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This is bullish for oil but a disaster for the U.S. economy--potentially.
Of course we have to keep in mind that Lindsay Graham wants the U.S. to bomb Iran's oil fields. That would get us to $200 a barrel in no time. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13295143/Joe-Biden-vows-ironclad-support-Israel-amid-fears-missile-attack-Iran-imminent-Tehran-clears-airspace-military-drills.html
China property crisis lowers coal prices
which reduces coal production...
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Top-Coal-Province-in-China-to-Curb-Output-for-First-Time-in-Years.html
Which should reduce diesel demand
during that production reduction...
So we watch...LJ
Cooking with technicals, when your SPY goes limp,
wait till the gap around 500 fills,
and see if it regains support there...
Reduce heat during this simmer...
So we watch...LJ
Israel may have added up to $16/bbl to
the price of oil while U.S. demand
has been meek...
https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-gaza-war-news-04-10-2024-fad770cbe77a7ae7d1de8568dbabd460
$10/bbl to $15/bbl. more could come
like a quicky Israel airstrike when
Iran starts counter measures...
There doesn't appear any outside
influences to guide anything different...
50 cents extra at gas pumps could
change to an extra dollar at pumps
to keep scoring simple...
So we watch...LJ
Lower fuel demand fuels inventory build...
Total inventories rose over 12 million
barrels in week ended 04/05/2024...
https://ir.eia.gov/wpsr/wpsrsummary.pdf
https://ir.eia.gov/wpsr/overview.pdf
Gasoline inventories above year ago
levels even after weeks of low refining...
Jet fuel inventories above year ago...
Distillate inventories above year ago
levels and placed 2nd week in a row
of lower demand in the distillate column...
Production of liquid natural gas liquids
still above year ago pace,,,
Lower fuel demand in 2024 now gets
tested with higher pump prices now...
So we watch...LJ
Cal $5/gal+, retail gas demand at stations
still flowed well below EIA Gov't
estimate in last week cross over data...
https://www.gasbuddy.com/go/national-average-returns-to-rising-as-oil-reaches-multi-month-highs
Refiners boosting those west coast gas
prices getting meme type stock following
in the market is a crazy thing to see...
Reward them for taking more...
Disparity between retail demand numbers
and Gov't report numbers has been
a consistent theme in 2024...
We need to find that Gov't hole where
the gasoline has been going...
So we watch...LJ
U.S is still paying on debt from Gulf
War that ended up seeing China
control Iraq oil field development...
The current West Pump Up of oil
prices just gives Iran more money...
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Iraq-And-Iran-Will-Expedite-Development-Of-Sanctions-Busting-Shared-Oil-Fields.html
And it hasn't impaired any world
supplies as the Opec+ spin keeps
trying to convince folks on...
Control shifted to Iran/ China from
Saudi Arabia...with splashes of cheap,
discounted Russian oil for India too...
But the price spinsters still want the U.S.
drivers to pay 30% above discounted
prices that many in the world are getting...
Campaign ads should be placed above
all gas station pumps as a reminder of
who is helping you pay more...
So we watch...LJ
Glut of natural gas could start growing
again as milder temps start
sweeping further north now...
Noticed that they have been pumping
that nat gas price up a smidge...
Big foreign buyers start seeing the
warmer weather about the same time...
So we watch...LJ
Only small build in API oil inventory,
so maybe folks with plenty of
money to chase dark afternoons
distorted demand up some...
So we watch...LJ
GRRR bid whacked me on some more
shares in after hours,
after 8-k filing...
So we watch...LJ
lj: I heard that Blackrock cannot wait to start profiting from rebuilding Ukraine.
oil nations have been raking in more
money with the oil price up,
and should have more later to throw
at rebuilding Gaza...
seems staying long on Turkey would
be the play...
were you trying to confuse me?...
EGP value was pummeled down also
and materials should move thru there
in rebuilding period for Gaza, not Israel...
another flip flop opportunity perhaps after
they were punished for helping innocents...
less is more...
So we watch...LJ
lj: So what you are saying is "Short Turkey"! It will be very interesting to see whether the Turkish President's tactic to stop the carnage works.
