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I second that...every word. EOM.
As analysts, we get news all the time in advance. Since we're not allowed to trade stocks we cover and we're all under NDA's, this system works. John, however, isn't a true analyst, so I don't think he would have this info in advance under normal channels of communication. Also, this isn't really "worthy of advance notice" news, so I think he just jumped on it. He used some of his other article to fill in some of the body.
That's really not relevant. If most people are as long as they state, the ultimate payout will be a buyout. And these 10m shares will definitely reduce that $/share payout everyone is drooling over.
Ummmm...You are off on almost every question:
What I make is my own business, but if you know what I do, you can guess what I make.
I am long over 30k shares, for quite some time in fact...which is exactly why I am pissed about this news. If I was short, I wouldn't bother posting my disappointments.
And I have never been a cheerleader or a 'debbie downer' as one person said...I call it like I see it. I would think an investment message board would appreciate that.
All I did was state facts. If someone is trying to find someone else to be mad at besides their beloved NWBO, I'm ok with being a punching bag.
Yes, get back to your $80k a year jobs so you can by another 100 shares of NWBO at the end of the month...you know, that company that just gave its employees millions of shares for FREE after paying them $300,000+/yr each to work remotely and file paperwork.
Yes, of course nobody here will bother to question it...nor can they. It's nice be able to skip those annoying quarterly investor calls that you have to justify these minor details.
Yes. A 'Happy Thanksgiving' indeed for Les, Linda and those we are trusting to act in our best interest:
"On November 12, 2014, the Board approved the issuance of 10,577,176 restricted stock units (“RSUs”) to employees and Board members of the Company, pursuant to the equity compensation plan approved by shareholders in December 2013. These are the first such equity awards to employees in 3.7 years, since June, 2011, and are also the first such awards to Board members. These RSUs will vest on various dates over a period of 5 years, and will also be subject to both service and performance conditions."
Let me help you with this payout at today's price: $55,530,174. How many employees/board members do we have? 12 in total? Do the math.
And let's all remember that everyone who's getting these have been getting salaries all along the way as well.
And don't give me the "But they are conditional upon service and performance levels." That's pretty irrelevant since those "levels" aren't public and can be as 'challenging' as showing up to board meetings.
Exactly what have they done to earn a few MILLION $ a piece in stock over and above getting paid? This is ridiculous! I was at a successful, $2B/yr company before my current job and our board got paid between $120,000 - $240,000 year each.
Once again, Linda and company prove they aren't beholden or responsible to the investors who have shown them loyalty over the years.
P.S. Your shares just got diluted ~20% from this alone. Pass the Kool-Aid please.
Interesting read with DCVax info.
http://paperity.org/p/40931282/immunotherapy-advances-for-glioblastoma
In addition, to get statistical significance, it would have required a very large trial in a very long test due to the nature and variables of that particular cancer. the current test was much less expensive.
I wish we could figure out a way to let everyone know about DCVAX. This is so figgin' sad! A great guy. I tried to send him a message on FB, but my note is going to go into his "other" folder. I pray he gets it.
I am also alerting NWBio.
https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=10204945668301373&set=vb.1230905785&type=2&theater
Not everything should turn into an argument. And, I do think it's acceptable to debate the point, but not the pointer, when we do not agree.
TOB - Hope you consider it a compliment that everyone needs to address so passionately the things you say. ;) You'd think they would worry about their own insights instead of judging and trying to change yours. Appreciate your participation. I converted to a TOB fan a while back.
Nope. If NWBO doesn't release a PR by 9:30am, safe to short this at the opening for a day trade or playing the odds that nothing gets released next day (using the day's decline as a buffer). You see this over and over in the trading the last 100+ days.
Again, this is an poor man's shorting strategy, but it's quite effective.
9am EST. EOM
Agree (to disagree) as well. Good luck on your investment.
With the exception of this:
Yes some of this is the fault of Northwest for not doing a good job of updating timelines, but I don't really put the job of tempering expectations at their feet.
HM4L - Respect your POV, but I do think they have some control of it...for a lot of reasons that I don't need to (since it is only my POV). I will acknowledge that this is a guess on my part, but as an investor I am disappointed with the pace of these discussions. Note: To some degree my disgust is with the fact that 9 months had to pass to get treatment to patients, but also that Linda has set expectations pretty high and fails to deliver as timely as she talks. However, I don't think this PR should have come out today without a $ attached. Fodder for the fiends in my opinion without it.
