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U.S. solar has a major year in 2016 http://www.seekingalpha.com/news/3243432
Whoa!... I'll bid sit $.085...
93.69% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
The stock of Vivint Solar Incorporated (NYSE:VSLR) registered an increase of 6.14% in short interest. VSLR’s total short interest was 10.63M shares in November as published by FINRA. Its up 6.14% from 10.01M shares, reported previously. With 568,400 shares average volume, it will take short sellers 19 days to cover their VSLR’s short positions. The short interest to Vivint Solar Incorporated’s float is 47.76%. The stock closed at $2.75 during the last session. It is down 8.64% since April 19, 2016 and is downtrending. It has underperformed by 12.50% the S&P500.
Wow no sellers here ! Imo we see good earnings and volume we level up
Set up for an epic short squeeze ?!?!
Nearly 11 million shares are sold short, representing an all-time high, and it would take close to four weeks to cover these positions, at VSLR's average daily trading volume.
http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/content/news/2016/10/07/analyst-upgrades-bank-of-america-corp-gap-inc-and-vivint-solar-inc
BUY
Jumped in today at 3.23 seconds before
The market closed. This is a keeper..
All good for Vivint now lets go. Just need the Democrats to win and we will get some more tail winds for solar. HOLD. Oil heading higher as well as nat gas energy and fossil fuels in general.. solar will get a bump from higher energy costs always does LMS.
And therein lies our catalyst. The hearing is yet to take place – Sunedison is delaying it and Vivint is pushing to speed it up – but when it gets set, it should resolve pretty quickly. When it does, we believe Vivint will see a rally in its share price as it jumps to the front of the asset sale distribution queue.
http://streetregister.com/2016/08/20/vivint-solar-inc-nysevslrs-billion-dollar-opportunity/
I see things people miss im all good here but I will take a look LMJ
Link:RUN is upgraded,$15 price target
http://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/16/08/8344477/sunrun-seen-executing-on-market-share-profitability?utm_campaign=partner_feed&utm_source=marketwatch.com&utm_medium=partner_feed&utm_content=analyst_ratings_page
Dont be surprised when Goldman comes on board VSLR .
Saw gsco on some fairly large ask orders means they are buying. LMS
Shaking out the shares under accumulation. Classic.
Why Oppenheimer Sees Vivint Solar Shares Rising Over 100%
By Jon C. Ogg August 9, 2016 9:35 am EDT
Solar power companies have had an interesting ride in so far in 2016. Despite so many woes, one solar installations company is being featured as a company in which the shares could more than double. Vivint Solar Inc. (NYSE: VSLR) was raised to Outperform at Oppenheimer. This is one of those calls that should remind investors there is no such thing as a free lunch.
Oppenheimer’s Colin Rusch raised Vivint Solar’s rating from a Perform rating and assigned a $7 price target. If Rusch is correct, that represents more than 100% upside from the $3.19 close on Monday.
Vivint recently expanded its term loan facility, a five-year $313 million term. Oppenheimer’s report suggests that Vivint Solar is demonstrating its ability to close large deals in a relatively short time frame. The report noted that that this residential solar energy system installer will still have to raise additional tax equity for the fourth quarter of 2016 and 2017 deployments. Rusch expects that the company will close a facility in a timely manner, considering the wide availability of tax equity.
Oppenheimer’s Outperform rating was from valuation support from Vivint’s existing portfolio, and from a more conservative strategy that emphasizes cash-on-cash returns and sustainable growth. The firm also pointed out that there is a potential for improving unit economics based on lower equipment costs and a disciplined sales strategy.
Vivint Solar installed 61 MW (megawatts) in the second quarter of 2016, versus guidance of 60 MW, and down 6% year over year. Total blended cost per watt was $2.94, with an install cost $2.13 per watt, sales of $0.56 per watt and G&A of $0.25 per watt. Bookings of 74 MW were said to be flat year over year and up 12% from the first quarter of 2016. Revenue and GAAP EPS were $34.9 million and $0.11, versus consensus estimates $25 million and -$0.37.
