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The Old timers Reversal Checklist:
1: Is the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy?
2: Are stock price valuations stretched?
3: Is investor euphoria present?
4: Are bond spreads widening?
5: Is there a recession looming?
6: Are transportation stocks, small caps and bank stocks retreating?
"Right now we are 0-for-6 in the bear market checklist,"
But wait, there is a new Bear in the market, she is called snow white and known for her north pole surviving tactics for hunting seals...
Watch as the VIX rises no matter the market going DOWN or not!
Operation Coil Spring ends June 21st
What years were the two biggest downs in the last 25 years?
Monday may very well prove to be a test, after monday, we won't see another opportunity to enter a short until june...
Rally ON
Best
Eyeing SVXY Calls
Best
Duma, What happened during 1972-1974?
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Watch 1658; Also watch the VIX rise along with it!
Watch the VVIX , it is starting to turn up
Lets see if our Hard work, pays off
Tech, I wanted to mention, on your cycle plan. probably works better when compared the to the Hurst cycle.
Therefore; Monday the 13th cycle bottom, then long till June targets
I would focus that plan in 2016 target for the 42 year cycle...
That will be the last time in our lifetime we will see a big move!
N, there is a Hurst cycle alert for the 13th
Best
Interesting for a company that started out from a basement!
I can say that he has used the GANN formula well.
Question is, do you know that it is up?
time for a Lesson from the Masters!
We only are interested in seeing the cycles...
Look forward you continued posts!
note:
Where were you in the GS Gold Short? did they leave you out in the cold? surely, we all saw 1320 area target... And lastly, what vehicle would GS use to enter short positions; for example VXX, UVXY or etc... HMM?
Don't keep us waiting for something useful
Foot, seems it sure been a buying opp the last four times...
The Federal Government works on a contract system, they have to issue contracts, no matter how big or small...
When is GS contract up with the FED?
All Contracts have an expiration date!
The REAL question to GS should be, what vehichles they would use to short the market; for Exmaple; vxx, uvxy, spxs etc...
As I said in my prior comment TECH, I would not be so interested to dive for dollars just yet.
That said, we did get a new Extreme Sell Signal Today with the upper banns reached,
You could push your time table out too;
2013 Summer Cycles, This cycle also matches the Hurst Timetable... The Sentinals will be happy!
As HD already said, we are looking at several more months of FED PUMPING. However; Todays close is sitting on a reversal pattern
Best
Hurst Cycles Coming up:
Now that the Ratio of 16 has completed at 1626 area;
I see,
Monday The 13th of 2103 a key swing cycle date.
Next dates do not appear until the week of June 9th - 17th
Yep, that cycle of 144 is simply amazing when combined with 540
GS order for VXX, SPXS, UVXY and Short SVXY and SPXL @
?
HD, GS ever buy UVXY or VXX or even SPXS?
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Hi, 1619 fits the ratio 16 profile rather nicely, it can trade up to 1626 and still be 16.
Today, we should watch for a broken arrow or long RED candle that looks like a sword to determine what next...
I know of no other term that will take the market higher at this point..
If anyone has an updated Hurst chart, it will be interesting to post here...
best
Seems Australia lowered its rates too...
1658 her we come...
My New target happens to be 1658
I don't need anything except the market to be fair! But we all know that won't happen...
The market only trades in both directions when the bodies are piling up... read a tail of Blood in the streets years ago much prior to 2000...
The day I'm wrong about the days I name... well that will be the day sharp is wrong about the market direction.
Little white noise said BUY UVXY again at 5.88
be back in a few days!
It was some time ago, from my memory, the ratio is calculated based on the percentage move.
So, when you add and subtract the last numbers or moves, calculate that percentage and it will show you the ratio.
I think anyway, I will study it more later
If this is correct, the market will start to pull back today after 2pm... I would hat to think th eCEO of GS has an EGO problem with 1625. if we hit that number, then we will enter a BEAR MARKET!
