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Sarbanes Oxley cost?
SYTE Revs $5 million x 2.5% = $125K
www.economist.com/business/displayStory.cfm?story_id=3984019
may be only the beginning.. When lawsuits are settled we'll see.
Not to say they won't put out some type of numbers... Don't some pinks do that? This is not just SYTE... It will be many BB's with low revs. just a possibility.
gee dad...
please don't make us suffer! we need our fix.
ps.. this board is better.. can put charts and pics
And thanks Yank..
I think there is some validity to charts.. and tend to have your same belief...
and this...
www.stockcharts.com/education/ChartAnalysis/headShouldersTop.html
Interesting to see none the less. You could argue someone noticed this pattern in April and took profits.
I think because of the aggressive goal statement, the acquisition of Poly, the PR with "double rev" comment, all gave buyers too much confidence before earnings. I did not do an extensive search of e's post over the web but see it a few different places. E says "just missed". I wonder how many saw his post and bought in the .10's? Even the survey indicated confidence though. Bones says it's the market.. in general...LOL... Don't over think it?
SYTE may go pink.
Sarbanes-Oxley Act may be too expensive for many BB stocks and force small public businesses to make business decisions to "go dark". Not sure at what revenue level it will make sense but it's something to be watching. I've heard to comply make cost upward to $100K.
It's our fine Federal government hard at work watching out for the small investors best interest.
I figured to get a chuckle out of that one.
chart folks, think we had a head and shoulder?
now ended? What happens after that?
Mike, I posted the recent "cleaned up" chat by nech on the main board page above.
IMO, we are about 80% Narrowband (NB or dial-up) & 20% Broadband (BB). NB will likely end up at around 10% of market for awhile. SYTE is buying companies outside Telcom's Verizon, Bellsouth and AT&T areas. Rural Telcom’s and Qwest are targeted areas. The larger the scale (more subs), the lower the cost of bandwidth. Debt is high here but pretty sure if no crazy expenses they will continue Net profit in 2006, even if no more acquisitions. 2nd Q is almost over. In '03 and '04 Operating Exp. has always been higher then 1st Q as % so expecting same trend. Having said all that, my guess right now is that this is a safe stock to own through at least the 3rd Q report. Thinking it will stay in the 6-8 PE range if no acquisitions during that period. Since they paid off a big purchase Idacomm and EBITDA was $486,911, this means soon if not now, they may have enough cash to make some nice buys with owner finance. As the business continues to the end of product life cycle, these small ISP are losing money. I think the Poly buy was one of those assume the debt deals. We got near 700 subs for about $90K plus some debt. Mgt is also getting smarter with every buy. Depending on the deal, there is a chance for them to achieve the $1 - $2 mil/month rev. range. If that happens I would expect pps to maybe get to 15-20 cents with some excitement and advertising by the Oldpro. They had some trouble with Idacomm and may have lost some subs when integrating into SYTE. FRE told me it was due to not buying the domain names. Buying Netrove they didn’t factor some expenses due to Canadian law. I like the managers and historically they have been very shareholder considerate. IMO money can be made here.
but heck... what do I know.. I bought MSFT a few weeks ago and now down 5% LOL
Hey Simple....
I think we may be a buy right now... Why?
Predicting the future....
1) So looking at my spreadsheet making some assumptions I get the following…
Quarter Internet Dev Retail Total Cost of Rev Operating Exp Other Exp Net Income YTD Net income Basic Shares
A 1Q 06 $1,430,300 $0 $27,223 $1,457,523 $449,789 $762,730 $57,322 $187,682 $187,682 88,013,305
F 2Q 06 $1,359,038 $0 $25,000 $1,384,038 $442,892 $720,000 $60,000 $161,146 $348,828 88,013,305
F 3Q 06 $1,250,313 $0 $25,000 $1,275,313 $408,100 $720,000 $60,000 $87,213 $436,041 88,013,305
F 4Q 06 $1,154,121 $0 $25,000 $1,179,121 $377,319 $720,000 $60,000 $21,802 $457,843 88,013,305
F 2006 $5,193,772 $102,223 $5,295,995 $1,678,100 $2,922,730 $237,322 $457,843 88,013,305
And looking at cash I believe the company could have a million dollars through 4Q if they use it for acquisition and not paying down debt. This based on the above assumption and assuming $250K/Q depreciation only. I said before to achieve the goal of 100K subs IMO we will need about $2.5 mill depending on the deal.
