Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Alzheimer's is much worse than Cancer! Dignity! Honor! When one is stricken with most deadly afflictions (save sudden fatal heart attack) one has the opportunity to be an inspiration to others though fighting with courage, acceptance with bravery, and maintaining one's dignity by remaining cheerful and avoiding self pity. We all must eventually die, but to die with honor has throughout history been highly valued. To die in a righteous battle to be an inspiration to others and to have fought the good fight has always been regarded as a "good death." Alzheimer's robs a person of the right to die a "good death", the last honor of a life well lived.
Go Anavex Life Sciences!
LOOK at the 271 Aug 10s calls bought at the ask @0.35 today
10.0 Call 0.30 0.35 0.35 -0.02 271 1,441
In addition to the 100 Oct 12.5s @0.45 (mid-point of bid/ask) you posted.
and 70 Sept 12.5s @0.30 and 20 Jan 10s @1.05 All today.
The striking thing about the 271 Aug 10s and the 100 Oct 12.5s is the ratio to open interest 271/1441, 18.8% 100/336 29.76%
All of these out of the money calls all traded today only control 46,100 shares so likely not a hedge on short positions and also there does not seem to be enough total open interest in all of the out of the money strikes to provide a meaningful hedge for existing short positions.
The total investment in all of these out of money calls is $18,185 quite a large speculation for the average retail investor. So maybe it is several?
Unless....
Are we feeling rather Bullish today IP_Man? Haha
The best of Luck to any that bought these today, and for those that sold them as covered calls I hope it was a small part of your position. To those that maybe sold them naked as a short, I wish you better luck next time in a different "ticker" because the "ticker" AVXL MIGHT be time bomb that blows up your account.
GO Anavex Life Sciences!
Yes I understand the concept of core holdings and trading shares and it is used often of this board,what I do not understand is the mechanics of that.
To me is is all core and all trading although I never sell more than a fraction but shares are not segregated as to core or trading. My cores are divvy paying blue chips with a low cost basis where trading would be a tax nightmare.
If I could I would trade only the shares with in my IRAs, Roth IRAs and 401Ks. These can be traded with tax impunity. ( Converted all IRAs to Roth to this year in advance of a possible blue sky event) Since these are maxed out about 90% of my holdings are in individual accounts and separate entity accounts for which I get a K1 every year. Needless to say I am focused on the K1 accounts. Even though for tax purposes trading in the IRAs and 401Ks make much more sense. What is my trading shares and what is "my core"? I take care of this automatically by setting my automatic lot sale preference from the default FIFO rule (IRS will assume if not specified) to the highest cost rule. (none of this matters in IRAs and 401Ks) SO when I sell shares I am automatically selling the ones I bought at the highest cost. I average in over time and accumulate but instead of strict dollar cost averaging when the price is high I will have a snack but still buy because it could continue to move up, then later some week when it is tanking I will load up and have a nice big fat juicy steak. The idea being as I understand you try to do is return the high priced lots to the market when the stock moves back up. The problem I am having is selling when the price moves up, back on April 25 I sold a few Ks at about the top then $6.30s but then I bought them back $5.50s not much help because stock continued to tank to the $4.00s. Then I sent for a boat to load and once the stock broke below $4.75 I started loading a very big boat have steak every $0.10 down which was tough and felt like suicide at the time but it bottomed and I finished loading the boat in the low $4s and a few $3.90s In about 10 trade days I had doubled my position that I had been building for about a year. I had planned on lightening up when the stock recovered but I did not do it. So the stock recovered a bit but I did not sell, and when it faded again in 2nd week of June I instead sent for another boat and loaded it again having steak dinners every day. So now when they had the Russell Index inclusion I decided time to unload a few and they made it too easy so I unloaded a few K but my timing was bad and AVXL started to run the next week, so I to use the cash to jump on the some quarter horses (Galena and Regulus) to chase my precious Anavex, and it worked Anavex took a breather on the last Friday of June after 3 gaps up. So I retook the position I sold and then some.
Now take a look at the chart in the classical style. May through June it traced out the classic pattern some call the "Marilyn Monroe" a type of cup with handle. Needless to say after having failed twice at trying to sell at peaks and buy back lower at the end of this last run to $7.73 -$8.30 on July 11th I did not sell but had an AVXL sandwich at $7.73. And of course it pulled back like I knew it should have after the parabolic moves of the preceding two weeks.
