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Purposely done to illusrate the low risk here.
Just trying to show that MCCY is undervalued in the extreme.
Well, I for one would like to see the pps stay under .40 for a little while as I'm hoping to add more and my funds won't be available this week.
All our musings are hypothetical. It's nice to dream. The big deal is we've got 300k units in the pipeline and that means solid cash flow and ultimately a highly profitable enterprise...no matter what cost estimates you want to assume. We're confident there is a huge world wide market for the product, Almost seems too good to be true. Our immediate problem is the inherent crap that goes on in the stinky pinky world. Too bad the mm's are able to exert such control over the stock action.
OK Doog...however you want to figure it is fine. I'm assuming all the various costs that are involved with opperating a growing small company and giving you a very conservative bottomline number to go on. If this company earns $1.00 per share next year, I won't have to worry about the costs of my 4 grandson's education.
Robsaia...I deliberately left those monthly fees out. IMO the units probably have all the same components, but are activated by the software controlled by MCCY and sold for a variety of prices. At the low end you might have a simplified trailer monitoring device with a basic configuration; while at the high end one with all the bells and whistles. We have no idea what the end user prices are or the monthly fees charged. Obviously, the truckers need the MCCY monitoring, or the unit is useless. So, there is a built in cash cow. I felt that being able to project earnings of $60mm for 2008 is enough blue sky for now.
Mookie, I think your assuming too much. What DD has shown that there is that kind of net profit? Try approaching this from a more conservative basis in order to create a more rational picture for prospective investors that come to this board. As it is, if the 300k units are delivered to customers during the next 9 months, and the average sale price is $1,000/unit with only 10% Net profit in each unit, you've got a projected annual net profit of $60,000,000 for 2008 (based on annual sales of 600k units). If we assume 80mm o/s that's $.75 EPS. Staying conservative in what may be tough economic times...let's use a 12x multiple...that would justify $9.00 pps on forward earnings. Current pps is $.30 to $.50. How's that for risk/reward. Even if they use stock for acquisition/s...which would increase potential; this still looks like a blockbuster.
Welcome Back! Keep it cool, we don't want to lose you again. Good Luck
That's real helpful...saving to study.
Please give me a definition of a "Pinch Play"...TIA
OK Spaz, the way I interpret you latest posts is that by saying your "related" you mean to the oil business and not to Jerry or Greg. You could even be an equipment supplier. I can understand why you're excited, and I hope you get thru your parole successfully. Please don't buy all the shares though, leave some for the rest of us poor peons.
Thanks for your dd on the QC and their being ISO9000 compliant. Adds to credibility.
Hey, I'm just giving the benefit of the doubt. I can only speak for myself, so let's be cool. Have a good weekend...nice to see green arrows for a change.
No shouting Spaz...we hear you. Kat just likes to probe and play the devil's advocate. She often raises good points. Be careful, we don't like to see our cheerleaders in the pokey.
Good luck on fills. I'm tapped out till next week.
I personally find that PR to be quite reassuring. I will be adding in the near future as funds become available.
Ok...enough already. Why create a problem where none exists? oops...don't answer that.
Please don't misunderstand me...of course QC is a concern to the manufacturer. I just don't think it's an appropriate topic for this board unless you had some dd that indicated there was a problem. In order to get paid, the supplier must meet all the terms of the letter of credit. It is normal to have an inspector on site to sign off on the shipments quality. If you have a concern, why not e-mail Rafael directly. I'm confident and to me it's a non-issue.
I'm showing him at .41
Of course they have QC..come on. Why raise such an issue on this board.
My point was that as this market developes, MCCY will be able to order in advance of sales...which is a good thing and probably where they are now. If you were a customer, would you want 8-10 weeks for delivery?
From my experience I would judge the $150 estimate to be very conservative. I think it is probably significantly less. Anyway, when you tear apart component costs, I think you'll get my point. If, they have orders for 100k units it gives them plenty of credibility to get all the funding they need to place advance orders with suppliers so as to assure product availability. Remember, RH has developed this product line for a number of years prior to going public. By being able to deliver in a timely fashion means they'll have an edge on any forthcoming competition that will make MCCY hard to beat.
Not likely. The cost of these units is low. The hardware part is only a fraction on the value of the unit to the end use buyer. MCCY is ordering 300k units to fill the pipeline so they have product to deliver. It's called production scheduling and since the manufacturing is being done in China, long range planning is rule number one for being able to fulfill as orders come in. Having the hardware available is critical to customer satisfaction. Don't blow this out of proportion. What we have here is huge, even on conservative evaluation. Not all units have to be or should be sold prior to MCCY ordering from it's supplier. Anyone who has ever manufactured and marketed a product knows this..all imo.
The deleted message kept me from seeing the thread.
What???
Interesting that the price would move 15% in 2 hours on such low volume
Well, there's nothing to talk about. No posts, no trades, no PR's. If a tree fall in the forest and there is no one there...is there a sound?
Don't understand your reference to a gap here...my charts show a low of .26 today which is where we closed last night.
I'd like to point out that the photo of the staff in the Ibox was taken by Joenatural on his visit Monday 8/13. The CEO, Rafael Huppe was not present at the time. Perhaps one of our mods could add an appropriate caption.
Because he gives his comments on his 2 hour visit to MCCY's office.
Go to Joe's board and read his posts
Great post Doog
My understanding is the MM is always buying and selling for his own account. He's making the market. In theory it's his obligaton to keep it orderly and take stock in when there is a high volume of selling. When there is high demand, he shorts to keep pps from running up to fast. Unfortunately in the pinks there is no one looking over his shoulder, so he pretty much has a free reign to scalp as much out of the middle as possible.
No...that's why there are marketmakers.
CNWI up another 25%...over 100% 5 days
CNWI...Bill this has been moving fast...what's your take on it? Tried getting a Stockchart on it to no avail.
CNWI...looks hot
Pretty low volume today..what's everyone waiting for? It looks like a screaming buy. Thought Joe's trip revealed enough info to build confidence in MCCY for the long term.
IMO one of the mm's just sent a signal to take the stock down as he needed shares
UBSS .023