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NSOM Challenge -
BSPM.ob (2.03) - China pharmaceutical stock looks undervalued compared with peers. EPS of $0.16 in Q2 up 100% y/y. Growth initiatives are ongoing.
DGSE (1.35) Jewlery maker reported EPS of $0.07 for Q2 and the 2nd half is seasonally strong due to the holiday shopping season.
IEHC.ob (3.60) Electronic contract manufacturer reported EPS of $0.15 for Q2 despite the weak economy. Results should improve as demand rebounds.
ROIAK (0.64) Radio company posted EPS of $0.12 in Q2 in a big turnaround quarter driven by cost cutting. Huge share buyback program reduced share count by 40% y/y. Response to SEC comment letter is pending, so a bit of concern there.
RUTH (3.80) Upscale steakhouse chain has fared well despite a sharp drop in revenues due to the recession. EPS of Q2 EPS of $0.13 excluding a charge of $0.03. A very respectable bottom line desite y/y same store (restaurant) sales down 23%. Appears nicely positioned for a strong rebound in profits once the economy improves .... RUTH traded in the mid $20's back in '06 and '07 !
SGZH.ob (7.45) China coal company posted EPS of $0.81 versus $0.31 y/y for Q2 on a sharp rise in revenues. Looks like a good candidate for an upgrade to the AMEX which could double the share price.
when all else fails, lower your standards...
As long as I beat Len Tinman ...
I will consider PSL-13 and my dismal life a
roaring success ... .
Come on Rogue ... move your bloody as*
in front of "The Tin Man ... " ... !!!!!!!
that dude is such a show off, lol.
VALUEMIND up 44.48%
Good start to the game, congrats
VMC PSL 13 Standings (Week 1)
Congrats to our current leader VALUEMIND up 44.48% so far in the contest. There are 53/57 portfolio up in the contest or 92.98%. So without any further ado the info. is below.
Stock Pickers Alias---% Gain/Loss
1 VALUEMIND 44.48%
2 GILEAD23 40.81%
3 LT MATT 11.83%
4 STANU78 11.23%
5 OLDPRO 9.20%
6 BOBWINS 8.93%
7 ABH3VT 8.21%
8 PATTYDADY0 7.46%
9 KIK 7.44%
10 ECOBLOT 7.28%
11 MIKE056 7.04%
12 MR. SHEEP ($W/O CASH$) 7.01%
13 MR. SHEEP 6.98%
14 NORTHENLIGHTSK05 6.75%
15 CL001 6.73%
16 JSIM 6.54%
17 DIGITECH 6.38%
18 STOCKPEEKER 6.03%
19 MICHAEL T 5.92%
20 SWAMPBOOTS 5.82%
21 WORTHYLION 5.75%
22 SWANLINBAR 5.69%
23 NSOMNIYAK 5.51%
24 MIKEDDKING 5.45%
25 FINANCIAL ADVISOR 5.42%
26 STEVENRISK 5.01%
27 STIFFLER68 4.96%
28 BUCFAN33617 4.92%
29 SWICK984 4.81%
30 GOLD80302 4.70%
31 SSKILLZ1 4.62%
32 BBOTCS 4.34%
33 SWB173 3.87%
34 MANNY T 3.82%
35 JANG-A-LANG 3.80%
36 STEELEDGE 3.74%
37 RESEARCHER59 3.70%
38 CLIFFVB 3.48%
39 2MORROWSGAINS 3.46%
40 KOZUH 3.18%
41 MSGI 3.17%
42 WADEGARRET 2.55%
43 JOEINIOWA 2.50%
44 TIMHYMA 2.42%
45 CWS9 2.40%
46 THEALICEMAY 2.27%
47 YIELDDUDE 2.07%
48 TMCAL6 1.71%
49 WYOBUFORD 1.55%
50 HWEB2 1.32%
51 DANLC 0.88%
52 10BAGGER 0.68%
53 LARRYBAZ 0.13%
54 ZEN LUNATIC420 -0.16%
55 BIGPROFIT -0.43%
56 LENTINMAN -0.85%
57 ROGUEDOLPHIN -2.84%
VMC PSL 13 Indexes
Commentary: We have numerous indexes to present this contest. So without further ado let me give a brief explanation of them. The The Top 11 Index is made up of all stock being picked at least 5 times in the contest, this index is equally weighted. The Top 182 Index, is also equally weighted, and measures the average performance of all the stocks picked in this contest (Our stock universe). The Average Portfolio Return, measure the average performance of the 55 portfolios. These indexes or averages should be familiar to everyone, as I have presented these in past contest(s).
Other indexes to be presented: Average Wildcard Index this index measures the average performance of the 18 wildcards chosen in the contest, this index is equally weighted. Average Non Wildcard Index This index measures the average performance of the 164 non-wildcard entries, and this index is also equally weighted as well. Average Wildcard Index (Weighted Average) this index only difference from the Average Wildcard Index is this index uses a weighted average approach. What This basically means is there are 20 units in this portfolio, obviously the majority of stock only have 1 unit, but a stock like ASUR has 2 units because it was picked 2 times in the contest. Average Non Wildcard Index (Weighted Average) this index only difference from the Average Non Wildcard Index is this index uses a weighted average approach. What this basically means is there are 310 units in this portfolio, obviously the majority of stock only have 1 unit, but a stock like BSPM.OB is weighted much more heavily and has 9 units because it was picked 9 times in the contest. Next, we get to the Average Portfolio (Original) the only difference between this index and the average portfolio return is it excludes the impact of transactions, meaning if no one could make transactions (Which is obviously not the case) this would be the average portfolio return. The Champions Index is basically and index that takes the average of the all the former PSL champions in PSL 13. If you have any questions don’t hesitate to ask, and I will answer them to the best of my ability. Hope you enjoy the info.
Top 11 Index: +4.46%
Top 182 Index: +6.09%
Average Portfolio Return: +5.78%
Average Wildcard Index: +9.15%
Average Non Wildcard Index: +5.76%
Average Wildcard Index (Weighted Average): +10.51%
Average Non Wildcard Index (Weighted Average): +5.36%
Average Portfolio Return (Original): +5.67%
Champions Index: +9.44%
Individual Stock Returns
Stock Symbol % Move
1 AYSI.OB 227.27%
2 AWRCF.OB 45.00%
3 GRMC.OB 33.33%
4 RGCI 29.73%
5 YHGG.PK 28.57%
6 HL 27.25%
7 HPJ 26.71%
8 LMA.TO 23.93%
9 NEPH.OB 23.91%
10 GFRE.OB 23.44%
11 ROIAK 23.44%
12 CDE 22.13%
13 ICLK.OB 20.59%
14 PXLW 20.58%
15 CNOA.OB 18.98%
16 UTA 18.11%
17 WH 17.70%
18 VRS 17.13%
19 EGAN.OB 16.67%
20 CSGH.OB 16.52%
21 TSTC 16.13%
22 HNU.TO 15.74%
23 CMTP.OB 15.32%
24 ASRG.OB 14.68%
25 BZ 14.63%
26 AVII 14.53%
27 SYNM 14.34%
28 PUDZ.OB 14.15%
29 CYXN.OB 13.94%
30 WATG 13.74%
31 FVE 13.15%
32 CHGY.OB 12.53%
33 GLOB.OB 12.34%
34 SRRY.OB 12.33%
35 CNO 12.25%
36 WKBT.OB 12.12%
37 ASUR 12.00%
38 TXT 11.42%
39 EGMI.OB 11.41%
40 UNG 11.01%
41 RWC 10.98%
42 COGO 10.72%
43 HQS 10.12%
44 APT 10.02%
45 ZYXI.OB 10.00%
46 ACLO.OB 9.42%
47 DRAD 9.30%
48 APWR 9.24%
49 TELT.OB 8.93%
50 MED 8.72%
51 EMAN.OB 8.46%
52 ALIF.OB 8.24%
53 SLW 8.20%
54 QCOR 8.18%
55 PNNT 8.17%
56 FR.TO 8.06%
57 CKGT.OB 7.86%
58 KKD 7.74%
59 FNET 7.69%
60 Q 7.51%
61 PSEC 7.45%
62 ETFC 7.10%
63 NXG 7.04%
64 HMY 7.02%
65 TCX 7.02%
66 CPBY 6.86%
67 NM 6.75%
68 NEP 6.58%
69 AFOP 6.42%
70 TBUS 6.39%
71 AOB 6.25%
72 SVA 6.24%
73 DCTH 6.23%
74 LTUS.OB 5.88%
75 PRGX 5.84%
76 GE 5.77%
77 SBLK 5.75%
78 CRY 5.66%
79 CCGY.OB 5.65%
80 CHBT 5.46%
81 TSO 5.29%
82 RUTH 5.26%
83 SWC 5.05%
84 CHIO 5.00%
85 IAE.V 5.00%
86 HON 4.79%
87 TXIC 4.70%
88 QXM 4.36%
89 AGT 4.19%
90 DGSE 3.70%
91 CHME.OB 3.66%
92 TRTN.OB 3.64%
93 BLSW 3.42%
94 TRT 3.38%
95 UBOH 3.29%
96 HIMX 3.24%
97 HBM.TO 3.21%
98 CDII 3.18%
99 KEQU 3.12%
100 NHC.TO 3.09%
101 DROOY 3.08%
102 KGC 2.70%
103 TGB 2.36%
104 UGL 2.20%
105 KCAP 2.17%
106 MAG 1.97%
107 XLP 1.97%
108 ETCC.OB 1.90%
109 IYH 1.70%
110 LBMH.OB 1.67%
111 UVE 1.66%
112 WEMU.OB 1.56%
113 RIC 1.56%
114 BTN 1.50%
115 SIF 1.45%
116 ORS 1.43%
117 AUY 1.41%
118 VGZ 1.24%
119 DAAT.OB 1.20%
120 $CASH$ 1.00%
121 OGC.TO 0.96%
122 DIGA 0.95%
123 CPLP 0.76%
124 WILC 0.49%
125 HWG 0.40%
126 BBI-B 0.00%
127 BMRA.OB 0.00%
128 KCL.TO 0.00%
129 LAWE.OB 0.00%
130 SWTX.OB 0.00%
131 RSI-UN.TO -0.24%
132 NGD -0.27%
133 POE.V -0.70%
134 MSN -0.72%
135 TSTA.OB -0.79%
136 GG -0.94%
137 ABAT -1.01%
138 MRM -1.03%
139 NGA -1.09%
140 CNAM.OB -1.48%
141 VSR -1.59%
142 CSKI -1.88%
143 BSPM.OB -1.97%
144 UPG -2.60%
145 SGZH.OB -2.68%
146 IEC -2.79%
147 CCEL.OB -3.11%
148 CHNR -3.23%
149 OTIX -3.33%
150 SMID.OB -3.49%
151 TBT -3.61%
152 DXD -3.72%
153 GAXC.OB -4.08%
154 GRVY -4.44%
155 RTK -4.52%
156 SKF -4.84%
157 EVG.V -5.06%
158 DNPI.OB -5.16%
159 SDS -5.20%
160 IEHC.OB -5.56%
161 AMLJ.OB -5.66%
162 RODM -5.68%
163 QID -5.75%
164 CLFD -5.85%
165 LAKE -5.88%
166 GPRE -5.89%
167 CGLD.OB -5.97%
168 SDK -6.53%
169 LPIH.OB -6.77%
170 CBPO.OB -6.91%
171 MDVX.OB -6.93%
172 TPI -7.09%
173 FAZ -7.13%
174 YUII.OB -7.63%
175 RRZ -8.20%
176 CDBT.OB -9.62%
177 GSL -9.85%
178 ALN -11.03%
179 NZYM.OB -11.11%
180 CPQQ.OB -11.23%
181 SRS -12.41%
182 SLXCF.OB -20.31%
# Of Transactions Left List
Commentary: As a group we have used 4/220 trades available to us or 1.82%. Without further ado here is the table.