2) Historically, the PE we are at right now is low. We were below 7 last week. We should theoretically always be under ELNK because IMO strong balance sheet difference, BB and all. But ELNK is 9. Anything PPS under PE of 7 is good IMO. See Predict above and know that no acquisition means PE will increase at current .065-.07
3) Management factor. You must consider the 3 year history of FRE. Just keeps plugging along…… 100% sure this guy knows what he’s doing, in this business. Plus at the chat, he did say the goal is moved back to 4Q.. If he should hit that, pps will certainly goto new heights. Even half!
I believe they will continue acquisition.
All giff opinion.
Why did the SYTE goto .11?
SYTE vs ELNK Chart
About the same
nech.. used your cleaned up chat.. Thanks
Sorry I missed the chat but had my IT guru log giff in to get copy. It's above.
Broadband Growth Trends in the US
In April 2006, broadband penetration in US homes rose 1.05 percentage points to 70.44% up from 69.39% in March. This increase of 1.05 points is near the average increase in broadband of 1.1 points per month over the last six months (see Figure 4). If US broadband growth follows the pattern of other countries, the rate of penetration growth should decrease after reaching 70%.
http://www.websiteoptimization.com/bw/0605/
a great report.... does the company have the right subs?
Thanks to all that have served our nation!
Hey Cat..
Pretty sure he won't... under the Dan name. LOL
It's me prodding him along over there. My thoughts.. Dan makes some points. He is the only that will post from the "dark side". The message is to FRE and will/can only strengthen us in the long haul. Additionally, I don't think anything he's said has influenced this reversal. It's profit taking by some good traders... it's the market trend people moving to cash...
FRE has done a great job for us longs holding from last year... I don't blame any for selling...
52-Week High (31-Mar-06)3: 0.11
52-Week Low (01-Aug-05)3: 0.02
Question now is... What's next?
PS.. Like Z says.. he's afraid to come over here.. can be ID'd LOL.
ICCA vs AVEE
Item................................... ICCA ....... AVEE
Market Cap (intraday): 70.82M ..... 12.23M
Revenue (ttm):.............. 19.50M .... 4.46M
Profit Margin (ttm): ...... 10.35% .... 13.45%
Shares Outstanding:.... 19.95M ..... 6.40M
Trailing P/E:.................. 40.34 ...... 20.11
Diluted EPS (ttm): ....... 0.09 ......... 0.10
Total Cash (mrq):........ 4.29M ..... 1.99M
source: yahoo
Is ICCA overvalued or we undervalued?
If AVEE traded at PE of 40 then pps would be $4.00
ICCA has 4.4 x revs vs AVEE... thus possible 4.4 x 12.23M (mkt cap) / 6.4M shares = pps $8.32
ICCA
The EC Service Bureau segment provides electronic data interchange (EDI) services, including data translation services, and EDI-to-print and print-to-EDI purchase order and invoice processing, as well as Universal Product Code (UPC) services, including UPC number generation, UPC catalog maintenance, and UPC label printing. It also offers EDI software and software maintenance and support. Internet Commerce Corporation sells its products to retailers, manufacturers, distributors, and transportation providers in various industries, including apparel, consumer packaged goods, financial, grocery, media, pharmaceutical, publishing, retail, third-party logistics, and transportation.
AVEE
provides business-to-business (B2B) e-commerce products and services. It develops, markets, and supports B2B e-commerce software products and offers Internet-based communication and data processing services that enable businesses to process transactions electronically.
Anyone else gonna ride AVEE up with me?
Historical PE
Using Shares count from 10Q & K's
PE of 6.3 is $.056 pps
PE of 20 is $0.176 pps
ELNK P/E (ttm): 9.25 as of yesterday.
GEEK P/E: Minus
IVCM P/E: Minus
FULO P/E (ttm): 7.27 as of yesterday.
