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Well someone is buying above that level. Here's what I have found interesting
1. Clearly alot of selling and large buys going through yet there have been no filings showing anyone greater than 5% yet. My last post mentioned the requirements in that regard. It is quite odd, but perhaps this has all been mom and pop retail buying, surprising but again there has been no disclosure of over 5% so?
2. I have added as much as I am willing to with this risk level (ie no ptab ruling in our favor yet). I would add if it drops below 1 but it seems the MM is preventing that.
3. If you look at the trading on level 2 during the day you will see much of what I talked about previously (other posts). In particular, watch the time stamps of buy and sell orders. Example below. I suggest all watch the trading on level 2 tomorrow and watch the bids with the same time stamps vs asks with the same time stamp. (Now that I've said it watch our MM's change it up lol)- but I had mentioned it previously as well, and it continued today. ie a 2 bids spread out at 9:30 am and an ask at 9:30 am, then at (example) 10:42 am all three change at the same time.
BIDS
CANT 0.0112 10000 06/09
ARCA 0.0111 20000 06/09
BMAK 0.0111 10000 06/08
CSTI 0.0111 10000 06/09
CDEL 0.0095 200000 06/09
ETRF 0.0091 59000 06/09
NITE 0.007 100000 06/09
You can't see it now because its after midnight so it just shows the date, but those three bids all had the same 'time stamp' as the bolded asks below. But, it's relatively impossible for three orders to constantly be changing intra day and every day at the same time. Clearly, the market maker is adjusting or a bot is adjusting automatically (algorithm).
Ask
VNDM 0.0115 10000 06/09
CDEL 0.0116 12134 06/09
ARCA 0.0125 20000 06/09
CANT 0.0159 10000 06/09
CSTI 0.017 15000 06/09
BMAK 0.022 10000 06/08
In addition, as those orders changed throughout the day they all changed simultaneously. Clearly, those bids are fake and trying to force retail to purchase above 0.0095 for certain and above 0.0112.
But that range, again falls in line with where I said their range of making a profit was.
The question then becomes, until people stop falling for that game, well they will keep doing it.
I would agree, if you want shares, bid below 0.0095 - but some seem to be ignoring that - that seems to be their 'stopper' though with that spoof order of 200k.
Reality is, someone is wanting off their position as you said (the convert holder), so why let them out easily?
this stock is a steaming hot bag of dog crap
so glad I made 250k shorting this pos!!
LOL...rinse repeat
Time to reload the short position on this load of garbage
100k shorting coming!
Responses to art35 and _God_ below:
Art:
I don't 'think' - I 'know'
Schmidt -> White House -> Congress -> AIA -> Lee -> PTAB games
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/jun/04/google-influence-hiring-government-officials?CMP=twt_a-technology_b-gdntech
This is why the PTAB kills 90% of software patents and who their 'real' boss is - not congress, well sort of, its the boss of Congress as I have said all along.
Let's hope SCOTUS is the last institution that is not corrupt -MCM + Cooper hopefully address this corrupt crap
I would agree with that. I checked the volume since March 18th yesterday and it was around 44 million if I recall correctly. Given there was 31 mil shares left on March 18th I would think they are close to done but we won't really know for certain.
Anyone watching level 2 should watch the trading carefully. Yesterday was a perfect example of what I said prior, alot of spoof (fake) bids to get retail to bid over that price so that the seller could sell at a 'real' market price to whomever they have negotiated the sale with.
Things to look for
1. Time stamps of both bids and asks. One has to ask, how is it that for months there are both a bid and ask showing up with time stamps of the exact same time? LOL Beyond coincidence
2. Look at how large bids are well off the ask and often if even very close won't push up for their shares even if the order is for 100k shares and the cost differential is 0.001 = $1 lol....clearly that bid isn't 'real'
My past commentary below
Quilt - long response below
I would disagree with your assertion that:
Yes, even at 80% it works however, we do not know when they started selling.
My point was simple, it is only NOW / today someone could argue that the convert is 'done'.
