway, thanks again for taking the time to respond to my rather low-level question.
Hiker
Anyone: How do you remove an Andrews pitchfork from a plot?
There's probably a simple answer but I haven't been able to find it.
Many thanks!
aj, that sounds like a real up-and-down story for the two families involved. I hope that the survivor makes a full recovery. Sorry to hear about your uncle, too.
a gravestone is a topping indicator
It depends on whether you are the occupant or just visiting.
The Texas Hillbilly
(Sing along to the tune of Beverly Hillbillies)
Come and listen to my story 'bout a boy named Bush.
His IQ was zero and his head was up his tush.
He drank like a fish while he drove all about.
But that didn't matter 'cuz his daddy bailed him out.
DUI, that is.
Criminal record.
Cover-up.
Well, the first thing you know little Georgie goes to Yale.
He can't spell his name but they never let him fail.
He spends all his time hangin' out with student folk.
And that's when he learns how to snort a line of coke.
Blow, that is.
White gold.
Nose candy.
The next thing you know there's a war in Vietnam.
Kin folks say, "George, stay at home with Mom."
Let the common people get maimed and scarred.
We'll buy you a spot in the Texas Air Guard.
Cushy, that is.
Country clubs.
Nose candy.
Twenty years later George gets a little bored.
He trades in the booze, says that Jesus is his Lord.
He said, "Now the White House is the place I wanna be."
So he called his daddy's friends and they called the GOP.
Gun owners, that is.
Falwell.
Jesse Helms.
Come November 7, the election ran late.
Kin folks said "Jeb, give the boy your state!"
"Don't let those colored folks get into the polls."
So they put up barricades so they couldn't punch their holes.
Chads, that is.
Duval County.
Miami-Dade.
Before the votes were counted five Supremes stepped in.
Told all the voters "Hey, we want George to win."
"Stop counting votes!" was their solemn invocation.
And that's how George finally got his coronation.
Rigged, that is.
Illegitimate.
No moral authority.
Y'all come vote now.
Ya hear?
Try here (and associated messages):
http://www.siliconinvestor.com/stocktalk/msg.gsp?msgid=20204886
coach2, if you don't like Zeev's roadmap, please post your own. Or just make a positive contribution of any kind... I looked over your recent posts and they are nothing but carping.
I love it when a plan comes together...
Well, don't keep us in suspense, what is it? <g>
New York Post Picks Wrong Running Mate For Kerry
http://www.nbc5i.com/politics/3497255/detail.html
POSTED: 11:26 am EDT July 6, 2004
NEW YORK -- Dewey defeats ... Gephardt?
The New York Post, in a front page gaffe reminiscent of the 1948 headline wrongly announcing President Harry Truman's defeat, proclaimed Tuesday that Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry would select Dick Gephardt as his running mate.
While the ink was still drying on the Post's late edition, Kerry announced his choice: John Edwards.
"KERRY'S CHOICE," read the headline over the page one "exclusive" story. "Dem picks Gephardt as VP candidate." The story, which ran without a byline, was accompanied by a file photo of the Missouri congressman and the Massachusetts senator.
The Post said it was preparing a statement on the matter. The paper's Web site replaced the Gephardt report with a story by The Associated Press on Kerry's actual choice, North Carolina Sen. John Edwards.
Last October, after the New York Yankees defeated the Boston Red Sox in the American League playoffs, the Post mistakenly ran an editorial bemoaning the home team's loss. Post Editor in Chief Col Allan blamed that foul-up on a simple production error.
It was 1948 when Chicago Daily Tribune ran its famous "DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN" headline. Incumbent Truman wound up winning another four-year term.
ajtj,
as near as I can tell from your posts, you have us at the center of this map:
http://www.topozone.com/map.asp?z=13&n=4143671.99979575&e=280913.999912833&datum=nad83
hiker
<ggg>
Jobs created by US Presidents:
http://www.musicforamerica.org/node/view/1323
9/11 panel: Al Qaeda planned to hijack 10 planes
http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/06/16/911.commission/index.html
Buried deep in this article is the following:
The panel said it found "no credible evidence that Iraq and al Qaeda cooperated on attacks against the United States."
The report contradicts statements from the Bush administration that Saddam Hussein had ties to al Qaeda.
Clinton documentary premieres
http://www.cnn.com/2004/US/South/06/16/clinton.documentary.ap/index.html
Big audience heard booing, cheering
Wednesday, June 16, 2004 Posted: 2:29 PM EDT (1829 GMT)
LITTLE ROCK, Arkansas (AP) -- More than a thousand people turned out for the world premiere of "The Hunting of the President," a film claiming to expose "the 10-year campaign to destroy Bill Clinton."
The 90-minute documentary re-creates interviews conducted for the best-selling book of the same name by Joe Conason and Gene Lyons. Rough versions have played at four film festivals.