As Mummar Ghadaffi commented when Bush went into Afghanistan, "Running up and down mountains is no way to fight terrorists". A good modification of that statement would be bombing civilian areas is no way to fight terrorists. It creates more hate that will last for hundreds of years. Mankind learns little from its history.
Turkey exports, moves ahead of moves?...
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/4/9/turkey-restricts-exports-of-54-products-to-israel-until-gaza-ceasefire
The Turkey import demand to Gaza
will soar when the rebuilding aid
starts pouring in at some time ahead...
The move could be to prepare for new
export potential that will come...
So we watch...LJ
lj: I'll say this about Ukraine. Most of the bombing Putin has done seems targeted, not random.
The media has not reported on civilian deaths in large numbers. Still, war is evil.
lj: Israel will retaliate against Iran. Not smart.
Doing right is taking the middle ground
and not a left or right turn...
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/08/israel-gaza-war-elizabeth-warren-00151120
Odd how decency gets twisted...
So we watch...LJ
Iran hired marketing firms to spam call
phones in Israel on the 10th when
Ramadan ends at monster pace...
Calling will become almost impossible
when the non-stop spam calling barrage
starts with no end predicted....
It will seem like hell on earth...
And pleads for a ceasefire will erupt...
https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-795866
Just when no one thought things could
be any worse...
So we watch...LJ
GRRR .84, around .82 support is area
to start first buy or add now...
That doesn't mean that .82 will
hold for sure as support...
Penny stock traders control the trading
action and price moves now...
It takes longer to move support price
up and work the penny stock traders
out of the fray at lower prices...
Prices move up easier after higher
support areas above $2 are reached...
It doesn't matter if the company is worth
$4 or $12 per share now...
Price support getting moved up by
newer investors sets the price...
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GRRR/?p=GRRR
So we watch...LJ
Nothing like a crude awakening when lower
demand hit volume on revenue
along with lower margins...
I'm tempted to lowball on some
put buying on Vlo in particular...
Still a lil bit afore earnings though...
So we watch...LJ
lj: For a couple of year, refiners have been moving in tandem with oil producers.
That tells you that logic and common sense is out the window and refiners are considered "oil" stocks. When I first noticed it happening, it drove me crazy.
Been shaking my head wondering why refiner
stocks jumped with oil going up?...
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/102214/difference-between-oil-services-and-refiners.asp#:~:text=The%20refining%20side%20of%20the,added%20products%20becomes%20more%20profitable.
Refiners had great profits in 4th
quarter of 2023 when oil prices dropped...
Is the info out there wrong?...
Can they hold margins when oil price
has been rising at a fast pace?...
Someone may have to rewrite the
info on refiners if their rally ever ends...
So we watch...LJ
Question selling put options...
Would you sell put options at the
bid thinking that price will close
at that strike price to clear it?...
Would you sell just to collect the
higher premium after a daily price
drop if you were comfortable at getting
exercised if price stayed weak?...
Use a cheap $1 put price to explain it...
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GRRR/options
We don't have champagne budgets...
So we watch...LJ
04/04 to 04/10 seemed most likely for
market weakness to get aroused...
Nothing other than abrupt, reduction
of money flow during a short time period
seems likely to induce a correction...
And it could all pass like a nice spring
day and very uneventful as well...
Will still be plenty of high prices to
buy if we don't see any deals...
So we watch...LJ
lj: With an interest rate cut looking less likely, it seems a big selloff is coming.
Could the oil market be manipulated by evildoers who do not want interest rates to fall in the U.S.? Is that too conspiracy theorist?
lj: VTLE
All I can say is, "good gravy". That expression makes me nostalgic for the days when gasoline was 35 cents a gallon!
90 percent hedged. Not 90 percent of the hedges, but 90 percent of the production.
Management needs a new crystal ball.
GRRR is lone, long hold left after selling
spree over past week...
04/04/24 was my target date for
market to start selling off,,,
GRRR may manage growth higher
than inflation or interest rates,
still a gamble on that...
Nothing sold over last three weeks will
have much eps growth this year...
Former largest holding moved to
negative EPS results this year versus
previous year results...
Big change from having zero cash
position to it being the anchor now...
So we watch...LJ
VTLE now selling over twice the highest
p/e ratio sold at over past
few years of watching it...