Alias # Of Transactions Left
10BAGGER 4
2MORROWSGAINS 4
ABH3VT 4
BBOTCS 4
BIGPROFIT 4
BOBWINS 4
BUCFAN33617 4
CL001 3
CLIFFVB 4
CWS9 4
DANLC 3
DIGITECH 4
ECOBLOT 4
FINANCIAL ADVISOR 4
GILEAD23 4
GOLD80302 4
HWEB2 4
JANG-A-LANG 4
JOEINIOWA 4
JSIM 4
KIK 4
KOZUH 4
LARRYBAZ 4
LENTINMAN 4
LT MATT 4
MANNY T 4
MICHAEL T 4
MIKE056 4
MIKEDDKING 4
MSGI 3
NORTHENLIGHTSK05 4
NSOMNIYAK 4
OLDPRO 4
PATTYDADY0 4
RESEARCHER59 4
ROGUEDOLPHIN 3
SSKILLZ1 4
STANU78 4
STEELEDGE 4
STEVENRISK 4
STIFFLER68 4
STOCKPEEKER 4
SWAMPBOOTS 4
SWANLINBAR 4
SWB173 4
SWICK984 4
THEALICEMAY 4
TIMHYMA 4
TMCAL6 4
VALUEMIND 4
WADEGARRET 4
WORTHYLION 4
WYOBUFORD 4
YIELDDUDE 4
ZEN LUNATIC420 4
NSOM Challenge.
$CASH$ Can never have enough cash.
CDE - Silver and Gold stock. Gold at $1000. Sooner or later people will buy these stocks.
CGLD.OB - Small gold stock. Is profitable which is unique for many of these.
NGD - Larger gold company. 150K ounces in 2009.
SWC - Expect Palladium and Platnium prices to go up.
MDVX.ob (WC)- Modavox is protecting their IP and has sued AOL and sent Cease and Desist letter to Yahoo. Modavox has just sent a settlement offer to AOL that AOL requested after AOL took depositions of Modavox technical people. Yahoo is also in talks with Modavox. One of these two should take the stock higher.
Nsom challenge
AOB - Feels like a $10 stock in the making. Has numerous products on the "must buy" list in China. EPS last quarter brought the stock down into the buy range. Load up on dips near $5. Looking for a 30% gain on this one in the PSL timeframe, but could easily do more.
ASUR - my wildcard, and it definitely is that. Recently overthrew the board, and is now controlled by hedgies. It's also a low-price-listed-stock, and those have one-by-one been running in spurts. Let's shoot for .50, or 100% gain on this.
BSPM.OB - Chinese pharma that was a growth play, but due to recent dip in price is now growth + value. Microcaps are getting love right now, and BSPM will eventually join to the tune of 30-50% in the PSL timeframe.
CDBT.OB - Chinese biotech, but really they're on the feed side of the equation. Awfully cheap compared to growth and value. I won't freeze this for any gain under 75%.
WKBT.OB - Gaining VMC popularity, and rightly so. Seems to have a seller right now, but when the ship gets righted, 50+% is in the cards.
EXPECTED RETURN FOR PSL13 (assuming market cooperation): 40-60%
NSOMNIYAK Challenge
My picks
AYSI - Dionne Warwick told me :)
Seriously the tipoff was the new mill opening up and the large contract in the 10Q. The recent blockbuster announcement caught me and everyone else by surprise (dumb luck). Still looks like an amazing deal under 2.00 as I expect earnings to come in at a minimum of .07/share and numbers should only get better going forward.
TBUS - To me one of the more exciting picks out there for price appreciation. Super low forward PE given the share price of 2.34 with .09 in EPS last quarter and guidance of .22 over the next 2 quarters. In addition this is an Obama type pick as the company makes equipment for public transit with the prospect of massive funding increases looming.
DGSE - Sells gold and precious metals as well as jewelry. EPS of .07 last Q and .06 the previous Q excluding discontinued ops with a share price around 1.40. The companies stronger quarter is coming up. In addition to the low price on an EPS basis this is also a play on a rise in gold.
RODM - Investment banking rocket that earned .41 last Q. This already had alot of appreciation but given the momentum and the prospect of an even better quarter coming up seemed to be worth a shot
SMID - The Rodney Dangerfield of stocks with 3 big quarters in a row selling infrastructure stuff including EPS of .15 last quarter. Dirt cheap around 2 bucks and am hoping someone notices the numbers and that it catches fire.
EGAN - call center software provider. They preannounced revs and earnings implying somewhere in the range of .03 in EPS against a share price in the mid .60's. Seems like a good candidate to go north of a buck when earnings are official.
Nsomniyak Challenge:
CRY,,CryoLife, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the processing and distribution of implantable living human tissues for use in cardiac and vascular surgeries, as well as the development and commercialization of medical devices.
New product to control bleeding .Bio-foam could be a major hit.
FVE,, Long Term Care Facilities,,like the cash to debt levels.
VRS,,Verso Paper Co..Lot of competitors went Bk,High insider ownership,
TPI, Tianyin Pharmaceutical Co., Inc., through its subsidiary, Chengdu Tianyin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., engages in the development, manufacture, marketing, and sale of traditional Chinese medicines and other pharmaceuticals in the Peoples Republic of China. It manufactures a portfolio of 34 products, as well as has a pipeline of 51 products, which are pending regulatory approvals with the China State Food and Drug Administration.This is my China play pays divy and will grow,,
QCOR,,biotech profitable,0 debt,,buying back shares..
We have also completed filing a supplemental New Drug Application (sNDA) for Acthar as a treatment for Infantile Spasms. There is currently no drug approved in the United States for the treatment of Infantile Spasms.
KKD,,My wild card,,Turnaround play ,Follow the fat people ,They know the easy way,,
Nsomniyak Challenge:
ALRC.OB: Deeply undervalued with good earning growth
AYSI.OB: wait for turn around great news
CPBY: Good balance sheet along with high growth
CSKI: Nasdaq listed company with pe below 5, unbelievable
HNU.TO: natuaral gas price can not go any lower
YHGG.PK: It will be listed in OTC or major stock exchange shortly
Nsomniyak Challenge:
AGT Apollo Gold is a new producer operating the Black Fox mine in Canada. AGT is forecasting 150,000 oz per year once they reach full production. They have had some challenges during startup due to low grades in the open pit. Processing thru the mill is ahead of schedule, with the company reporting 1800tpd several weeks ahead of schedule. Today they announced a toll milling agreement for some lower grade ore that has been stockpiled.
CHGY.ob Coal producer in China that has recently reopened their mine. Should dramatically improve production, revs and eps.
FR.to First Majestic is currently finishing the major expansion at their largest silver mine in Mexico. The La Encantada mine is their largest and lowest cost mine. Production is forecast to increase from 800tpd to 3500tpd after the expansion is done. Production should increase from 4.2million oz in 2008 to over 5million oz in 2009 and 6 million oz in 2010.
LMA.to La Mancha is operating three smaller gold mines in Africa and Australia. LMA is minority partner on the two African mines but the recently opened Australian mine, which LMA operates, has boosted production and eps. LMA is guiding for 100,000 oz in 2009. They have a 4th mine that should add 30K oz in 2010. It is a short life mine with only 27 months of proven reserves but should provide revs to fund exploration internally,minimizing dilution. Cashflow of .08 in Q2 so still cheap.
LPIH.ob Longwei Petroleum is a Chinese wholesale fuel distributor. They currently operate one facility with storage capacity of 50,000 tonnes of fuel. They are building a new facility in another city in the province that has 70,000 tonnes storage. Revs should more than double by 2010. Currently selling for a forward p/e of 6 before the new facility opens.
TELT.ob Telt posted a huge qtr of .20eps for Q2. The improved performance over losses in 2008 came from closing a facility in Salt Lake City. Company is generating increased revs and lower costs. Currently selling for .55 so unbelievably cheap if they can continue profitable operations anywhere close to Q2.
Telt.ob will need a couple more qtrs of profitable operations before investors bid up the share price.
AFOP- someone here buying it?
ALLIANCE FIBER OPTIC PRODUCTS INC
Price: 1.24 +0.1099 +9.72%
Bid: 1.21 [+]
Ask: 1.25
Open: 1.10
Volume: 177,894
Avg Vol (3m): 65,801.5
Market Cap: 48.91M
P/E (ttm): 16.81
EPS (ttm): 0.069
PSEC announced another 19% gain on a loan:
Wed 8:30am PSEC
Prospect Capital Announces Repayment of $3.15M Senior Term Loan to C&J Cladding, Producing a 19% Realized Cash-on-Cash IRRMarketwire
ABH3VT CHAMPION'S SUMMARY:
See Champion's Board
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=4067
ABH3VT COMMENTARY
With a hat-tip to Researcher59, whose style for this note I have shamelessly copied, I submit my write up for the VMC Champions Board:
PERSONAL BACKGROUND
I'm 43 years old and have lived in NYC for the past 10 years. Married, with 2 kids, I work out of my home office and have been a full time investor/trader since 1995. I also manage money for friends and family via a general partnership that I set up back in 2000 to manage money in a format similar to a mutual fund. I was introduced to the stock market through my father when I was in high school. Our timing was pretty good as the great bull market of the 1980s and 1990s had just gotten under way. I was smitten and decided to major in economics, which was the only market oriented degree I could find at Amherst College. I graduated in 1988 (the year after the crash) and drifted into management consulting. It wasn't really what I wanted to do, but it gave me time when I wasn’t working at my full-time job to get introduced to the internet and online investing in the early 1990s (anyone remember the old Prodigy bulletin boards??) I did well enough in those years by riding some of the early internet stocks but never felt comfortable with the momentum trading style. My investing philosophy eventually gravitated toward a value oriented style, but I wanted to combine this with stocks that were still fast growers. That led me into the world of microcap stocks, which was the only segment of the market where I could find companies that appeal to BOTH growth and value investors. I was an early participant in the Yahoo stock boards and Raging Bull and followed everyone over to Ihub about 4-5 years ago...and have been here every since.