If the price breaks above $7.75 -$8.00 in the next week or so that will complete the classic "Cup w/ Handle" Marilyn Monroe variation and we COULD see a breakout into blue sky territory on classic technical charting alone. Overlay that with the fundamentals of the dual presentations catalysts next week and it seems fairly powerful. I am sure this will not be lost on "THOSE THAT WOULD ATTEMPT TO CONTROL THE PRICE ACTION".
Therefore I will not sell a spike, mainly because I AM NOT GOOD AT IT. Better for me to choose between a steak and a sandwich.
Maybe it is better for me to just to go on a FAST and do nothing until the next week or so plays out. Like you say it pulls back hard then nibble on a few. Like you, after today I am overweight AVXL.
I think what makes it so hard for me to sell spikes in AVXL Share price is my valuation of what the share price should be is completely at odds with that current value placed on it by the "Efficient, Fair and Open Market".
Sorry for the ramble, but Tom do take a look at the "Cup w/ handle" starting April 25 and the wedge of the last 10 trading days.
I will be looking forward to your charts.
GLTA Longs
Go Avxl!
You are 100% right 123tom, one should sell a parabolic spike for protection and to provide support then at the pivot point, selling and buying back at the same day or day of collapse, maybe by setting stink the bids you are so good at, especially if it goes up parabolic on some BS article like November because that give the shorts headroom to gain short term trade profits by collapsing the spike. However, if the price action consolidates intra-day and struggles and fights in the $7.70s- $8.00s range and then finally breaks out on no news then it would be a blue-sky break-out because there it no strong resistance above that area and it would mean demand is greater than share supply and that sentiment is firming to the positive. I watch about 30 micro to small bio-techs and today was a difficult day for about 80% of those. I did not do a broad survey but I think XENA mentioned that as well. I think the best set up for next week is for the price to remain in the $7s and low $8s for the rest of this week. Even a slight pull back that does not incite panic would be ok and might provide a slingshot effect next week. But a slow steady grind higher is always best for longterm investors. Price stability is better for the Company as well as it makes it easier to raise money in the capital markets and attracts long term buy and hold investors. Naturally fresh investors do not want to open a new position after a big spike.
Good luck and I will be looking for your excellent charts and TA analysis.
GO AVXL!!!
Bingo! Yes, they made it extremely easy to accumulate today. They set up a loading ramp @$7 and I loaded all afternoon increasing stock by 16% and 26% if I count the cheap "in the money" January calls, I was able to snag. My boat was late and did not arrive until Monday, missed the swoon last week and I held off accumulation on Monday so today was a blessing. Just the right amount of pull back to make it a buy but not so much as to hurt or discourage other investors. Building a nice solid consolidated base here. I think it looks like XENAlives is right these price actions are designed for the Tutes to comfortably accumulate. I am thinking I will send for another boat if the price remains sedated.
It will be hard to short down on news from a stable consolidated base, rather than a parabola. I did not like the 2 day candle showing bearish engulfing but on closer examination the pattern of the last ten days forms a strong wedge from the open @$6.30s on 7-7 which looks like a good support level and the star doji high of @7.70s close on 7-11 which looks like the last level of resistance before breakout, and then draw the lines and they intersect right at the pivot point @7.20s. Looking like the perfect set-up for a blue sky break-out. These wedge patterns are the strongest in TA and usually break strong in one way or another. Overlay that on the FA analysis and it is looking like a fantastic set up for next week.
If one accepts 123tom's thesis (and a do agree) that some technical price point actions are deliberate and navigated to by algos, then it looks like Xena is correct and some long accumulators are in firm control here. And I have a strong indication that there are some longs on this board (yourself included) that are skilled and hold more shares than many of the "Tutes" reported in the last Form "13".
At this point further short attacks will be less likely and if they do happen are likely to fail miserably.
We seem to be in full control brother.
Go AVXL!
Irrational fear!Options true present value is HIGHER than what they were written for today. I was please and surprised that they were written to me at a discount today. 50 were written today @2.50 @2.65 and at @2.95 where they closed up + $0.40 for the day. But I am not complaining as I was on the other end of some of those. Time value decreases the further into the money the calls. But one would not want to exersize now at a loss. Most trading platforms do not display the prices on options correctly. The prices above are what they actually sold for. There was a lot of Biotech carnage today so maybe some one needed to raise cash quickly and sold at the bid.
Great day to accumulate stocks and options in a lot of good Bio-plays.
I stuck to AVXL all day!
Go AVXL!
Thanks 123tom, excellent eye for the technical action as usual. I am glad I waited to today to start loading the boat. I like to have an AVXL sandwich at every truck stop along the way on the way down but your TA helps me to decide which stops to order the full meal deals. Thanks brother and...
GO AVXL!