Somebody's not playing fair...
I've had a limit buy all week (not AON) at $1.70 for AVEE. The following happens today.
1.90 1800 OBB 15:48:23
1.90 200 OBB 15:44:12
1.56 622 OBB 15:41:53
1.56 400 OBB 15:41:46
1.56 100 OBB 15:41:46
1.56 600 OBB 15:41:46
1.56 400 OBB 15:41:40
1.56 100 OBB 15:41:40
1.56 600 OBB 15:41:40
1.56 400 OBB 15:41:32
1.56 100 OBB 15:41:32
1.56 600 OBB 15:41:32
1.90 900 OBB 09:37:47
I get screwed by ET? How can this happen?
Something to note.... $.065
This 30K buy.. In the past year the PE dropped below this point only 14 days of 266 days...
Nice buy for someone..
A .07 puts the pe at 7.93 ... that too is only 14 days...
Today is a buy.
Another good Q...
Looks as expected... No surprises...
Pretty sure we can expect profit remaining Q's this year...
Art... Question about the 9.6 cents...
it says it's an assets purchase of operations. Does not say they have offered to buy the company. So could it be possible that shareholders will only get Assets - Lia ?
Historical PE
1st Q predicts...
Quarter ; Internet.........; Dev....; Retail......; Total............; COGS......; Oper Exp.; OthrExp ; Net Income
F 4Q05 ; 1,400,000 ; empty ; $35,000 ; $1,435,000 ; $460,000 ; $680,000 ; $65,000 ; $230,000
The follow are past predictions
Quarter ; Internet ; Dev ; Retail ; Total ; COGS ; Operating Exp ; Other Exp ; Net Income
F 4Q05 ; $1,200,000 ; empty ; $35,000 ; $1,235,000 ; $358,150 ; $550,000 ; $45,000 ; $281,850
A 3Q05 ; $1,246,080 ; empty ; $34,488 ; $1,280,568 ; $408,942 ; $518,257 ; $57,588 ; $295,781
Comments Addition error showed $371 net income but reality was $281. I call this dead nuts.
http://investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=10591013
F 3Q05 ; $827,847 ; empty ; $42,000 ; $869,847 ; $228,556 ; $380,000 ; $85,000 ; $176,291
A 3Q05 ; $780,793 ; empty ; $37,615 ; $818,408 ; $229,075 ; $427,704 ; $45,105 ; $116,524
Comments: Missed Revs. Under est.'d Churn and Operating expenses.
http://investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=8532073
F 2Q05 ; $730,000 ; empty ; $30,000 ; $760,000 ; $197,000 ; $411,000 ; $45,000 ; $107,000
A 2Q05 ; $738,736 ; empty ; $41,882 ; $780,618 ; $205,111 ; $376,744 ; $43,020 ; $155,743
Comments: Under on Revs; over on Operating Expenses
http://ragingbull.lycos.com/mboard/boards.cgi?board=SYTE&read=49171
F 1Q05 ; $760,180 ; $1,500 ; $35,000 ; $769,680 ; $250,000 ; $390,000 ; $75,000 ; $81,680
A 1Q05 ; $761,540 ; $0 ; $38,849 ; $800,389 ; $209,331 ; $477,427 ; $41,564 ; $72,067
Comments: Ok something didn't add up? Suppose to be $54,680...
http://ragingbull.lycos.com/mboard/boards.cgi?board=SYTE&read=48273
F 4Q04 ; empty ; empty ; empty ; empty ; empty ; empty ; empty ; $60,964
4 AQ04 ; empty ; empty ; empty ; $772,909 ; $251,917 ; $420,838 ; $27,818 ; $72,336
Comments: Close
http://ragingbull.lycos.com/mboard/boards.cgi?board=SYTE&read=47451
F 3Q04 ; empty ; empty ; empty ; $786,256 ; $377,023 ; $394,534 ; $73,429 ; ($58,730)
A 3Q04 ; $740,070 ; empty ; $63,742 ; $803,812 ; $219,941 ; $371,718 ; $56,102 ; $156,051
Comments: Missed on COGS; slight over on other ex prookie at this game.
http://ragingbull.lycos.com/mboard/boards.cgi?board=SYTE&read=43144
ASSUMPTIONS:
1) Revenues: Assuming 4% churn on NB and no erosion on BB. This a 1% higher then competition. Using data I've tracked.