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Tech, Be sure keep your TV OFF!
Event Scheduled sometime this week, maybe around the eclipse.
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I didn't knee to go even though I had a prepaid ticket to hear this
Buffett admits Berkshire Hathaway will underperform the S&P 500
stick with the ratios 1618 high for now, I don't know, but it is in the ratio that matches GS too...
Duma, if I was you, I would enter a short position now
best regards
I been hacked I tell, I been hacked...
That exactly what I was scribbling these past few months myself...
What the HECK...
Ratios Ratios and more ratios!
See my post on North's Board..
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SAM, do you know why we are more than 99 percent likely to be wrong this time?
If you owed 16 trillion, how can you pay it back?
the only way is to run-up the domestic stock-market and reap the dividend to pay down the DEBT.. Question is, why they not letting Americans participate in this scheme?
Secondly, how much stock would one need to own to pay down the debt rationally...
Third, their is another critter ratio in our midst. it is called the ratio of 16
The Ratio of 16 at this point ranges between 1618 and 1626 we both know where 1626 is in the square of 144 right ? :)
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your lucky that the ratio of 16 was achieved this morning!
Tell northam, I said that 1618 fits the ratio of 16
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Odd isn't it... Me saying buy one short position now?
Well, their is a ratio that was finally reached this morning... it suggests to entry...
Best
Finally happy to report something useful to the People of the free world;
Quinn vetoes bill that would have increased ComEd rates
Chicago Tribune - 14 hours ago
Gov. Pat Quinn vetoed legislation Sunday that would have increased utility bills and helped Commonwealth Edison improve its electrical grid.
Finally something that won't make the Boston bomber out to be a hero!
Thanks, I would like to show you something I was working on before; since 1474 breached; I was playing with ratios over the past couple months; if you have time, maybe you can have a look to try and understand them further?
They look like this; maybe you can make more sense out of them :)
LOWS,PEAKS,POINTS,RATIOS by 9, =
Rough Estimate Starting from 1000 area in the SPX
Note how 16 in the last ratio cycle is almost their? 1617-1626
000,1101,145=16.11111111
000,000,1150,49=5.444444444
209,1010,1219,69=7.666666667
296,1074,1370,151=16.77777778
156,1266,1422,52=5.777777778
106,1368,1474,52=5.777777778
258,1368,1626,152=16.88888889
note the Commas separations, the point is, ratio 16 has to be achieved before we see any pullback as with the prior pullbacks...
Then two fives will appear, generally two fives appear then one 16, the ratios seem to determine more accurately; supposedly anyway when we really get that pullback...
But, for now, GS going to have to Roll up their loan on UVXY as far as I am concerned :)
Note that I do not expect to see the FED selling their portfolio either, I do expect them to reap the dividend to pay down the debt... this should actually be illegal as they are borrowing money to do such a task...
Thereby making any idea of a Pullback to any degree larger than 15-20 percent not possible...
Best
Just came back from 1913:
But firsts, a break from our report:
Looking at this chart suggests a looming nuclear WAR to me...
As we can see, we been on target since... it suggests there is nothing that precludes we head straight up at this point in this prior trend...
Their is a ratio I was studying before, it very annoying ratio at present; it suggests 1617-1626 target before we get a pullback
Best
Note: We appreciate HD comments and will evaluate the market going forward...
Note, we should all be on high alert that a pullback is not coming until this ratio completes at this point!
R3 Sam,
I noticed the SPX Daily Cycle paused at R3 extreme last week.
The weekly R2 and the monthly and Quarterly at R1 The yearly is in no-wheres land...
Note; I also noticed that this trend is quite different and trading higher than the last pauses. the yearly suggests a straight up on the DOW to 15459 before we see any major pullback...
Have you noted VVIX, it tracks the SPXS and UVXY positions better I think.
Good work,
thanks your posts.
If I was Black, it would be a number one hit!
Mind what I say hey?