T'is a good day to add shares. Got some cheap Jan 5s as well. Thank you Clay T for driving the Call Options to my way.
That would be just extra gravy if we do close green.
Go Avxl
Apparently the product of the first four prime numbers and the second "star" prime number(or the star prime number preceding 73) is the product we have been seeking. That number followed by many zeros showed up on my calculator quite by accident the other day when I hit X instead / when figuring a ratio involving AVXL. It was a little bit shocking when I saw it on my calculator and had to shrug it off but I have to admit I was feeling a bit lucky or blessed to be here.
But seriously, I was very pleased with the price action today. A controlled grind higher is is always preferable to parabolic spikes and drops when looking to attract new money and investors, stability is more valuable long term than quick profits.
As IP_Man commented this MIGHT be a huge honker of a dividend payer in future years. I suspect IF AVXL is, what many of are convinced, in 10 years it MIGHT pay more in annual dividends (after five or more forward splits) than most investors cost basis in the stock even had they bought at over $7 or $9 in these early years.
No matter what the price is this year it will be a bargain compared to where the Company is headed. Most of the Investment funds that have not bought positions yet are in the business of preserving wealth with a reasonable balance between growth and risk.
After next week the growth potential and reduction of risk will become as clear to the many as it is now to the heavily invested few.
Great Rewards MAY await the Believers and Longs.
Now it MIGHT be a matter of Fate. This is definitely worth an extra modicum of risk to be a part of something that has a promise to as "falconeer" says be a trans-formative turning point in the field of medicine.
Go Anavex Life Sciences, her Management and Scientific Advisors.
By Georgejji I believe they just MIGHT have the goods!
Not making predictions or expectations BUT IF the price action continues as the the first 30 minutes we MIGHT retake $8 today. Resistance in the high $7.40s is very weak.
While it is always good to have cash reserves it is also most disappointing for one not to have followed the strength of one's convictions when they are proved to be correct. That said I would prefer a slow and steady grind higher, 3-5% per day.
Go AVXL
Welcome. I would lock mine up but I am afraid I cannot. Someone commented in the past that if one put in a stink sell order at say whatever price ($200)that would lock the shares but I do not think so. I am thinking that the recent offers to borrow stock are to alleviate FAILURE TO DELIVER naked shorts from low $8s to high $7. I suspect they have there tits in a ringer and will be fined for that. No help for us retail but to help them F us more would be counterproductive, 25% or 30% for one or two weeks is nothing but one would give them ammunition to short down your long position.
I sent for a big boat before this last swoon and would have loaded it below $7 but it did not arrive in time so I will load all the angry Hornets with bunker busting smart broker assisted bids aimed directly at the big ask VWAP spoof ask walls when they set up a short attack again. Doing that seems to cause a shift in the HFT algos and at least temporarily change the direction of the stock. But in the end it will not matter too much weather one bought at 4 or 9 so I average in every week up or down. But it would have been nice to have bought this week. Having missed that and having a very large position in many accounts I will wait to attack any false weakness caused by naked shorts on another week.
Good Luck, at this point I believe it is a matter of fate and one just needs to hold fast in the face of lies and FUD.
Wow! Channeling "the Buddha" You are an amazing Cat! I had not read this post when I posted you are our resident philosopher. Not of Marx but more of Locke and the Enlightenment, now you echo the Buddha! Excellent!
You see the world NOT as you want it to be but as it is!
For your meditation:
You are so right on brother! If Anavex is successful there will be many that will want to put that gift of exponential gain to the benefit of one's fellow humans.
Like a Paul Simon song!
Alison Krauss, Shawn Colvin & Jerry Douglas "The Boxer" Live-2007
Exactly and this is why we fight! It is too late for the hand of faith to slap the face of doubt. One must get a firm grip on the Sword of Fate!
Those that are most drawn to this investment are as I see also those most likely to become Philanthropists at the end of this journey.
This is not an early NIKE or an early Green Mountain/Keurig this is Anavex!
As my Mennonite Missionary friend says, what will you do with all the money?
And this is really why we fight!
Dr.Missling will go Nuclear! What would you do if you had seen your beautiful child raped by the greedy and immoral enemies of society? Now what if that child can bring so much good into the world? Would you ever sleep? Or would you constantly plot your revenge and the path forward for your supremely talented child?
The week after next will be the War of the End Time for the enemies of Anaxex. The Pigs will be slaughtered!
had a dream....
XENA.
Hey P,
Listen to me I trust you you must trust me. The way options work they need to be in highly liquid big cap stocks. Liquidity is key there must be a market for them or one is trapped with an expiring option with no buyers. If you are in a small cap like AVXL sell the call (covered calls) but never never never buy calls look at what happened with our smart compatriots.