INVESTING PHILOSOPHY
When I first started out, I read as much investing material as I could get my hands on. I read everything from Peter Lynch to William O'Neill and even some classics like "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator" and Graham and Dodd's "Security Analysis". Another book that was instrumental in shaping my investing style was "What Works on Wall Street" by James Shaughnessy. It had some good long-term data for different investing styles and argued for a value style married to relative strength/momentum. One of the stunning numbers that came out of that book was the incredible returns available in microcap stocks.......and I was determined to narrow down the best microcap stocks based upon what I felt would appeal to both growth and value investors. What I've come to believe is that stocks that are cheap relative to their forward earnings growth (low PEG ratios) offer the best opportunities for appreciation. So, for every stock that I look at, I try to predict what they will be able to show in earnings per share in the coming year, trying to factor in such things as seasonality, lumpiness in sales and orders, one-time expenses (or income), tax rates, dilution from warrants and options, etc. I also look at operating strengths such as ability to generate cash flow from operations, low debt levels, barriers to entry, and gross margin expansion (i.e. ability to scale up easily). What are constraints on this growth? What is the likelihood that a company will need to issue more stock to meet this demand? How much insider buying is occurring? What is the organic revenue growth rate and how sustainable is it? What forward multiple will the market be willing to give this stock relative to its competitors? I tend to favor the defensive and less cyclical sectors like medical/health care, education, food, etc and avoid the extremely competitive, low margin businesses. I also place a premium on predictable, visible sales growth with expandable margins, so that eps can grow at a faster rate than sales. I keep spreadsheets of selected income statement, balance sheet and cash flow information by stock and also track all PRs or other relevant filing info that comes from the company. I participate on conference calls and attend investor conferences. I will call up the CFO and/or the CEO on specific questions that aren't Reg FD challenges - (assuming that they can speak English!) In short, I try to do everything legally possible to figure out why a company is doing well and what the likelihood is that it will be able to maintain that condition and create strong catalysts for new shareholders to want to own the stock (at higher prices) in the future.
Once I find a company I like, I then look for a good price level to buy in. Sometimes that will mean looking at obvious levels of technical support, and I always determine a "margin of safety" for that specific company. For example, once I have come up with what I consider to be a reasonable range for fair value, I will start buying at prices that are 65% of FV. I usually like to average down a few times, "legging" into a position over time and thus lowering my cost basis. How often I do this depends upon how much I like the strengths of the company and how compelling the value is. Other times, I have to judge market conditions and move faster to get into a full position. I also don't usually like to invest more than 6% of my portfolio in any one stock, although I will and have made exceptions to this rule. I typically hold around 15-25 stocks at any one time, although my top 10 is generally weighted much heavier than other positions. My returns since Dec 2000 have averaged nearly 20%/year and that is without the benefit of any leverage.....in fact, I'm usually heavily in cash at most points and have rarely been more than 60% invested at any one time during that period. (I’m around 30% invested at present.) I have had only one down year since 1995, and that was 2008. I am still learning more about how to professionally manage a portfolio and would like to get better at shorting/hedging, either by shorting individual stocks, ETFs, or using options on indexes to hedge. I have rarely used these tactics, although one could argue that my heavy cash positions provide downside protection and act as a decent buffer on volatility.
PSL12 CONTEST
A lot of factors came together to create a perfect environment for my picks to do well in the most recent contest. All of my stocks were focused upon growth in China, and this meant I was in one of the hottest sectors of the market. I attribute this to a growing recognition and acceptance during the last few months that China's economy was going to emerge relatively unscathed this year from the economic meltdown in the US and Europe. Second, risk taking came back into vogue during the summer and that, along with sidelined cash coming into the market drove a lot of "hot" money into some of the stocks that I picked. While I think that all the increases in price were justified, often these moves take much longer to occur, not necessarily a few weeks or months! With that said, I chose the following as my starting six: CBPO.OB.....CKGT.OB.....RINO.OB......TXIC........WEMU.OB........YGYB.OB
My biggest winners in the contest were RINO and TXIC. RINO (a pollution-abatement equipment company selling to major iron/steel cos in China) benefited from uplisting to the NASDAQ during the contest period, which opened it up to a wider range of investors. It also was able to show two very strong quarters of eps and sales growth that were no longer impacted by large non-cash charges that had hurt eps numbers in the prior year. TXIC was trading at a 3x forward multiple when I first bought it and the fact that it had a better than expected quarter and had exposure to the truck and SUV market in China made it a stock that investors/traders wanted to own. Selling those stocks when I did and locking in decent gains were important, but I then used the proceeds to buy a couple of radio stocks that had been mentioned on the VMC board by several others (thanks MikeDD and Nelson). I bought SALM and ETM as I thought they represented the best of that segment at the prices available, and both appreciated nicely in the closing weeks of the contest to propel me to the win. The radio stocks appealed to me because of how cheap they were on an adjusted earnings basis (backing out the impairment charges) and because they had very good free cash flow which I thought would appeal to the value investors out there. It also did not hurt that a few momentum traders bought them for their charts, which showed them all bursting out of long-term bases after some sharp declines in 2008. WEMU was the only pick that I lost on, because they reported a very poor Q2 result. I was fortunate to only lose about 8% there. CBPO, CKGT, and YGYB were all solid examples of what I like: strong sales and eps growth, low PE and PEG ratios, good operating metrics (low debt, decent cash flow, etc), and participation in defensive sectors. YGYB got noticed by the Motley Fool, CKGT benefited from the general rotation into low PE, high growth China stocks, and CBPO is simply a strong company in a very protected and profitable blood plasma product niche. All had been sold off during 2008 and early 2009, so some of this rise was a reversion to the mean and IMHO long overdue.
Some final comments: Successful investing is a function of having risk:reward ratios in your favor as much as possible and knowing when to sell and when to overweight certain stocks. In order to accomplish this, I have to work and dig harder than the person I just bought from (or sold to). I am an inveterate “fader”which means I generally am happier going against the crowd, selling when stocks are soaring and buying dips or crashes. My holding periods vary greatly, depending upon the fundamental outlook and the initial reasons for buying a certain stock. If the story has changed substantially for the worse, I sell immediately. If bad news is because of temporary issues, I will re-evaluate and look to add on weakness or hold and look to sell at better prices in the future. Once a stock has hit my FV range, I start to sell it off slowly, trying to milk as much out of a rise as possible and then wait for more earnings information. I always want to have identifiable future catalysts on my side to generate buying enthusiasm, and there is nothing like strong sales and earnings per share growth to create that. Never be ashamed at taking a profit, but adjust your selling discipline a bit if the market is telling you that you are undervaluing your stocks and selling way too early. Establish a comfort level and decide which scenario is more painful: missing out on the potential upside of a blow-off top or watching a relatively overvalued stock you own dramatically decline in value.
We have a lot of very talented and insightful posters on our Ihub board and I feel fortunate to be a part of this group. I hope that some will find this information helpful and I look forward to contributing more in the future.
Timhyma:
Here is the post after PSL10 regarding who is the most sheepish. I may do one through PSL13, but if not, this is what you get.
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=32153407
Len
KiK, I see 2 Green Arrows to the ...
left of your post ... is that a Time-Space
Portal that will take us back to (say) 3000
BC or forward to (say) 3000 AD ... ???
If so, I would like to journey 3 months into
the future to learn the 6 best stocks to pick
for PSL-13 ... not that I would use the info
to win the contest ... because that would be
... cheating ... if I got caught ... but then ...
the Groupies that gravitate to the winner of
the PSL would finally be all mine ... .
The stock gods are chuckling right now--AYSI goes up a zillion points and yielddude does not have it in his pick 6!
Of course, he is laughing all the way to the bank with his real money, which should count for something. Not as much as the day 1 lead in PSL13, but something...
Me too. My OPXA had a great day.+269%
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=opxa
It's such a shame...
that you didn't have the chance to double-down on AYSI before the big news was released...such a pity.
THE NSOMNIYAK CHALLENGE..
This my first one..
CBPO.. Little drug company from China.. Could/should earn $1.15 this year and has the FLU Sex besides.. nice balance sheet and I have been buying since the mid $4's.. Bought again today..
CLFD.. one of the most cleanest story that I have seen in years.. Thier business has grown by leaps because they deliver when they say they will and at the price quoted.. Eng.. firms use CLFD because it is a builder/supplier that never slows down construction projects and is easy to turnkey.. Thier fiberoptic products are the product of choice for most Eng. firms doing small projects in the upgrading and installation of new small telephone switching systems.. They are in an industry where there are over 2000 independent telephone companies that are all OBAMA frendly for stimulus money.. At $3.00 or below CLFD belongs in every portfolio.. Bought again today..
EMAN.. Not my idea,, I'm betting on the Jockey on this one..
ETCC.. Small company that seems to sign a new contract each month.. Got involved before they were delisted and have been trading it ever since.. KIK brought it to the board and I have stuck with it ever since.. Wild swings always but a good money maker trading it..
SMID.. Another stock where I'm betting on the jockey.. Is a steal below $2.00 and again a OBAMA stimulus frendly company.. Bought again today..
ZYXI.. The stock everone has learned to hate but,, I think they have thier act together and Insurance problems behind.. The president,, Tom Sanggard seems to be straight and honest with his answers to questions and maintains that ZYXI Ins. problems are behind it.. I like it a lot and expect any shares that I purchase below $1.00 to be a 3-bagger during the next year.. Bought again today..
My favorite,, hands down is CLFD but before you buy it read the press releases for the last year to understand where this company is going.. I think it will earn today's share price in 5 years.. hank
THE NSOMNIYAK CHALLENGE..
This my first one..
CBPO.. Little drug company from China.. Could/should earn $1.15 this year and has the FLU Sex besides.. nice balance sheet and I have been buying since the mid $4's.. Bought again today..
CLFD.. one of the most cleanest story that I have seen in years.. Thier business has grown by leaps because they deliver when they say they will and at the price quoted.. Eng.. firms use CLFD because it is a builder/supplier that never slows down construction projects and is easy to turnkey.. Thier fiberoptic products are the product of choice for most Eng. firms doing small projects in the upgrading and installation of new small telephone switching systems.. They are in an industry where there are over 2000 independent telephone companies that are all OBAMA frendly for stimulus money.. At $3.00 or below CLFD belongs in every portfolio.. Bought again today..
EMAN.. Not my idea,, I'm betting on the Jockey on this one..
ETCC.. Small company that seems to sign a new contract each month.. Got involved before they were delisted and have been trading it ever since.. KIK brought it to the board and I have stuck with it ever since.. Wild swings always but a good money maker trading it..
SMID.. Another stock where I'm betting on the jockey.. Is a steal below $2.00 and again a OBAMA stimulus frendly company.. Bought again today..
ZYXI.. The stock everone has learned to hate but,, I think they have thier act together and Insurance problems behind.. The president,, Tom Sanggard seems to be straight and honest with his answers to questions and maintains that ZYXI Ins. problems are behind it.. I like it a lot and expect any shares that I purchase below $1.00 to be a 3-bagger during the next year.. Bought again today..
My favorite,, hands down is CLFD but before you buy it read the press releases for the last year to understand where this company is going.. I think it will earn today's share price in 5 years.. hank
Freeze AYSI...
after you go back and fudge the ibox to show me owning it...
one of my picks: 8:31AM Prospect Energy announces full repayment of $20 mln subordinated term loan to PMFG (PSEC) 9.66 :
THE NSOMNIYAK CHALLENGE;
ALIF LAWE ROIAK All are sub 1 dollar and great last quarter earnings and have pulled back from inintial spike.