That being said, given we've still seen some sizable trades / crosses and AH activity today, so it (the convert) doesn't yet appear done.
I suggest any longs read my commentary about being patient here. There is really no catatyst to move this stock other than the PTAB ruling, thus there is zero reason to chase.
Anyone suggesting people should buy buy buy, millions of shares, may indeed be trying to help someone selling and not you.
That's odd, were you also putting in multiple orders between 1.3 4.2, onwards that didn't get filled?
LOL...there was manipulation occurring, I watched it on level 2 as it was happening.
I tried to sell at 4.2 cents (a small amount of my holdings) and it didn't sell.
I really hope no one here was suckered into chasing the stock as the MMs (Cantor and Citadel) gamed this stock a day ago up to 5 cents.
We are fairly certain they are the convert sellers and will be confirming with Mr. Kidrin. Ironically, I believe a past post suggested Citadel was a retail seller (as a factual statement) when I know personally from dealing with them they are an institutional seller (and reality is MM's don't primarily handle 'retail' trade flow - anyone familiar with how MM's work would understand this - or anyone familiar with market basics and economics - there is just not enough money in managing primarily retail trade flow).
Again, if those here had listened to me when the MM's tried to unload the shares to retail you could be buying today at 0.014 vs 0.05. One poster mentioned well you could have sold at 0.05 - I tried to take some small profits on 150k shares @0.042, I couldn't sell them. The move from 0.013 to 0.05 a day ago was pure manipulation as I suggested. Completely low volume move, likely MMs trading with each other to push the price. If you can't move stock at the bid, its not a real buyer is it?
Indeed, hopefully we will determine if there are any on this board assisting those MM's in the coming months, as that is part of the process that is in motion.
:)
Anyone know why a company dilutes? It's because their cash from operations cannot cover their costs to operate
Just some basic financial information for those who preach about adjusted ebitda and revenues lol!!!!
LOL what a bag of crap this is!
Stark and TSTE:
TSTE
Not a big spike. MM's are trying to rid the equity from the convertibles.
Look at the past 2 weeks. Seen high volume. Alot of gaming going on with the MMs right now.
Don't chase this stock, no reason, they are trying to sucker people into bidding up so they can dump the converted equity at higher prices.
Stark:
You are reading the ask which is 'fake'. The MMs are trying to get retail to chase this stock. The majority of volume today was at 0.013 and maybe 200k shares have moved since.
This is gaming, and I am sure people are going to chase this. This is called a 'head fake'. Don't fall for it folks.
I am happy its up but I don't believe for a second it will sustain. Low volume moving it from 0.013 to 0.05.
Personally think they are trying to sucker buyers in to get rid of the shares they have left.
Cantor and Citadel - shame shame, I wonder if they have any employees on these boards? Should be easy to find out eventually whether that is the case or not.
Odd that someone mentioned that 'Citadel' was a retail seller (when I know that not to be the case), seems like it was an attempt to deflect attention huh?
Oh did Cantor just buy 100 shares at .025 because I hit a nerve?
Lol nice push to 0.04 on the fake bid gents! Keep trying to sucker retail! No one is buying are they?
See how that fake bid keeps pushing folks? Don't chase!
LOL this is awesome!! It's like they are reading this board and each time I post they reset the bid higher!
Oh, that's right, that is what's happening!
Really? 0.0249 bid 0.0245 ask? What's the $ value difference there folks?
LOL. If it was a real bid why wouldn't they "HIT" the ask for those 10k shares?
Here's some help...ITS ONE WHOLE DOLLAR!!!! LOL
;)
This is fun, our MM is reading this board and getting mad at me and playing with the bid /ask. Literally minutes after I post a message explaining the gaming I see a reaction in the Bid/Ask lol!! And its on our spoof orders not real ones!
seems I was 100% right and some people are going to prison!!!
Edit: oh seems they read my post and realized a one dollar difference was too obvious, since raised the ask to 0.04 on no news lol..
And 2 mil shares of the convert out
Ouch, love being so right about the bs going on here
:)
I checked the SEC filings, nothing yet reported.
