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MMs will do that to keep the price down.. or impatient investors..take your pick
How many watching this and waiting to get in lower are soon going to be sweating bullets as we get closer to Q3 results...wondering if they will miss out on the next and perhaps final run past .004+ They will be chasing this all the way up..tick tock ..tick tock...
Another day closer to earnings release and the wolf at the door kept at bay for now
Just 10M ($5K) @5 now on the ask...super thin.
Not a good sign for pessimists in here..LOL
1/2 BILLION SHARES @4..largest I've seen yet
I'm thinking they get to 1/2 cent by Dec or sooner if they hit their Q3 revenue number in November reporting
If it ever goes to trips..I'm buying every share on the ask ..LOL But..I suspect I will have to stand in line for that..
Yes..indeed...seems like people forgot the acquisition of a now working 40-52 bed treatment center only closed in July 1. Same hospital was billing around $300K per month last year pre-acquistion and out of network..now we've got those results + insurance carrier approval.
Let's wait and see here in a few more weeks and see that reversal we've been waiting for
Acquisition closed on July 1. It was reported. ARIA was billing out of network $300K per month before being acquired (75% ownership).
We should see first results shortly
Let's wait for ARIA results to be incorporated..they haven't had a real operations for that long..it should bring them back to life here.
The only thing we can hope is that debt will be greatly reduced on the balance sheet with latest round of dilution (CEO said balance sheet would be improved) and that he hits the Q3 ARIA revenue numbers in the ballpark of a $1.8M 2H21. Even at 4BN shares (still ways to go) market cap is still very low and should be upside here in the next few months
The rate of dilution has been constant (more or less) through Sept-Oct on avg. I did the calcuation and estimate that if it continues we would hit 4BN shares end of Jan...that will give us plenty of time for the Q3 release #s to be digested and factored into the pps..which to me means a min of 1/2 Cent to $.01 +...if the revenue is delivered this will reverse towards those prices..JMO
Date Shares O/S Change O/S Per Day AVG in Month
30-Jun 2,601,515,456
12-Jul 2,813,515,456 17,666,667
24-Aug 2,899,848,789 2,007,752
24-Sep 2,959,108,419 1,911,601 7,039,967 SEPTEMBER
27-Sep 3,051,047,811 30,646,464
29-Sep 3,111,047,811 30,000,000
13-Oct 3,173,047,811 4,428,571 6,596,481 OCTOBER
18-Oct 3,181,270,033 1,644,444
26-Oct 3,231,766,761 6,312,091
1-Nov 3,315,538,708 13,961,991
30 Days Nov 211,199,022
31 Days Dec 218,238,989
31 Days Jan 218,238,989
End Jan # 3,963,215,708.80
If there is no deadline to submit this A.L. then we could be waiting on this for some time. Obviously the end of the month came and went...so that was missed based on his own timeline. I think he needs to get in his car or wherever he feels comfortable at this point and tell us what is going on
As painful as it is (dilution)..I'm still focused on the medium term here and the math that works as follows
Assume 4BN shares by end of CY21
$4M annualized revenue X 10 = Market Cap of $40M / 4BN = $.01 PPS
$4M annualized revenue X 5 = Market Cap of $20M (cheap as hell still)/ 4BN = $.005
No matter how you cut this on the O/S side...we still are a 3-6 bagger range from today's price in just a few more months...IMO
I'll give you it's been a bit frustrating seeing those incremental O/S without any word from the CEO..we can assume it's related to paying down debt...but would be good to hear from him once in awhile confirming that...he's done that before when there's been dilution (through twitter explaining what happened)..but not lately.
Oh well..it is what it is...he's not a talker..never was.
If he can deliver on the Q3 and 2H21 revenue and this ticker gets about 1/2 -3/4 of a cent and stays there or goes higher...must of us longs will live with it.
