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Ramshackle San Francisco home sells for $1.2 million
nowwhat: A ballpark figure
Stocks are overpriced, overleveraged, headed for trouble -OFR
FWIW
SPX At critical juncture
Something weird is going on in the US economy
Goldman cuts year-end 10-year Treasury forecast
>> Bullish or bearish now?
The answer depends on how you trade, time frame, 'habits' (some loves to short at the seemingly ‘Top’, some waits for confirmation).
for VST, SPX index hits an important intraday support 2070, for the next day? I don’t know.
for large swing traders
< 2030 short term bearish
> 2070 short term bullish
(Read at Your own peril) Eric Hadik 03/04/15 Weekly Re-Lay Alert: “As described for the past few months, mid-April is more likely to be the culmination of a new decline". http://40yearcycle.com/uncategorized/march-4-2015/
RUT "Double-Top" Consolidation Almost Complete, Taking some profits...
FWIW
03/25/15 SPX targets
(1) Short term:
short term wave/Fibonacci points, use this link
( usage: 03/25 session low 2070.83 (ongoing), table 2069.93 ... etc )
Short term Lower rail: 2030, 2005, 1974-1965
(2) Long term:
The stock bull market has emboldened speculators’ appetite.
For example:
(E-waver) Anthony Caldaro SPX 2530-2630/Q1-Q2/2016
(E-waver) Avi Gilburt SPX 2500
i maintain the target 2213.50. There will be some fine tuning efforts
Insight China (14) Self-Fueled Biomimetic Liquid Metal Mollusk
Geo-Economic Series include:
- The great transition that reshape the world orders
- Insight China - outline the competing status in the world economy
- Miscellaneous hot Geo-Economic events
Heinz, Kraft to merge with Buffett's support
Heinz, Kraft to merge with Buffett's support
Jane Onyanga-Omara, USA TODAY 9:13 a.m. EDT March 25, 2015
link
photo source: http://www.guancha.cn
ChemChina accquired 65% Pirelli (Italy Tire manufacture)
Pirelli http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pirelli
the world’s fifth-largest Tire manufacturer behind Bridgestone, Michelin, Continental and Goodyear.
ChemChina spent 7.1 billion Euro
chart source: http://i.guancha.cn
(ahimsak:) All my indicators say higher prices coming
FWIW
SemiBizz (BWM) is a short term trader based on volume analysis, we have exchanged many mails privately
His web site: http://volumedynamics.com/forums/topic/939-welcome-to-volume-dynamics/
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) Slashes Dividend By 84%
Europe is suddenly booming — this is why
Europe is suddenly booming — this is why
MIKE BIRD
MAR. 24, 2015, 9:54 AM
link
An SI Board: Dividend investing for retirement
Dividend investing for retirement
http://www.siliconinvestor.com/subject.aspx?subjectid=56874
Insight China (13) LAMOST and FAST
Geo-Economic Series include:
- The great transition that reshape the world orders
- Insight China - outline the competing status in the world economy
- Miscellaneous hot Geo-Economic events
progress in basic science
LAMOST:
The Large Sky Area Multi-Object Fiber Spectroscopic Telescope
FAST:
Five-hundred-meter Aperture Spherical radio Telescope
The Large Sky Area Multi-Object Fiber Spectroscopic Telescope (LAMOST),
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LAMOST
also known as the Guo Shoujing Telescope after the 13th-century Chinese astronomer, is a meridian reflecting Schmidt telescope, located in Xinglong Station, Hebei Province, China. Undertaken by the Chinese Academy of Science, the telescope is planned to conduct a 5-year spectroscopic survey of 10 million Milky Way stars, as well as millions of galaxies.
photo source: http://i.guancha.cn
LAMOST Schematic
Diameter 4 meter, Secondary diameter 6 meter.
http://lamost.us/legue/images/story_images/lamostguoshoujing-telescope/lamost_optics1.jpg
photo source: http://www.lamost.org/public/?locale=en
Data from China's Finest Telescope Released Worldwide
Mar 20, 2015
http://english.cas.cn/newsroom/news/201503/t20150320_145515.shtml
"LAMOST observations between 2012 and 2017 are expected to collect more than five million high-quality spectra in total. These spectra data will be the cornerstone for digitizing the universe and provide significant help for studying the structure, movements, formation and development of the universe," said Zhao Gang, a senior NAOC official.
DR1 data set is available at http://dr1.lamost.org for download.
Five-hundred-meter Aperture Spherical radio Telescope (FAST) is a Chinese mega-science project to build the largest single dish radio telescope in the world. Its innovative engineering concept and design pave a new road to realize a huge single dish in the most effective way.
FAST also represents Chinese contribution in the international efforts to build the square kilometer array (SKA). Being the most sensitive single dish radio telescope, FAST will enable astronomers to jump-start many science goals, for example, surveying the neutral hydrogen in the Milky Way and other galaxies, detecting faint pulsars, looking for the first shining stars, hearing the possible signals from other civilizations, etc.