I agree with you Austin.
Hate to say it, but NWBO will pay the price for not getting those negotiations finished. How many MONTHS have they been 'negotiating'??? NINE?!? Anyone who states the PEI moves slow is making a guess...doesn't matter to the market.
AF headline to come "NWBO Starts Compassionate Use Program, Expect Rising Costs and Dilution of Shares"
Once again, NWBO fails to understand what needs to be said to become bullet proof.
My usual antagonists can now speak up.
Well it certainly won't hurt! :)
I did the same...many times. And tweeted it to them...many, many times.
All 23 of his followers? No, I don't think so. Waste of time...on a waste of a human being who is a hack blogger at best.
DWP - LOL!!!! Please tell me you didn't say a person is "right or wrong" because a price moves after he published something. Then I guess then that he was DEAD WRONG 18 times before that when he published articles and the price rose.
What a bad argument!
No reply doesn't mean they aren't read. Hope nobody is deterred by a lack of response.
Because if you release during the day regularly, there is not pattern and you can lose anytime, any day.
That's why. Roulette can be played the same way with double downs each round on a single 1/3 section. As long as you have a constant, odds are easy to calculate.
Since it sounds like I may be the only person here who shorts stocks, let me tell you why not one of the 8 million + short shares are covering (and why they are adding)...or better yet, let me show you:
Pull up a 6 month chart.
Experienced long traders and short traders work the same way: Longs sell when a long trade starts to look like it's reversing. Shorts do the same. Name a SINGLE day that it looked like we were reversing since June 20? Anyone.
And so yes, I blame LP and company because they are not giving anyone reasons to buy OR cover this.
I think your voice will be heard. You write extremely well. I hope others follow your lead.
No question...but there can be two people doing things wrong here. I don't entirely hold one person accountable.
I disagree entirely. There is a reason this is so easy! If you don't want your stock shorted into the ground, a company has to add RISK to doing so. Shorts are driving this down because LP and Co. don't release important PRs after 9:30am. Notice no premarket sales until after the bell and then WHAM! Easy, no-risk trade for shorts...
Do it every day and you keep adding buffers to your gains. Once news is released, one can easily cover and lose a day, maybe 2, of gains. But that's not too bad. If you are experienced at shorting stocks, this isn't that hard.
Again, bad management of a publicly traded company.
Guess they had other things to do today.
They were too busy adding the WaPo stock price article...you know...because that's what really matters. Right up there is why they haven't updated clinicaltrials.gov since JUNE!
RK, I appreciated your last letter...maybe Les would benefit from hearing from you.
Oh no, it's a certainty.
"We will continue to inform our investors undeterred." Linda Powers, CEO, Northwest Bio
Pathetic. What an amazing buying opportunity LP and NWBO has offered us. EOM.
Good for you. As for your statement that I bet he's hearing from a lot of people, I'll bet you're one of only a few. People don't like to express their concerns (even when they have every right to).
I'll keep it in mind...
We must keep in mind that NWBO's 60% decline in stock price has gone on for 3 months. The Dow is flat in this same period.
Yes, that's the thing...I ABSOLUTELY would be saying the same thing. I would say that management was doing everything right. I would be writing to Les and saying "Great Job!" Just like I am writing now saying "WTF?"
I'm nothing if not consistent with who I hold accountable for stock performance: Management.
Yes, but that's not my point. Linda can afford to lose millions...a lot of people here can't afford to lose the money they have invested...even if it's a couple $1,000.
Sounds to me like some here have been buying hand over fist the last 4 days, so I feel pretty comfortable saying this (if they aren't BS-ing).
If not for them, do you think we'd be here?
They are not all in. They are still very wealthy people...I think some people forget that. If NWBO fails, they will not be hurting for cash. They aren't all in...not even by a long shot.
Have you ever noticed tech millionaires - the people I engage with regularly - start company after company and not care if they lose millions if they fail...or angel investors that do the same. Think like that.
I take little comfort in thinking that Linda will lose millions. I don't compare myself or my situation to her...not even close. She CAN afford to lose big here. Most of us cannot. That's the difference.
YES!!! I would love to hear why this shouldn't be a concern from others...anyone? EOM