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I hate buying after hours. Wait til morning. There usually is a drop from premarket highs
If everyone joins China in dumping treasuries, bond prices will crash and yields will go through the roof. We will have a tsunami effect coming to our shores. Equity and Bond crash to match that inflatable reality:
a) It’s impossible for Western bond prices to be at all-time highs. Western nations have never been less-solvent (i.e. obviously bankrupt). The less-solvent the debtor, the higher the rate of interest the debtor is (supposed to be) forced to pay, and bond prices and interest rates are precisely inverse to each other. Interest rates should be at all-time highs, bond prices should be at all-time lows.
Stock prices and bond prices can never rise together, in any legitimate marketplace. Period.
The simultaneous crash will bring us back to reality. Let's see what happens... Good luck Gld
Yes we have. Things are going to turn real nasty real fast. Next three weeks will reward your perseverance.
Looks like I was wrong my friend. More volatility next week. All the best
Is that an oxymoron
Me too. Looking to add
Bad jobs report will mean no rate hike...mkt will rally on that, just can't be too bad
If the jobs report is good the market will rally...
If the jobs report is bad it's an excuse to not raise int rates the market will rally...
Either way I'm looking to buy lower and wait for another turbulent week beginning Monday. All the best
Do we see a pull back at all this week or is TVIX on a mountain climb over Denali or McKinley rather. ?
I thought you would find this intersting:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-08-27/its-official-china-confirms-it-has-begun-liquidating-treasuries-warns-washington
So the backwardation is in effect as we speak. I was looking to add more TVIX at the end of trading.
And the fireworks have begun!
I'm here fir the long ride.
Looks like you are right. Asia is getting hammered as we speak. Gld timer nailed it. Did he not?! I'm excited! Waited for this since last October. This time this is the ONE. Can't imagine what sustained and prolonged volatility is going to do for TVIX. I truly believe in the post Gld posted last fall. That's why I had you resend it to me. Patience pays off. And I'm gonna keep adding right through September. Good luck to you and I wish you all the best!!
You are absolutely right! Thank you!
U nailed it Gld!
Thx Gld! All the best to you.
I love this post! I bought in on Friday and adding more from here to sept. My viscera is saying : Go Go Go!!!
Thx Gld. Welcome back
You could do that. But why not ride the massive volatility spike that will follow leading up to the crash.
Or short the one and ride the other.
Cheers.
I'll be adding from here to sept
China crash ... Followed by us
Gld- I have a question: for simplicity's sake, I'll keep it simple. Let's suppose there was a bond crash, would money in a money market be safe? Isn't that money usually In short term instruments? All the best
I think so. World trade is slumping. Down more than 2% I.e. World wide recession. Gold, oil & commodities are crashing. Gold eerily similar to 2008 and the dollar index is surging. These are tall tale signs that the writing is on the wall. All the gains from the Greece is fixed party have been wiped out. This week was significant in my opinion. All the best to you.
Lol. I think winter is right around the corner.
Closed below the 200 dma . Nice
I thought you would find this article interesting.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-20/what-happened-last-time-mainstream-media-slammed-gold
Thanks Gld! I wish you all the best as well.
Lol. I sold fri. But always reading your seasonal posts to decide when to come back in, which have helped tremendously. Thx again!
Excellent explanation. Thank you!
Gld/ with all the QE that's been pumped into the market, why has the velocity of money remained stagnant.? Thank you
Countries that don't play ball with Germany will see their banking system used against their democratically elected politicians. The banking system is the soft underbelly and the Germans are prepared to orchestrate bank runs in member states to get their way. This is not only new, it is outrageous. Greece will be in the headlines again. This is all prophetic.
An incredible turn of events in two weeks. Who knows what happened behind closed doors with Tsipras. Personally, Varoufakis had more balls. It was a betrayal to the people of Greece and the " idea" of democracy.
I bet the IMF sabotages the whole Greek deal & Oopah we are off to the races sooner than later
Good bye Greece,
In other words, for every week that the Greek capital controls remain , the total cost of the Greek bailout (the funding needs) increases by €10 billion.
Another way of putting it: with every passing day, another 1% of Greece's €210 billion in bank loans becomes "non-performing."
Ok. Thx. I know this issue will become another crisis event sooner than later. As of this momentI have to agree with Krugmann, who I am not fond of believes that austerity is a death knell into future GDP growth. I have my own doubts but it makes sense. All the best..