2) COGS:Using last Q 33% of revenues.
3) Operating Exp: Always tough to predict. I thought the Idacomm buy would move into operating expenses without much extra. The difference was $90K for the 4th Q. I still say some of that was one time cost but not going to cut just yet. The Netrover deal came with SG&A cost of $180K/Q. This is the big unknown… I guess it's cut to $160,000/Q.
4) Other: Going to stick with last few Q's
Most important is this ...
< 9 PE historical Daily PE happened 26 times
< 8 PE historical Daily PE happened 14 times
< 7 PE historical Daily PE happened 4 times
out of 266 days as of 4/28/06 going back to where we can report 12 month trailing PE.
So if we get only 200K Net income with 2 mil increase in shares... at .08 pps trailing EPS = $.00896 making the PE 8.9
after the 1st Q PR.
We have only been in this low range only 17% of the time...
My EPS Data
A 4Q 04 $0.0010
A 1Q 05 $0.0025
A 2Q 05 $0.0051
A 3Q 05 $0.0050
A 4Q 05 $0.0076
F 1Q 06 $0.0090
Disclaimer.. All IMI... Please check my math... this is for fun only... welcome a challenge... I may be wrong... what do you think?
My earning projections for 1Q '06
Now this is a guess....All for fun... IMO based on history and 10K comments
Revenue F 1Q 06 $1,270,000
Gross Profit 68% $850,900... 1% lower then 4th Q
Operating Income $300,900... $50K higher sg&a cost
Income before Tax $305,400... 20% of revs because guidance says moving toward goal of 18%
Net Income $183,240... using 40% tax level
EPS of $0.02872... using diluted shares increase of 40K
12 month Trailing EPS = 0.1071
so...
PPS...PE
$2.00 19
$2.25 21
$2.50 23
So compare the PE historical to what's going on. Are we going forward to higher PE levels? Could the company goals be set low? That's the bet.
All IMO
Correction to Last post math
Last post EPS was pre-tax
Low $4,462,702 x 24% = $5,533,750 x 14% $774,725 - $309,890 (tax 40%) = $464,950 / 6,500,000 shares = EPS $0.073
High $4,462,702 x 28% = $5,712,259 x 18% $1,028,207 - $411,283 (tax 40%)= $616,924 / 6,500,000 shares = EPS $0.095
I need some to check me...
Company’s management offers the following guidance
- Revenue growth goal of 24-28% in 2006
- Pre-tax profit goal of 14-18%
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
For the years ended December 31, 2005 $4,462,702
Math...
Low $4,462,702 x 24% = $5,533,750 x 14% $774,725 / 6,500,000 shares = EPS $0.122
High $4,462,702 x 28% = $5,712,259 x 18% $1,028,207 / 6,500,000 shares = EPS $0.158
* 6.5 million shares are my estimated issued at year end.
PS.. Possibly THE STRONGEST OTCBB company from a financial Perspective.
Wonder if they can find the cash to make this happen? This seems to be the wave right now...
The following is a related subject...
Annapolis going wireless, and it's free
Ads will pay for Internet network, a first in the U.S.
By Bradley Olson
Sun reporter
Originally published April 25, 2006
Annapolis is close to becoming the first city in the country to offer free wireless Internet access provided by a private company and paid for entirely by advertising - a model that analysts say could be adopted nationwide.
Unlike other cities with wireless networks - such as Philadelphia or Houston - the Annapolis plan carries no fees for users or investment by taxpayers. Instead, a local company, Annapolis Wireless Internet, will build the network and pay for it by selling local ads that users will have to view upon accessing the network.
The Annapolis network, which has been running in parts of the city since February, covers much of the downtown area and will expand across the entire city in the summer.
An official unveiling is planned for Saturday at City Dock, with Gov. Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. and other officials scheduled to attend.