Not sure if any institutions are in, but someone is soaking up alot of shares and I am surprised they haven't breached 5% yet. It could be time delay, you have up to 10 days to report once you breach that level.
Keep an eye out for that, it would answer some questions as to who is buying
Is that 110k @0.0125 you? Edit - ok its gone so wasn't you - def the spoofer
I must have angered the MM / Spoofer with my last comment, they raised the bid ask
LOL - so transparent and the emotion is fully visible. Each time I have called them out on this board the anger is reflected in the bid ask.
They want to get you to chase folks. Funny how easy it was to get shares at .013 and now they just move it up hey, and you can't get them at that price now? Oh yes you can, because those aren't real bids or real asks LOL....same market makers gaming ladies and gents
Be patient as I said, no catalyst, still material selling, and a TON of risk this could be worthless
No valid reason to bid up, rather all rational reasons point to lowering your bid and exposure
Take a look at my previous post and this and the time stamps lol!
Current Bid
CANT 0.017 10000 14:35
CSTI 0.0155 10000 14:33
CDEL 0.0124 14300 14:33
Current Ask
CSTI 0.023 10000 14:33
Previous Bid
CSTI 0.013 10000 13:54 (Spoof)
CANT 0.0125 110000 14:06 (Spoof)
See what's going on?
Indeed, it seems now more than ever I was 100% correct and there are MMs using this board as a tool. This would be illegal and I look forward to ensuring if such behavior is occuring, that those involved will be prosecuted.
Yep, 600k just went through (in addition to the 2 big trades earier today), convert still going!
Seems there is an agreed upon price that the big buyer will purchase at (definitely seems to be someone soaking up alot of these shares) unless market dips below that, which may be the reason we see the spoofs out there, trying to maximize the price for the seller. By creating a floor, a retailer sees the bid and realizes they need to bid up / over that spoof to get shares. Thus, it creates a floor for the seller (prevents market from going below what the agreed sale price was).
This view likely explains why some were angry when I suggested those here lower their bids. My guess is that the price "agreed to" by the seller, locks in a decent return for them. My guestimates of their break even seem to be pretty close given where the vast majority of block selling is occurring. This view is likely that cause of why some seemed threatened by me suggesting longs lower their bids below that break even guestimate. ie if a long didn't bid up and someone hits that bid then the price at which they agreed upon to sell that block may be adjusted downwards affecting the sellers returns. Funny how emotions regarding seemingly innocuous (and clearly helpful for longs) posts can lead one to what is really going on if you think logically!
It is also the reason a few kept suggesting the 'covert was done' and there would be little downward pressure as a result.
:)
Love being right! Hope I saved others some money as well! And lowered their risk exposure as a result!
Bids
CSTI 0.013 10000 13:54 (Spoof)
CANT 0.0125 110000 14:06 (Spoof)
ETRF 0.012 40000 09:30
CDEL 0.011 18000 14:10
NITE 0.01 200000 13:53 (Spoof)
You're very welcome!
Glad it helped you...now let's hope the PTAB rules in our favor and that 200k is going to be in dollars!
Could also end up as zero but at least you paid alot less for that risk!
Seems like there has been a couple of big crosses today, convert still leaking out it would appear!
Careful with those bids folks!
Maturity date? Oh this was posted a while back for you. It has use for all I would have thought since its some 'basics about convertibles' and since that seems to be a source of your constant questions about this stock, I would assume its definitely not off-topic! This should help clarify your concerns and is completely consistent with my previous points on the topic.
:) Happy reading and learning!
-----------------------------------------------------
Vanilla convertible bonds are the most plain convertible structures. They grant the holder the right to convert into certain amount of shares determined according to a conversion price determined in advance. They may offer coupon regular payments during the life of the security and have a fixed maturity date where the nominal value of the bond is redeemable by the holder. This type is the most common convertible type and is typically providing the asymmetric returns profile and positive convexity often wrongly associated to the entire asset class: at maturity the holder would indeed either convert into shares or request the redemption at par depending on whether or not the stock price is above the conversion price.
