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$SMH Semiconductors Etf Tired
The run in the SMH has been amazing from the March lows and is now back at the Feb highs,
Tuesday some heavyweights like NVDA AMD & MU started to show some signs that some consolidation is needed.
Momentum, Volume , ACD are beginning to head south.
It may be wise to take some profits in chip\semi stock until the breakout or retrace is complete.
$SMH: Fell like a ROCK... PUTS are UP !
Did I call it or what ???????
Now at $6.05 these contracts.
Were $4.40 last week.
Theres your 50% GAINS !
$SMH: THere has to be a 5-10% correction here
Sitting here at $147.62............ Crazy overvalued now
Might get to $150
Priced to PERFECTION as far as I can tell.
Maybe influenced by 5g Cycle, i dunno.
Anyways........ have to look for a Pullback.
Looking for a big hit on this April $140put contract
to see what makes $SMH go down.
Semiconductor ETF Nears Double Top
Shares of the semiconductor ETF $SMH inched towards double top on the daily chart. This is a classic resistance point on any chart. Expect a pull back in the semi’s in the near-term once double top is tagged/pierced. Markets continue to hope for a trade deal and are factoring in one in now. The market is also expecting no US recession and an extremely accommodative Federal Reserve. With hopes high in all regards, expect the rug to get pulled next week into options expiration.
Gareth Soloway
InTheMoneyStocks
Nasty Semiconductor Chart Pattern
The semiconductor ETF (SMH) has one of the nastiest bear flag consolidation patterns I have seen in years. This is signaling an extreme sell on the index and does not bode well for the stock market overall. Look for the semi’s to break lower in the coming weeks with a downside ultimate target of $95.00. Please note the stock chart below for the swing trade setup.
Gareth Soloway
InTHeMoneyStocks
Euphoria Is Back In The Semi's, This Is Where I Short $SMH
The Semiconductor ETF (SMH) continues to be strong after Apple (AAPL) received some upgrades (semi's are the supply chain for iPhone's). As the SMH surges higher, a gap fill looms large on the daily chart at $117.65. Once achieved, I plan on buying the SOXS (3x Short Semi ETF). I am a believer there is still weakening to go in the global/domestic economy and the semi's are over-priced. With an overbought SMH and the technical gap fill, this is the spot. I Look for as much as a 25% correction in most semiconductor stocks from this level.
Gareth Soloway
InTheMoneyStocks
Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Tagging Multi-Factor Support
Shares of the Semiconductor ETF (SMH) are down again today as the trade war is red hot. Trading at $101.50, the SMH is now entering a multi-factor support area. First, the daily 200 moving average is here at $101.50. Next, the 50% Fibonacci retrace level from the December 2018 lows to the recent April 2019 highs is at $100.78. The fact that the Semi's are near-term oversold and hitting these two levels at the same time, gives a high chance of a strong bounce in the coming days. A bounce would likely take the SMH back as high as $110.00.
Gareth Soloway
InTheMoneyStocks
SMH Racing toward 100... Possible crossing in the near future.
SMH O/S Charts..look like north heading maybe..?
sctr 24.4
FireEye Inc $FEYE Head & Shoulders In Full Motion To This Target
Shares of FireEye Inc (FEYE) continue their collapse after the neck-line of a head and shoulder pattern was violated. The break of a neck-line triggers a head and shoulder pattern, ultimately taking it to its final resting target. In the case of FireEye Inc, the final resting target is calculated out to be $13.50. The stock currently trades at $15.60, so there is still significant downside to go. I will be an interested buyer at $13.50, when the head and shoulder pattern has completed.
Gareth Soloway
InTheMoneyStocks
The Semiconductor ETF $SMH Is Falling And Here Is Where It's Going
Today, the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (NYSEArca:SMH) is declining lower by 0.52 to $103.17 a share. This important ETF represents the semiconductor sector which is often a leading indicator for the tech heavy NASDAQ Composite. It should be noted that the SMH has lagged the NASDAQ Composite recently and that is generally a bearish indication for the tech sector.
A couple of days ago the SMH tested it's 200-day moving average around the $102.00 level. Should the SMH close below this key support level it would indicate more downside in the near term. The next major support level for the SMH would be around the $95.50 level. This support area is where the SMH pivoted and bottomed on April 25, 2018. This area should still be major support when retested.
Nicholas Santiago
InTheMoneyStocks
Alert: Semiconductor ETF $SMH Could Fall To $75
The Semiconductor ETF $SMH may fall to $75 per share. This is shocking to most as the current price of the SMH is $107.75. However, a head and shoulder pattern is forming which is extremely negative for the semiconductors. Should the $SMH break the neck-line at $97.50, the calculated collapse target is $75. This would be a drop of over 30% from the current levels. This is a pattern all investors should keep on their radar because of what it means for the macro markets. If the semi's drop this much, you can bet the NASDAQ and S&P are in freefall as well. Again, please note this pattern has not triggered, but if it does, make sure YOU understand the repercussions...