DGSE My favorite stock. Confusion in ticker and rising gold prices provide unusual opportunity.
SGZH Obligatory china low PE pick.
RWC Again huge pull back from initial spike of good quarterly earnings.
My slap to the face of nsomniyak ... !!!
What ? Oh, it's not that kind of challenge;
my mistake. Well then, as Arianna H would
say: "The Dorch is passed ... !!!"
DAAT.ob should ride the crest of the anti
government wave for another 3 years, as Red
Necks arm and re-arm and re-arm ...
themselves ... . Should we experience Civil War
or Revolution, so much the better ... ))<:}
EGMI.ob has gone international with its
game card business; and, being based in
NYC, is a big advantage. This is an extremely
small company in terms of employees, so
there is little overhead.
GRVY: Yes, I laughed when Bobw called it
the "GRVY Train" but then it disappointed in a
small way and got clobbered. I am hoping that
"Gamers" are too fanatic to notice the GREAT
RECESSION, and we will experience another
ride on the "GRVY Train" ... ((<:}
LAWE.ob has already told us that their business is
booming and they are very bullish concerning the
near future. The only question involves their
administrative abilities to control costs and turn
big profits.
MED has experienced incredible growth in Austin;
over the past 9 months, we have gone from 1
Center to 4 Centers. There are endless success
stories involving local people on the radio. Both the
employees and customers are FANATIC about MED.
OGC.ob a economical miner of Gold in New Zealand
so there is little political risk. Their Income Statement
shows a DRAMATIC turnaround ... .
THE NSOMNIYAK CHALLENGE
AGT, one of the most undervalued gold stocks. I hope they will resolve the loan issue soon and stock gets a pop.
OGC.to, one of the most undervalued gold stocks. Sino gold under the same chairman was taken over. I hope OGC will be the next.
NHC.to, my table pounder,
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=40661531
IAE.v, my table pounder,
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=40632150
GSL, Global shop leasing company under LONG TERM contracts. Just got its loan re-fied. Dividend rate about 50% at the current stock price. Will need to pay down loan to 80% first before start paying dividends again. Visible cashflow and predictable income year after year.
GRMC.ob, AUY founder/president as well as CFO running this company without salary. Looking for the mother load of gold in its huge 100% land package. Started production to finance the drilling programs.
MY PICKS:
After 8 consecutive PSLs where I picked all six China, I'm going as defensive as the rules will allow. I figure nobody is more defensive than I am, so this is my best chance to win. Typically, I don't go for home runs, so although my overall finishes are usually pretty good, I never realistically contend for the championship. It's either all or none this time.
FAZ: Double beta short on the financials.
SKF: Double beta short on the financials.
I figure there is going to be the beginning of a bank failure avalanche during the next few months and it will spook anything financial. Plus the financial stocks have gone insane. They are due for a massive pull back.
UGL: Double beta Gold. Gold has gone up a lot already, but if there is wide spread concern about the financials, that could cause gold to spike.
IYH: Healthcare. Defensive only. Blend of large stocks.
XLP: Consumer staples - meaning food and drug retailing. Blend of large stocks.
CASH: If not for CASH, my Mr. Sheep rating would be pretty much at the bottom of the Mr. Sheep index. I only have one stock that anyone else picked and even then only one other person.
Len
My picks for PSL13
First, I think that this will be a much more difficult period for stocks to run....and I've selected CASH for one of my choices. I'm waiting for a pullback in one or two stocks that I'm currently following.
The other picks generally follow along the lines that I've laid out earlier: I look for low PEG stocks, with strong sales and eps growth combined with good operating metrics like good cash flows or other important catalysts that investors will find attractive.
CBPO.ob - China Biologic (OTC - 5.64). I've discussed this one many times before, and it was one of my picks in the last PSL contest. You can search for my prior comments on this one, but with an adjusted fd eps of 0.35 in Q2, and on track to earning 1.00+ in fd, ft eps for the FY09 I think its still one of the better buys out there. They continue to hold CCs and attend investor conferences, and added some really high quality VC investors through a recent PP and block sales of stock from another early investor. I'll write up more on this in another post.
CKGT.ob - China Kangtai (OTC - 1.40) This one ran up into the beginning of the contest, and it may pull back intraday in the short run, but its still pretty undervalued on a PEG ratio basis relative to comparable China stocks. Its primarily products for sale don't resonate with a Western audience (cactus products?) but it has decent operating metrics and is just starting to emerge by attending its first ever conference at R&R and hiring a PR firm (admittedly low quality) to help with PRs on earnings and sales efforts. Company earned 0.08 in Q2, and is coming into their seasonally strongest part of the year, which is the 2nd half. New sales initiatives underway include feed additives and cigarettes. May not contribute much to 2009, but 2010 outlook could be very strong.....we'll see. Company could be more transparent in its dealings.
CHBT - China Biotics (NAS - 13.00). One of the stronger stocks based upon balance sheet, ability to generate cash from operations, and the fact that they have just opened up a new facility which should start contributing soon to sales growth. They surprised last quarter with strong sales growth than I expected. Margins are starting to expand along with sales; earned 0.31 in Q1 (FY10), so not as cheap as some others....but I give them high marks for management and being on the Nasdaq. Shelf registration filed does give some pause, but thats the only fly in the ointment I can see. Very solid demand in the probiotics market in China, with limited competition at present.
WKBT.ob - Weikang Biotech (OTC - 1.65). Earned 0.13/share in Q2 (0.28 ytd). One of the cheapest PEG plays out there, with what appear to be solid financials. Good OCF, decent margins, selling in the TCM/Western pharm sector which has seen high growth rates in the past few years. Just did a mildly dilutive PP at 1.75, so you get the opportunity to get in lower than those investors did (ARC China)!
RGCI - Regent Communications (Nas - 0.37). Company in the hot radio sector which has seen a tremendous influx of buying in the past few months. RGCI still looks cheap on an adjusted forward eps basis, and has strong cash flow. The company earned 0.044 after I made adjustments for one times and a full tax rate for Q2. Q2 appears to be a seasonally strong quarter, but Q3 and Q4 could be similar as cost cutting benefits the bottom line. Paying down debt and healthy relationships with their bankers will be key for Regent going forward.
My Picks
BSPM.OB- Earned .16 last quarter, and with new products coming earnings numbers should only get better from here.
So we have a stock selling at a little over 3 times earnings based on last quarter with improving earnings going foward. I think there is a good chance we see a .17-.20 in q3, in my opinion, which the last time it seen, a .16 it pushed it to $4. Well a Push to $4 is a double from here, so seems like a nice risk/reward play. My only concern and it is a major one is it is a china play. But I like BSPM.OB Enough to own it personally and as a PSL 13 Pick. Time will tell if it works out.
DGSE- Earned .07 last quarter and .13 for 6 months ended. Stock is significantly undervalued. Even at a PE of 10 stock trades back to about $3, plus seasonally strong q4 is still to come. My Opinion why DGSE isn't trading over $2 already is the whole quoting confusion of DGC/DGSE. Now when that is worked out, who knows, hopefully the sooner the better. I think DGSE is very undervalued here, and the risk/reward is highly in your favor.
MSN- Earned .04 last quarter in seasonally weak q1. This seems to be a decent turnaround play. Would be cheap on the .04 alone, but we have the two big quarter coming up, and this could send the stock to about $2.50-3.00 if they deliver the .06-.08 like I think they can in q2. My guess is it sends the stock significantly higher. The Kicker here is it is very cheap if you factor in the balance sheet. Trades waaaaaaaaaay below book value, and features almost $1 in cash on the balance sheet.
PRGX- PRGX is yet another turnaround story. PRGX in my opinion is a bargain even here, I would of preferred to have it under $5 for contest purposes, but as my number 1 position in my portfolio I feel it is very undervalued. My reasons why I like it is first they had a very bullish outlook in the past earnings report. They earned .21 last quarter, but they really earned .24 if you eliminate the one time charge. In My Opinion they will report .25-.30 in q3, which may send the stocks to double digits, in fact it was a $12 stock a year ago, it may be able to go back there if they keep executing. Of course you never know with earnings reports, but seems like it offers a good risk/reward ratio at this point.
ROIAK- ROIAK is my only pick that I do not own. This pick would have been NIDB.OB my favorite small bank if it met the minimum volume requirements, but NIDB.OB doesn’t. So I went looking for a stock and ROIAK seemed like the best fit at these prices. Earned .12 last quarter, so very cheap based on earnings. I believe it can come close to repeating next quarter on the earnings front. They also have a big share buyback, which should give the stock good support. The Things I don’t like in this pick is it’s balance Sheet and I wasn’t crazy about the delay of the 2009 annual meeting either. But I believe that ROIAK offers good risk/reward at these levels.
UPG-Earned .12 last quarter fully taxed, and it doesn’t seem to be all that appreciated at $2.31. This stock seems significantly undervalued at these levels. I feel a PE of 10 is warranted for this company, and in my opinion that could send it to the $4.50-5.00 range. UPG also has a solid balance sheet where it trade below book. In My opinion UPG is another good risk/reward candidate at these levels. Just my opinion.
Conclusion: I do like my picks a lot for this contest and I own all of them except ROIAK personally. Hopefully they do very well, but as always time will tell of course. Just my opinion.
kool-aid? You must have been bombed out of your mind on the DKAM Vodka those same guys were pumping 2 years ago at 2 and 3 dollars. LOL.
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=DKAM.OB#chart1:symbol=dkam.ob;range=5y;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined
Great job should be an interesting contest with a correction of some type possibly happening.
Looks like myself and SWB173 were the only ones that picked TRTN.
I guess I drank alot of kool-aid. But anyway .Lets have some fun. Have a good weekend guys and thanks again.
THE NSOMNIYAK CHALLENGE - my picks
AFOP- Fibor optic company that is still growing and making profits despite the "recession". They expect another growth quarter coming up. Trading at book value, and they have very little debt. Something I think more people will be investing in going forward is companies that manages debt properly.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=AFOP
CPLP- Medium sized marine tanker company. SDtock price was hammered early August from around $12 down to $7.50. I think the "correction" was overdone. The stock has a small float, and I think people will be looking for a good dividend play (currently at 20% yield). Also, the shipping sector has been on the bottom of the sectors for a long time (average P/Es around 7), so I'm thinking as the "global economy" picks up, so will the carriers.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=CPLP
GPRE- One of the few ethanol stocks that still has money, lol. Most ethanol companies went bankrupt last year with $8 corn. Corn is now down to $3.30ish, and ethanol crush spread are well over $1 again, making them profitable. They also mentioned they are starting their pilot program of producing ethanol (this month) with algae- which should boost some interest in the stock. They also have a grain market that feeds their ethanol plants, so should get even a better deals than others in the sector. Recently because the 4th largest producer in the states.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=GPRE
LAWE.OB- They provide all the little things that law enforcement uses, as well as homland security and military. They are experiencing a flux of orders due to the stimlus monies that are coming down the pipe. I'm expecting another bang buster quarter being announced coming up. Biggest selling products: Under vehicle surrvielance systems and graffti cams.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=LAWE.OB
PSEC- natural gass prices have really been taken to the cleaners. PSEC is a closed end fund that invests in small companies, with a majority of them in the energy sector. They also have a stake in bio-med and retail sectors. Pays a nice dividend (16%), so expecting that to attract investor going forward. I think it is a fairly save way to be exposed to the oil/nat gas sector
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=PSEC
SBLK- Another marine bulk shipper with a dividend (5%). Trading at 1/3 book value, so could be a buy out target. Trailing P/E under 2 makes it attractive to those that follow the ratio, imo. Sector is averaging 7, so undervalued based on both book and P/E. Again, I think some money will start flowing into the sector in the coming quarter.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=SBLK
It would be interesting to see a most/least sheepiest people over all the past contests, then see the results of those folks. Give Len something to do over this long weekend, lol.
nsomniyak challenge:
$CASH$ I like a cash position to anchor my
"portfolio".