Diluting EPS is paying off...
They have projected 90% of oil
production for 2nd quarter is hedged
at about $74ish/ bbl...
Losing about 12/bbl. at the high,
current oil price on Friday...
Two biggies already warned on softer
1st quarter, 2024 results coming...
Oil sector speculation is trying to
catch up with tech sector speculators...
So we watch...LJ
VTLE, a few 45 puts for May were
picked up too high on Thursday...
Still not convinced the world can't
be saved from unrest...
Sold some shares with oil price
popping also...
just peon moves, no waves created...
egy and vlo look totally wild and some
folks may get a let down later...perhaps...
So we watch...LJ
Israel is becoming an island nation
surrounded by sand...
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/04/israel-us-gaza-joe-biden-benjamin-netanyahu-phone-call
A few thousand dead ago would
have been more responsive by U.S...
So we watch...LJ
Batteries sold now are less reliable
than ever...
That is why they sell them with
tier warranties...
China rechargeable batteries are
very inferior products...
Good luck if you buy an EV from
China with a battery made there...
Batteries will prove out the weakest
link in EV sector,,,
And that is why new car sellers put
warranties on their batteries...
Where folks may be when you need to
use an EV battery warranty could be
important to different folks...
Batteries for atv/utv products have to be
trickle charged by owners to have them
ready to use when wanted...
Good gravy, don't get me started on how
Sorry batteries for mowers are now...
Our personal charging station for different
batteries for different things stays to
busy to add an EV to the line...
So we watch...LJ
LJ: Forcing EV's on people who do not want them is a first-class form of tyranny.
Let's face it, the Government and Ford and GM have "conspired" to do just that.
As DJT has warned, there is going to be a "bloodbath" in Detroit if Biden is reelected, as China floods the U.S. with their low-cost EV's.
EV- FSR ... leads way to plummeting prices
on 2023 EV models...
https://ih.advfn.com/stock-market/NYSE/fisker-FSR/stock-news/93563354/fisker-announces-reduced-msrp-in-u-s-on-many-2023
Isn't that price reduction about what
a new EV depreciates in the 1st year
of ownership anyway?...
EV Market is now moving into period
when extreme depreciation on new EV
purchases start hitting drivers...
More sales now mean more used EVs
to try and sell that no one wants...
This is long wave brain think...
So we watch...LJ
GRRR is a foreign play being manipulated
lower by the home team crowd...
It is a long term play for me...
Security needs are rising everywhere
everyday that GRRR helps track...
Mixing the revenue base even more
worldwide should help them...
So we watch...LJ
lj: OT
U are one of the few people who knows what a Trumpy Bear is!
hug your Trumpy bear, black friday could
be a coming...
Qs still in de nile zone today of
how fast drops can happen...
this market can't handle $100/bbl
oil price...
so we watch...LJ
lj: GRRR
I logged on to find out whether you saw the annual earnings report.
MTG has nothing on the CEO. He told off the "naysayers" in that PR or whatever it was.
Congratulations on a good call when it was several dimes lower.
If they announce another big contract, things should get interesting for the stock.
Things could get interesting as the eps rises.
When I first purchased the stock, it was several dollars higher.
lj: Hailo
Get back to me if the stock is publicly traded, if you are going to follow it.
Do a homey a fave.
littlejohn: VLO
I am emotionally attached to the 200 shares I have owned for 18 years give or take.
However. . .the price is in the stratosphere. To be honest, I do not want to take the capital gain because I have an NVDA call out there that would cause a $55K profit. Based on my experience with the first call, which I rolled out into this one, it is very unlikely to be called this year. (It is a Nov. or Dec. 2025.)
Is gasoline demand going to go crazy this spring? Are you taking into account all of the crazies who are rushing to the eclipse next Monday that might be behind clouds?
Are U in the total eclipse belt? 90 percent here.
I think this will be another big summer for air travel for vacations.
And, the biggest gas guzzling circumstance of all--Trump rallies!
GRRR flashes about .29/share EPS for 2023...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gorilla-reports-record-2023-financial-120000545.html
Ya lil pup is growing...