As far as what to look for in the rest of 2016, Vivint Solar now expects fiscal year 2016 MW installations to be under the prior 2016 guidance of 260 MW. This is as the company is focused on strategic initiatives to enhance value retained per watt.
The base case assumption here is that Vivint will have modest installations growth from 2016 to 2018, along with a continued reduction in the installed cost per watt. Catalysts for the upside are tracking installation and cost metrics and lower financing costs. The upside would come from new/unanticipated policy support or where the cost of capital remains at the current level or declines even more. Downside issues that would hurt the bullish case would be if economics bring compression or limited distribution of solar loans, or if the company does not introduce an energy storage product.
Rusch’s thesis was as follows:
In our view, Vivint Solar’s low cost structure and strategic approach to growth in MW installations will help lower capital costs through 2018, which positions the company to benefit from what we believe could be a robust North American solar installation market through 2018.
Oppenheimer’s $7 price target is based on the $3.49 net value of existing portfolio contracted cash flows, at a 6% discount rate. The firm then applied an 18 times multiple for its adjusted free cash flow estimate for projects deployed in 2018 to value the development business at $3.38 per share.
The price did not collapse because after the earnings call Openhiemer gave it a target of 7$ that means it will settle in just under 8$ LMS
* * $VSLR Video Chart 08-09-16 * *
Link to Video - click here to watch the technical chart video
Second Quarter 2016 Operating Highlights
Key operating and development highlights for the quarter ended June 30, 2016 include:
MW Booked of approximately 74 MWs for the quarter, approximately flat year-over-year.
MW Installed of approximately 61 MWs, down 6% year-over-year. Total cumulative MWs installed were approximately 575 MWs.
Installations were 8,641 for the quarter, down 7% year-over-year. Cumulative installations were 84,872.
Estimated Nominal Contracted Payments Remaining increased by approximately $191 million during the quarter and was approximately $2.3 billion, up 56% year-over-year.
Estimated Retained Value increased by approximately $103 million during the quarter to approximately $1.1 billion, up 64% year-over-year.
Estimated Retained Value per Watt was $1.95.
Cost per Watt was $2.94, down from $3.34 in the first quarter of 2016 and down from $3.00 in the second quarter of 2015.
Second Quarter 2016 GAAP Financial Results
Summary GAAP financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2016 include:
Operating Leases and Incentives Revenue was $30.1 million, up 97% from $15.3 million in the second quarter of the prior year. Total revenue for the quarter was $34.9 million, up 116% from $16.1 million in the second quarter of the prior year.
Cost of Revenue – Operating Leases and Incentives was $38.5 million, up from $33.3 million in the same period of 2015.
Total Operating Expenses, including cost of revenue, were $71.4 million, compared to $88.5 million in the second quarter of 2015. Operating expenses included non-cash stock-based compensation expense of $0.8 million, and amortization of intangibles of $0.2 million.
Loss from Operations was $36.5 million compared to $72.3 million in the same period of 2015.
GAAP Net Income Available (Loss Attributable) to Stockholders per Diluted Share was $0.11, down from $0.12 in the second quarter of 2015.
Non-GAAP Loss Before Non-Controlling Interests and Redeemable Non-Controlling Interests per Share was ($0.49), down from ($0.85) in the same period of 2015. See below for a further discussion of Non-GAAP Loss per Share.
Cash and Cash Equivalents as of June 30, 2016 were $69.6 million.
Great earnings report out. Nice day so far today.
Vivint Solar plans to report financial results for the second quarter 2016 on Monday, August 8, 2016.
I just hope it turns around. Faith is down in the residential market. That 40% jump we had not too long ago shows people are waiting for this one.
I hate this stock more than those creamy string beans my mom used to make me eat
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