APT: I have been posting about this Canadian company for weeks as a "swine flu" play. Alpha Pro Tech, makes disposable protective apparel and infection control products in the United States and internationally. APT is a "flu play" because they make face masks. Surprising, they have another business line: construction weatherization products consisting of house wrap and synthetic roof underlayment to construction supply and roofing distributors. The weatherization products business is doing well. The company has ZERO debt and 17.48M shares in the float.
DCTH: I picked this stock because it has gained momentum lately. Delcath Systems is a development stage medical company. Here is the gist of their "business": "It focuses on the development of the Delcath PHP System, a Phase III clinical trial product, which isolates the liver from the patient’s general circulatory system and delivers high dose of melphalan hydrochloride or other therapeutic agents directly to the liver." This is a procedure for cases in which there is no alternative therapy. Delcath is conducting a Phase III trial and should do a submission to the FDA next year. 2010 should be a big year for the company. Float: 22M and ZERO LT Debt. DCTH has made a nice move this year.
MED: This is my number one favorite COMPANY. It is a NutriSystem competitor that is starting to come into its own. They are expanding into Texas. The last 10Q was very impressive. "The Owings Mills (MD) company said it pulled in record revenues and net income in the second quarter, which ended June 30. Medifast (NYSE: MED) pulled in $3 million in net income, 20 cents per diluted share, compared with $1.5 million, or 11 cents per diluted share, during the same period last year. It reported revenue of $41 million, a 48 percent increase from the $28 million it generated during the second quarter of 2008." LT Debt: $7.14M Float 12M. After the last 10Q came out, MED made a nice move up. It might not be underpriced, but I am hopeful the next 10Q won't disappoint.
UVE: A retread if ever there was one. This small Florida property insurer pays a nice dividend (currently about 10 percent!), which, in my opinion, puts a floor under the stock price unless there are hurricanes. This year--so far, so good. UVE has expanded into a handful of other States, which somewhat mitigates the risk of big losses from Florida hurricanes. The float is 14.67M shares, but the company has approximately $46 in debt. Cash flow to service the debt has not been a problem. If management are on the up and up, this is probably a pretty solid investment.
VSR: A second retread. Yahoo! "Profile" description: "Versar, Inc. provides various professional services to the government and private sector with solutions for infrastructure, facilities management, construction, environmental quality, defense, and homeland security needs in the United States and internationally." Think military contracts, especially in Iraq and Afghanistan, which may or may not be a good thing. This is the time of year Versar should be receiving new contracts. The stock is about 35 percent off of its 52-week high. Profit margin is pathetic--less than 3%, but trailing PE of 12, ZERO debt, and only 6.8M in float makes this a good pick, imo.
THE ABOVE RELFECTS MY OPINIONS AND IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. If you buy any of my picks and lose money, you should write to your Congressman! LOL. Canadians, etc. should write to a politician of their choosing.!
SSKILLZ1: Terrific. Everything is great. Thank you. One request, same as last time could you make the list of contestants and their picks a "post it note".
SSK - thanks for all your hard work in pulling this together! Appreciate all the statistics.
THE NSOMNIYAK CHALLENGE - my picks
CCGY - Chinese biodiesel company with new plant coming on line that will increase capacity ten-fold.
CDBT - pretty much a shot in the dark as a China micro-cap that might get a run
CHIO - China company in the online insurance niche. There is evidence that the Chines are buying cars in amazing quantities--and insurance is a way to follow that trend. Stock is down 50% from highs and seems to have found a bottom.
NEP - Chinese energy company has pulled back, has a war chest with which to acquire and/or diversify.
WEMU - I think the recent sell-off in this Chinese alternative energy co. is overdone. Numbers look good to me going forward, and I like the fact that the CEO has been buying.
NEPH.OB (wildcard) - Nephros is a small biotech that took a good run recently, and has pulled back hard. Awaiting FDA approval on a couple drugs, with things slated to either be approved, or not, during the PSL13 time frame. Recent pullback from just above 2 to 1.40 offers a good entry point, I think. I am looking for a relatively quick bounce here, then to trade an appreciated position into ????
DIsclaimer--I own NEPH and WEMU, have owned NEP, and may be buying (or buying more of) all of them.
THE NSOMNIYAK CHALLENGE
Once again, I will issue the nsomniyak challenge for PSL13!
Thanks to all who participated in the challenge previous PSL contests. I know that I for one came away with a whole lot of good ideas, and I will be raising some cash to act on those I expect to come out of this contest's challenge!
The PSL contests are fun--but they can also be profitable. I am absolutely sure I made some money trading some stocks that I would not have purchased if not for the previous nsomniyak challenge go-rounds.
This is your chance to play alchemist--you too can turn alphabet soup into the start of some DD!
This is very simple--just make a post on this board, some time within the first couple weeks of the contest, with a little bit of info about each stock you picked. To draw a line in the sand-let's say post your nsom challenge response by midnight, Ihub standard time, 9/20/09 (in other words, if iHub puts a date of 9/20/09 or earlier date on your post, you are in).
A couple sentences for each stock is fine - tell us why you like it and why you like it to perform well over the PSL13 contest time frame. You can post more thorough DD if you wish, but that would be enough.
That should help us all get more out of the PSL13 alphabet soup of symbols.
you have been a very baaaaa-d boy...
Thanks SSKILLZ1. Looks good!!
Well Hope everyone enjoyed all the PSL Stats. Good Luck to everyone in PSL 13. Have a Great weekend.
The Picks For VMC PSL 13
Commentary: We had 55 Contestants this contest. Well without further ado everyone's pick are below, wildcards are underlined.
Alias SP #1 SP #2 SP #3 SP #4 SP #5 SP #6
10BAGGER CBPO.OB CLFD EMAN.OB ETCC.OB SMID.OB ZYXI.OB
2MORROWSGAINS BSPM.OB CBPO.OB CHME.OB CSGH.OB SGZH.OB WKBT.OB
ABH3VT $CASH$ CBPO.OB CHBT CKGT.OB RGCI WKBT.OB
BBOTCS $CASH$ APT DCTH MED UVE VSR
BIGPROFIT $CASH$ BMRA.OB BSPM.OB SLXCF.OB SRRY.OB TBUS
BOBWINS AGT CHGY.OB FR.TO LMA.TO LPIH.OB TELT.OB
BUCFAN33617 ASUR CSGH.OB IEC LPIH.OB LTUS.OB TXIC
CL001 AGT GRMC.OB GSL IAE.V NHC.TO OGC.TO
CLIFFVB BSPM.OB CDBT.OB CHME.OB CYXN.OB EMAN.OB TBUS
CWS9 AGT AUY CCGY.OB CGLD.OB CKGT.OB VGZ
DANLC $CASH$ CLFD CSGH.OB FAZ SDS WILC
DIGITECH CHBT HBM.TO IAE.V TGB UTA UVE
ECOBLOT ALIF.OB DGSE LAWE.OB ROIAK RWC SGZH.OB
FINANCIAL ADVISOR CDE CHNR DROOY HMY MAG RIC
GILEAD23 AYSI.OB DGSE EGAN.OB RODM SMID.OB TBUS
GOLD80302 AUY CGLD.OB GFRE.OB Q SMID.OB TSO
HWEB2 BSPM.OB BTN DGSE MSN SMID.OB TELT.OB
JANG-A-LANG APWR CLFD ETFC SRS UNG WATG
JOEINIOWA $CASH$ CDE CGLD.OB MDVX.OB NGD SWC
JSIM EMAN.OB HWG IAE.V ROIAK UBOH UPG
KIK ACLO.OB ASRG.OB ICLK.OB MRM NZYM.OB WKBT.OB
KOZUH DAAT.OB EGMI.OB GRVY LAWE.OB MED OGC.TO
LARRYBAZ ALRC.OB KCAP KEQU PRGX SIF TSTA.OB
LENTINMAN $CASH$ FAZ IYH SKF UGL XLP
LT MATT ACLO.OB AGT EGMI.OB GRMC.OB IAE.V TBUS
MANNY T AVII CBPO.OB CSGH.OB DAAT.OB GAXC.OB LBMH.OB
MICHAEL T CPQQ.OB RGCI SRRY.OB TELT.OB TRT YUII.OB
MIKE056 AGT CSGH.OB OGC.TO PUDZ.OB TRTN.OB WEMU.OB
MIKEDDKING DAAT.OB EGMI.OB GAXC.OB RODM ROIAK TBUS
MSGI BZ CPQQ.OB PXLW RODM ROIAK RTK
NORTHENLIGHTSK05 CBPO.OB CCGY.OB CHGY.OB CPBY SVA TSTC
NSOMNIYAK CCGY.OB CDBT.OB CHIO NEP NEPH.OB WEMU.OB
OLDPRO HIMX HL KGC NM NXG SLW
PATTYDADY0 CRY FVE KKD QCOR TPI VRS
RESEARCHER59 BSPM.OB DGSE IEHC.OB ROIAK RUTH SGZH.OB
ROGUEDOLPHIN DXD QID RRZ SDK SDS SRS
SSKILLZ1 BSPM.OB DGSE MSN PRGX ROIAK UPG
STANU78 CMTP.OB COGO CSGH.OB FNET HQS TCX
STEELEDGE AOB ASUR BSPM.OB CDBT.OB CHME.OB WKBT.OB
STEVENRISK CCGY.OB CDBT.OB CKGT.OB CNOA.OB CYXN.OB LPIH.OB
STIFFLER68 $CASH$ CDII CHIO CNAM.OB QXM WH
STOCKPEEKER AGT APT BSPM.OB CSGH.OB IAE.V KCL.TO
SWAMPBOOTS BLSW DNPI.OB GLOB.OB HPJ OTIX RSI-UN.TO
SWANLINBAR $CASH$ ASRG.OB CGLD.OB DAAT.OB HPJ SMID.OB
SWB173 BBI-B LPIH.OB ROIAK SMID.OB TBUS TRTN.OB
SWICK984 BTN CBPO.OB DRAD NGA TELT.OB VRS
THEALICEMAY CLFD DIGA GE HON SMID.OB TXT
TIMHYMA AFOP CPLP GPRE LAWE.OB PSEC SBLK
TMCAL6 CSGH.OB EVG.V GRVY IAE.V QID UVE
VALUEMIND ALRC.OB AYSI.OB CPBY CSKI HNU.TO YHGG.PK
WADEGARRET CNO HWG ORS RODM TBUS WILC
WORTHYLION AWRCF.OB CCEL.OB PNNT POE.V SRS TBT
WYOBUFORD BSPM.OB CKGT.OB DAAT.OB MSN SMID.OB TBUS
YIELDDUDE APT AUY GG LAKE RIC SVA
ZEN LUNATIC420 ABAT AMLJ.OB DNPI.OB SMID.OB SWTX.OB SYNM
[b]PSL CONTESTS ARE OPEN TO ANYONE REGARDLESS OF IHUB STATUS. YOU DO NOT HAVE TO BE PREMIUM TO PARTICIPATE.[/b]
This is the thirteenth contest for the VMCboard. The first twelve contests can be seen and reviewed on the links below.