FIVE-HUNDRED-METER APERTURE SPHERICAL RADIO TELESCOPE (FAST)
the basic Spherical surface construction was completed on February 4, 2015, The final reflective surface will be completed in 2016.
Insight China (12) World's first hydrogen-powered tram rolls off assembly line
Geo-Economic Series include:
- The great transition that reshape the world orders
- Insight China - outline the competing status in the world economy
- Miscellaneous hot Geo-Economic events
World's first hydrogen-powered tram rolls off assembly line
YouTube ( 1 Min 14 Sec):
(rab120) Eric Hadik
i did not subscribe to his service. His freeware can be found in:
http://40yearcycle.com/uncategorized/march-4-2015/
By combining with a few posts (in the archives) together, he suggested an important cycle low in the coming middle April. Only time will tell.
Geo-Economic – Swinging on the Pendulum
Geo-Economic Series include:
- The great transition that reshape the world orders
- Insight China - outline the competing status in the world economy
- Miscellaneous hot Geo-Economic events
photo source: http://i.guancha.cn
- No way Out link
- The Change will come from the External (Tuesday, 02/11/14 01:26:46 PM)
- The competition is merciless
- History was a series of causal chains interacting with each other - Edward Carr
- An across the entire Europe-Asia Continent Economic zone will be established
03/21/15 Weekend miscellaneous
(1) Market Trend Charts – overall link
(2) The Bull-Bear corridor 2030-2070
< 2030 short term bearish
> 2070 short term bullish link
(3) SPX wave/Fibonacci terminal points
(a) Short term upper rail: 2115.20 – 2140.84
- The Fibonacci zone (1) 2069.93-2130.46 is stiff.
- On 11/21/14, SPX made its first entry into this zone.
- On 02/25/15, SPX marked ATH 2119.59.
(b) Short term Lower rail: 2030, 2005, 1974-1965
(4) 2015 General Outlook
All the pieces keep adding up into a very serious economic and geopolitical game changer for 2015. - Gerald Celente link
Posted on Friday, 03/13/15 - bounce off the supportive trend-line
One more (short term) Bear gave up
RE: “We Are Together”
Wednesday, March 18, 2015
Putin sang the national anthem at a rally in honor of the anniversary of the annexation of the Crimea, which came more than a hundred thousand people
http://russiannewsonline.blogspot.com/2015/03/putin-sang-national-anthem-at-rally-in.html
(Off-Topic) Entertainment: Vladimir Putin, Larisa Dolina "We-are-together"
Vladimir Putin Storms Back to Public Stage
Vladimir Putin stages the celebration "We-are-together", sing a song (Indissoluble Union) together with Larisa Dolina
video (44 Sec): http://v.youku.com/v_show/id_XOTE1MTYzOTk2.html
I was at the Fed meeting.... by MYLES UDLAND
FYI
(Off Topic) Entertainment -
Full of Kazakh, Awesome landscapes
Violin - Sayram Lake Aria (YouTube: 4min 41sec)
Janet Speaks: Do Words Matter? by Ron Paul
Janet Yellen Speaks: Do Words Matter?
by Ron Paul 3:49 pm on March 18, 2015
link
The Euro Bounce by Martin Armstrong
FYI FWIW
FED Sets Stage for Rate Hikes - Mike Larson
FYI
Federal Reserve FOMC statement
Release Date: March 18, 2015
http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20150318a.htm
For immediate release
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that economic growth has moderated somewhat. Labor market conditions have improved further, with strong job gains and a lower unemployment rate. A range of labor market indicators suggests that underutilization of labor resources continues to diminish. Household spending is rising moderately; declines in energy prices have boosted household purchasing power. Business fixed investment is advancing, while the recovery in the housing sector remains slow and export growth has weakened. Inflation has declined further below the Committee's longer-run objective, largely reflecting declines in energy prices. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects that, with appropriate policy accommodation, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace, with labor market indicators continuing to move toward levels the Committee judges consistent with its dual mandate. The Committee continues to see the risks to the outlook for economic activity and the labor market as nearly balanced. Inflation is anticipated to remain near its recent low level in the near term, but the Committee expects inflation to rise gradually toward 2 percent over the medium term as the labor market improves further and the transitory effects of energy price declines and other factors dissipate. The Committee continues to monitor inflation developments closely.
To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability, the Committee today reaffirmed its view that the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate remains appropriate. In determining how long to maintain this target range, the Committee will assess progress--both realized and expected--toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. Consistent with its previous statement, the Committee judges that an increase in the target range for the federal funds rate remains unlikely at the April FOMC meeting. The Committee anticipates that it will be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate when it has seen further improvement in the labor market and is reasonably confident that inflation will move back to its 2 percent objective over the medium term. This change in the forward guidance does not indicate that the Committee has decided on the timing of the initial increase in the target range.