Manipulation!!!!
God loves you because you the truth,
BINGO! My extremely cogent friend!Based on comparable we are supremely undervalued by 10X geometrics. My calculations are 17X. So should one sell their stock at $8 next week? Come on Man!
I will sell 10% at $122.
I have paid attention to your posts you are a good cat!
God Bless YOU!
And GO Avanex!
That 25% is per year. Cut ones nose off! It is almost always a bad Idea like committing a rape of your long holdings. One does not gain a tax advantage as in the old time "shorting against the box" You will be taxed both ways and in return you will be their bitch. Understand?
YOU carry The Banner & the Sword of Fate! Do not be dismayed by those that say you are wrong. You are early and the rest of us will catch up with you. Superlatives fail the language in an opportunity such as this. Yesterday a online chat program "LINE" from Naver Corp of Korea IPO'd on @ Tokyo and NYSE Market Cap $8.5 bil. They are big in Japan and SEASIA Spain Taiwan ect. LINE only income is selling stickers $0.99
Yes this is new technology and yes it is cool I have been a member since they opened six years ago and I have not spent a dime not one penny and never answered or really seen an advertisement.And if I will in the future I will get another Andriod App that would block that.
So I ask you as the TRUE DEFENDER OF ANAVEX Should we NOT forgo the measly, parsley and cilantro of a week ass deal with BP whom might choose to deep six the "Pearl of Inestimable Value". In favor of a well received secondary offering post 1-4 forward split?
You are a really smart and good human God loves you my friend!
Go Anavex Life Sciences!
Colvin and Earle listen you magnificent bastard haha!!
We will win !!!
Steve Earle is an Old Cat like your cousin Willie, Willie already has a handle on the cannabinoid receptors but what about Steve Earle and Shawn Colvin!
This is for you:
So that is it! Done deal! For a Class Action to Survive in Federal Court it has to be something clearly illegal and truly effecting a clearly defined class of Plaintiffs. They will fail on all counts. The recent Cellceutix dismissal while in no way controls this action our Judge can expand and elaborate on the reasoning in that lengthy and well thought out decision by the District Court in that case. It is almost the exact same baseless frivolous lawsuit perpetrated by the same bad actor DWEEBS and DOUSHIES My comments were generalizations. This action should fail on 12b grounds. But if it does not it will fail eventually and just lead to higher sanctions against the Plaintiff's firm. These Law Firms are akin to Somali Pirates mostly bring nuisance law suits like starved Somali boys looking for a ransom.
And feel free to delete this comment as it is for your eyes only,
There might possibly be a connection to RICOs. As you and I know there is no such thing as co-incidence when big money is involved. The Pigs are always at the trough when the money is green and easy, especially when there is a lot of it.
These RICOs might not consider themselves as RICOs and might have members that do not know they are collaborating within a RICO. Smoking Gun, the "article showing up everywhere" this was clearly pulled out of a drawer and released to co-inside with a short attack. It was a dated article, it spoke of events in June and did not mention recent events. Clearly on its face and content was dated and lazily just pulled out and published. At some point all criminals get lazy and give themselves away. Not enough for a "Criminal Information and Complaint" BUT might be enough for the FEDERAL "STAR CHAMBER" COURT to a issue broad warrants for electronic eaves dropping on a broad range of suspects. Martin Skrelli is walking a fine line with the Russian Mob on one side and the Feds on the other.
With the short attack on BOEING Feb 11, 2016 which almost crashed the markets the Feds should understand that Criminal Short attacks on the US Markets are a threat to the Peace, Stability and Security of the United States. I suspect that whether it be Hillary or Donald that is elected they will after being briefed on the dangers move to re-brand these organized short selling Criminal actions as Terroristic Threats to the National Security of the United States. As they should. Can anyone honestly doubt that there MAY be a connection between Skrelli and the Russian Mob, mostly former KGB?
"Co-incidences are like Unicorns and detectives do not believe in Unicorns"
May your Higher Power Assist you and Keep you safe and comfort you the same as my Lord Jesus!
Peace to men and women of good will and all glory be to God!
GO AVXL!
You are right XENA they can never prove it. However for this Motion the Plaintiff's side does not need to prove anything as in a Motion to Dismiss based on Rule 12b "Failure to State a Cause of Action" or any motion to Dismiss is based on the pleading only and no evidence can be admitted for either side it is a Motion on the Pleadings, alleging Defective Pleadings or "Even if everything Plaintiff says is true there is no provision in Law under which the Court can grant them relief". Many times raising jurisdictional questions. However this on is a Rule 12b Motion to Dismiss "Failure to State a Cause of Action (there is nothing in the Law that would allow recovery if all what Plaintiff says is true.) So the Court presented with a 12b Motion to Dismiss must assume that everything the Plaintiff alleges is true AND can be proven by the Plaintiff.