[b]PSL1:[/b] http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=4043
>>>>>[b]Winner: CWS9 (+95.16%)[/b] http://www.investorshub.com/boards/profile.asp?user=49612
[b]PSL2:[/b] http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=4811
>>>>>[b]Winner: Networm (+111.44%)[/b] http://www.investorshub.com/boards/profile.asp?user=40375
[b]PSL3:[/b] http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=5644
>>>>>[b]Winner:KnowledgeIsKing(+45.32%)[/b] http://www.investorshub.com/boards/profile.asp?user=49614
[b]PSL4:[/b] http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=6738
>>>>>[b]Winner: Bobwins (+57.95%)[/b] http://www.investorshub.com/boards/profile.asp?user=27704
[b]PSL5:[/b] http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=7804
>>>>>[b]Winner: DanLC (+156.22%)[/b] http://www.investorshub.com/boards/profile.asp?user=58188
[b]PSL6:[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=9121
>>>>>[b]Winner: Niles_crane3 (+35.69%)[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/profile.asp?User=49627
[b]PSL7:[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=10358
>>>>>[b]Winner: Gilead (+68.11%)[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/profile.asp?user=27444
[b]PSL8:[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=11462
>>>>>[b]Winner: Researcher59 (+40.49%)[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/profile.asp?user=49488
[b]PSL9:[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=12500
>>>>>[b]Winner: THREES (+54.52%)[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/profile.asp?user=35195
[b]PSL10:[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=13244
>>>>>[b]Winner: MSGI (+68.10%)[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/profile.asp?user=24029
[b]PSL11:[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=14726
>>>>>[b]Winner: Researcher59 (+62.16%)[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/profile.asp?user=49488
[b]PSL12:[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=15375
>>>>>[b]Winner: ABH3VT (+141.02%)[/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/profile.asp?user=33827
[b]The winner gets...[/b] A year's subscription to IHUB....plus pride in being the #1 performer against a lot of very good stockpickers on the best stockpicking board on the internet. And, they get highlighted on the VMC Champions Board. http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=4067
[b]ELIGIBILITY[/b] Solely up to the moderators of this board. Any contestant who is booted from IHUB during the contest is ineligible to win any individual PSLcontest.
[b]A FEW POINTS[/b]
All picks will be "blind" picks. By that, it means they will have to be based upon the person's best guess rather than by seeing what others have done. When the picks are made, they will be deleted (hidden) from the board. Once the deadline passes, all picks by each person will be shown in the Ibox.
PSL13 will begin on Tuesday, September 8 and end on Friday, December 11th. Everyone must have their picks in before September 4th at 4PM EST. All beginning prices will be as of the the close on Friday, September 4th.
All picks need to be done on this board and not via PM so that we have a record. Also, you can never be sure if whoever you send it to is even around or reading PMs. If you post it on the board, it is permanent and fixed in time.
We will list each person's picks in the Ibox in alphabetical order.
[b]CONTEST RULES[/b]
Shown below are all the rules with respect to PSL12. THERE IS ONE NEW RULE MODIFICATION.
[b]New Rule: "Buy a Transaction"[/b]
After a contestant uses their four trades they have the right to buy up to three trades at a cost.
The first transaction costs 5% of the unit (or stock position) you are trading out of.
The second transaction costs 10% of (see above).
The third transaction costs 15% of (see above).
1) Pick exactly 6 stocks that you believe will have the greatest appreciation during the period of the contest.
2) Only cash dividends of over 10% will be adjusted for. Stock dividends and splits will always be adjusted for.
3) Each stock must be at least 25 cents as of the deadline for making your picks. If one of your stocks is below 25 cents on the close, you will have until midnight (assuming no news) to pick another stock that qualifies. If not, a cash position will be assigned to your portfolio.
4) Stocks must meet VMC earnings & reporting requirements (see explanation immediately below this list) with the exception that one WILD CARD pick will be allowed (see #16 below).
5) A minimum $5,000 average daily dollar volume for the previous three months is required on any original or any new stock. This is calculated as the Yahoo 3-month average shares traded times the closing price of the stock.
6) Foreign stocks are allowed as long as they are trackable on Yahoo. Some foreign stocks have pinky versions and that is ok.
7) One of your 6 original positions can be a cash position.
8) No options or warrants or mutual funds. ETF's are ok.
9) No limit on market cap.
10) It is not required that you disclose whether you own these stocks.
11) First come, first serve. All [b]GROUPS[/b] of 6 must be unique. If a person already has your exact 6 choices you will need to make at least one substitution. This has not happened so far and is very unlikely.
12) You will receive 4 transactions during the contest. You can use 0, 1, 2, 3 or all four. That is up to you.
13) All transactions will be done as of the next closing price. If the transaction is done after the close, it will be as of the close of the following market day. There is a one half hour grace period to allow for [b]UNDOING[/b] a trade - assuming there is no news involved to either part of the transaction during that half hour.This is because many closing prices are not available until 20 minutes after the close.
14) A transaction can be a trade or an unfreeze (just like it sounds). A double down (see below) is also a transaction. All transactions should be done on the PSL board - and not via PM.
[b]DOUBLE DOWNS[/b]
--- A double down will be allowed where you can trade one of your stocks (or cash) into a "double" position of one of your other stocks (or cash).
--- Once double downed, always doubled downed. In other words, when two stocks are merged into one, they cannot be unmerged. You can trade, freeze or unfreeze the merged unit just as you would a single unit.
--- Once two stocks have been merged via a double down they cannot be double downed into another stock or another stock cannot be double downed into them. A maximum of 2+2 of the 6 units can be merged together. In other words, you can have two double downs at once with two other stocks that are not doubled - ie 4 stocks and 6 units.
--- A maximum of two double downs are allowed per contest.
--- You cannot double down until two weeks have passed - after the close of Thursday, September 17 - which will allow it to be in effect as early as September 21st - two weeks into the contest.
--- Only stocks that meet the earnings rule, the volume rule and the .25 rule can be double downed into.
15) Buy a Transaction: These are additional transactions beyond the four free ones. The first transaction costs 5%. The second transaction costs 10%. The third transaction costs 15%.
16) Any stock - whether frozen or not - can be traded for cash, or another stock. In all cases, the value of the entity that you are trading away must be reinvested in total into the new entity.
17) There will be one [b]Wild Card[/b] allowed. One of your picks can deviate from the VMC rule - either in terms of earnings or in terms of being a non-reporting pinky.
18) You are only allowed up to two short positions.
[b]SHORT POSITIONS: [/b] A short position must take the form of any ETF. Shown below are four double-beta shorts against the corresponding index...
--- QID: Nasdaq 100
--- SDS: S&P 500
--- MZZ: S&P MidCap 400
--- DXD: Dow Jones Industrial Average
and one single beta short.
--- DOG: Dow Jones Industrial Average
19) A stock does not trade the day AFTER you pick it.
[b]Trade:[/b] If one stock trades - whether Stock A (Sell) Or Stock B (Buy) you get a cash position and a transaction is used. If neither stock trades, the transaction is void.
[b]Freeze:[/b] If you freeze a stock, whether it trades the following day or not is irrelevant. The freeze takes affect.
[b]Unfreeze:[/b] If you unfreeze a stock, the unfreeze is voided and no transaction is used.
20) The 15% rule is designed specifically to discourage picking stocks that have low liquidity. Thus risk is associated with shooting the moon on a potentially bogus trade. However, this rule is NEGATED if the first trade the following day has a dollar volume of at least $50,000 OR if the stock ends above +15% on $100,000 in dollar volume.
---If you make a trade, and the stock you bought opens the next day up 15% or more on no news (and closes above 15%), the trade is voided. The stock you sold turns into cash. 1 Transaction used.
---If you unfreeze a stock and it opens the next day at 15% or more on no news (and closes above 15%), the trade is voided. 1 Transaction used.
---If you sell or freeze a stock and it opens the next day down 15% or more on no news (and closes below 15%), the trade is voided. 1 Transaction used.
-- Own ABC. You sell or freeze. It opens +15%+. Irrelevant
-- Own ABC. You sell or freeze. It opens -15%+. Rule applies
-- Don't own ABC. You buy or unfreeze. It opens +15%+. Rule applies
-- Don't own ABC. You buy or unfreeze. It opens -15%+. Irrelevant
21) If a stock is halted for any reason and a person freezes it during the time it is halted, their price for the contest will be whatever it is frozen at AS LONG AS it remains frozen until the contest ends. Otherwise, the price will be the close of the first day of trading after the halt is lifted. Also, you cannot use those funds to buy or trade into any other stock while it is halted - just as in real life.
22) Fill/Kill will be offered to anyone who wants to not have to watch the screen every day. It will be for one week only and only one at a time per person. It is based on closing prices. Explanation of Fill/Kill: http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=11239102
23) If a company gets sold during the contest, all normal rules apply. See this post. http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=11259177
24) DIGIRULE: This is a rule that comes into play only at the very end of the contest and only if the championship is on the line. It is designed to prevent extremely small dollar trades from affecting the outcome.
25) The deadline for all transactions is the market close on Friday, December 4 (one week before the end of the contest). A freeze (no longer a transaction) can be made up to the last day.
[b]EARNINGS REQUIREMENT:[/b] To qualify, a stock (other than the wild card) must meet VMC earnings rules which are explained in the IBox on the VMC board http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=3251 Essentially, it means that a stock must report** quarterly for at least a year or as long as it has been public. No exceptions. Secondly, the company must have earnings in the most recent quarter - or if not, more earnings than losses in the most recent two quarters - or if not, more earnings than losses in the most recent three quarters - or if not, more earnings than losses in the most recent four quarters. In other words, there must be some interval of time (1, 2, 3 or 4 quarters) where the company has positive earnings.