In other cities, the municipality has paid to install and maintain the networks. But the Annapolis system is the first of its kind in the country, according to Ina Sebastian, an associate analyst at Jupiter Research who specializes in municipal WiFi, short for wireless fidelity.
That may be changing. Google and Earthlink last week announced plans for a network similar to Annapolis' in San Francisco that would be available free to customers. To pay for it, Google would use the wireless technology to pinpoint the location of users and track their Internet use, sending ads directly to them tailored to their location and usage.
Annapolis Wireless will sell local advertisements on its Web site that all users will have to view when they access the network. From there, one can freely use the Internet without further advertisements. The firm is working with Nortel Networks of Toronto, a company that sets up wireless hardware, to offer the service in Annapolis.
"There's zero taxpayer involvement, which gives us some flexibility," said Philip McQuade, president of Annapolis Wireless Internet. "You could easily compare it to radio. People listen to the radio with non-intrusive advertising, and that's what we've done to the Internet."
Annapolis Mayor Ellen O. Moyer said she was excited about the network and happy it was achieved without any cost to taxpayers.
"It moves us into the 21st century," she said. "Having this whole new system that makes it possible for everybody to communicate is great. We're on the cutting edge of a lot of things and we're proud to be a model in this case."
So far, the network is getting about 400 users a day, many of whom are boaters accessing the network on the water, but company officials predict usage will grow quickly in the coming weeks.
McQuade said potential advertisers were initially skeptical of the business model, but interest has lately picked up significantly. He said he expected to land deals with national advertisers soon.
For now, the company will continue to focus on Annapolis, but McQuade said he is interested in expanding into other major tourist areas in Maryland. Baltimore's Inner Harbor has free wireless access that was paid for in part by a city wireless company, although the network spans only about 1,000 feet and is touted as a pilot project.
Jason Brumfield, a regional manager for Nortel Networks, who has helped set up wireless networks in many cities, said Nortel is providing the hardware for the program as a partner and will get money only if the advertising model works. Normally, the cost for setting up a wireless network in Annapolis could cost as much as $250,000
"We're interested in doing it because, number one, we think offering broadband in municipalities for free or next to free is a really important venture for making a stab at the digital divide," he said. "We want to make sure these guys succeed, and we think this model can be replicated to other cities from a private business perspective."
Sebastian, the Jupiter Research analyst, said public networks are sprouting up all over the country, including in San Francisco, Houston, Philadelphia and New Orleans. Many companies also provide wireless service for a fee, but 58 percent of consumers only used public "hotspots" - or wireless networks - when they are free, according to a recent study she completed last month.
Use of WiFi is growing, she said, especially among business travelers. The reason is convenience: Users connect to the Internet without hooking up phone lines or other wiring. Their computers send and receive data through the air with small devices that operate like radios or cell phones.
Some businesses, such as Starbucks, have begun to equip their facilities with hotspots so customers can open their laptops and surf the Net while sipping coffee.
In 2005, only 14 percent of people who used the Internet had used a wireless hotspot, the Jupiter study found. More recent data estimates the number has climbed to 20 percent.
"Providing free WiFi service to Annapolis is an important step in furthering our goal of making Maryland an attractive destination to live, work and visit," said Gov. Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. in a written statement. "This private sponsorship creates a community environment for Maryland citizens, tourists and the technology sector where everyone wins."
Municipal WiFi has become a controversial issue around the country as cities have drawn the ire of broadband Internet providers for pledging to offer free Internet to all residents. Many cable companies have formed lobbying groups and attempted to quash the networks through state legislation, blanketing communities with advertising opposing the practice. These efforts have largely failed.
William Small, who lives on his sailboat docked in downtown Annapolis, said he and many other boaters use the network every day to access the Internet. So far, the coverage has been good and has only been knocked out temporarily by a storm.
"It's great," he said. "There are a lot of people down here that take advantage of it."
True...but
How much time do you think he has to make the filing if closed?
Hard to say... Could be having a problem...
About the Chat
Mr. Erhartic emailed me and said, "We may wait until middle of next month." I assume the delay is strategic.
SYTE is still my #1 OTCBB too.
PR said the business "it has purchased Prolynx" meaning to me past tense. You think maybe LOI perhapes.