Defendant is saying in essence stock promotion is not illegal and there is no cause of action even if it is true.(which Defendants deny it is true) Truth or Fiction is not part of the decision of the Judge as She must assume for the basis of the Motion to Dismiss ONLY that it is true.
Plaintiffs are attempting subterfuge in re-coaching their assertions as a "Defendant LIED by not disclosing that they had a promotion going on."
Therefore mislead the Plaintiff's into buying the stock.
This could go either way but it is a tempest in a tea pot as Plaintiff's Civil Cases in Federal Court have an extremely high fatality rate on the order of 97% failure. Most all federal cases are decided on Motions for Summary Judgment.
Most Rule 12b Motions to Dismiss are alternatively styled as "Motion to Dismiss or to provide a more definite statement of Plaintiffs claims" Because if the Pleadings are defective the Court usually grants leave to the Plaintiff to amend the Pleading so as not to be defective. But what the the Defendant really wants to do is box the Plaintiff in to a definite statement of what their allegations are so they are not defending against a moving target many months in advance of the pretrial conference where both side have to be very specific in the Claims and Assertions of Plaintiff and Defenses of the Defendants which become controlling as to what evidence can be submitted in support of "Motion for Summary Judgment" or Trial. ( Nearly always filed by the Defendants and in the greatest majority granted in favor of Civil Defendants)
But I agree with you even if Plaintiff's survive the 12b "Motion to Dismiss for Failure to State a Cause of Action on which the Court Could Grant Relief" they will never survive the Motions for Summary Judgment and will not see a Trial. Also recent US Supreme Court Decision on these types of Actions should have a chilling effect on Plaintiff's willingness to unreasonable persist in this frivolous case.
The Plaintiff's side which is just really the Scum Bag Lawyers stirring the Pot know by now they have stepped in a pile and should dismiss(if they were smart) on agreement not to seek sanctions, but they will not because they are egotistical pricks allowed to persist in these types of actions way to long and want to save face.
But where I disagree with you is you referred to the Plaintiff's Lawyers as Dudes. They are more accurately described as Dweebs and Douches Ha Ha!
God Bless you XENA you provide a lot of TA Evidence and support for the good peeps of this Board.
Go Anavex Life Sciences!
Estimate of true present value of AVXL
I agree with your post and here is why:
There are several ways to estimate the value of an asset.
One can accept "the Stock Markets" evaluation, but then one can never recognize where the market has substantially under or over valued a stock. So that is for sheeple and not how Profession Analysts do it. In clinical stage biotech the make reasonable assumptions of future earnings based of market size and penetration of market and then try to predict profitability and market cap if approved. Then they discount that figure based on the probabilities of eventual approval. This is very difficult because of the many assumptions that may or not be valid and other factors not considered or for which they have no valid data points.
Another is to use "comparables" same as is used to estimate market value of real estate.
The closest "comparable" I could find was the April 2016 Allergan/Heptares collaboration on the Heptares ALZ drug. This deal will net Heptares $3.3 Billion if all milestones are achieved. This does not value heptares in it's entirety just the licensing fees for one drug. A2-73 is further along in development Heptares drug was just in Phase 1.
http://www.fiercebiotech.com/partnering/solo-again-allergan-strikes-a-3-3b-deal-on-heptares-alzheimer-s-portfolio
Now this $3.3 Bil deal is not a purchase of the drug is an estimate of what eventually Heptares would gain through the licensing agreement If successful So one would still need to make some assumptions on the probabilities of eventual approval.
This is where one needs to decide for themselves what is Anavex's chance for approval. But I will make a conservative estimate comparing the entire Market Cap of AVXL upon partnering/licensing of only A2-73 at the commencement of P3 in ALZ only (effectively now as Anavex already announce they would move to P3) VS. The ALLERGAN/HEPTARES licensing deal.
If Heptares can license a drug in P1 for $3.3Bil might Anavex get at least a similar deal for a drug that completed P2?
I will use probabilities from the study 2011 study from BIO and MedTracker reported here: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-pharmaceuticals-success-idUSTRE71D2U920110214
Quotes that follow are from this article.