So we watch...LJ
Hailo, that is not Taiwan shaking, that is
competition coming...
https://www.reuters.com/technology/chipmaker-hailo-raises-120-million-riding-ai-boom-2024-04-02/
Small test market?...
The early applications of the Hailo-10 will
target personal computers and automotive
infotainment systems, boosting the processing
capabilities of central processing units (CPUs),
Hailo said.
GRRR uses... Intel Inside...
and
Hailo AI Acceleration Support...
https://investors.gorilla-technology.com/static-files/3640b42f-aa68-4ebb-afb2-1acda2f91529
GRRR also partners with Lanner along
with Hailo on product development...
Still a newbie company and trying
to find more ties to GRRR...
So we watch...LJ
REI may have closed out one of weakest
production drop off quarters in
1st quarter, 2024 in a long time...
REI already guided for a big hit to
production due to January freeze over...
VTLE didn't bother to give any insight...
REI has been near the worst fire threat
area in Texas for almost six weeks...
In mid 2023 when a fire event hit a well
site REI didn't disclose it until earnings...
REI hit a big pop up number Wednesday
that highlights low resistance of holders
that are staying to see the 1st quarter
numbers when they get dropped...
Higher prices in the oil patch don't
mean that most are holding...
That is why the stock market is viewed
as being rigged because institutions move
prices when resistance gets weakest...
Patience young Jedi, thou has entered
much cheaper in the past...
Like, like if WAHA natural gas price
starts flirting with 0 soon in Texas...
NYMEX, cheap natural gas may only
be part of the revenue mix in Texas...
So we watch...LJ
If the gov't can manipulate gasoline and fuel
demand numbers from Sept.,2023
to March, 2024, then any of the
numbers can be groomed...
Fuel demand was high last year during
tail gate season and posted lower to
keep gas price down during holidays...
Those numbers appear to have been
added back in during January thru March
to make it look like demand is better to
drive the seasonal gas price rise...
Nobody was on roads other than necessary
in January and stayed slow thru February...
Employment numbers for January looked
like a scy fy script rolled out...
Common Sense, it only takes a small amount
of thinking about stadiums in fall, college
football season holding 70,000 to 100,000
fans each weekend compared to spring,
college basketball madness having four
sites that hold up to 12,000 fans to really
make you question the data putter-outers...
Hello, there can't be much left to average
into Weak April fuel demand this year...
The big drop off in diesel demand last week
should show that refiners that produce too
much gas now will be looking for a place
to run the diesel byproduct of the gasoline
production on Sale At...
We buy deals-not spin...
So we watch...LJ
Not making anything off the blood being
spilled to drive oil price up...
Seems hard to keep it if you make
it for the wrong reasons...
There will be plenty of money spent
from the spin, just not mine...
It does help keep world population
down...
So we watch...LJ
lj: VLO Up $5 (as of 2:20 p.m. EDT). Glad I kept some of my position. Once again, VTLE is stuck in a rut. Again, the glass half-full spin is that they are selling lots of oil that is not hedged.
Given the mess in the Middle East, would the U.S. have any influence on the Saudis to get them to turn on the spigots. Would tghe idiot Biden regime even try. To their sick way of thinking, the higher oil goes, the higher the sales of EV's in the U.S. will be.
China still gets any cheap oil that they
want to buy,
so everything should be OK...
So we watch...LJ
lj: Gasoline prices
At one of the higher priced stations, saw petrol at $3.60!
If my lawn cutter decides to raise his charge due to higher fuel costs, I'll point out that he uses a battery powered lawn mower.
If the higher prices last a few months, the Fed will not be able to lower rates, which will cost the U.S. Government a LOT of money over the long run. If the Fed signals it will not be lowering rates, but staying the course, look out below in the stock market.
Rising fuel cost will kill an economy already
ailing and slowing down...
Didn't think the market downturn would
start until Thursday,
missed loading some SQQQ action...
My view is that the already slow economy
gets worse as gas prices start topping
5/gal. in Cal in more places...
The slower rail and shipping industry now
gets hit with higher fuel costs, on top of
higher wage costs added late in 2023...
Early to add on positions to watch the
downer action roll on is my view...
Not changing it because of spin heads...
Opec+ staying low on production will
confirm the world economy still sux...