Gareth Soloway
InTheMoneyStocks
Short Trade Alert: Semiconductor ETF Slams Into Resistance
Shares of the semiconductor ETF $SMH slammed into major support today at $105.10. After a solid bounce, the semi's are likely ready to roll over heard and begin their next leg lower. The resistance point is found by noting the neck-tie of the 20 and 50 daily moving averages. This is huge resistance, coupled with a Fibonacci 38.2% retrace from the all-time high to the recent low. Investors can start accumulating short positions on semiconductor stocks or buy the $SOXS as a triple short ETF on the semiconductor sector.
Gareth Soloway
InTheMoneyStocks
Nasty Topping Tail On The Semiconductor ETF $SMH
Shares of the semiconductor ETF $SMH surged in early trading, only to reverse in dramatic fashion, going negative on the day. The early surge made a new all-time high but the reversal is an ugly topping tail, a likely major top signal. Investors should watch where the $SMH closes today to see if it holds the topping tail. If it does, the SMH is a stone cold short.
Gareth Soloway
InTheMoneyStocks
Semiconductors Will Rise Until They Hit This Technical Target
The semiconductor index ETF $SMH is leading the technology sector higher today. The semi's have now retraced 75% of the down-move and investors are excitedly talking about new all-time highs. In the near-term, I do not expect that to happen. I have a calculated upside max move of $105.80. With the current price at $104.94, there is less than a Dollar of upside left. This max move is calculated based on a technical extension move, time count, a former pivot high from late November 2017 and a gap fill. What technical traders have noticed is that when multiple major technical signals merge together in one price point area, the chance of a retrace top increases dramatically. This is what the semiconductor ETF $SMH is showing us. Stocks like NVIDIA (NVDA), Micron (MU) and others will stall out and start to decline once this target level is achieved. I will look to short or buy puts.
Gareth Soloway
InTheMoneyStocks
Semiconductors Send Out Warning Signs $SMH
Semiconductors have led this market for almost two years. The upside move on the semiconductor ETF $SMH has been insane. However, in recent weeks something major has changed. The semi's have rolled sharply, even as the stock market makes new all-time highs. This should be a big warning sign not just for the semi's but for the entire market. While end of year window dressing and light volume may keep the markets at all-time highs, it is likely there is trouble brewing in early 2018. In addition, the semiconductor index has a classic bear flag formation and is unable to get back over the daily 50 moving average. I have it penciled in that the semiconductor ETF SMH will see another big leg down in the first quarter of 2018, hitting $89.75. This is another 10% drop in the index. For investors, just simply compare the chart of the semi's before from the start of 2016 to November 2017. Then compare and see the divergence in December. It is shocking. Note the chart below.
Nicholas Santiago
InTheMoneyStocks
Are The Semiconductors Flashing A Warning Sign?
As we all know, the tech heavy NASDAQ Composite has been the market leading index in 2017. This index includes the popular FANG stocks such as Facebook Inc(NASDAQ:FB), Apple Inc.(NASDAQ:AAPL), Netflix, Inc.(NASDAQ:NFLX) and Alphabet Inc(NASDAQ:GOOGL). While these stocks have been stellar performers it has really been the semiconductor stocks that have shined.
NVIDIA Corporation(NASDAQ:NVDA) is probably the leading semiconductor stock in the market right now. Since April 13th, 2017 this leading semiconductor stock has rallied higher by more than $50.00 a share. NVDA stock is currently trading at $150.65 a share. This tech leader made a high on June 9th, 2017 at $168.50 a share before reversing sharply lower on that trading day. Since that high pivot the stock has been unable to recapture the highs made that day. In fact, the entire semiconductor industry group topped out on June 9th and most of the leading stocks in the sector have been unable to make new highs since that decline. The popular semiconductor trading vehicle know as the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF(NYSEArca:SMH) is actually still trading around the lows from the June 9th trading day. Is this a warning sign of things to come?
In the past, when the semiconductor sector loses its leadership role it is often a warning sign of a correction on the horizon. Traders should note that if the semiconductor stocks fail to make new highs in the next few weeks it could be a negative omen for the technology heavy NASDAQ Composite and NASDAQ 100.
Nicholas Santiago
InTheMoneyStocks
very unusual chart pattern here this week.
opened above support, crashes thru intraday, gaps down next day. very rare. I am not a fan of 300 period moving averages, but that's apparently important to someone.
needs to break 21 or drop below 19 other wise is ZZZZZZZZZZZZZ
SMH Chart
SMH Chart
SMH Chart seems to be coiling
the SMH
AI