Some 63 percent of drugs in Phase I testing advanced to Phase II, but only 33 percent of Phase II drugs made it to Phase III, which requires a commitment to larger and much more expensive clinical trials. Phase III is typically the final stage of human testing before a new drug is submitted to regulators for an approval decision.
A2-73 has made it to P3, the Heptares drug has made it to P2. So all thing being equal, and ignoring the significantly higher safety profile of A2-73, the licensing value of A2-73 should be in the magnitude of 3X $3.3 Bil equal $9.9 Bil.
Approval applications were filed for 55 percent of the drugs that made it to Phase III testing, and 80 percent of those gained eventual approval, although only about half were approved on their initial FDA review.
Therefore, again ignoring the superior safety profile of A2-73 and the incredibly low bar set by the current SOC, we can estimate the probabilities of eventual achieving the milestones of a licensing deal or simply eventual approval of A2-73 thus: 55% of 80% equals 44% (.55 X .80 = .44)
So Anavex would have a 44% of achieving the milestones of a licensing deal (effectively approval for ALZ by FDA) with fair market value of $9.9 Bil based on the "comparable" of the Allergan/Heptares licensing deal."The Phase II results are very predictive of the Phase III outcomes and very predictive of approval,"
So one could reasonably assign a fair market cap value to A2-73 @ 44% of $9.9 Bil or $4.356 Bil. Valuing the rest of the pipeline and the other indications at ZERO, AVXL should have a MARKET CAP right NOW of at least
$4.356 Bil Any partnership agreement after this upcoming DATA release should reflect this magnitude. If one compares this amount to the $1.2 Bil Market Cap of Axovant which it's assets is mostly the $300 mil or so cash left over from the IPO and a failed drug it purchased for $5 mil and has any inkling at all about the value of A2-73 then it seems about right.
It is too late to merely slap the Face of Doubt with the Hand of Faith, the faithful must hold tight to the Sword of Fate, if the liars, doubters and the shorts impale themselves then it was their choice of suicide.
What are the Odds of Fate in the Face of Doubt?
https://vimeo.com/10881484
Soon it make be a time for believers and longs to take a bow!
Go Anavex Life Sciences! Disclosure I am EXTREMELY LONG AVXL!!!
Let's not forget October 2015 surprise NASDAQ up-list. AVXL was under similar attack then as now right when the sadistic shorts mouth-piece's like AF and JFinn and immoral sociopathic scumbags like M. Skhreli thought they would have a gang rape of babybio Anavex " The Terminator" whipped out the knife by surprise and cut off their bid-whackers by an overnight up-listing to NASDAQ.
How far will Dr. Missling go to defend Anavex so she can bring her talent and promises to the world? Does one think he has not planned a defense of his child to prevent another rape? What weapons does he have to weld?
Then there is this to remember:
In April(2016), the company (ALLERGAN) announced it would join Heptares Therapeutics in a deal valued up-to-$3.3 billion collaborating on the development of a subtype-selective muscarinic receptor agonists for Alzheimer's disease and other major neurological disorders.[19] (Wikipedia)
Good Luck and God Bless you beautiful supporters of Anavex.
Go AVXL!
Some one Ask Slapped 5300 shares @$7.25 11:35:04 am That is how one breaks the back of these short attacks/ Manipulation using spoof asks. When my new boat arrives later this week I plan a few broker assisted block trades directly aimed at spoof asks exchange whether EDGX, ARCA or whatever . Grabbing the manipulators trading shares enmass.
Looks like a repeat of yesterdays heavy accumulation/covering the rest of the day until one hour before the close.
I hope whoever had some dry powder got some cheapies today.
GO AVXL!
Time to move in with the Big Boats! I can not believe traders and investors are still falling for the Big A$$ Spoof Ask VWAP Walls. MIGHT they have been set up as a temporary loading dock? I did some loading as well low $7.2xs. These Big Spoof Asks melted away again. I suspect there will be HEAVY accumulation today. Days like today are a gift to anyone accumulating and just gives the STOCK stronger legs to jump forward from here. The COMPANY is stronger than ever and they might be shielding from view a SECRET Weapon.
Good Luck to All and
GO AVXL!
Show me the Enacted Bills that have specific grants to specific companies for ALZ clinical drug research for any of let's say the last six years.
Or any links to prove your unsubstantiated claims. I provided you with a link, read it. The framework of the NATIONAL PLAN TO ADDRESS ALZHEIMER'S DISEASE provides that the NIH supports the research NOT congress directly.
Links or proof,,,,,,crickets, ;)
Go Anavex Life Sciences!