Look at it good...
It's growing cash.
The prolynx Inc acquisition prediction...
My personal research leads me to believe the annual Revs will be around $600K. If closed on March 1st, then SYTE's 1st Q revs will be around $1.45 mil.. and annual on pace for $5.25 Mil
and if FRE paid same as Net deal the total cost for this business will be around $300K. Hard to say what the real deal is because BB and all but 3M share x .10 over time = $300K
All IMO and for fun only!
I think this one may be a good long.
- A business that is the wave of the future
- A few years of Revenue Growth
- A few years of Net income Growth
- Nice balance sheet
How many here own SYTE?
and Why?
Please post...
IMO ELNK has taken a pounding
because of continued decline in revs due to the change from NB to BB. The Bell's and Cable are fighting hard for bb subs. That's the business right now. Thus we have an industry out of favor right now.
ELNK mkt cap/Rev = 98%
SYTE mkt cap/Rev = 199%
F SYTE mkt cap/Rev = 144%
GEEK mkt cap/Rev = 44%
ELNK and SYTE are trading at PE's around 10. GEEK is not making money and in very sharp decline. Geek needs some more cuts.
So did we get oversold?
My take on this stock...People did, but now don't believe the 100K will be achieved. But if we get 100K subs revs could be Revs ~ $15 mil so that would be 49%. Since we are making money one could say equal to ELNK conclude $.15 -$ .19 and all could very well happen by summer end. Based on price paid for Subs historically that means dilution of about 1 mill shares per $500K in Revs. That's 20 million shares making OS 100 million. FRE seems to be very methodical. I sense they don't want to get into a situation where they make a bad purchase. They must find a seller willing to owner finance like Netrove deal. a little cash too. Also a change in Marketing with the hire of a salesman. I think that was needed at this point. Not real sure his targets.
Then you have the crazy trade factor... All the above happens a flurry of events happen and never know where the top will be.. LOL
So essentially, yes news would help. A buy...
ELNK is 3% churn
the way I count..
Per 8K's
2.3 million premium narrowband subscribers December 31, 2005.
2.1 million premium narrowband subscribers March 31, 2006.
3.00%
23000000
1 22310000
2 21640700
3 20991479
So we are around 4%... Is that enough to say it's a problem?
FORM SB-2 22,250,000 Shares
Why would anyone want this stock? This is what I got...
IVCM business plan - Buy dial-up's, build this Motorola Canopy wireless systems in rural America, convert and sell BB
The problem... No cash and pays this! Operational Exp 3rd Q 06 of $1,392,950 was paid in stock for consulting expenses. IMO if this CEO needs that much help, with these revs, then he's a fricken idot.
Employee compensation of in one Q $605,966!
Cornell Capital Partners deal too
Hard to recognize kids when they grow up...
A few months ago, while in Baton Rouge to visit, here's something bizarre. I must say Baton Rouge is a pretty large city. I get a call from my nephew on my wife’s side. He had crashed into the back of a lady. He was pretty shaken up and asked me to come on over to the crash. When I get there, the cops had come and gone, the other car too. My nephew tells me about how the lady stopped quickly, it was wet and, he slid into the rear. The young lady he crashed into was a babysitter and had a child in the car. No one was hurt but, when the mom showed up, my nephew said she cussed him out and went crazy nuts. Shortly later, I get a call from my brother saying some stupid kid ran into the back of his babysitter’s car. Yep, my nephew crashed into my nephew. I got a stupid nephew and crazy sister inlaw. The family's not that large and I have just 2 nephews in Baton Rouge, both live opposite ends of town. We all can chuckle about it now.
Yes ELNK looks like 2%...
the way I compare. Dollars % may be different..
2.00%
12/30/0 43000000
1 2940000
2 2881200
3 2823576
4 2767104
5 2711762
6 2657527
7 2604377
8 2552289
9 2501243
10 2451218
11 2402194
12 2354150
The check.. 10K says 3.9 Mil in 12/04 less 900K peoplePC value NB thus 3 million and the 12/05 10K says they lost 700K premium... so 3 mill - 700K = 2.3 mil... this checks.. 2%/month for premium loss...