The first public showing Tuesday night, at $50 a ticket -- with the proceeds going to several Arkansas-based charities -- drew a large crowd to a ballroom at the Statehouse Convention Center, a short walk from where Clinton celebrated his two presidential election victories. It is also next door to the Peabody Hotel, formerly the Excelsior, where Clinton accuser Paula Jones said he harassed her when he was governor.
Attendees included Susan McDougal, who went to jail rather than cooperate with Whitewater prosecutor Kenneth Starr; retired Gen. Wesley Clark, who sought the Democratic Party's presidential nomination this year; and former Arkansas Sen. David Pryor.
The documentary, narrated by Oscar-nominated actor Morgan Freeman, was to be given its New York premiere Wednesday.
During Tuesday's showing, appearances by Starr on the screen drew boos and hisses from the crowd, while Jones' image produced laughter.
Afterward, McDougal, who plays a large part in the film, got a standing ovation when she was called to the stage.
Producer Harry Thomason, one of Clinton's good friends, said Tuesday that he read the book in 2001 and thought it would make a good movie, but he had a hard time digging up money to produce it.
"I thought this is a good yarn -- there are villains, there are good guys," Thomason said. "But every place I went to finance the movie, nobody wanted to touch it. They said, 'It's been eight years, there's a new president, nobody wants to hear anything about [the Clinton] administration."
A few false starts later, Thomason cobbled together the money and a distributor, sorted through hours of interview tapes and made the movie. He says the timing, out just months before the election, is coincidental.
"We're out now, not because of the election -- we were just slow," Thomason said. "We wanted this movie out six or seven months ago, but we just couldn't make it."
He sees competition from Michael Moore's documentary, "Fahrenheit 911," due out in theaters nationwide on June 25.
"I think Michael Moore's 'Fahrenheit 911' will bury us," Thomason said. "But ... I think his film will take in enough at the box office that it probably might even help us some, too."
The film purports to uncover a right-wing manipulation of the media, which Thomason says began with President Nixon's call to counter liberal messages in the 1970s.
"...from frothy to borderline extreme. "
Justa, is "frothy" more or less extreme than "borderline extreme"? Enquiring minds need to know! <g>
BTW, I appreciate your cogent comments.
I was hawking lingere...
Now I know, you're really Bob Dylan! <g>
http://www.cnn.com/2004/SHOWBIZ/Music/04/06/dylan.lingerie.ap/index.html
did you try yahoo? they may have it.
Yup, but they don't.
Thanks anyway,
Hiker
Steve & all,
I'm trying to find a source for historical BPxxx data (xxx= NDX, COMP, NYA, etc.) I can get 2 years worth from Stockcharts but would like to go farther back than that. Any suggestions are appreciated!
Hiker
aj you missed noting a very nice grub on that post!
Maybe we have topped. Velociraptor is now bullish!<gg>
LOL! The last I read of him (in October) he declared that a major peak was "imminent" ( = early November):
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=1666114
Whatever.
http://www.henry.martinez.net/videos/5thplace.htm
<ggg>
Moment of truth for that channel coming soon...
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$NDX,uu[r,a]gacayyay[d10][pb20!b50!b200!b13!f][vc60][iut...
hussman is and allways will be a bear
He was pretty bullish earlier this year when a lot of other folks were not.
.....timer digest has him underperforming the s n p 500 by a huge margin over the last decade anda half...
Hussman's stock fund is just over 3 years old. He did have a newsletter before that, but I'm not sure it was around for 15 years. So I don't think there's really a fair comparison to be made over the last decade and a half.
But even for that I think his conservative approach would underperform the S&P in a bull market. IMHO the value of his fund is that it makes money even when the indicies are in a bear, you don't have to trade it, and overall has pretty low volatility. A lot of folks would be happy to get all that and a 19% return for something they don't have to watch that often.
H&S on the 15 min. NDX (if you believe in H&S):
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$NDX,uu[r,a]gacayyay[d10][pb20!b50!b200!b13!f][vc60][iut...
In any case it looks like decision time is soon.
I'm watching the up channel in thin blue to see if holds. If so today's potential max would be around 1395 NDX (tthe top of the channel at the close). All JMO.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$NDX,uu[r,a]gacayyay[d10][pb20!b50!b200!b13!f][vc60][iut...
aj, I don't know enough about ewaves to comment, but there does seem to be a potential downchannel in the making (blue):
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$ndx,uu[r,a]gacayyay[d10][pb20!b50!b200!b13!f][vc60][iut...
Nice tag of FRL by NDX, now apparently between narrowing s/r levels:
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$ndx,uu[r,a]gacayyay[d10][pb20!b50!b200!b13!f][vc60][iut...
NDX appears to have penetrated above the FRL that held it yesterday:
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$ndx,uu[r,a]gacayyay[d10][pb20!b50!b200!b13!f][vc60][iut...
Enough for me, too. Alex G => ignore.
I hate to do that. Ihub (& aj's thread in particular) has generally been a friendly place where folks can criticize each other's ideas w/o resulting to personally-directed remarks, very unlike SI.
yes, but still being held by the FRL.