One might surmise that you are just making this up, specific companies were never in the Bill and it would be unreasonable to think they would be. I suggest you do at least a minimum of reading before spouting off.
https://aspe.hhs.gov/national-plan-address-alzheimers-disease-2015-update
As anyone can see the research Grants are co-ordinated by the National Institutes of Health. The Grants to specific companies are not line itemised in the Legislation.
As to the need for further and enhanced funding for this project we had an extremely qualified "lobbyist" in Dr. Missling himself before a number members of the committee and their staffs, and he was INVITED to speak at that meeting.
AVXL ALZ trials MIGHT be funded by GRANTS in whole or in Part. Let us not forget the Congressional Bills upping the Grant money for ALZ and Dr. Missling's meeting in Washington with Legislators and Staff of that committee. If the money was still only $350 million and there were 7 drugs or projects targeting ALZs then it is possible (if divided equally) $50 million could be granted to AVXL.
circa1762 you have done a great and complete job of defending Anavex's financing options from those "worried" about the financing options, repeating the AF/JFinn FUD and the persistent naysayers so I will not add to that dialogue.
Conceivably, a $50 million Grant could add $50 million to the market cap or $1.35 a share. Then there are possible GRANTS continuing from Australia and new grants from foundations for ALZ and other indications. I wholeheartedly agree that money will NOT be an issue and that Dr. Missling and the BOD will fund it in a way that adds or preserves the most value to the shareholders.
What are the odds of some positive PR pre-market Monday? I thought is was enough of a chance to add 500sh @ $7.65 paying up in the last minutes of 7-8-16 AHs market. Whether the price is up or down next week I will add more.
As you say in your later comment, that options expire 7-15-16, I believe there will be added volatility this week. Could it be that many of the 9 million shares held short were hedged with $7.50 strike call options? After all, that is what Hedge Funds do they hedge and many have purchased boatloads of July call options to hedge their short positions. Might we see mass covering to spike those options prior to expiration?
What if they cover and then go long into the ALZs conference?
Good Luck to ALL and thank you circa1762 for the extremely cogent arguments in favor of AVXL.
Looks like we might get a good run into the P3 trial results and if good MIGHT skyrocket this stock that has been down so long. Making money here.
Whatever amount of shares you have left should be fine Tom. $4200 by 2030 and only $420 by 2020 plenty of time to add before the huge run. You got caught chasing as did I. I recognised my error and paid up in a big way. But I balanced that by buying almost 2x what a sold and hopped on some quarter horses to give chase. I just got lucky in that Galena_ and Regulus_ spiked so much after their falls. We would all like to reload lower. Not Happening, my dear friend. I feel you I unloaded a lot at the VWAP wall 4.60 and had to buy back at Avg price of $5.94 but I bought a lot more. It does not matter what price one paid what matters is how many shares one has when the BLUE SKY TORNADO hits.
The Money Not Important Weight of History Reconstruction! Skarpelos realised he had "the Pearl of Inestimable Value".
IF and I say IF the early indications prove out then this will be as falconeer say a major game changer.
ALZ Cancer Pain. Reestablishing the balance of the endo-plasmic reticulum. As the cool cat Matt McConaughey would say everything will be alright alright alright!
I do believe that both Skarplos and Missling and surely the scientific advisors are feeling the weight of history. They are laser focused to bring this to the public good. Money is not very important. Examine in your life what is most important. If your house was swept away in a hurricane those photos would be more valuable than the silver, right? One should understand that money is CURRENCY it is what one uses to pay one's bills. It goes away. Smiles laughter children these are the valuable things and yes tears and heartbreak too this is why you came to the planet. Your creator knew you when you chose your parents. You came here to this planet for a reason.
I suspect the Tom Skarpleos at some point had a St. Paul moment. (I will invest as if he did) The holy grail? Ponce De Loen's fountain of youth? Nope! Rebalancing the endo-plasmic reticulum. Ten years from now this might be grade school information.
The money? Forget about the money.
I put Tom Skarplos and Chris Missling in the company of Andrew Johnson and George Marshall. The reconstructionists. But first they will fulfill their destinies by channeling Harry Truman and go nuclear.
HOLD YOUR SHARES GOD BLESS YOU BEAUTIFUL SOULS !
All Hands are on Deck for the Important Battles to Come! Ready to Rock and Roll! This is an extremely disruptive company. When the strings of the manipulators are cut from out little marionette she will not only kick them in the shins she will break both of their legs. Missling and Skarpeloes are channelling Bobby Kennedy: "Some people look at things as they are and ask why we should rather look at things as they should be and ask WHY NOT!"
GO GO GO all you brilliant people and supporters of ANAVEX!