Agreed. But you get dilution and nothing much else with 95% of all OTCs
There's a difference with this one...at least we have a brick and mortar operation here that will report revenues annualized in the millions soon based on all that's been reported to date. When that happens by Thanksgiving if not sooner..IMO..all that have been holding below 1/2 cent WA should be in good shape
Well...can't say that I am in that bunch ..but I am down quite a bit here even after diligently averaging down on the dips
No despair from me though..I know this will get well above my WA soon because ARIA is coming to a save the day
Like I said..this BOT needs to be reprogramed by it's MMs owners..it's really malfunctioning in its analyses
Yes..we all believe that will happen...but given the struggles here we've had recently in keeping the MMs at bay..right now I want to see 1/2 cent first and asap. Let's see if we can get there before earnings release
11.7K shares traded...what new chicanery is this?
2-3 weeks more..perhaps sooner and this starts to go up in anticipation or because of the earnings release that should show ARAI for the first time. Should be between 5-10X the level of revenue we showed last qtr.
Nah..just MMs trying to make this seem like it's going lower..but it won't stay there for long.
Sounds good
The CEO reported customers being on-boarded so unless he's lying, someone is paying for this service
Well said. No one here who is a serious investor can be looking past $.01 for now. Not until we see Q3 results from ARIA
How about SBFM...made a ton on that one..and it's basically 3 guys (maybe 2) and a shadow company with a patent to cure cancer they keep hawking for years now and no results. BTW..they bought the patent for $75K from the French and have made millions off that shtt. Oh and for months they were mice testing a COVID therapeutic that apparently also never went anywhere Finally figured out their game after I got in, avg down, and got out on one of the runs for good with sizeable profit.
That would be terrible...hopefully those who did that were able to avg down by now or get out early with minimal loses
I'm discounting anything from Sparta since all that was reported was an MOU and that's really not much. Unless there's more on this communicated...one should consider this a bluebird that won't likely happen
A/S = 10BN...and O/S = 3.2BN...you think they are going to burn through 6.8BN shares in 2 years with an operating treatment center?
Bottom line on dilution folks
4Billion shares X.01 = $40M Market Cap/ $4M give or take annualized revenue and thats 10X which is reasonable ...and that's assuming they will dump 800million more shares before the next earnings release in what..approx 2-3 weeks...even if you take market cap of $20M you're still going to be at 1/2 cent with the 4Bn shares.
Give the dilution talk a rest already...every OTC does it and most don't have anything but a chatty CEO and a PO box for an address
unless you feel there is no annualized $4M revenue company here about to emerge from the shadows, then and only then uber focus on dilution makes sense
Keep the faith peeps...remember this company has not reported true operating revenue in some time because they had no operations before July 1 this year (essentially just some passive leasing income)...now ARIA operating revenue and profit will start to show up. Should be a different picture when that happens
Sure thing..I will sell you all of my shares as soon as we get to $.01
Relatively thin wall at .0005 Nobody wants to sell cheap shares seems like
You may be right and you may be wrong..the current share count of 14.5BN is already factored into this price now. Unless there is further dilution and/or the A.L. doesn't happen shortly..you could see further degradation below the current support level at .0005. Let's see if the CEO meant it when he said the A.L. would be by month end
Price today reflects that dilution. If the AL comes through in a few days the opposite will happen..we will run. Not sure to what level though. Could be out of trips altogether.
CEO finally opened his mouth and this gets a jolt.
I hope we see that AL soon
98 thousand ...last qtr or thereabouts if memory serves. Essentially only revneue from their leasing of their old site/building. ARAI revenues have yet to be reported on the books...don't think most investors following this from afar realize that...they will only likely jump in if they see it run...thus we don't get the price we should be at now anticpating that increase. You can blame the CEO for that. He could be providing updates on occupancy rates and operations occasionally to let everyone know how the business is doing....but no ..we just have to wait for the financials to tell us that
5-10X from 98M baseline last qtr is about right with the $1.8M outlook the CEO gave for 2H21. You could argue it could be backend loaded in the 2H21 which means more in Q4 than Q3...thus could be in the lower end range of that 5-10X for Q3. $4M annualized revenue is in line not $5M
Don't think so..52 week low has been .0015 and no reason to think days before reporting the huge increase in revenues this would go below that level..unless of course we see dilution of the kind we saw when this went from .015 to .004...that's not likely to happen either if you believe what the CEO said about dilution.