That might be expected though... I think ELNK had some Free computer deal via BestBuy that you had to sign up for 3 yrs of service.. I did that with them too... and still us the computer.. but not ELNK.. I've had both ELNK and SYTE.. They both connect the same.. LOL no problems with either.. It may be the kinds of ISP were buying.. they have reached a point where owners what out.. to exit.. and not profitable.. We get them and fit them in.. no huge effort to stop a switch like ELNK.. they call and beg you to stay asked you to get the $10 PeoplePC deal... SYTE just stopped billing.. Maybe because they don't want to jeopardize the premium customers
No chat so far.. Meeting is on Thursday next week...You show up Thursday 10 a.m. per filings.. no invite here though..LOL
This is what I have... Cut the below and paste it in notepad. Save it as a .txt then open in your spread... just keep it Delimited and tab when the text import wizard appears... With the below anyone can predict revenues.. your gonna have to but the formulations in... Even put a churn and tie it to the subs.. ALL IMO because the company does not release #'s... does not have poly stuff...
I use current 4% data based on info from other ISP's and nelson report.
***CUT BELOW HERE****
Month ; NB Subs ; $/sub ; NB Revs ; biz Subs ; bix $/sub ; BB biz Revs ; DSL subs ; DSL $/sub ; DSL Revs ; Total BB Revs ; Hosting rev ; Monthly ISP Revs ; Quarter Revs ; Actual ; Annual Revs
Jan-05 ; 10,935 ; $18.00 ; $196,830 ; 950 ; $60.00 ; $57,000 ; 0 ; 0 ; 0 ; $57,000 ; ; $253,830 ; na ; na ; na
Feb-05 ; 10,935 ; $18.00 ; $196,830 ; 950 ; $60.00 ; $57,000 ; 0 ; 0 ; 0 ; $57,000 ; ; $253,830 ; na ; na ; na
Mar-05 ; 10,935 ; $18.00 ; $196,830 ; 950 ; $60.00 ; $57,000 ; 0 ; 0 ; 0 ; $57,000 ; ; $253,830 ; $761,490 ; $761,540 ; na
Apr-05 ; 10,716 ; $18.00 ; $192,888 ; 950 ; $60.00 ; $57,000 ; 0 ; 0 ; 0 ; $57,000 ; ; $249,888 ; na ; na ; na
May-05 ; 10,502 ; $18.00 ; $189,036 ; 950 ; $60.00 ; $57,000 ; 0 ; 0 ; 0 ; $57,000 ; ; $246,036 ; na ; na ; na
Jun-05 ; 10,292 ; $18.00 ; $185,256 ; 950 ; $60.00 ; $57,000 ; 0 ; 0 ; 0 ; $57,000 ; ; $242,256 ; $738,180 ; $738,736 ; na
Jul-05 ; 9,880 ; $18.00 ; $177,846 ; 950 ; $60.00 ; $57,000 ; 0 ; 0 ; 0 ; $57,000 ; ; $234,846 ; na ; na ; na
Aug-05 ; 9,485 ; $18.00 ; $170,732 ; 950 ; $60.00 ; $57,000 ; 0 ; 0 ; 0 ; $57,000 ; ; $227,732 ; na ; na ; na
Sep-05 ; 9,109 ; $18.00 ; $163,962 ; 950 ; $60.00 ; $57,000 ; 0 ; 0 ; 0 ; $57,000 ; ; $220,962 ; $783,540 ; $780,792 ; na
Oct-05 ; 18,244 ; $17.75 ; $323,825 ; 950 ; $60.00 ; $57,000 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $99,000 ; ; $422,825 ; na ; na ; na
Nov-05 ; 17,514 ; $17.75 ; $310,872 ; 950 ; $60.00 ; $57,000 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $99,000 ; ; $409,872 ; na ; na ; na
Dec-05 ; 16,813 ; $17.75 ; $298,437 ; 950 ; $60.00 ; $57,000 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $99,000 ; ; $397,437 ; $1,230,133 ; $1,246,080 ; $3,527,148
Jan-06 ; 20,519 ; $17.75 ; $364,209 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $482,400 ; na ; na ; na
Feb-06 ; 19,698 ; $17.75 ; $349,640 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $467,831 ; na ; na ; na
Mar-06 ; 18,910 ; $17.75 ; $335,655 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $453,846 ; $1,404,077 ; $1,404,077 ; na
Apr-06 ; 18,154 ; $17.00 ; $308,613 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $426,804 ; na ; na ; na