So we watch...LJ
LJ: Josh Brown, a regular guest on CNBC, recommended IEO today, saying it has a way to go. Consistent with your view, and he has access info the fund managers use.
I cannot believe the price of VLO. Crazy.
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****************Welcome***********************
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UPDATE; 5-1-22
courtesy of charting /\ wit tweezer top calls /\ Tony
@Montana_Trades
Really good study sheet on Candlestick Patterns
[-chart]pbs.twimg.com/media/FRn8188XMAAdZvk?format=jpg&name=small[/chart]
UPDATED 03-11-2023
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FPP GLBL HDY LEI MILL OGZPY
VIEWER CHOICE LINK READS --- UPDATED 11-07-2023
SCREENER; New query
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rank over 7000 stocks
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http://www.superstockscreener.com/blog/2007/09/admin/the-super-stock-screener-ranking-system/
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Tom Bollich
http://www.hydroinnovations.com
February 14, 2014 --- Updated 05-20-2015
9:40a Former Zynga Inc. Co-Founder Joins Intelligent Living Inc. (ILIV) Advisory Board (PR NewsWire) /\ WHY DID BOLLICH LEAVE COMPANY ILiV?
THEN BOLLICH APPOINTED CEO OF SRNA --- 52 wk high and trading 0.40/$0.50 area now. 11-17-2014
SRNA in beginning was over $8.00 now less than $0.10 /////\\\\\ Would one cal him good ceo ????? /////\\\\\
9:40a Press Release: Former Zynga Inc. Co-Founder Joins Intelligent Living Inc. (ILIV) Advisory Board (Dow Jones) now http://www.hydroinnovations.com
[-chart]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=iliv&p=D&yr=0&mn=2&dy=0&i=t21771599565&r=1392585472122[/chart]
be nice if hits $3.50 shortly. 05-20-2015
[-chart]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=znga&p=D&yr=0&mn=2&dy=0&i=t21771599565&r=1392585472122[/chart]
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/post_reply.aspx?message_id=97429633
anyone?
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=97404216
Intelligent Living Inc. (OTCQB: ILIV) announced today the appointment of Zynga founding team member, Tom Bollich, to the Advisory Board
Tom Bollich returns as ceo to ZNGA May , 2015
Tom was one of the first employees at zygna and built farmville he had a large roll in the success in the 4 billion dollar company.
http://www.businessinsider.com/what-happened-to-the-founding-team-behind-the-largest-ipo-since-google-2012-1?op=1
Tom bollich linkedin
http://www.linkedin.com/in/bollich
CEO
Hydro Innovations
August 2013 – Present (7 months)Boulder CO
Board Member
CTO consultant
January 2011 – Present (3 years 2 months)Boulder, Colorado
Consulting for various size companies on IT structure and strategy.
http://www.hydroinnovations.com
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=97437677&txt2find=iliv
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=appillboxxl.iliv.eng&hl=en
http://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=appillboxxl.iliv.eng&hl=en
Due to the recent positive legal changes and attitudes towards Medical Marijuana and recreational Marijuana use in general, Robert Kane of the X-Change Corporation has expressed the growth of the industry in GDP terms as being .64% of the GDP of the United States. Mr. Kane also presented an unemployment illustration in which the cannabinoid industry lowering domestic unemployment by 32%, and could potentially provide jobs to over half a million people and potentially create over $100 Billion in new, taxable wages.
05 - 20 - 2015 /////\\\\\ SURPRSIES ?????
CWIR DANR DTTO EGYF
FDFT FEGR FNSI HMCP HMSO
HOPS HUMT ITKH IVME MKGP
NBDR NIHL NIHK NUVI PRLO
RLAB SMRL SNWT TVOG UPCO
WTMK XCEN
RUSSIA OIL COMPANIES --- PPS IN ORDER $13.04 / $46.00 / ----- NO PPS/ 5.20 / $6.02 / JUNE 01,2015
http://blogs.barrons.com/emergingmarketsdaily/2015/05/26/why-lukoil-gazprom-stand-out-among-russian-oil-stocks-citi/?mod=yahoobarrons&ru=yahoo
GZPFY/ LUKOY/ NOVKY/ OGZPY/ SGTZY
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