A2-73 as AK-47 for peace. Let them copy! Give to the world! All the early investors here can be Philanthropists. Anavex LIfe Sciences will continue to break new ground. "We are different, we think differently and we have no fear" The words of Christopher Missling spoken in Washinton DC. Jonas Salk received not one penny for his Polio vaccine.
Anavex is a matter of destiny. You, my friend, will have a huge endowment and a concomitant duty to be a force for good. Other stocks will make more millionaires Anavex will make more Philanthropists.
A2-73 as AK-47. Oral or injectable, fires wet or dry, one will want the original Kalashnikov or Anavex Brand when it is so important that it functions as advertised.
No one wants to claim the land mining of Northern Cambodia. Was it Nixon or the Cong? These are dirt farmers same as red earth Oklahoma. They are still getting maimed by land mines left over from the Viet Nam War. I have never seen a people of such hope and pure beauty of heart and spirit as the Cambodian people. Even after the genocide of Pol Pot. (And the Scuba in the south is some of the world's best)
My Daddy was a pacifist and an Engineer of the Boeing Military Airplane Company his team designed the rotary arm of the air-launched cruise missile which some would say brought the Soviet Union to its knees.
Now Boeing has established a drone program at Mississippi State University. We can make this right and train our young Engineers in the process. I do not care who did it LAND MINING is the MOST UN-ETHICAL PRACTICE in WAR. We have to make it right.
If one goes to Siam Reap or other world heritage sites one will notice that the heads of the Buddha have been cut off by the invading Muslim armies.
It does not matter to them so much as they keep Buddha in their Hearts, Jesus is infinitely more powerful but sadly not as well kept in the Hearts.
Looks like the 88 and the 101 are manufacturing their own ammunition after having been pinned down for so long.
God Bless the Airborne Rangers !
Until the Tsunami of New Money Capsizes the boat of the big money. Once the word gets out to the general investing public and this is recognized for it truly is there will be no shares to buy and the price will skyrocket due to demand. Holding for the long term here and expecting extreme weather Tsunami of demand this month followed by a series of blue sky tornados of demand as the Company continues it's RAPID development curve since "The Chris" was hired as CEO. I expect a number of forward splits over the coming years.
One of the most IMPORTANT features of the Anavex story and one not a lot of people know about was how Missling became CEO. Tom Skarpelos the main Company founder donated 4 million shares back to the company so that the Company could hire Missling. One needs only to read the SEC filings from 2011 to see this fact. This says two things: One, Skarpelos knew he had something amazing. Two, he fervently believes in Missling's ability to develop the Company. The rapid developments of late are nothing short of amazing.
Soon the big money strings will be cut from our little marionette and she will kick the puppet masters in the shin and run off to a whole new class of investors with a geometrically enhanced market cap.
I have already maxed out my IRAs and converted to Roth. 100% AVXL. Now I set up a Solo Roth 401K (yes there is such a thing) these have almost unlimited contribution limits. So, I will go about the process of moving most all of my AVXL into this, hopefully before the Tsunami or Blue Sky Tornado.
GOOD LUCK TO ALL, YOU ARE A BEAUTIFUL BUNCH OF PEOPLE!
$2 dollar weekly candle! You missed my 5-year weekly chart.
Listen to this: Shawn Colvin and Steve earle go electric UNITED!
Remember the post I sent you that got deleted. That was a weird coincidence. On the numbers. Since then I have made impulsive moves Regulu_ Galen_ & Threashol_ To give chase to ANAVEX. So caught AVXL when she slowed down Friday. This might blow up and I might have big tax bill. But hey we will be part of history. We could have our lives savings in a texas hold em game with AVXL or something else. I got stupid and sold a lot at the dragonfly candle of a few days ago. But Friday a bought the top and every >.10 down so was 5.94 for the day but is was a massive amount, 50% increase of position.
It is guys like you that give me the courage to know that what I am thinking is right. I was your first follower. Because you say what I would say if I felt I could say how positive I am.
GO ANAVEX!
You're Right (I'm Wrong) and they knew all along. They are short from 7.50-9. $7.49 by July options expiration date breaks their back as they are likely hedged with long call options (@$7.50)in a high (at the time) and therefore cheap strike price. Look for a strong push above $7.50 as options expire for July.
This is a big deal. Those that play the dailies will be active. One MIGHT do well to keep one's eye on the eventual price in 2020.
One of the most striking things about A2-73 is it returns the "joy de livre" such as the appreciation of music.
It was a huge deal in the 60's when Bob Dylan went electric.
Now Shawn Colvin and Steve Earle go electric UNITED! Give a listen if you dare.