Any convertible bond structure, on top of its type, would bear a certain range of additional features as defined in its issuance prospectus:
Conversion price: The nominal price per share at which conversion takes place, this number is fixed at the issuance but could be adjusted under some circumstance described in the issuance prospectus (e.g. Underlying stock split). You could have more than one conversion price for non-vanilla convertible issuances.
Issuance premium: Difference between the conversion price and the stock price at the issuance.
Conversion ratio: The number of shares each convertible bond converts into. It may be expressed per bond or on a per centum (per 100) basis.
Maturity/redemption date: Final payment date of a loan or other financial instrument, at which point the principal (and all remaining interest) is due to be paid. In some cases, there is no
Final conversion date: Final date at which the holder can request the conversion into shares. Might be different from the redemption date.
This point goes to standard vs non standard indenture / terms I mentioned prior. ie None of us know the exact terms of the converts so assuming they were "standard' is a rational assumption. If our converts were non-standard, we wouldn't know until we see the quarterly and we saw early conversion (again since we haven't seen the indenture). Given the ability to convert prior to maturity is 'non-standard' it would be written in as a negotiated point. In addition, going back to the point on the extension granted on the converts, this further led to the logical conclusion that conversion was tied to maturity (as it is in a standard indenture/occurs most commonly when underwriting a convert)....So yes I know what I am talking about sorry! . Anyone suggesting otherwise really should continue to educate themselves on the basics of converts before making such claims. Assuming a convert with 'a-typical' clauses is actually illogical and certainly when factoring in the extension, an even more illogical conclusion. So forgive me for thinking logically and basing my views on typical convert structures and recent events (extensions which lent itself to the same logical conclusion).
Coupon: Periodic interest payment paid to the convertible bond holder from the issuer. Could be fixed or variable or equal to zero.
Yield: Yield of the convertible bond at the issuance date, could be different from the coupon value if the bond is offering a premium redemption. In those cases the yield value would determine the premium redeption value and intermediary put redemption value.
Convertibles could bear other more technical features depending on the issuer needs:
Call features: The ability of the issuer (on some bonds) to call a bond early for redemption. This should not be mistaken for a call option. A Softcall would refer to a call feature where the issuer can only call under certain circumstances, typically based on the underlying stock price performance (e.g. current stock price is above 130% of the conversion price for 20 days out of 30 days). A Hardcall feature would not need any specific conditions beyond a date: that case the issuer would be able to recall a portion or the totally of the issuance at the Call price (typically par) after a specific date.
Put features: The ability of the holder of the bond (the lender) to force the issuer (the borrower) to repay the loan at a date earlier than the maturity. These often occur as windows of opportunity, every three or five years and allow the holders to exercise their right to an early repayment.
Contingent conversion (aka CoCo): Restrict the ability of the convertible bondholders to convert into equities. Typically, restrictions would be based on the underlying stock price and/or time (e.g. convertible every quarter if stock price is above 115% of the conversion price).[3] Reverse convertibles in that respect could be seen as a variation of a Mandatory bearing a contingent conversion feature based. More recently some CoCo's issuances have been based on Tier-1 capital ratio for some large bank issuers.
Reset: Conversion price would be reset to a new value depending on the underlying stock performance. Typically, would be in cases of underperformance (e.g. if stock price after a year is below 50% of the conversion price the new conversion price would be the current stock price).
Change of control event (aka Ratchet): Conversion price would be readjusted in case of a take-over on the underlying company. There are many subtype of ratchet formula (e.g. Make-whole base, time dependent...), their impact for the bondholder could be small (e.g. ClubMed, 2013) to significant (e.g. Aegis, 2012). Often, this clause would grant as well the ability for the convertible bondholders to "put" i.e. ask for the early repayment of their bonds.
Now I don't like using Wiki as a source but it explains the basics in layman's terms. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convertible_bond
This should put to rest the nonsense about my facts. I have been correct in my views, have provided value add insight to this board on the legal aspects of this case, the financial situation (via my analysis of the financial reports, proxy, and market behavior), and what I expect from the price in the near term.