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=11163580
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=11212890
**"Reporting" can be done via a number of ways: SEC filings, PR's, Website or Pinksheets.com.
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[b]PSL1 - PSL11 PERCENT RETURNS[/b]
[b][pre] MEAN MEDIAN
AVG. AVG. WINNER #5 #10 #20 #40
PSL1 28% 28 95 68 62 48 25
PSL2 26 22 111 89 64 44 26
PSL3 -4 -5 45 21 12 5 -5
PSL4 15 14 58 44 39 24 15
PSL5 23 19 156 61 54 34 20
PSL6 -2 -1 36 27 20 11 1
PSL7 8 4 68 49 39 22 4
PSL8 -3 -5 40 21 12 3 -4
PSL9 -12 -14 55 22 10 -2 -14
PSL10 -41 -46 68 -6 -24 -36 -44
PLS11 8 12 62 37 28 15 5
PSL12 35 30 141 72 61 36 12
[/b][/pre]
[b]DIFFERENTIAL BETWEEN HIGH AND LOW[/b]
[b][pre] HIGH LOW DIFF
PSL1 + 95.16% -38.54% 133.70%
PSL2 +111.44% - 9.42% 120.86%
PSL3 + 45.32% -32.03% 77.35%
PSL4 + 57.95% -24.05% 82.00%
PSL5 +156.22% -27.99% 184.21%
PSL6 + 35.69% -31.45% 67.14%
PSL7 + 68.11% -29.28% 97.39%
PSL8 + 40.49% -33.21% 77.70%
PSL9 + 54.52% -56.07% 110.59%
PSL10 + 68.10% -69.62% 137.72%
PSL11 + 62.16% -35.81% 97.97%
PSL12 +141.02% -32.42% 173.44%
[/b][/pre]
[b]PSLs 1-10 versus the Wilshire 5000: [/b] http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=34164230
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The contestants and their [b]ORIGINAL[/b] picks
---[b][u]BOLDED & UNDERLINED[/b][/u] picks are [u][b]Wild Cards[/b][/u][pre]
[b]
Alias SP #1 SP #2 SP #3 SP #4 SP #5 SP #6[/b]
10BAGGER CBPO.OB CLFD EMAN.OB ETCC.OB SMID.OB ZYXI.OB
2MORROWSGAINS BSPM.OB CBPO.OB CHME.OB CSGH.OB SGZH.OB WKBT.OB
ABH3VT $CASH$ CBPO.OB CHBT CKGT.OB RGCI WKBT.OB
BBOTCS $CASH$ APT [b][u]DCTH[/b][/u] MED UVE VSR
BIGPROFIT $CASH$ BMRA.OB BSPM.OB SLXCF.OB SRRY.OB TBUS
BOBWINS AGT CHGY.OB FR.TO LMA.TO LPIH.OB TELT.OB
BUCFAN33617 [b][u]ASUR[/b][/u] CSGH.OB IEC LPIH.OB LTUS.OB TXIC
CL001 AGT [b][u]GRMC.OB[/b][/u] GSL IAE.V NHC.TO OGC.TO
CLIFFVB BSPM.OB CDBT.OB CHME.OB CYXN.OB EMAN.OB TBUS
CWS9 AGT AUY CCGY.OB CGLD.OB CKGT.OB VGZ
DANLC $CASH$ CLFD CSGH.OB FAZ SDS WILC
DIGITECH CHBT HBM.TO IAE.V TGB UTA UVE
ECOBLOT ALIF.OB DGSE LAWE.OB ROIAK RWC SGZH.OB
FINANCIALADVISOR CDE CHNR DROOY HMY MAG RIC
GILEAD23 AYSI.OB DGSE EGAN.OB RODM SMID.OB TBUS
GOLD80302 AUY CGLD.OB GFRE.OB Q SMID.OB TSO
HWEB2 BSPM.OB BTN DGSE MSN SMID.OB TELT.OB
JANG-A-LANG APWR CLFD [b][u]ETFC[/b][/u] SRS UNG WATG
JOEINIOWA $CASH$ CDE CGLD.OB [b][u]MDVX.OB[/b][/u] NGD SWC
JSIM EMAN.OB HWG IAE.V ROIAK UBOH UPG
KIK ACLO.OB ASRG.OB [b][u]ICLK.OB[/b][/u] MRM NZYM.OB WKBT.OB
KOZUH DAAT.OB EGMI.OB GRVY LAWE.OB MED OGC.TO
LARRYBAZ ALRC.OB [b][u]KCAP[/b][/u] KEQU PRGX SIF TSTA.OB
LENTINMAN $CASH$ FAZ IYH SKF UGL XLP
LT MATT ACLO.OB AGT EGMI.OB [b][u]GRMC.OB[/b][/u] IAE.V TBUS
MANNY T AVII CBPO.OB CSGH.OB DAAT.OB GAXC.OB LBMH.OB
MICHAEL T CPQQ.OB RGCI SRRY.OB TELT.OB [b][u]TRT[/b][/u] YUII.OB
MIKE056 AGT CSGH.OB OGC.TO PUDZ.OB TRTN.OB WEMU.OB
MIKEDDKING DAAT.OB EGMI.OB GAXC.OB RODM ROIAK TBUS
MSGI BZ CPQQ.OB PXLW RODM ROIAK RTK
NORTHENLIGHTSK05 CBPO.OB CCGY.OB CHGY.OB CPBY SVA TSTC
NSOMNIYAK CCGY.OB CDBT.OB CHIO NEP [b][u]NEPH.OB[/b][/u] WEMU.OB
OLDPRO HIMX HL KGC NM NXG SLW
PATTYDADY0 CRY FVE [b][u]KKD[/b][/u] QCOR TPI VRS
RESEARCHER59 BSPM.OB DGSE IEHC.OB ROIAK RUTH SGZH.OB
ROGUEDOLPHIN DXD QID RRZ SDK SDS SRS
SSKILLZ1 BSPM.OB DGSE MSN PRGX ROIAK UPG
STANU78 CMTP.OB COGO CSGH.OB FNET HQS TCX
STEELEDGE AOB [b][u]ASUR[/b][/u] BSPM.OB CDBT.OB CHME.OB WKBT.OB
STEVENRISK CCGY.OB CDBT.OB CKGT.OB CNOA.OB CYXN.OB LPIH.OB
STIFFLER68 $CASH$ [b][u]CDII[/b][/u] CHIO CNAM.OB QXM WH
STOCKPEEKER AGT APT BSPM.OB CSGH.OB IAE.V [b][u]KCL.TO[/b][/u]
SWAMPBOOTS BLSW DNPI.OB GLOB.OB HPJ [b][u]OTIX[/b][/u] RSI-UN.TO
SWANLINBAR $CASH$ ASRG.OB CGLD.OB DAAT.OB HPJ SMID.OB
SWB173 [b][u]BBI-B[/b][/u] LPIH.OB ROIAK SMID.OB TBUS TRTN.OB
SWICK984 BTN CBPO.OB DRAD NGA TELT.OB VRS
THEALICEMAY CLFD [b][u]DIGA[/b][/u] GE HON SMID.OB TXT
TIMHYMA AFOP CPLP GPRE LAWE.OB PSEC SBLK
TMCAL6 CSGH.OB [b][u]EVG.V[/b][/u] GRVY IAE.V QID UVE
VALUEMIND ALRC.OB AYSI.OB CPBY CSKI HNU.TO YHGG.PK
WADEGARRET CNO HWG ORS RODM TBUS WILC
WORTHYLION [b][u]AWRCF.OB[/b][/u] CCEL.OB PNNT POE.V SRS TBT
WYOBUFORD BSPM.OB CKGT.OB DAAT.OB MSN SMID.OB TBUS
YIELDDUDE APT AUY GG LAKE RIC SVA
ZEN LUNATIC420 ABAT AMLJ.OB DNPI.OB SMID.OB SWTX.OB SYNM
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
[/pre]
[b]TRADES AND FREEZES:[/b]
[pre] DATE OF
CLOSING
CONTESTANT PRICE OLD RETURN NEW PRICE
ROGUEDOLPHIN 9-08 DXD -1.47% UNG $10.28
ROGUEDOLPHIN 9-08 RRZ -2.11% RJA $6.88
ROGUEDOLPHIN 9-08 SDK -2.43% DAG $8.38
ROGUEDOLPHIN 9-08 SRS -6.73% JJG $35.01
DANLC 9-09 FAZ -6.21% UNG $10.10
MSGI 9-10 CPQQ.OB -11.76% LPIH.OB $1.55
CL001 9-11 GRMC.OB +33.33% GDMN.PK $4.15 (WC)
SWB173 9-14 LPIH.OB +4.51% F R E E Z E
MSGI 9-14 LPIH.OB -10.32% F R E E Z E
SSKILLZ1 9-15 PRGX +6.57% F R E E Z E
ECOBLOT 9-15 ALIF.OB +3.53% BSPM.OB $1.94
YIELDDUDE 9-15 LAKE -5.88% AEMD.OB $0.27 (WC)
DANLC 9-16 $CASH$ +0.00% CPSL $3.07
CLIFFVB 9-16 EMAN.OB +46.92% CHGS.OB $1.22
JANG-A-LANG 9-17 CLFD +38.41% F R E E Z E
JANG-A-LANG 9-17 APWR +17.72% F R E E Z E
ABH3VT 9-17 $CASH$ +0.00% BSPM.OB $1.80
MIKE056 9-18 WEMU.OB +1.56% TRTN.OB $1.15 (DD)
ECOBLOT 9-18 RWC +21.95% BSPM.OB $1.78 (DD)
ECOBLOT 9-18 DGSE +6.67% SGZH.OB $7.30 (DD)
ECOBLOT 9-22 LAWE.OB -3.13% F R E E Z E
SSKILLZ1 9-23 F R E E Z E DGSE $1.40 (DD)
SWICK984 9-23 BTN +37.08% MRM $8.00
SWICK984 9-23 DRAD +27.91% CHIO $1.00
STANU78 9-24 CMTP.OB +30.91% F R E E Z E
STANU78 9-24 COGO +14.42% F R E E Z E
STANU78 9-24 CSGH.OB +26.96% F R E E Z E
STANU78 9-24 FNET +58.97% F R E E Z E
STANU78 9-24 HQS +6.55% F R E E Z E
MSGI 9-24 BZ +9.09% QTWW $1.60 (WC)
SWANLINBAR 9-25 HPJ +136.99% F R E E Z E
NORTHEN 9-25 TSTC +39.78% CHGY.OB $0.775 (DD)
NORTHEN 9-25 SVA -13.35% CPBY $5.19 (DD)
10BAGGER 9-28 EMAN.OB +30.00% ZYXI.OB $1.06 (DD)
WADEGARRET 9-28 ORS +9.58% CPQQ.OB $1.25
GILEAD23 9-28 EGAN.OB +28.79% TBUS $2.436 (DD)
MSGI 9-28 PXLW +5.47% RODM $6.18 (DD)
ECOBLOT 9-28 ROIAK +34.37% F R E E Z E
2MORROWGAINS 9-28 CBPO.OB +24.11% F R E E Z E
KIK 9-28 ICLK.OB +29.41% SMID.OB $1.78
LTMATT 9-29 ACLO.OB +143.47% F R E E Z E
SWB173 9-29 TRTN.OB +9.09% RODM $6.35
SWB173 9-29 F R E E Z E ISDR.OB $0.28
MIKE056 9-29 CSGH.OB +74.78% F R E E Z E
NSOMNIYAK 9-29 NEPH.OB +5.07% CEMJQ.PK $0.85 (WC)
ECOBLOT 9-30 F R E E Z E LAWE.OB $0.32
SWB173 10-01 BBI-B -7.58% RODM $5.61 (DD)
MIKE056 10-01 OGC.TO -8.17% PUDA $6.25 (DD)
JANG-A-LANG 10-02 F R E E Z E CLFD $4.10
2MORROWSGAIN 10-02 F R E E Z E WKBT.OB $1.86 (DD)
LTMATT 10-05 F R E E Z E AYSI.OB $2.39
LTMATT 10-05 IAE.V -3.40% LMA.TO $1.53
SSKILLZ1 10-05 ROIAK +150.00% F R E E Z E
SWANLINBAR 10-05 ASRG.OB +65.14% F R E E Z E
SWANLINBAR 10-05 $CASH$ +0.00% BLVT.PK $0.56
STANU78 10-07 F R E E Z E ASRG.OB $1.83
STANU78 10-07 F R E E Z E ASRG.OB $1.83 (DD)