May-06 ; 17,428 ; $17.00 ; $296,269 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $414,460 ; na ; na ; na
Jun-06 ; 16,730 ; $17.00 ; $284,418 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $402,609 ; $1,243,873 ; $1,243,873 ; na
Jul-06 ; 16,061 ; $17.00 ; $273,041 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $391,232 ; na ; na ; na
Aug-06 ; 15,419 ; $17.00 ; $262,120 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $380,311 ; na ; na ; na
Sep-06 ; 14,802 ; $17.00 ; $251,635 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $369,826 ; $1,141,369 ; $1,141,369 ; na
Oct-06 ; 14,210 ; $17.00 ; $241,569 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $359,760 ; na ; na ; na
Nov-06 ; 13,642 ; $17.00 ; $231,907 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $350,098 ; na ; na ; na
Dec-06 ; 13,096 ; $17.00 ; $222,630 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $340,821 ; $1,050,680 ; $1,050,680 ; $4,839,999
Jan-07 ; 12,572 ; $17.00 ; $213,725 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $331,916 ; na ; na ; na
Feb-07 ; 12,069 ; $17.00 ; $205,176 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $323,367 ; na ; na ; na
Mar-07 ; 11,586 ; $17.00 ; $196,969 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $315,160 ; $970,444 ; $970,444 ; na
Apr-07 ; 11,123 ; $17.00 ; $189,090 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $307,281 ; na ; na ; na
May-07 ; 10,678 ; $17.00 ; $181,527 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $299,718 ; na ; na ; na
Jun-07 ; 10,251 ; $17.00 ; $174,266 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $292,457 ; $899,456 ; $899,456 ; na
Jul-07 ; 9,841 ; $17.00 ; $167,295 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $285,486 ; na ; na ; na
Aug-07 ; 9,447 ; $17.00 ; $160,603 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $278,794 ; na ; na ; na
Sep-07 ; 9,069 ; $17.00 ; $154,179 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $272,370 ; $836,651 ; $836,651 ; na
Oct-07 ; 8,707 ; $17.00 ; $148,012 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $266,203 ; na ; na ; na
Nov-07 ; 8,358 ; $17.00 ; $142,092 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $260,283 ; na ; na ; na
Dec-07 ; 8,024 ; $17.00 ; $136,408 ; 980 ; $60.00 ; $58,800 ; 2100 ; $20.00 ; $42,000 ; $100,800 ; $17,391 ; $254,599 ; $781,084 ; $781,084 ; $3,487,634
Addition Error found on my 4Q prediction
I wish I had a someone to check me.. LOL.. I do that too often..
My prediction from this post...
http://investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=9936830
was this...
Quarter ; Internet.........; Dev....; Retail......; Total............; COGS......; Oper Exp.; OthrExp ; Net Income
F 4Q05 ; $1,200,000 ; empty ; $35,000 ; $1,235,000 ; $358,150 ; $550,000 ; $45,000 ; $371,850
The error was an addition... $1,235,000 - $358,150 - $550,000 - $45,000 = $281,850 not $371,850. I had that number as a negative at one time so I added.. but later made a change and forgot to change the formula on the spread.. Sorry about that...
anyway.. reality is it was as close as ever....
Quarter ; Internet.........; Dev....; Retail......; Total............; COGS......; Oper Exp.; OthrExp ; Net Income
F 4Q05 ; $1,200,000 ; empty ; $35,000 ; $1,235,000 ; $358,150 ; $550,000 ; $45,000 ; $281,850
A 3Q05 ; $1,246,080 ; empty ; $34,488 ; $1,280,568 ; $408,942 ; $518,257 ; $57,588 ; $295,781
No PR yet but 640K net income....
A very nice Q..
Geaux tigers!!! and SYTE!!