Those who disagree, should read those documents, as well as this post, provide factual information and analysis based on that factual information from those filings etc that suggest my numbers and knowledge are incorrect
From everything I have posted, I am correct. Not perfect, but correct.
Good luck
Wow that's interesting, I wonder if google is paying them directly? LOL....my guess is yes, cheaper, no one would notice vs a judge lol
The upside here is clearly an error would lead to appeals - certainly on the review side.
The fact that the USPTO is stating how its examiners should read information, if they do not, well they open themselves up now.
This is interesting, the USPTO seems to be a very scared now hey?
Here's the answer I posted to the board a while back to which no one answered.
Issue relates to En Banc odds
LOL
http://michellawyers.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/Ninth-Circuit-En-Banc-Procedure-Flowchart.pdf
Suggest you simply google many of these questions, much of the details are out on the web if you dig hard
This link is for the 9th circuit but the process is pretty much the same.
Indeed. And I really didn't believe that would have an effect on the courts until we saw what happened with VRINGO.
It really lead me to read about the AIA, put the pieces together and see 'through' to the corruption now embedded in the system.
Google is pals with POTUS and the CIA. They get their lawyers to write the AIA, congress is clueless and buys the 'troll' narrative, and they codify in law, theft for big tech vs the little guy.
Only SCOTUS can correct this. I truly didn't want to believe it in the past but it is clear. I call it codified corruption.
That's why I have said over and over here, be careful, it very easily could simply go to zero not on technical or legal grounds, simply because that's what the PTAB does for big tech. This last comment is often the hardest for those in these stocks (including myself in the past as I said) to admit. It goes against everything we are taught and believe, that the system is 'fair'.
In reality, we've seen it is not. I just hope all this attention puts the PTAB on good behavior for the next 6 months. If it reels them in even a bit, our odds are enhanced.
Certainly if SCOTUS starts addressing issues with this group via Cuozzo (which certainly has raised red flags with the Chief Justice), MCM, and Cooper....we could be fortunate in our timing. Unlike those of us in VRNG.
https://www.wilmerhale.com/uploadedFiles/Shared_Content/Editorial/Publications/Documents/2016-05-19-IPR-Motions-To-Amend-Rays-Of-Hope-Despite-Gloomy-Statistics.pdf
After reading that, definitely sounds like alot of smoke and mirrors. Nothing substantive and my guess the other article (while I haven't read it) provides the similar, as it talks about 'case studies' not material changes.
Realize, material changes would be an admission they are handling things incorrectly, something they would never willingly admit to.
It will take the courts to hammer them for them to materially change- that way they have something else to point the finger at. Ie they can say 'congress wanted it this way, we did it, the courts say different, so we'll listen to the courts'. It's called deniability and these crooked mf's will use it.
Seems the pressure is building, all positive but again, still a total crap shoot here. Until we see REAL changes, this can be a bit of smoke and mirrors to deflect as there is attention on this corrupt group.
A few 'hey look we told you we don't kill all the patents and we do allow adjustments' could quickly turn the gaze away.
Let's hope it works out for us but it's still gambling here, so all should be aware (thus my point on not overpaying for stock). Often people get caught up with these stocks thinking 'its cheap just keep adding', or a some of our 'mm' friends tried to suggest 'ah its pennies what the difference' - well we know why some were trying to push people to buy don't we ;)
Basically, its cheap for a reason, because it can easily be worthless, so pay as little as you can for the call option we have here.
Nothing in this stock matters until and unless we get OUR patents held up at the PTAB, other changes, focus on them is great but this is a pure binary play on that ruling right now.
Hopefully, someone posts the full articles, I don't have access.
I see,
I did not post all the bids, was providing an example of how my suggestion works in practice, that is all.
LOL
wink wink ;)
Yes, I see that but I am not clear on your question, since you suggested I mentioned that order and have not.
Sorry which bid @ 0.0128 are you referring to? I never mentioned that