The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction. This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2 percent. The Committee currently anticipates that, even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views as normal in the longer run.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; Charles L. Evans; Stanley Fischer; Jeffrey M. Lacker; Dennis P. Lockhart; Jerome H. Powell; Daniel K. Tarullo; and John C. Williams.
Geo-Economic: The Coming Chinese Crackup by David Shambaugh
Geo-Economic Series include:
- The great transition that reshape the world orders
- Insight China - outline the competing status in the world economy
- Miscellaneous hot Geo-Economic events
03/14/15 Weekend Misc.
(1) Market Trend Charts
overall link: http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/dpgallery.html
The monthly PMO is getting closer for a “cross below” action
(2) The Bull-Bear corridor 2029-2070
< 2029 short term bearish
> 2070 short term bullish
(3) Fibonacci terminal points
SPX chart: http://www.chartupload.com/images/99280192870917928554.jpg
The Fibonacci zone (1) 2069.93-2130.46 is stiff.
On 11/21/14, SPX made its first entry into this zone.
On 02/25/15, SPX marked ATH 2119.59.
On 03/10/15, SPX closed below this zone.
(4) SPX Short term Lower rail
2029.52, 2005.40, 2004.02, 1973.79-1965.20
for detailed breakdown, refer to the table
(5) 2015 General Outlook
All the pieces keep adding up into a very serious economic and geopolitical game changer for 2015
- Gerald Celente link
SPX is holding by the supportive trend line
when it will crack?
major cluster 2029, 2005 (near 200 SMA).
Geo-Economic: Enter the Dragon-led AIIB
Geo-Economic Series include:
- The great transition that reshape the world orders
- Insight China - outline the competing status in the world economy
- Miscellaneous hot Geo-Economic events
photo source: http://i.guancha.cn
10/21/2014
AIIB Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank kick-off
There are 27 + 1 (UK) nations as the initiative members
AIIB Perspectives:
12/05-02/28/-03/10 DJI has met an important upper target
DJI marked the ATH 18,288.63 on 03/02, and then, it not only slipped below the confirmation point 18039 but also dipped below the zone 17975-18485. So, the peak observed on 03/02 may turn out to be a good Fib. point that can hold for a while; i made a promise keep my mouth shut on cycle, so no new 'release', here is the work i did on 12/06, in this chart .
>> HSBC closing 7 gold vaults
Mail exchanges:
Outlook US Preeminence - Goldman Sachs
Compares with some bullish E-wavers’ Eye-popping-Jaw-dropping numbers, Goldman Sachs gave a much “realistic” S&P500 target for 2015
Share repurchases totaled a staggering $2.1 trillion
The Euro – a Doomed Currency? (Gold-in-sync?)
FYI Read At Your Own Peril, Waiting for Godot?
03/07/15 Weekend Misc.
(1) Market Sell Off on 03/06
The ‘’better than expected’’ job report released on 03/06 triggered a sell-off, The "strong" dollar could be part of the reasons too. imho, China’s rate cut was a deliberate chess board movement. together with many others’ central bank rate cut, Has an accidental currency war erupted? link to full text
(2) Market Trend Charts – overall http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/dpgallery.html
- Moving averages – bullish
- PMO suggests a trend change in daily & weekly, not yet in monthly chart.
- The McClellan Oscillator – bearish, readings below zero
(3) SPX Short term boundary
< 2028.73 bearish, (0.618 2119.59-1972.56)
> 2069.93 bullish, http://www.chartupload.com/images/99280192870917928554.jpg
(4) SPX Fibonacci terminal points
http://www.chartupload.com/images/99280192870917928554.jpg
Zone (1) 2069-2130.46
2069.93, 2085.06, 2100.20 , 2115.20, 2130.46 (quad interpolation)
2115.20, 2120.14, 2124.63 , 2130.46
Zone (2) 2130.46-2213.50
2130.46, 2151.22, 2171.98, 2192.74, 2213.50
Zone (3) 2213.50-2316.26
As reported for a while, the Fibonacci zone (1) is stiff. On 11/21/2014, SPX marked an intraday high 2071.46, that was the first assault on lower rail 2069.93, 15 weeks later, bulls still cannot break this tough resistance zone. The best ‘score’ Bull made was 2119.59 on 02/25/15.
(5) SPX Short term Lower rail
2119.59
1972.56, 1820.66, 1737.92, FIB
2084.89, 2049.04, 2029.52, 0.236
2063.42, 2005.40, 1973.79, 0.382
2046.08, 1970.13, 1928.76, 0.500
2028.73, 1934.85, 1883.72, 0.618
2004.02, 1884.63, 1819.60, 0.786
-overlap zone is considered a strong support
- interpolation between two points is a feasible way for hunting intraday pivots.
(6) 2015 General Outlook
All the pieces keep adding up into a very serious economic and geopolitical game changer for 2015 Gerald Celente link