CLIFFVB 10-07 CDBT.OB +11.15% CHGI.OB $1.35
STEELEDGE 10-08 BSPM.OB +16.26% BLVT.PK $0.56
STEELEDGE 10-08 CDBT.OB +9.62% BLVT.PK $0.56 (DD)
KIK 10-08 ACLO.OB +137.61% F R E E Z E
KIK 10-08 ASRG.OB 105.50% F R E E Z E
MIKE056 10-08 F R E E Z E CSGH.OB $2.01
STANU78 10-08 ASRG.OB +22.40% F R E E Z E
BIGPROFIT 10-09 SRRY.OB +45.21% TZA $11.32
DANLC 10-12 WILC +33.34% GCHT.OB $1.45 (WC)
STANU78 10-13 F R E E Z E ITEX.OB $0.68
MSGI 10-14 QTWW -18.75% ROIAK $1.50 (DD)
GILEAD23 10-15 RODM +6.69% ETCC.OB $2.00
NORTHENLT 10-16 CHGY.OB +3.58% F R E E Z E
SWANLINBAR 10-16 DAAT.OB +10.60% MKRS.OB $0.27
STEVENRISK 10-19 CNOA.OB 162.50% BSPM.OB $2.36
2MORROWSGAIN 10-19 SGZH.OB +35.57% F R E E Z E
SSKILLZ1 10-20 F R E E Z E TRIB $4.00
DIGITECH 10-20 UTA +49.25% GLPW.PK $1.30
2MORROW 10-21 F R E E Z E LHSI.OB $1.75
MIKE056 10-21 PUDA +54.84% F R E E Z E
MSGI 10-22 RODM -6.75% F R E E Z E
SSKILLZ1 10-22 TRIB -1.50% BDR $1.25
2MORROW 10-23 LHSI.OB +0.00% AEMD.OB $0.6398 (WC)
KOZUH 10-26 GRVY -10.00% PWEB.OB $0.26
BBOTCS 10-27 $CASH$ +0.00% APT $7.09 (DD)
MIKE056 10-27 AGT +17.37% AEMD.OB $0.50 (WC)
STANU78 10-28 ITEX.OB +10.29% F R E E Z E
BIGPROFIT 10-28 TZA +24.20% RODM $3.80
MIKE056 10-28 F R E E Z E PUDA $6.14
ABH3VT 10-28 CHBT -1.46% CKGT.OB $1.50 (DD)
NORTHEN 10-29 CPBY +56.03% WEMU.OB $3.85
MANNY T 10-30 DAAT.OB +10.84% AMLJ.OB $1.28
NSOMNIYAK 10-30 CHIO +9.00% SWTX.OB $1.50
WYOBUFORD 10-30 BSPM.OB +14.78% QID $24.16
STIFFLER68 11-02 QXM +39.64% BSPM.OB $2.25
STIFFLER68 11-02 $CASH$ +0.00% CNAM.OB $2.96 (DD)
JSIM 11-02 ROIAK +195.31% F R E E Z E
CL001 11-02 GDMN.PK +66.27% MTO.V $0.455 (WC)
BOBWINS 11-02 CHGY.OB -7.77% AAA.V $0.31 (WC)
STANU78 11-03 F R E E Z E AOB $3.95
CWS9 11-03 CGLD.OB +25.37% F R E E Z E
NORTHEN 11-04 CCGY.OB +8.07% PFGY.OB $0.29 (WC)
MIKEDDKING 11-05 RODM -11.56% F R E E Z E
SSKILLZ1 11-05 BDR -4.00% NO VOLUME RULE
ABH3VT 11-05 RGCI +16.46% BSPM.OB $2.45 (DD)
DIGITECH 11-05 TGB +23.62% UTA $10.73
MSGI 11-05 F R E E Z E UVE $6.12
DANLC 11-06 GCHT.OB +100.69% SGZH.OB $12.00
MSGI 11-06 UVE -10.29% F R E E Z E
RESEARCHER59 11-06 SGZH.OB +44.97% ROIAK $2.14 (DD)
DANLC 11-06 GCHT.OB +100.69% SGZH.OB $10.80
MSGI 11-06 UVE -10.29% F R E E Z E
RESEARCHER59 11-06 SGZH.OB +44.97% ROIAK $2.14 (DD)
LTMATT 11-09 GRMC.OB -30.77% EGMI.OB $1.76 (DD)
DIGITECH 11-09 UVE +23.24% IAE.V $0.84 (DD)
SSKILLZ1 11-09 F R E E Z E TBUS $2.22
KIK 11-09 F R E E Z E SECX.OB $1.29
KIK 11-09 F R E E Z E SECX.OB $1.29 (DD)
MIKEDDKING 11-10 F R E E Z E LYBI.OB $5.80
CL001 11-10 AGT +26.95% NHC.TO $1.01 (DD)
KIK 11-10 NZYM.OB +32.22% F R E E Z E
TIMHYMA 11-11 PSEC +5.07% AVRNQ.PK $0.45
MSGI 11-12 F R E E Z E TELT.OB $1.69
JSIM 11-13 HWG +49.92% UBOH $9.064(DD)
STEVENRISK 11-13 LPIH.OB +36.09% TSTC $11.90
CLIFFVB 11-13 CYXN.OB +96.67% CHGI.OB $1.331(DD)
BOBWINS 11-16 LPIH.OB +30.83% IAE.V $0.90
TIMHYMA 11-17 GPRE +36.91% RTK $1.25
GILEAD23 11-17 DGSE -8.88% AYSI.OB $2.50 (DD)
SSKILLZ1 11-17 TBUS -28.38% F R E E Z E
SSKILLZ1 11-17 DGSE -10.56% F R E E Z E
KIK 11-17 SECX.OB +93.02% F R E E Z E
CWS9 11-17 AGT +21.89% JBII.OB $1.10
STANU78 11-19 TCX +1.75% F R E E Z E
CWS9 11-24 CKGT.OB +57.86% F R E E Z E
ABH3VT 11-25 WKBT.OB +66.06% SKBID $10.65
TIMHYMA 11-25 AFOP +6.42% TSTA.OB $0.72
-
[/pre]
[b]THE NUMBER OF PICKS FOR EACH STOCK[/b]
Alphabetically:...................................... http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=41225900
In order of most to least:........................ http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=41225872
The beginning price of each stock: ......... http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=41226072
The beginning # of shares for each stock: http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=41226072
[b]MR. SHEEP W/O Cash COMPARISON PERFORMANCE[/b][pre][b]
PSL1 PSL2 PSL3 PSL4 PSL5 PSL6 PSL7 PSL8 PSL9 PSL10 PSL11 PSL12[/b]
Mr. Sheep 68% 68% 4% 12% 5% 21% 26% -2% +31% -48% +5 +40%
Avg. Portfolio 28% 26% -4% 15% 23% -2% 8% -3% -12% -41% +8 +35%
Differential +40% +42% +8% -3% -18% +19% +18% +1% +43% - 7% -3 + 5%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mr. Sheep Rank 6 8 22 47 64 7 15 31 3 57 40 17[/pre]
[pre][b]MR. SHEEP
-----
ORIGINAL PICKS, Not Adjusted[/b]
-----------
[b]Positions[/b]
1 BSPM.OB
2 SMID.OB
3 $CASH$
4 CSGH.OB
5 TBUS
6 ROIAK
-----------
-----------
[b]Mr Sheep (Without Cash)[/b]
-----------
[b]Positions[/b]
1 BSPM.OB
2 SMID.OB
3 CSGH.OB
4 TBUS
5 ROIAK
6 AGT (1/3 Position)
6 CBPO.OB (1/3 Position)
6 IAE.V (1/3 Position)
-----------[/pre]
A word from MR. SHEEP: .................... http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=9295177
MR. SHEEP Himself: .......................... http://www.animalpicturesarchive.com/ArchOLD/1086136023.
MR. SHEEP Explanation: .................... http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=9314314
Complete MR. SHEEP Ratings: ............ http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=41226169
Counting Sheep - PSL1-PSL13: ............
[b][pre]
MOST SHEEPISH LEAST SHEEPISH[/b]
1 WYOBUFORD 38 OLD PRO 6
2 2MORROWGAINS 33 PATTYDADY 7
3 STOCKPEEKER 33 WORTHYLION 8
4 HWEB 32 TIMHYMA 8
5 SWB173 31 SWAMPBOOTS 8
6 SWANLINBAR 30 LARRYBAZ 8
7 BIGPROFIT 29 FIN.ADVISOR 8
8 CLIFF 29 VALUEMIND 9
9 GILEAD 29 ROGUEDOLPHIN 10
10 MIKEDD 29 KIK 11
JANG-A-LANG 11[/pre]
Foreign stock allowance...................... http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=41225483
How to calculate your returns............... http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=9485251
Excuses for doing poorly...................... http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=9560461
[b]PSL TOURNAMENT CHAMPIONSHIP ROUNDS[/b]
PSL1 : No tournament
PSL2 : Lentinman over Digitech
PSL3 : Cl001 over MikeS
PSL4 : Cl001 over Bobwins
PSL5 : Cliff over Kipp
PSL6 : TMCal over Valuemind
PSL7 : Stevenrisk over Bobwins
PSL8 : Swick over SWB
PSL9 : Gilead over MikeS
PSL10: Bucfan over Gilead
PSL11: 2Morrow over Worthylion
PSL12: ABH3VT over R59
[b]ALL SIX UNITS POSITIVE[/b]
PSL1 : 10Bagger, SkepticalOptimist
PSL2 : Kipp, Lentinman, Linuspop, Pattydady, Pnnymn, Researcher59, RRainman
PSL3 : Cl001, Mike056
PSL4 : 10Bagger, BlueBear, Cliff, Kipp
PSL5 : 10Bagger, Nelson, Southacres, Arnie, Cliff, Roguedolphin, SWB173, CRKranz, JustForFun, Rsadey, WillLyons
PSL6 : None
PSL7 : 10Bagger, Fructose, Gilead, Lentinman, MichaelT
PSL8 : Researcher
PSL9 : None
PSL10: None
PSL11: Cliff
PSL12: 10Bagger, Gilead, Larrybaz, MichaelT, MikeDDKing, Northernlight, Reasearch59, Stiffler, SWB173, Valuemind
[b]KIK CONTEST[/b]
Previous winners
----------------
PSL6 : RMIWA
PSL7 : DEATHTOTAXES
PSL8 : CLIFF
PSL9 : No Winner
PSL10: Yielddude
PSL11: Cl001
[b]NSOMNIYAK CHALLENGE[/b]
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